Pros & Cons of betting ML's in basketball when the lines is less or equal to 6.5

[pavyracer]

Everyone has been burned by a small line of -4.5 or +5.5 when the other team made a shot or hit a FT as time expired. Because of the way the game is played if a team is up between 3 and 6 points in the last minute it becomes a fouling game where the team ahead is getting fouled and send to FT.

Are you in favor of betting ML's for fav or dog when the line is less or equal to 6.5?

Lets discuss.

[Reload]

I tend to stick with the pointspreads or a mix of both. Money line betting can be good as long as you do enough spreading out to balance out the swings/variance. I tend to zero in on only a few plays per week, so pointspread is the way I'll go to have consistent units on each bet.

[harlee71]

I asked a simular question before and I think the consensus was it just depends on the value. For me it is around -4.5 for the ML after that value diminishes rapidly. These NBA games could go either way most of the time. To much to lose on the ML for me when the spread get above 4.5 usually. I will play a dog more often than a fav in the 4.5 to 7pt range, ML wise that is.

A lot also depends on my take of the game and the two teams. I know I am not better than the line setters, but there are times when the line moves I think I am better than public perception of the game or teams.