Taking the day OFF from Gambling

jjgold · 09-05-10, 08:49 AM

Brock good move, your showing signs of a guy that wants to stay in the game a long time.

str · 09-05-10, 08:52 AM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

Yesterday was a fukking wild rollercoaster, thanks to some nice late games, and almost a cover by Wisky, a push was better than a loss, i ONLY lost a little over 1500 for the day. It was setup to be a burial if LSU Lost outright, or Wisky didn't at least push the 20 points.

Need a day off, and most probably could use it. Went in too hard and heavy for the 1st big saturdya of the season, its a marathon, not a sprint for sure.

Heading to Indiana Beach in Monticello, Indiana for the day with the family and folks, dinner in Lafayette at Mountain Jacks steakhouse afterward. Relax and kick back on this LONG weekend boys.

The lines at the ** windows will be 15 deep in places this week proceeding the start of the NFL.

JJGOLD, relax pal, we will get back that Missouri loss on Monday night!

Watch those suicide rates boys, its a LONG season ahead of us

Salud!

Good for you Brock,
It is a long season.Take a deep breath.You will be fine.I am rooting for you.

dbnmln · 09-05-10, 08:54 AM

i sucked it up yesterday myself and i'm on a tight budget with the wife. Anyone want throw a sbr point my way.

minet123 · 09-05-10, 09:06 AM

Go to a meeting
share
sit in the back, usually the newcomers in the back have great insight for upcoming weekends card

Iceman · 09-05-10, 09:11 AM

Made 26 bets yesterday (small for a cfb card) and coming back with at least another dozen today. It's a grind but one must bet small enough to almost not feel it.

milwaukee mike · 09-05-10, 09:34 AM

unless you're scalping or bonus whoring there is no reason to make 26 bets in a day
no way are there that many great opportunities out there imho

just take 100% bonuses and bet against yourself, you'll make a few hundred/week in easy money without having to "grind"

jjgold · 09-05-10, 09:35 AM

I love action

I would go into a depression today if I did not bet

I live for Sundays and betting

coloradobuff · 09-05-10, 10:59 AM

its all about discipline

stevek173 · 09-05-10, 11:05 AM

It's good to take a breather Landers

Personally I don't think you end up laying off today when all is said and done.

Hats off though.

B1GER1C828 · 09-05-10, 11:05 AM

go to the driving range today Brock...enjoy.

rake922 · 09-05-10, 11:11 AM

Originally posted by milwaukee mike

unless you're scalping or bonus whoring there is no reason to make 26 bets in a day
no way are there that many great opportunities out there imho

just take 100% bonuses and bet against yourself, you'll make a few hundred/week in easy money without having to "grind"

100% bonuses ? WHERE

obamaismyuncle · 09-05-10, 11:14 AM

So Brock you said you came into football this year with a bankroll of $8,500 and lost $4,500 of it on Missouri..leaving $4,000 left, do you have the whole 4k left on Va Tech tommorrow night?

tanner40 · 09-05-10, 11:19 AM

Great post Brock

Nicky Santoro · 09-05-10, 11:27 AM

i find taking days off is the best thing you can do in gambling.. you come back refreshed and you have a clearer mind.. it's like you're refueling.. go enjoy your day off brocker. take the mrs out for a nice rack of ribs and have a couple of beers too.. you will feel more relaxed and not stressed from these games..

when you come back, you will feel like a kid again and like it's the 1st day of school.

Shonner · 09-05-10, 11:31 AM

Originally posted by Iceman

Made 26 bets yesterday (small for a cfb card) and coming back with at least another dozen today. It's a grind but one must bet small enough to almost not feel it.

Why do you bet so many games? More games = more juice in my opinion. But everyone has different theories. Curious to hear yours.

Nicky Santoro · 09-05-10, 11:36 AM

Originally posted by Shonner

Why do you bet so many games? More games = more juice in my opinion. But everyone has different theories. Curious to hear yours.

Here is your answer.. it's in post #5 and post #8.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/647185-can-some-one-explain-nicky-where-ya.html

Iceman · 09-05-10, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by Shonner

Why do you bet so many games? More games = more juice in my opinion. But everyone has different theories. Curious to hear yours.

This is probably the biggest misconception in sports betting. A +ev bettor makes (hopefully) a high majority of +ev plays. In fact for every $100 I bet, I hope (and usually) I return $102. So if someone gave you odds like that wouldn't you bet it all day long.

The famous coin flip question: If someone offered you $51 dollars every time you flip a coin and it lands on heads and you piad them $50 every time it landed on tails. How many times would you flip before ending this? Hopefully your answer is you would flip this coin under till eternity under those conditions. If you have an edge on each indiviual play/flip (and you do with the above scenario) then you should try and take advantage of it. Look at each bet/flip on it's own and the answer is pretty simple.

Good luck!!

Haven't ready Nicky's response yet but pretty sure it's solid and explains it even better then mine.

Shonner · 09-05-10, 01:27 PM

Originally posted by Iceman

This is probably the biggest misconception in sports betting. A +ev bettor makes (hopefully) a high majority of +ev plays. In fact for every $100 I bet, I hope (and usually) I return $102. So if someone gave you odds like that wouldn't you bet it all day long.

The famous coin flip question: If someone offered you $51 dollars every time you flip a coin and it lands on heads and you piad them $50 every time it landed on tails. How many times would you flip before ending this? Hopefully your answer is you would flip this coin under till eternity under those conditions. If you have an edge on each indiviual play/flip (and you do with the above scenario) then you should try and take advantage of it. Look at each bet/flip on it's own and the answer is pretty simple.

Good luck!!

Haven't ready Nicky's response yet but pretty sure it's solid and explains it even better then mine.

