A guy goes 28-4 (against -110 lines)...

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  • shasso
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-15-08
    • 153

    #36
    Originally posted by Doug
    do you follow him ?
    Where can i follow him?
    Comment
    • curious
      Restricted User
      • 07-20-07
      • 9093

      #37
      Originally posted by donjuan
      I don't think anyone here will shed a tear if you bust your account before meeting the rollover. Luckboxing it up and then asserting that you knew everything there was to know about gambling, among other things, was quite amusing though. Thanks for the laughs.
      I'm glad to see that you speak for the entire forum.

      How could it possibly be any of your ****ing business what I do? Don't remember asserting that I know everything there is to know about gambling. But, this is just another one of your lies. Are you a fag or something? You follow me around from thread to thread posting your bullshit, all lies. Do you have a crush on me? I hate to disappoint you but I have a lovely young girlfriend and I am not gay. So go find a gay playmate somewhere else, I am not interested.

      F-u-c-k you donjuan you ****ing piece of shit.
      Comment
      • donjuan
        SBR MVP
        • 08-29-07
        • 3993

        #38
        As eloquent and articulate as ever.
        Comment
        • BeatTheJerk
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 08-19-07
          • 31794

          #39
          i think every system will fail you evetually , i mean this game we call football basketballl etc, is not an exact science.......... i think certain systems will make you money temporarily but not forever........ i think if you can hop on the ones that are currently working and get off when they go to shiii , that is a smart stragedy to use, kinda like what you would do in the stock market ........ feel me
          Comment
          • donjuan
            SBR MVP
            • 08-29-07
            • 3993

            #40
            No, I don't feel you. Most systems that are "currently working" are just the product of variance. If you call line shopping a system, then that is one that will not fail you eventually.
            Comment
            • BeatTheJerk
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 08-19-07
              • 31794

              #41
              their calling it a system not me ........... get ya facts str8
              Comment
              • donjuan
                SBR MVP
                • 08-29-07
                • 3993

                #42
                I don't think anyone brought up line shopping until I did.
                Comment
                • Doug
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 6324

                  #43
                  Originally posted by shasso
                  Where can i follow him?
                  RX

                  LarryLegend
                  RX Member

                  LarryLegend's Avatar

                  Join Date: Jul 2007
                  Location: ny
                  Posts: 309

                  Default
                  Tuesday Jan 15th
                  One play today

                  G.S - 7.5

                  (Suns would be a play, but they need to be 7 or less. Currently they are -8)
                  Comment
                  • shasso
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 01-15-08
                    • 153

                    #44
                    Hmm, thanks.. I will play it, i like it also, and lets see
                    Comment
                    • avssakic
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-12-07
                      • 1795

                      #45
                      Is this just for...

                      NBA?
                      -110 lines?
                      Any sport?
                      Any sport where the team is -110?

                      Thank you...
                      Comment
                      • Doug
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-10-05
                        • 6324

                        #46
                        I wouldn't attempt it with anything but NBA

                        NFL would have too few games, system doesn't kick in until after 20 games, presumably to make winning percentages more meaningful.

                        MLB would have pitching as too much of a factor

                        NHL has lines that aren't equaled out by pointspreads

                        CFB is a short season

                        CBB doesn't play that many games.
                        Comment
                        • Scorpion
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-04-05
                          • 7797

                          #47
                          Originally Posted by LarryLegend
                          This was the one and only formula I was ever given.

                          I know for bases there is the "paypal" one that was posted earlier this year. From the same guy taht had the NBA chase system.

                          The bases one chased teams that were swept earlier in the year.



                          But this is my (courtesy of Walt) is all I got for now.
                          Doug,

                          Do you know these two systems?
                          Comment
                          • Doug
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-10-05
                            • 6324

                            #48
                            I don't like a chase system, seems it has you betting too large if it gets to a 3rd game ( or whatever). Some seem to well with it in NHL, but its not for me, so I don't know those systems.

                            Larry has produced a record that is unbelievable ( but true), and it's flat betting.
                            Comment
                            • ChuteBoxe
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-21-07
                              • 6885

                              #49
                              I'm very familiar with the chase system above. If you start with a $20,000+ bankroll on the year, it'll work out great. I do use the system, have been for two years, but only as a backup plan to my regular picks. If I ever have a losing year, this makes up for it. If I don't, which has been the case since I started using it, it's extra money in the bank. You can make an extra $500-$1000 a week no problem. It deals with a 3 game out of conference road series.
                              Comment
                              • guitarjosh
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-25-07
                                • 5797

                                #50
                                Larry is now claiming only 3 losses.















