All your money on Texas +6

zerocage · 03-16-08, 10:40 AM

Dogs in 3 games are all good value. Clemson +5.5 , Texas +6 and Illy +7

zerocage · 03-16-08, 10:45 AM

Well don't put ALL your money on them cuz that's BAD gambling.

Scorpion · 03-16-08, 10:47 AM

Larry Ness Oddsmaker Error

Kansas

REASON FOR PICK: Can the third time be the charm for Texas? The Jayhawks have beaten the Longhorns the last two years in the Big 12 title game. Texas has now made the Big 12 final for the fourth time in the last five years but let's also note that the school has yet to win a Big 12 championship game in FIVE previous tries. I don't believe that streak will end today, either. Texas owns a superb guard duo in Agustin (19.9-3.0-5.6) and Abrams (16.1) plus two excellent frontcourt players in the 6-7 James (13.2-10.7) and the 6-10 Atchley (9.6-5.2). Guard Mason (6.8-4.3) completes the starting lineup which is an outstanding one but the Longhorns have little depth. It's made worse by the injury to 6-7 freshman Johnson, who had been playing well after getting a late start to the season (was not cleared to play medically until after Jan 1). This will the third game in three days (for both teams) and look at the minutes played by the Texas starters. Abrams leads the way with 38.5 per game, followed by Augustin (36.5), James (34.5), Mason (33.5) and Atchley (30.0). Kansas has as much frontline talent as Texas, plus agets excellent contributions from guard Collins (9.5) and the 6-11 Kaun (7.3-3.8) off the bench. In the Jayhawks win over Nebraska, Collins had 13 points and Kaun nine, while in yesterday's win over A&M, Collins had nine, Kaun five and 6-11 freshman Aldrich added six. The Kansas starters are the 6-9 Arthur (13.2-6.1) and the 6-8 Jackson (11.8-7.0) up front joined by a terrific perimeter trio. The 6-6 Rush (12.2-5.0) is the leading scorer (he's off a career-high 28 points vs A&M) plus there's Chalmers (12.1-4.5 APG) and Robinson (7.7-4.2 APG). Speaking of the Kansas starters, they played poorly against Nebraska (11-30 for 36.7 percent) but were terrific vs A&M (21-37 for 56.8 percent). Kansas is playing with revenge from a Feb 11 loss in Austin (72-69), where the Jayhawks were 5 1/2-point favorites (I had Texas in that one, by the way!). I note that because while Kansas City is not Lawrence, it's been a "second home" to the Jayhawks for decades, and it's a HUGE edge. The opening number on this game was also Kansas minus-5 1/2 and I believe that's NOT a proper adjustment. Expect Kansas to roll in this one (after two so-so efforts the last two games), as the Longhorns "run out of gas," late. Oddsmaker's Error on Kansas (8*)