Jimmy the greek says

**jimmythegreek** · 11-26-10, 05:39 PM

TCU -43.5 over New Mexico:
Style points can be critical these days for college football's four remaining unbeatens, and TCU didn't earn too many after having to sweat out a five-point win in its latest game. Facing New Mexico should provide a perfect platform for a more comfortable margin. The fourth-ranked Horned Frogs get their last chance to make a compelling BCS statement Saturday in Albuquerque, where they'll try to complete an unbeaten regular season against the six-touchdown underdog Lobos.

TCU (11-0, 7-0 Mountain West) inserted itself as a serious contender in the BCS championship discussion with a 47-7 whitewashing at then-No. 6 Utah on Nov. 6, but a week later, that win almost became an afterthought. The Utes lost 28-3 at Notre Dame - devaluing TCU's signature win - and the Horned Frogs themselves nearly followed their big victory with disaster Nov. 13. Despite piling up 27 first downs to San Diego State's seven, TCU still needed to hang on in the closing minutes for a 40-35 victory.

It'll almost certainly take a loss by Oregon or Auburn to give Boise State or TCU a shot at the title game, but the Broncos - currently fourth in the BCS while the Horned Frogs are third - might wind up being first in line. Boise State beat Fresno State 51-0 while TCU was idle last week, and a Friday game at No. 19 Nevada gives it another chance to impress. The Horned Frogs, who can clinch their second consecutive outright Mountain West title, are 43 1/2-point favorites against New Mexico (1-10, 1-6). Even a huge margin of victory, however, won't offset the hit their strength of schedule will take by facing one of the worst teams in the FBS.

There's little reason to believe the Lobos can hang with the Horned Frogs, though they might be a good judge of who's worthy of playing in the BCS championship game after opening their season at Oregon. New Mexico lost 72-0 as it was outgained 720-107. The other ranked opponent it faced was Utah on Sept. 18, when it lost 56-14. The Lobos' offense averages just 278.1 yards per game - 118th in the nation - and that doesn't bode well against the Horned Frogs' defense, which is No. 1 against the pass (134.6 ypg) and overall (223.2).

The Lobos are tied for sixth in the nation with 28 turnovers, and that's what cost them any chance of winning Saturday at BYU. The Lobos turned the ball over four times - twice on interceptions by freshman Stump Godfrey - in a 40-7 loss. Despite New Mexico not exactly striking fear in the Horned Frogs, TCU probably will make sure it goes full throttle against the Lobos. And that includes Wesley, who has been hurt since the Nov. 6 Utah game. If he doesn't get a lot of playing time, that could lead to nearly two months of no significant game time between the Utah game and whatever bowl TCU plays in. TCU second stringers -- Seeing whether or not they play at all will be interesting. It's likely the game will be out of reach by halftime, but can TCU's reserves really be put in the game when the Horned Frogs need every bit of help they can get to sneak into the BCS national championship game? Resting starters even in a blowout might not be an option this week.

What you're going to see tomorrow is a hungry TCU team showing absolutely no mercy, especially if either Auburn or Oregon has their hands full in big games tonight which could open the door to the BCS title game if one of those undefeateds should fall. If you're skeptical of laying such a huge number, here are two things to consider. Northern Illinois, one of my earlier selections tonight, won by a final of 71-3 over Eastern Michigan. Seocndly and more improtantly, a TCU blowout will give me my 7th win of favorites 20 points or better out of 9 total picks all season. Like Dan Fouts said, can't stop now nor hold anything back. Horned Frogs by half a century. Best of luck however you play!

**Dank_Fire** · 11-26-10, 05:57 PM

Opa!!!

**jimmythegreek** · 11-28-10, 02:29 AM

TCU rolls by 49 improving my Saturday best bets mark to 11-3 for 79% overall this season including 8-2 (80%) on teams favored by 20 or more! Back up with some NFL on Sunday as the incredible ride continues!