Saturday Boxing action: Klitschko/Peter

[Justin7]

Two small plays for me today.

First.. under 9.5 rounds. Wladimir has an 84% KO rate. Peter KOs at 73%. I can't see Peter out-pointing Klitschko. If Peter is going to win, he's going to have to land big shots early and close the deal. He dropped klitschko 3 times in the early rounds the last time they fought, but it still went 12.
UND9.5 rounds -115, to win half a unit

Second... ML is too high. Peter is outclassed but he has a puncher's chance. I would take Peter at +900 or higher, risking 1/10th of a unit.

The fight is in Germany, and will be on ESPN3 at 4:50 EST (and who knows when it will actually start).

[Handjuice]

the under looks good

i was thinking of taking klitscko inside the distance at -201

I don't think Peter has a chance,

Wlad is well aware that his brother was able to stop Peter in 8 rounds, they are pretty competitive from what I hear, so I can see Wlad trying to finish Peter even earlier than his brother did.

[sundin4prez]

when does this fight start?... today? tommorow?...

[Justin7]

Today, 4:50 pm est.

[Handjuice]

when does this fight start?... today? tommorow?...

today, but it's taking place in Germany so it will start during the day if you live in the states.

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

yea Wladimir has had trouble with Sanders, Brewster and Peter, but the last of those fights was Peter in 2005. I think he's learned how to avoid trouble now, and i won't be taking the Peter upset. As for under 9.5 rounds, thats gonna be tough Peter has only been stopped once by Vitali in 8 rounds

[Handjuice]

i'm re-watching the first fight now and the two knockdowns were not even that impressive, they both looked to be caused by fatigue and bad balance more than anything, and for the rest of the fight Wlad basically clowned Peter. I think Wlad inside the distance is the safe bet for this fight.

[illmatick]

correct handjuice...I'm hoping Wladimir bust's up that right eye like Vitali did. could see a corner stoppage

Samuel's best shot might be when he has to break free from the tie-up, his primary success in the first fight was dictated by just that. The most impressive knockdown of the fight came from a semi-illegal blow to the back of Wladimir's head during a sloppy clinch attempt. He'll need to be ultra aggressive anytime Klitschko reaches out at him.

hopefully you don't mind Justin..posting my article here

http://www.sbrforum.com/Betting+Arti...uel-peter.aspxt

[Justin7]

Nice article. Always share this stuff

[phillybadboy]

good luck guys

[phillybadboy]

did the under 9.5 win?

[sundin4prez]

did the under 9.5 win?

nope..... ended in the 10th

[illmatick]

I missed the exact time of the stoppage.

I just bet on the fight not to go the distance...corner should have stopped the fight a round or two earlier, Samuel's corner even told him they were going to stop it either way after the 10th

Right eye swollen completely shut just like I thought

[urge2kill]

1:22 in the 10th.

[Handjuice]

wow that was pretty hard to watch, i respect peter for trying to get the KO at the end there, but christ he really took a pummeling for his trouble, corner should have stopped it a round earlier. Hopefully he hangs them up.

[phillybadboy]

1:22 in the 10th.

so the under 9.5 lost?

[sundin4prez]

so the under 9.5 lost?

yes

[Justin7]

Actually, my under 9.5 won. Per Bodog, 9.5 means ending within 90 seconds of the 10th round.

If the ref had counted Peter out (instead of waving him out), it would have gone over.

Date placed:
Sep 11, 2010 12:49p


Date settled:
Sep 11, 2010 6:15p
Single #184784145 (Placed by Web)
Boxing - Lines (Game) Total
11 September 2010 - Commerzbank-Arena, Frankfurt, Hessen, Germany -IBF/WBO/ IBO Heavyweight Title
Both boxers must answer opening bell for wager to have action. Simply predict whether or not the fight will go over 1 minute and 30 seconds into the 10th round. Singles Only.
(108) Over Rounds vs. (109) Under Rounds Under 9½ (-115) Sat@3:00p


Final Scores
Over Rounds 0
Under Rounds 9

[phillybadboy]

Actually, my under 9.5 won. Per Bodog, 9.5 means ending within 90 seconds of the 10th round. If the ref had counted Peter out (instead of waving him out), it would have gone over. Date placed: Sep 11, 2010 12:49p Date settled: Sep 11, 2010 6:15p Single #184784145 (Placed by Web) Boxing - Lines (Game) Total 11 September 2010 - Commerzbank-Arena, Frankfurt, Hessen, Germany -IBF/WBO/ IBO Heavyweight Title Both boxers must answer opening bell for wager to have action. Simply predict whether or not the fight will go over 1 minute and 30 seconds into the 10th round. Singles Only. (108) Over Rounds vs. (109) Under Rounds Under 9½ (-115) Sat@3:00p Final Scores Over Rounds 0 Under Rounds 9

when did he stop the fight?

[phillybadboy]

nope..... ended in the 10th

dude the 9.5 won i checked youtube the ended 1.38 in the tenth, which means he had 8seconds left before the push or over

[sundin4prez]

dude the 9.5 won i checked youtube the ended 1.38 in the tenth, which means he had 8seconds left before the push or over

sorry, i was wrong...... good win guys

[nosniboR11]

Under is a winner great job

[Chuck Sims]

FRANKFURT, Germany -- Wladimir Klitschko kept this one from going to the scorecards.
Five years after he was knocked down three times in a tough victory over Samuel Peter, the IBF and WBO champion battered and bloodied the Nigerian challenger before finally stopping him with 1:22 left in the 10th round of another dominating performance.

Is ESPN wrong with the end time? They said the fight ended with 1:22 left in the 10th. That would mean 98 seconds into the 10th round.

[phillybadboy]

FRANKFURT, Germany -- Wladimir Klitschko kept this one from going to the scorecards. Five years after he was knocked down three times in a tough victory over Samuel Peter, the IBF and WBO champion battered and bloodied the Nigerian challenger before finally stopping him with 1:22 left in the 10th round of another dominating performance. Is ESPN wrong with the end time? They said the fight ended with 1:22 left in the 10th. That would mean 98 seconds into the 10th round.

no ref stopped it with 1.38 left i checked on youtube

[brumbies]

Wow Justin posting his plays. I think that's the first time I have seen him doing so. How do you go about capping boxing? Math model too?