Bet I made with my buddy...

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  • GiveMeaBJ
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-08-09
    • 8449

    #1
    Bet I made with my buddy...
    He is giving me 8 to 1 odds. My $400 to win his $3,200. He says over 500 plays I can't win over $3,000 making 150 plays risking $50-$0, 150 plays risking $50-$75, 150 plays risking $75-$150, and 50 plays risking $150-$250.

    I think given my odds it is worth it to try. Not only is it a fun little challenge for myself but to me I truly feel like I can do it. We are documenting on the SBR spreadsheets as we determined it is the easiest and quickest way to track.




    138 more plays risking $50 or less.
    150 more plays risking $51-$75.
    150 more plays risking $76-$150.
    50 more plays risking $151-$250.

    What do you guys think? Worth the odds I am getting?>
  • HotStreak
    SBR MVP
    • 05-12-09
    • 3235

    #2
    500 plays. 300 of them risking $75 or less, and you have to win $3000. I think 8 to 1 was a good price for him. Not many people will come out ahead after 500 plays. I would need 20 to 1 to give this a try, and I'd still be an underdog.

    That's because i generally suck at picking, but would have fun giving this a try.
    Comment
    • shari91
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-23-10
      • 32661

      #3
      Are there any restrictions with the sports and the odds you can lay? If not, I have a ton of faith you can do this but I do think you got ripped off on the 8-1 somewhat.
      Comment
      • GiveMeaBJ
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-08-09
        • 8449

        #4
        I definitley consider myself getting the worst of it. But really how fast can I make 500 plays? Over that time the $400 I am putting up is more for fun. I was trying to get 12 to 1 out of him but he wouldn't budge off of 6 to 1 for a while and I finally got him to go to 8 to 1. I just really wanted to test myself with a nice bonus if I can do it. Would be $6,200 if I could pull this off.
        Comment
        • GiveMeaBJ
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-08-09
          • 8449

          #5
          Originally posted by shari91
          Are there any restrictions with the sports and the odds you can lay? If not, I have a ton of faith you can do this but I do think you got ripped off on the 8-1 somewhat.
          I can only play:
          NFL
          NCAAF
          NHL
          MLB
          NBA
          NCAA Hoops
          All Lined Pro Tennis Matches
          EPL
          UEFA

          I am not allowed to lay over -200 on any game.
          Comment
          • GiveMeaBJ
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-08-09
            • 8449

            #6
            Comment
            • jayc88
              Restricted User
              • 12-30-07
              • 6785

              #7
              he made a good bet
              Comment
              • hokim
                SBR High Roller
                • 04-08-08
                • 196

                #8
                I believe this is quite probable, simply speaking, if you keep your hitting rate above 56% on -110 or better lines.
                Comment
                • OmgUrMom
                  Restricted User
                  • 02-07-10
                  • 8481

                  #9
                  gl, are you allowed to go past +200 or does it have to between + and - 200?
                  Comment
                  • fedtpels
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 01-08-10
                    • 407

                    #10
                    I would take it given the odds. good exercise in staying focused as well. BOL
                    Comment
                    • GiveMeaBJ
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-08-09
                      • 8449

                      #11
                      Originally posted by OmgUrMom
                      gl, are you allowed to go past +200 or does it have to between + and - 200?
                      Yea anything goes as long as I am not laying -200 or more.
                      Comment
                      • GiveMeaBJ
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-08-09
                        • 8449

                        #12
                        Bang-Bang
                        Comment
                        • GiveMeaBJ
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-08-09
                          • 8449

                          #13
                          Comment
                          • OmgUrMom
                            Restricted User
                            • 02-07-10
                            • 8481

                            #14
                            very nice you are off too a great start
                            Comment
                            • acarmelo1
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-29-09
                              • 6321

                              #15
                              Keep it up like that and the $$ is yours!!!
                              Comment
                              • GiveMeaBJ
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-08-09
                                • 8449

                                #16
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #17
                                  Comment
                                  • GiveMeaBJ
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-08-09
                                    • 8449

                                    #18
                                    Comment
                                    • NY Playa
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-07-10
                                      • 774

                                      #19
                                      thats a lot to follow...good luck
                                      Comment
                                      • acarmelo1
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-29-09
                                        • 6321

                                        #20
                                        amazing!
                                        Comment
                                        • GiveMeaBJ
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-08-09
                                          • 8449

