Traps for college football this week based on opening lines

[Extra Innings]

Wow....keep up the good work Pavy

[pavyracer]

another good day, pavy. Maybe before you publish and sell this , you could name it something other than 'trap'. Or maybe if you continue with such success, the betting world will redefine 'trap' and have to come up with a new word for what will have been formerly known as trap.

Thank you. I don't know what to name it. I'm open to ideas. It's such a simple concept and it doesn't involve any complex mathematical models or tracking of data.

Wow....keep up the good work Pavy

Thanks EI.

So to summarize this week it went 7-3. I counted Washington as a win because even though it opened -8 it was never available at that number when I bet it. Out of the 3 losses only one was out of reach (Northern Illinois). SMU could have covered if their coach kicked that FG at the end and Oklahoma lost by the hook (which you can buy for a push when you place your bets).

So out of 10 games in 9 the system was good.

The record is now 22-5 in the 4 weeks I tracked it. It appears that it works extremely well on the numbers 3 and 7. I will not use it in the future on numbers 10 and 14 because that's what were 3 of the 5 losses came from.

[mwalsh6190]

Nice Job. Saw those also

[Pete0]

What a lousy POS that SMU Quarterback was %$#%$#!

[manny24]

What a lousy POS that SMU Quarterback was %$#%$#!

[847jhop10]

Pavy thanks for a great sturday u helped me go 3-0.
Just a quick question will u be pickin traps for the upcoming bowls??

[pavyracer]

Pavy thanks for a great sturday u helped me go 3-0.
Just a quick question will u be pickin traps for the upcoming bowls??

Absolutely. We have to wait for opening lines.

[DroppinDimes]

Thanks Pavy, I went 5-1 Saturday cause I didn't play any noon games. I tracked this system in the NFL yesterday and it's not nearly as good. Great work man!!!

It also looks as though Navy will be the play this week as they opened at -7.5 right?

[The Seer]

Absolutely. We have to wait for opening lines.

Pavy if you used cris openers then there was only 1 loss

[pavyracer]

Thanks Pavy, I went 5-1 Saturday cause I didn't play any noon games. I tracked this system in the NFL yesterday and it's not nearly as good. Great work man!!!

It also looks as though Navy will be the play this week as they opened at -7.5 right?

Yes Navy opened at -7.5 so this is the play for this week.

Pavy if you used cris openers then there was only 1 loss

Good observation. I used the openers from SBRlines. I would also look for Cris openers in the future. I knew that out of the 10 games we tracked last week only Northern Illinois lost and you could have taken SMU +10 & Oklahoma -3 at many places with a little bit of a juice and push these plays or buy the hook.

And guys when I post these games I only provide them as a reference. You need to determine when it's the best time to bet them and at which line you feel comfortable. Also figure out how many units you want to bet each and for those who are very selective maybe narrow it down to a few games.

[flocko76]

SO you're saying take navy @-7.5? I really like that play also. No offense but Army is a poor man's Navy.

[pavyracer]

SO you're saying take navy @-7.5? I really like that play also. No offense but Army is a poor man's Navy.

Basically the way this system works is with the location of the hook on opening lines of 3 & 7. If the hook is above 3 & 7 take the fav. If the hook is below take the dog.

-3.5 & -7.5 (fav)
+2.5 & +6.5 (dog)

The key is to look for opening lines..not where the line is the day you decide to look for it.

[pavyracer]

For this week the only play Navy won.

[kmarinouofm]

so it looks like we will have some bowl plays for this

Louisville opened at -3.5 its now at -3 ( i want -2.5)

Air Force -2.5 some places now at -3 (i want ga tech at +3.5)

West Va -2.5 some places now at -3 ( want NC state at +3.5)

Maryland -7.5 some places at -7 ( i want maryland -6.5)

[kmarinouofm]

Pavy what do you make of books in Vegas opening up at -2 i noticed these open at -2.5 off shore.. but since they start at vegas.. would it be smart to look for -2 in Nevada?


also the maryland game dropped to -1 at some books in vegas at one point

[pavyracer]

Yeah I will post the plays next week. Didn't want to post them so early. Most smart guys know how the system works and can figure the plays themselves.

[pavyracer]

Pavy what do you make of books in Vegas opening up at -2 i noticed these open at -2.5 off shore.. but since they start at vegas.. would it be smart to look for -2 in Nevada?


also the maryland game dropped to -1 at some books in vegas at one point

what game are you talking about for -2?

[kmarinouofm]

what game are you talking about for -2?

well you see LSVC sold -2.5 to the books for open on the Ga Tech game

but Hilton and many other books opened it at -2 instead.. lucky even opened at -1..

to me.. this makes sense that vegas opens at -2 and by the time off shore gets it an hour or two latter its -2.5.. i noticed this with pinny a bit



i guess i am wondering should i worry about LSVC thinks the opening line is.. or what Pinny or HIlton thinks it is.

[pavyracer]

well you see LSVC sold -2.5 to the books for open on the Ga Tech game

but Hilton and many other books opened it at -2 instead.. lucky even opened at -1..

to me.. this makes sense that vegas opens at -2 and by the time off shore gets it an hour or two latter its -2.5.. i noticed this with pinny a bit



i guess i am wondering should i worry about LSVC thinks the opening line is.. or what Pinny or HIlton thinks it is.

Cris opened at -2.5 so I will go with them. Tech should be the play.

[kmarinouofm]

if you look offshore not many plays if any in NFL.. but if you look to vegas

Bears +3-3.5 would be system play
Carolina +7-7.5 would be system play

Minn +3.5 (might be a play opened at -2 -2.5 some places)

Washington +3 -3.5

New Orleans -7.5

Philly -2.5 -3

LSVC for jets was -6.5 and some books opened at that other at -7 so Dolphins +7-7.5?

to be honest just based off the system i sorta like these sides

[kmarinouofm]

Cris opened at -2.5 so I will go with them. Tech should be the play.

ok so if you use cris then

Lions +7-7.5 would be a play for sunday

[pavyracer]

I really never tried to use it for NFL so track it before you use it. I only tracked it for the last 5 weeks of college football this year.

[The Seer]

In the NFL it was like 4 -4 last week and I went back and checked and it is about 50/50 in past weeks overall

[DroppinDimes]

It doesn't work well for the NFL. Hey Pavy, I notice quite a few places show different opening lines. Where do you find the Cris openers? I can't seem to find where they show actual opening numbers. Thanks man, I had Navy today.

[pavyracer]

It doesn't work well for the NFL. Hey Pavy, I notice quite a few places show different opening lines. Where do you find the Cris openers? I can't seem to find where they show actual opening numbers. Thanks man, I had Navy today.

I use sbrlines.com. I hope they are correct.

[kmarinouofm]

In the NFL it was like 4 -4 last week and I went back and checked and it is about 50/50 in past weeks overall

It doesn't work well for the NFL. Hey Pavy, I notice quite a few places show different opening lines. Where do you find the Cris openers? I can't seem to find where they show actual opening numbers. Thanks man, I had Navy today.

thanks boys

[DroppinDimes]

I use sbrlines.com. I hope they are correct.

Thanks man.

[notsosharp]

I think the vegas books have to worry less about getting exposed than the offshore books. Considering wagers diamond and bookmaker take. and obv pinnacle.

[tianxia003]

feels like a trap, but im playing it anyways

[JMobile]

What a lousy POS that SMU Quarterback was %$#%$#!

8 days later and this shit makes me LMAO!!!!
Sorry dude, but I had many Parlays like this where that one guy stoods you up.