My cant lose craps strategy

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  • SBR Lou
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-02-07
    • 37863

    #36
    Originally posted by crazyl
    Not looking good for you John, I think you need a vacation. Those big losses in the market driving you to devise ways to beat the casino now? This isn't a road you want to travel down, trust me on this one.
    You should have listened.

    You didn't, and had to sell your seat.
    Comment
    • Always_Over
      SBR High Roller
      • 11-22-07
      • 167

      #37
      curious
      the devils staircase can eat all your money very quick if you get quick 7's it wipes out all your money on the table
      Comment
      • eyeball
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 08-14-07
        • 988

        #38
        This is how you do it:Go to any table that is 1/2 to 3/4 full..wait till the shooter rolls three points or one point twice, without rolling a seven.

        than make the place bets of 6 and 8 and..ones come bet, and continue as SBR said.

        NOW HERE IS THE WHOLE DEAL

        If the dealer seven;s out than immediately play the dont come and dont pass line. Place the max of two dont come bets.Continue to do this until two DC bets are lost, than immediately switch back to the pass line and come bets. The way this works is that you are switching back an forth until you get a "hot" table either on the Do or DONT. So you dont get caught on one side..works 65% of the time. It works because you dont loose all your money on one side of the table, the table works in streaks.
        Comment
        • Dark Horse
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-14-05
          • 13764

          #39
          Can we have a craps forum? With videos, discussions, theory, etc.

          Intrigued by the possibilities of dice setting. If it's anything like throwing boomerangs, watch out baby!
          Comment
          • fiveteamer
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-14-08
            • 10805

            #40
            D.H., that is a disturbing comment coming from somebody who's made it.

            god bless.
            Comment
            • pico
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-05-07
              • 27321

              #41
              the only winning strategy that i have is to let your girl to go tease one of those lonely dudes, so they'll place a bet for your girl. when she wins, take her money.
              Comment
              • Chi_archie
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-22-08
                • 63165

                #42
                i've never played craps in my life... sounds complicated...

                I think that is prob a good filter test.... if you don't think you'd understand craps... you couldn't have made it
                Comment
                • AgainstAllOdds
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-24-08
                  • 6053

                  #43
                  Craps can be fun....However, I lost BBD and Illusion about $1000 combined when we were at Fremont at the bash.
                  Originally posted by SBR_John
                  AAO = good dude. Buying you a drink in Vegas buddy.
                  Comment
                  • Boner_18
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-24-08
                    • 8301

                    #44
                    I'm a big craps fan.
                    Comment
                    • unknown Gambler
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-11-08
                      • 758

                      #45
                      CRAPS THE JIGABO JONES WAY......WATCH IT ALL!



                      Comment
                      • TLD
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-10-05
                        • 671

                        #46
                        I don’t play craps, and I gladly defer to those much better versed than I in mathematics on this board, but I’ve never bought this notion that taking the odds helps you. I understand that there’s no house edge on that bet, but doesn’t that just mean you’re losing a smaller percentage of a larger amount that ends up equal to what you would have lost anyway?

                        That is, if you compare:

                        1. You make $10 bets against the small house edge, and never back them up with the additional “coin flip” bets with no house edge.

                        2. You make those same $10 bets against the small house edge, but now always back them up fully at 5X with $50 “coin flip” bets.

                        3. Same as #2, but you find a rare casino that allows 1,000,000X bets, so in additional to your $10 bets you always back them up with $10,000,000 “coin flip” bets.

                        Aren’t your mathematical long term expectations exactly the same in these three scenarios? How does adding bets where neither you nor the house has an edge change anything?
                        Comment
                        • curious
                          Restricted User
                          • 07-20-07
                          • 9093

                          #47
                          Originally posted by TLD
                          I don’t play craps, and I gladly defer to those much better versed than I in mathematics on this board, but I’ve never bought this notion that taking the odds helps you. I understand that there’s no house edge on that bet, but doesn’t that just mean you’re losing a smaller percentage of a larger amount that ends up equal to what you would have lost anyway?

