Traps for college football this week based on opening lines

**Pete0** · 12-03-10, 09:43 PM

just to make sure, the picks are to fade the list right ?

I'm just trying to understand certain situations/factors in which the selection actually turns out to be the opposite from the time the opener is out. (since we're using only the book's "knowledge" of the winning spread)

Dont get me wrong

I like almost all your plays. But, For example oregon st +15 ( seems like oregon +15 should be the play and the trap is oregon -15 )
also with tonights miami (OH) game.

Apart from that, I love all of your plays !

Just my opinion. thoughts ?

**Pete0** · 12-03-10, 09:48 PM

I'm assuming the selection process works a little different for higher spreads of maybe 15 or more?
I could be wrong.

Because I've had doubts about the miami (OH) game and Oregon st. all along.

**pavyracer** · 12-03-10, 10:15 PM

One of the losses in the 15-2 run was on a +14 point spread. Looks like we should omit these plays in future weeks since it doesn't work well and stick to the numbers 3, 7 and 10.

**richyrich8478** · 12-03-10, 10:26 PM

i agree with most of these but not all... nice work though... looks like you know some things bout college football...

**The Seer** · 12-03-10, 10:27 PM

Pavy, I hope you've got Fresno here.

**pavyracer** · 12-03-10, 10:30 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

Pavy, I hope you've got Fresno here.

Yes Fresno is the play. If you look at the first post all plays listed should be faded.

**The Seer** · 12-03-10, 10:35 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

Yes Fresno is the play. If you look at the first post all plays listed should be faded.

I saw it. I'm on Fresno +6 1/2 & a half unit on the ML. I've been waiting a few days hoping it would get back to 7 though.

**Pete0** · 12-04-10, 01:20 AM

right.

pavyracer, on a side note, i love your avatar !

who is she ?

**Extra Innings** · 12-04-10, 01:41 AM

Sharp Thread!

**Jimb0311** · 12-04-10, 02:02 AM

So you're saying take the opposite of the favorites?

**manny24** · 12-04-10, 08:46 AM

Originally posted by Jimb0311

So you're saying take the opposite of the favorites?

common man snap the fukk out of it.

**canepole** · 12-04-10, 08:59 AM

whats the picks today>

**pavyracer** · 12-04-10, 09:34 AM

Originally posted by manny24

common man snap the fukk out of it.

Some people have no business in gambling. I am making this so complicated for people to understand.

**pavyracer** · 12-04-10, 09:37 AM

Originally posted by Pete0

right.

pavyracer, on a side note, i love your avatar !

who is she ?

google this "alexandratou"

**mcbaseball10** · 12-04-10, 09:38 AM

Originally posted by pavyracer

Some people have no business in gambling. I am making this so complicated for people to understand.

So is your trap thread a trap to get us to think that we should bet the side you are showing or a trap that we should bet the opposite only if we buy the 1/2 point or if the line moves in the opposite direction of what you posted. I'm confused Pavy.

**pavyracer** · 12-04-10, 09:48 AM

Originally posted by mcbaseball10

So is your trap thread a trap to get us to think that we should bet the side you are showing or a trap that we should bet the opposite only if we buy the 1/2 point or if the line moves in the opposite direction of what you posted. I'm confused Pavy.

Pavy's 101 Opening Line Trap System:

1. Go to sbrlines.com
2. Click NCAA Football
3. Look under Opener (this is the opening line)
4a. If the line is -3.5 bet the fav
4b. If the line is +2.5 bet the dog
4c. If the line is -7.5 or -8 bet the fav
4d. If the line is +6.5 bet the dog

I'm not looking at current lines, line movements or closing lines. I can't recall an instance where getting a different line than opening line affected the play. Most times dogs win outright and favs cover.

**borednaz** · 12-04-10, 10:08 AM

Bol on today pavy.