I understand your viewpoint but respectfully disagree. I just feel like based on my views of games there aren't 10-20 plays I like a day and consider to be +EV. I think it's quite insane but we all have different theories and both have arguments. I have seen people make money with both styles.

B1GER1C828 · 09-05-10, 01:34 PM

Originally posted by Shonner

I understand your viewpoint but respectfully disagree. I just feel like based on my views of games there aren't 10-20 plays I like a day and consider to be +EV. I think it's quite insane but we all have different theories and both have arguments. I have seen people make money with both styles.

its not so much a "viewpoint" as it is a fact. If you can beat the closing line on 40 plays, then you should bet those 40 plays as you'll be + long run. Of course some people bet 1 game a day and hope that hits, but its all about value.

Iceman · 09-05-10, 01:52 PM

Originally posted by B1GER1C828

its not so much a "viewpoint" as it is a fact. If you can beat the closing line on 40 plays, then you should bet those 40 plays as you'll be + long run. Of course some people bet 1 game a day and hope that hits, but its all about value.

That is 100% correct. This sums it all up. Couldn't have said it better myself. Thanks!!!

As for not finding 20 finding plays, it all depends, when and where you are looking. If you are spending 15 minutes a day at 2 books than no way but if it's a your full time job and you are using 20 books then its not that hard, espeically when you start digging into other smaller markets like team totals, openers, 1st and 2nd halfs, quarters, etc... Actaully average close to 20 plays a day currently and am down from aroudn 25ish a few years ago. Would love to get back up there but seems to be harder finding things these days for whatever reason.

Deuce · 09-05-10, 01:57 PM

1500 points ain't bad. Better than cash that should go to your boys college fund.

jjgold · 09-05-10, 01:59 PM

Brock has to be fukking dying without a bet today. I say he sneaks one in later.

statnerds · 09-05-10, 02:42 PM

taking a day off....WTF?!?

look, if you are serious about beating this thing Brock you can't take one fukkin day off. you need to be out of your bed finding those few games or plays a day that are +EV, i don't care how small the edge is. i made over 30 bets today. got one big play today

ECU +8.5

shit, forgot that one. make it 31

oops, forgot just added SMU +11.5 +103. so 32. Brock, if you are making the right plays, ie +EV, then there is no reason to take a day, especially following a losing day. did you lose cause you fukked up or were they long term +EV wagers that just went against you in an unlucky fashion? so if you were right yesterday in finding an edge, there is no reason to stop looking for that same edge today. your long term record doesn't know if you took a day off or not.

so over the course of a few thousands bets, missing a few today shouldn't and probably will not matter, just thought i'd offer a different take.

unless you are making -EV bets, then by all means take a few days off. not too many though, I need someone to balance the action and keep the opportunities there for my wagers.

GL buddy

B1GER1C828 · 09-05-10, 02:52 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Brock has to be fukking dying without a bet today. I say he sneaks one in later.

lol 100% agree. hes prob itching all over as if he was having withdrawals. Needs the action after yest, but if he can hold off then good for him.

MJFtheGenius · 09-05-10, 02:57 PM

Good move Brock

Everyone at SBR was just too amped up for football

we were doomed fromt he start

B1GER1C828 · 09-05-10, 02:59 PM

Originally posted by MJFtheGenius

Good move Brock Everyone at SBR was just too amped up for football we were doomed fromt he start

lol so true. I 100% blame JJ for this though. Videos he made got peoples blood flowing. Not a bad thing what JJ did, but it led to a bad thing(people getting buried).

jjgold · 09-05-10, 03:37 PM

Never give up

BeatTheJerk · 09-05-10, 03:50 PM

Yeah real hard to take a day off like this .................. lol small card. Not impressed !

Brock Landers · 09-05-10, 09:55 PM

Originally posted by obamaismyuncle

So Brock you said you came into football this year with a bankroll of $8,500 and lost $4,500 of it on Missouri..leaving $4,000 left, do you have the whole 4k left on Va Tech tommorrow night?

i don't even want to begin and try to figure out your monkey math.

Just back from a long day at Indiana beach, dinner at mountain jack's in Lafayette and a long day in the sun, had a blast, no action and loved it.

RUBBERBAND PLAY tomorrow night on VIRGINIA TECH ML!

jjgold · 09-05-10, 10:09 PM

Brock this is why you do not take days off

B1GER1C828 · 09-05-10, 10:57 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Brock this is why you do not take days off

there it is JJ 7-1 thattaboy

sharper2 · 09-05-10, 10:58 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Brock this is why you do not take days off

Very nice day

Albert Pujols · 09-05-10, 11:12 PM

Originally posted by statnerds

taking a day off....WTF?!?

look, if you are serious about beating this thing Brock you can't take one fukkin day off. you need to be out of your bed finding those few games or plays a day that are +EV, i don't care how small the edge is. i made over 30 bets today. got one big play today

ECU +8.5

shit, forgot that one. make it 31

oops, forgot just added SMU +11.5 +103. so 32. Brock, if you are making the right plays, ie +EV, then there is no reason to take a day, especially following a losing day. did you lose cause you fukked up or were they long term +EV wagers that just went against you in an unlucky fashion? so if you were right yesterday in finding an edge, there is no reason to stop looking for that same edge today. your long term record doesn't know if you took a day off or not.

so over the course of a few thousands bets, missing a few today shouldn't and probably will not matter, just thought i'd offer a different take.

unless you are making -EV bets, then by all means take a few days off. not too many though, I need someone to balance the action and keep the opportunities there for my wagers.

GL buddy

Edge? Brock is a degenerate gambler of the worst kind. Edge and +EV......that's funny shit.

mtneer1212 · 09-05-10, 11:15 PM

Nice day! Way to go!