                          That is, if you compare:

                          1. You make $10 bets against the small house edge, and never back them up with the additional “coin flip” bets with no house edge.

                          2. You make those same $10 bets against the small house edge, but now always back them up fully at 5X with $50 “coin flip” bets.

                          3. Same as #2, but you find a rare casino that allows 1,000,000X bets, so in additional to your $10 bets you always back them up with $10,000,000 “coin flip” bets.

                          Aren’t your mathematical long term expectations exactly the same in these three scenarios? How does adding bets where neither you nor the house has an edge change anything?
                          Taking odds increases volatility. It does not change the -EV proposition of the game.

                          If you run a simulation of a million trials both not taking odds and taking odds, the EV will be the same in both.

                          I have seen charts where they list the house "edge" as being smaller the higher the odds are but this is a myth. You are putting more money at risk with some of the money bet with the house vig and some of it bet with true odds. The vig is the same. You aren't changing the house edge. I don't know why people believe that nonsense.

                          The best bet on the craps table is the Don't Pass / Don't Come with no odds. The second best bet is the Pass / Come with no odds.

                          Dice is a fun game and you can get on streaks that make you more money faster than anything else I know. YOu can also get on streaks and lose more money faster.

                          Some people say you can beat the long run because you can decide when to quit and you will never reach the number of trials needed to be in the law of large numbers. I have seen a few people who are uncanny in their abiliity to be betting the right trend at the right time. I can't do it.

                          I used to know this dude, he walked up to a table I was playing at, I had been playing the Field all day and didn't have anything to show for it. He walks up, puts $300 on the Field, and parlays it three times and hit the 12 which was 3-1, turned that $300 into $3600, then scooped up his money and walked off.

                          I saw him do things like that all the time.
                          Comment
                          • betplom
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 09-20-06
                            • 13444

                            #48
                            Originally posted by BigBollocks
                            Ignore this fool. He's an obvious malcontent who thinks pointing out typos makes him more intelligent than the next guy. If he's offered one insightful comment on these boards I've yet to see it...
                            +1 Agree completely.
                            Comment
                            • reno cool
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-02-08
                              • 3567

                              #49
                              Your overall payback on all money bet is higher, so give yourself a better chance to win a given amount in the short term. In fact with big enough odds your chances of being up become basically 50-50 indefinitely.
                              bird bird da bird's da word
                              Comment
                              • reno cool
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-02-08
                                • 3567

                                #50
                                Originally posted by Dark Horse
                                Can we have a craps forum? With videos, discussions, theory, etc.

                                Intrigued by the possibilities of dice setting. If it's anything like throwing boomerangs, watch out baby!
                                Did you find out something out recently? For a while some casinos were weary of dice setters. I see very little heat now. I'm guessing they decided it's not doable.
                                I would guess the jury still out, but after seeing the dice tumble in super slow-mo I'm not optimistic under current conditions.
                                bird bird da bird's da word
                                Comment
                                • reno cool
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 07-02-08
                                  • 3567

                                  #51
                                  damn, the guy in the vid is good. Of course you'd have to throw them alot further in the casino, but even that looks impressive. But it depends on the surface.
                                  bird bird da bird's da word
                                  Comment
                                  • MonkeyF0cker
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 06-12-07
                                    • 12144

                                    #52
                                    Reno,

                                    That's why the casinos force you to throw it off the back wall. The back wall has small jagged protrusions to alter the rotation of the dice. They'll warn you for "short-rolling" and then freeroll you on subsequent short rolls, where a 7-out stands but call any numbers as "no rolls." Dice setting is pretty much a thing of the past...
                                    Comment
                                    • reno cool
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-02-08
                                      • 3567

                                      #53
                                      What's your view on it Monkey? Do you think anyone has been able to gain an edge doing it now or in the recent past?
                                      bird bird da bird's da word
                                      Comment
                                      • MonkeyF0cker
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 06-12-07
                                        • 12144

