requested by BigOrangeTitans
1:30 pm Vanderbilt @ Kentucky (Rupp Arena)
Kentucky:
6-7
2-7-1 ats
6-4 home
0/u 7-3
Vanderbilt:
16-0
8-7 ats
2-0 away
0/u 11-4
trend: vandy has won 4 in a row in the series, but all by 5 or less.
consensus: too early
well we all know kentucky is down again this season. Looking over their schedule you'd be lying to yourself if you said they've really had one stand out performance all year long. If you want to know why this team has been outclassed, badly, by every big school they've played, look no further than the ft line. kentucky has been allowing teams to shoot 10, 15, 20 more fts than them in all their big games. Houston, uab, unc, louisville, and indiana all had huge fta advantages over kentucky. what does that tell you? this team cant play defense, they just arent all that atheltic. the wildcats have a decent fg% defense, but they cant keep players from getting position on them and that gets them killed game in and game out. health has been an issue for kentucky this season and they claim to be nearing 100% but four cats - Joe Crawford (foot), Jodie Meeks (hip), Derrick Jasper (knee/toe) and Michael Porter (back) - all missed practice time this week and are the equivalent of questionable for Saturday's game according to catpause.com.
Vanderbilt comes into Rupp with a very young team and its tough to predict how some of the freshman will start out vs the 24 thousand screaming fans in blue. This team has had a couple tests this season, but they havent seen anything like what they'll see on Saturday in Kentucky. The key for the commodores will be 6-10 c Andrew Ogilvy who was one of the nations top recruits and will give kentucky a huge matchup problem down low. The wildcats will likely have to double him which leaves open shots for the best 3 point shooting team in the nation. if they want to take their chances 1 on 1 with Ogilvy they'll likely lose 75% of those battles. if they opt for some zone, again, The Commodores are well coached and will find open looks from long range. Vandy is coming off a conference win that saw them shoot poorly, but still figure out a way to get the win. playing on the road will be much different, but i think the teams confidence, post presense, and ability to knock down the 3 give them an advatage here. Not to mention the fact that if the trend continues, and kentucky puts their opposition on the line all day, Vandy is a very good ft shooting team.
it seems vegas wants us to take Vandy, and i'll take them up on their offer.
my play:
Vanderbilt +1
1:30 pm Vanderbilt @ Kentucky (Rupp Arena)
Kentucky:
6-7
2-7-1 ats
6-4 home
0/u 7-3
Vanderbilt:
16-0
8-7 ats
2-0 away
0/u 11-4
trend: vandy has won 4 in a row in the series, but all by 5 or less.
consensus: too early
well we all know kentucky is down again this season. Looking over their schedule you'd be lying to yourself if you said they've really had one stand out performance all year long. If you want to know why this team has been outclassed, badly, by every big school they've played, look no further than the ft line. kentucky has been allowing teams to shoot 10, 15, 20 more fts than them in all their big games. Houston, uab, unc, louisville, and indiana all had huge fta advantages over kentucky. what does that tell you? this team cant play defense, they just arent all that atheltic. the wildcats have a decent fg% defense, but they cant keep players from getting position on them and that gets them killed game in and game out. health has been an issue for kentucky this season and they claim to be nearing 100% but four cats - Joe Crawford (foot), Jodie Meeks (hip), Derrick Jasper (knee/toe) and Michael Porter (back) - all missed practice time this week and are the equivalent of questionable for Saturday's game according to catpause.com.
Vanderbilt comes into Rupp with a very young team and its tough to predict how some of the freshman will start out vs the 24 thousand screaming fans in blue. This team has had a couple tests this season, but they havent seen anything like what they'll see on Saturday in Kentucky. The key for the commodores will be 6-10 c Andrew Ogilvy who was one of the nations top recruits and will give kentucky a huge matchup problem down low. The wildcats will likely have to double him which leaves open shots for the best 3 point shooting team in the nation. if they want to take their chances 1 on 1 with Ogilvy they'll likely lose 75% of those battles. if they opt for some zone, again, The Commodores are well coached and will find open looks from long range. Vandy is coming off a conference win that saw them shoot poorly, but still figure out a way to get the win. playing on the road will be much different, but i think the teams confidence, post presense, and ability to knock down the 3 give them an advatage here. Not to mention the fact that if the trend continues, and kentucky puts their opposition on the line all day, Vandy is a very good ft shooting team.
it seems vegas wants us to take Vandy, and i'll take them up on their offer.
my play:
Vanderbilt +1