                                          #21
                                          I really hope I can win this. I am right now basing all of my plays off of $30 this way if 1 unit = $30 I certainly think +100 units is doable.
                                          Comment
                                          • GiveMeaBJ
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-08-09
                                            • 8449

                                            #22
                                            Comment
                                            • ejfel01
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 06-17-10
                                              • 301

                                              #23
                                              Your buddy can pack his 3k now... You can do it I feel it.
                                              One thing: you should have kept an option where you or he can buy yourself out of the bet
                                              Comment
                                              • polskboy
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-29-10
                                                • 1688

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ
                                                He is giving me 8 to 1 odds. My $400 to win his $3,200. He says over 500 plays I can't win over $3,000 making 150 plays risking $50-$0, 150 plays risking $50-$75, 150 plays risking $75-$150, and 50 plays risking $150-$250. I think given my odds it is worth it to try. Not only is it a fun little challenge for myself but to me I truly feel like I can do it. We are documenting on the SBR spreadsheets as we determined it is the easiest and quickest way to track. 138 more plays risking $50 or less. 150 more plays risking $51-$75. 150 more plays risking $76-$150. 50 more plays risking $151-$250. What do you guys think? Worth the odds I am getting?>
                                                another bs story "yea you know john i give you 8-1 odds on 500 plays and i bet you you wont win more then 3000 lets put it in writing and pass me that corona light" get the fack out of here with this bs
                                                Comment
                                                • GiveMeaBJ
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 09-08-09
                                                  • 8449

                                                  #25
                                                  Guess you don't have friends that gamble? I work at a card game and you would be surprised at some of the shit we bet on. Who can lose a certain amount of weight, how much the delivery guy will weigh, who can get laid before the other, who can eat 100 chicken nuggets, just anything.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • HotStreak
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-12-09
                                                    • 3235

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ
                                                    Guess you don't have friends that gamble? I work at a card game and you would be surprised at some of the shit we bet on. Who can lose a certain amount of weight, how much the delivery guy will weigh, who can get laid before the other, who can eat 100 chicken nuggets, just anything.

                                                    Poker players will bet on strange shit. Helps break up the boredom of sitting around waiting for pocket aces.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jonmic
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 09-25-06
                                                      • 685

                                                      #27
                                                      good luck man, i definitely think this is possible. better odds would of been nice though
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cankid
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 08-22-08
                                                        • 7227

                                                        #28
                                                        gl really hope you get there
                                                        Comment
                                                        • G's pks
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 01-01-09
                                                          • 22251

                                                          #29
                                                          Opps you have already been deleting/editing picks after the fact...I did a search of your edited deleted picks...and this is just page 1!



                                                          GiveMeaBJ's Spreadsheet Edit Log

                                                          10/02/2010 06:01 PMGiveMeaBJ edited 1 of their picks10/02/2010 03:20 PMGiveMeaBJ edited 1 of their picks10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 0 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 0 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • G's pks
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 01-01-09
                                                            • 22251

                                                            #30
                                                            10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 0 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 0 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 0 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • G's pks
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 01-01-09
                                                              • 22251

                                                              #31
                                                              Yes...spreadsheets cannot be trusted...you have several edited and deleted picks from your spreadsheet during and after games... The only way to really post picks is to post them in a thread like this...before the games and no editing...sorry to embarrass you but there has been a ton of deleting and editing of picks after the fact on your spreadsheet...

                                                              You have tons of them...pages and pages... I just pulled up the last few days...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Boner_18
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 08-24-08
                                                                • 8301

                                                                #32
                                                                Does it count if you don't actually pick the game but past post it?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Johnpoints
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 10-20-09
                                                                  • 314

                                                                  #33
                                                                  G's picks...you're blowing his cover!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Boner_18
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 08-24-08
                                                                    • 8301

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Here is a snapshot of the sheet as of 10:39AM EST on 10/3
                                                                    Attached Files
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RudyRuetigger
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 08-24-10
                                                                      • 65084

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by G's pks
                                                                      Opps you have already been deleting/editing picks after the fact...I did a search of your edited deleted picks...and this is just page 1!



                                                                      GiveMeaBJ's Spreadsheet Edit Log

                                                                      10/02/2010 06:01 PMGiveMeaBJ edited 1 of their picks10/02/2010 03:20 PMGiveMeaBJ edited 1 of their picks10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 0 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 0 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.
                                                                      Originally posted by G's pks
                                                                      10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 0 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 0 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 0 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.10/01/2010 05:29 GiveMeaBJ deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.

                                                                      G'spks buried him

                                                                      Comment
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