                                But as a joke.
                                Comment
                                • Doug
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-10-05
                                  • 6324

                                  #51
                                  His records look fine to me. RX'ers would catch anything questionable. He's 2-2 since he caught my attention.

                                  LarryLegend
                                  RX Member

                                  LarryLegend's Avatar

                                  Join Date: Jul 2007
                                  Location: ny
                                  Posts: 311

                                  Default
                                  Wed Jan 16th

                                  No plays tongiht

                                  Loss last night ytd 28-5-1


                                  (if you can find N.O. at -9.5, then it is a play. but right now i have it ar 10.5)
                                  Comment
                                  • donjuan
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-29-07
                                    • 3993

                                    #52
                                    I'm very familiar with the chase system above. If you start with a $20,000+ bankroll on the year, it'll work out great.
                                    Uh, no. Chase systems=donkey shizz.
                                    Comment
                                    • Doug
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 08-10-05
                                      • 6324

                                      #53
                                      It's a progressive Martingale ( or is it Martindale ?), whatever. It has a point where you bet too much, you rely on not getting there.

                                      I don't mind varying bet size by say 1-5X, but that's about the limit.
                                      Comment
                                      • guitarjosh
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 12-25-07
                                        • 5797

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by Doug
                                        His records look fine to me. RX'ers would catch anything questionable. He's 2-2 since he caught my attention.

                                        LarryLegend
                                        RX Member

                                        LarryLegend's Avatar

                                        Join Date: Jul 2007
                                        Location: ny
                                        Posts: 311

                                        Default
                                        Wed Jan 16th

                                        No plays tongiht

                                        Loss last night ytd 28-5-1


                                        (if you can find N.O. at -9.5, then it is a play. but right now i have it ar 10.5)
                                        I know, that's why I said it was as a joke.
                                        Comment
                                        • Doug
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-10-05
                                          • 6324

                                          #55
                                          thought you meant a joke by Larry !

                                          I don't get L's motive to post it, but its done. I want Ganch to examine it, but he hasn't yet.

                                          I'm no easy sucker to get to follow a system.
                                          Comment
                                          • donjuan
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-29-07
                                            • 3993

                                            #56
                                            It has a point where you bet too much, you rely on not getting there.
                                            The whole point is that you can't magically turn a ton of -ev bets into +ev bets by chasing. If the bets are +ev in the first place you should just bet Kelly (or fractional Kelly as a margin of error).
                                            Comment
                                            • ChuteBoxe
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-21-07
                                              • 6885

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by donjuan
                                              The whole point is that you can't magically turn a ton of -ev bets into +ev bets by chasing. If the bets are +ev in the first place you should just bet Kelly (or fractional Kelly as a margin of error).
                                              Of course Kelly is one of the best money management theories out there for capping. I'm not knocking that. I cap all my own games. However, I do play the chase system in a seperate acct, as extra money, and I've done well with it the past couple years. $9,000 the first year, $16,000 last year, and I'll let ya know what this year comes out to, when the NBA season ends. I'm not saying bet your whole roll on it, or give up capping yourself (i'd hate that, to me it's a fun hobby), but hey, who can't use another 10-15k? If you have a big roll, and an extra $200 or whatever it is now, it's worth checking out. That's all I was sayin.
                                              Comment
                                              • donjuan
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-29-07
                                                • 3993

                                                #58
                                                It's not a long term winner. I'd rather grow my bankroll optimally.
                                                Comment
                                                • Doug
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-10-05
                                                  • 6324

                                                  #59
                                                  Quote:
                                                  Originally Posted by LarryLegend View Post
                                                  Friday Jan 18th

                                                  As of right now there are 4 possible plays

                                                  Det - 9
                                                  Atl + 6.5
                                                  Port - 4.5 if Brandon Roy plays
                                                  Sea + 6 if Chris Wilcox plays (sea is 0-5 without him and 1-1 with him in limited minutes)

                                                  Do not post in here, thanx. I will update later, as well as in the nba forum.

                                                  No injuries that I can find, so all of the above 4 games are plays for today.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 20Four7
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-08-07
                                                    • 6703

                                                    #60
                                                    I go away, get to the hotel and the net is down, now I get the net and find out the plays. It doesn't look like he had a good night 1-3 as I already bet the raps and the blazers. I don't know if the two guys listed as must play did play.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Doug
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-10-05
                                                      • 6324

                                                      #61
                                                      when Larry makes it a play, it's official for record purposes. He won't say it doesn't count because somebody didn't start.

                                                      The system has lost since I noticed him at 26-3-1, I think its gone 3-5 since then.
                                                      Comment
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