                                        #54
                                        Perhaps in years past. I don't see a way to beat the game currently. I think it's possible that someone has been able to do it in the past. There are some casinos with compact craps tables (like Ellis Island and Wild Wild West) where it is possible. The house rules on those tables are that no dice setting is allowed. However, some of the dice dealers (at Ellis Island at least) don't care and sometimes allow it...
                                        Comment
                                        • reno cool
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-02-08
                                          • 3567

                                          #55
                                          I've noticed many casinos in Laughlin and Mesquite will put up the backboard in the center of the table. This is when it's slow at night and they only have one dealer. I've played these before and gotten no heat for setting, but I only played for small stakes.
                                          bird bird da bird's da word
                                          Comment
                                          • MonkeyF0cker
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 06-12-07
                                            • 12144

                                            #56
                                            Yeah, it'd be possible there too. I would imagine it would take quite a long time to master that art, however. I think the quantity of hours it would take to perfect the art would probably be better spent on something else.
                                            Comment
                                            • Slim
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-13-08
                                              • 4722

                                              #57
                                              When is the cant lose keno strategy coming out?
                                              Comment
                                              • curious
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 07-20-07
                                                • 9093

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by reno cool
                                                damn, the guy in the vid is good. Of course you'd have to throw them alot further in the casino, but even that looks impressive. But it depends on the surface.
                                                Also irrelevent because the conditions that he is rolling the dice under have nothing to do with the conditions in the casino.

                                                Once the dice hit the bumpers you have lost "control" or "influence" or whatever the scam artists are calling it now.

                                                You might be able to get away with short rolling a few times but no one is going to let you do that roll after roll. And I guarantee you that if you had a really big bet out there they are not going to let you do it once.
                                                Comment
                                                • BestPlay2day
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-25-08
                                                  • 5794

                                                  #59
                                                  Problem is the dice must hit the back of the wall so once it hits the wall you lose all control. I accidentally didn't hit the wall before and the guys tell you right away that you must bounce the dice off the wall or you won't be allowed to throw the dice. Playing craps best strategy is make a minimum pass/don't pass bet and back it up with full odds.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • smoke a bowl
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-09-09
                                                    • 2776

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by donjuan
                                                    Call me a stickler, then, but what exactly makes this "stradegy" any better than anything else at craps?
                                                    The difference is that you will less per bet like this than playing craps any other way. You have limited the houses edge as much as possible by doing what sbr John said in his original post. You will still lose longterm, but not at nearly as fast of a rate as you would playing craps any other way (besides doing exactly the same thing with the dont come instead of the come).
                                                    Comment
                                                    • curious
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 07-20-07
                                                      • 9093

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by larrymiller
                                                      Curious=One, Big, Giant Whore
                                                      What the **** is your problem shithead? Show up at the bash and say that to my face. Punk ass mother ****er I will **** you up.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • larrymiller
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 01-20-09
                                                        • 296

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by curious
                                                        What the **** is your problem shithead? Show up at the bash and say that to my face. Punk ass mother ****er I will **** you up.



                                                        Sad Whore
                                                        Comment
                                                        • larrymiller
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 01-20-09
                                                          • 296

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by curious
                                                          What the **** is your problem shithead? Show up at the bash and say that to my face. Punk ass mother ****er I will **** you up.
                                                          Who threatens people over the internet? Seriously?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mr. leisure
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-29-08
                                                            • 17507

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker
                                                            Perhaps in years past. I don't see a way to beat the game currently. I think it's possible that someone has been able to do it in the past. There are some casinos with compact craps tables (like Ellis Island and Wild Wild West) where it is possible. The house rules on those tables are that no dice setting is allowed. However, some of the dice dealers (at Ellis Island at least) don't care and sometimes allow it...
                                                            Harrah`s has one of those short tables in their sportsbook.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • curious
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 07-20-07
                                                              • 9093

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by larrymiller
                                                              Who threatens people over the internet? Seriously?
                                                              I'm not threatening you shithead. My ancestors were Druids. Druids don't make threats they utter prophecies.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TLD
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 12-10-05
                                                                • 671

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by smoke a bowl
                                                                The difference is that you will less per bet like this than playing craps any other way. You have limited the houses edge as much as possible by doing what sbr John said in his original post. You will still lose longterm, but not at nearly as fast of a rate as you would playing craps any other way (besides doing exactly the same thing with the dont come instead of the come).
                                                                I'm still not buying it. (See Post 46.)