**mcbaseball10** · 12-04-10, 10:17 AM

Originally posted by pavyracer

Pavy's 101 Opening Line Trap System: 1. Go to sbrlines.com 2. Click NCAA Football 3. Look under Opener (this is the opening line) 4a. If the line is -3.5 bet the fav 4b. If the line is +2.5 bet the dog 4c. If the line is -7.5 or -8 bet the fav 4d. If the line is +6.5 bet the dog I'm not looking at current lines, line movements or closing lines. I can't recall an instance where getting a different line than opening line affected the play. Most times dogs win outright and favs cover.

Put on your sarcasm detector Pavy.

**Rod1010** · 12-04-10, 10:18 AM

hes right

**pavyracer** · 12-04-10, 10:47 AM

Originally posted by mcbaseball10

Put on your sarcasm detector Pavy.

I knew your post was sarcastic. Was trying to help all others who ask questions or PM me all the time about how I pick the plays.

**mcbaseball10** · 12-04-10, 10:55 AM

**Holdin Aces** · 12-04-10, 11:05 AM

Pavy, according to SBR live odds Oklahoma opened at -2.5 and UCF opened at -8.

**docvinny** · 12-04-10, 11:14 AM

good picks so far

**Extra Innings** · 12-04-10, 12:52 PM

Pavy....I bit into the South Florida trap

**Pete0** · 12-04-10, 01:01 PM

Originally posted by Extra Innings

Pavy....I bit into the South Florida trap

lol, stick to those plays

i'm doubtful about oregon st. trap,
but rest of them are very strong plays

**dolphinvann** · 12-04-10, 01:07 PM

Gambling 101: Don't be a homer, don't bet your team man.

**pavyracer** · 12-04-10, 01:20 PM

Originally posted by Holdin Aces

Pavy, according to SBR live odds Oklahoma opened at -2.5 and UCF opened at -8.

This is a screenshot:

**The Seer** · 12-04-10, 01:24 PM

Originally posted by Extra Innings

Pavy....I bit into the South Florida trap

EI, I hope you know SF is real banged up and not sure about the QB situation. PLus, they are coming off an emotional win over Miami last game.

**White Rhino** · 12-04-10, 01:34 PM

the crapple cup line is now -4 at my book. I can't believe people like wsu in this game.

**Extra Innings** · 12-04-10, 02:08 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

EI, I hope you know SF is real banged up and not sure about the QB situation. PLus, they are coming off an emotional win over Miami last game.

Just fading what I think looks good. I am also on South Carolina. I look at that Auburn line and I say to myself "too good to be true"....I'm not afraid to lose

**The Seer** · 12-04-10, 02:14 PM

Originally posted by Extra Innings

Just fading what I think looks good. I am also on South Carolina. I look at that Auburn line and I say to myself "too good to be true"....I'm not afraid to lose

I'm on SC as well

**Pete0** · 12-04-10, 03:00 PM

that SMU QB is the worst ass fker i've seen in a long time

**The Seer** · 12-04-10, 10:53 PM

Paver, have you tracked the NFL?

**FrozenMAN** · 12-04-10, 11:08 PM

FIRE RON ZOOK ASAP....we gave that game away with stupidity with tavon wilson once again being a typical idiot and hitting guys late and costing us after we held em and were gonna get the ball back w 4 to play.....plus dimke missed a FG which he never does and zook pusses out and petrino called 2 awful plays when we were on the 2 and had to settle for a FG instead of the TD..then the WAC officials royally screwed us with that 4th down spot for fresno which shoulda gave us the ball back, they tried to F us just like they did to Wisky a few years back, but they got a late TD to make the screwjob fall a bit short......though in the end this game never shoulda came down to what decided it, we shoulda rolled em.....

**hhsilver** · 12-05-10, 01:48 AM

another good day, pavy. Maybe before you publish and sell this , you could name it something other than 'trap'. Or maybe if you continue with such success, the betting world will redefine 'trap' and have to come up with a new word for what will have been formerly known as trap.