                                                                I understand that it's better to put $10 on the initial bet and take odds for $50 than to put the whole $60 on the initial bet. But I don't see that you're slowing your loss rate one iota by putting $10 on the initial bet and taking odds for $50 versus putting $10 on the initial bet and not bothering to take odds at all.

                                                                How can making extra optional bets with no edge either way mean you will lose at not "nearly as fast a rate"? It changes the volatility as Curious says, but I don't see that it helps you at all.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • curious
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 07-20-07
                                                                  • 9093

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by TLD
                                                                  I'm still not buying it. (See Post 46.)

                                                                  I understand that it's better to put $10 on the initial bet and take odds for $50 than to put the whole $60 on the initial bet. But I don't see that you're slowing your loss rate one iota by putting $10 on the initial bet and taking odds for $50 versus putting $10 on the initial bet and not bothering to take odds at all.

                                                                  How can making extra optional bets with no edge either way mean you will lose at not "nearly as fast a rate"? It changes the volatility as Curious says, but I don't see that it helps you at all.
                                                                  You actually set yourself up to lose at a much faster rate, which is the definition of volatility. You also set yourself up to win at a faster rate too.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • unknown Gambler
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-11-08
                                                                    • 758

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by TLD
                                                                    I don’t play craps, and I gladly defer to those much better versed than I in mathematics on this board, but I’ve never bought this notion that taking the odds helps you. I understand that there’s no house edge on that bet, but doesn’t that just mean you’re losing a smaller percentage of a larger amount that ends up equal to what you would have lost anyway?

                                                                    That is, if you compare:

                                                                    1. You make $10 bets against the small house edge, and never back them up with the additional “coin flip” bets with no house edge.

                                                                    2. You make those same $10 bets against the small house edge, but now always back them up fully at 5X with $50 “coin flip” bets.

                                                                    3. Same as #2, but you find a rare casino that allows 1,000,000X bets, so in additional to your $10 bets you always back them up with $10,000,000 “coin flip” bets.

                                                                    Aren’t your mathematical long term expectations exactly the same in these three scenarios? How does adding bets where neither you nor the house has an edge change anything?

                                                                    your casino rating goes up quicker, thats about it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • smoke a bowl
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-09-09
                                                                      • 2776

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by TLD
                                                                      I'm still not buying it. (See Post 46.)

                                                                      I understand that it's better to put $10 on the initial bet and take odds for $50 than to put the whole $60 on the initial bet. But I don't see that you're slowing your loss rate one iota by putting $10 on the initial bet and taking odds for $50 versus putting $10 on the initial bet and not bothering to take odds at all.

                                                                      How can making extra optional bets with no edge either way mean you will lose at not "nearly as fast a rate"? It changes the volatility as Curious says, but I don't see that it helps you at all.
                                                                      No, you are absolutely correct with what you are saying. But you will lose less per dollar bet is all I'm saying, I'm just bad at expressing thoughts into words sometimes.

                                                                      Sidenote: If unknown gambler is right (not sure if he is) then the extra casino rating alone would make it worth playing max odds on your come bets.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • reno cool
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 07-02-08
                                                                        • 3567

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by unknown Gambler
                                                                        your casino rating goes up quicker, thats about it.

                                                                        that might be a good benefit, depending on if they give you credit for odds bet.

                                                                        TLD, don't you see the significance of an overall higher payback?

                                                                        If you have 1k and want to try to run it into 5K, you have a much better chance by betting $10pass+100odds, than betting 110pass or simply 10pass.
                                                                        bird bird da bird's da word
                                                                        Comment
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