How many games to you bet per day?

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  • eyeball
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-14-07
    • 988

    #1
    How many games to you bet per day?
    I read somewhere that the more games you bet like 5-8 per day gives you a better chance of winning. But I was thinking that the juice would kill you. I know that you should only bet the games you think you have an edge. But are you better off being very selective?
  • BigBollocks
    SBR MVP
    • 06-11-06
    • 2045

    #2
    I bet as many or as few plays per day as I feel that I have an advantage on. I'm willing to play 30 plays if I feel I have the edge in that many contests, or sit an entire day out if I spot no value. I have no mininum and maximum preset games. GL...
    Comment
    • onlooker
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-10-05
      • 36572

      #3
      Originally posted by BigBollocks
      I bet as many or as few plays per day as I feel that I have an advantage on. I'm willing to play 30 plays if I feel I have the edge in that many contests, or sit an entire day out if I spot no value. I have no mininum and maximum preset games. GL...


      Just this past Thursday I had 11 college basketball bets, and today I only have 2. So it varies from day to day.
      Comment
      • 2Pac
        SBR MVP
        • 12-12-07
        • 1474

        #4
        As many as possible.

        Pretty much depends on when I wake up.

        I usually bet the next game, no matter what.

        If I'm drinking, I always bet, albeit a smaller amount.

        I've bet up to 20 games in a day on some Saturdays.
        Comment
        • accuscoresucks
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-03-07
          • 7160

          #5
          all my picks are simulation,and stat based.any bet that says i have over a 55% shot at i take.if i have more bets than average going i will adjust down the % on each wager not because i do not think i will win,i just think its the smart thing to do.
          i really do not want more than 8% of my bankroll at risk any given day,if i have 6 bets on a given day then i will bet about 6%,bankroll,if i have 20 bets riding i only use 8% divided up
          gl
          Comment
          • 2Pac
            SBR MVP
            • 12-12-07
            • 1474

            #6
            accuscore - how do you do overall? I'm interested in your simulations. Computer or gaming platform like xbox?

            And, does your name refer to the same Accuscore that ESPN uses? I think it's espn, maybe it is sportsline. I havent tracked that thing, but apparently it sucks!
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179

              #7
              I bet 1-2 the most
              Comment
              • raiders72002
                SBR MVP
                • 03-06-07
                • 3368

                #8
                What BB said
                Comment
                • remmy358
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-18-07
                  • 2199

                  #9
                  more games = more juice = harder to win
                  Comment
                  • accuscoresucks
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-03-07
                    • 7160

                    #10
                    example 2pac [tonite] utah@portland/without getting into to much
                    1.first thing i do is run 3 simulations,from 3 diffrent programs pro anaylizer from accuscore,foxsheets platinum,and the geeks trusty simms from tr..
                    2.i look at the simms results it indicates by how much a team is suppose to win by, and their ranking #[in this EXAMPLE simms says portland by 1 point,utah#13/portland#11] i compare that with lines at my books like wsex,matchbook,ect.
                    3.something catches my eye when the lines come out. utah +3.5 not exactly great value but worth jotting it down.
                    4.i look at mainly offensive stats.points for,points against,ranking,rebounds,scoring opportunitys,ect,ect[exp. utah 104ppg/portland 96 ppg]wow so utah scores more,and all the other stats are very comparible to favorible.
                    5.basically everything has to click for it to be finalized as a pick,underdog or a favorite.my pick has to meet certain criteria,and hold value or its a no go
                    in the case above utah, had value by +.5 point so i bought +1.5 which i do not most of the time.
                    BUT here is the diff if i normally bet $100 because utah it not full value i will buy the points making it utah +5 while only risking $50
                    pac this shit is hard to explain.all i can say is follow my pics in the nba section and you can get a guidline on how i cap
                    Comment
                    • Louisvillekid1
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-17-07
                      • 52143

                      #11
                      Originally posted by accuscoresucks
                      and the geeks trusty simms from tr..

                      What are u referring to?
                      Comment
                      • accuscoresucks
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-03-07
                        • 7160

                        #12
                        The #1 site for objective sports predictions, rankings, and stats. Offers picks, odds and tools for NFL, NBA, MLB, college football and college basketball.
                        Comment
                        • marke4
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 11-27-06
                          • 193

                          #13
                          I try to bet every game that is on TV, and maybe 2-3 more.
                          Comment
                          • 69882000
                            Restricted User
                            • 03-05-08
                            • 935

                            #14
                            All of them. I find I have to have action on every game in play that day or I won't make even the minimum profit.
                            Comment
                            • SBR Lou
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-02-07
                              • 37863

                              #15
                              Whatever my edge dictates.

                              Which would be 0, so the reality is I bet however many I feel like.
                              Comment
                              • diogee
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-11-08
                                • 19477

                                #16
                                I play every game that I feel I have an edge in...mainly NBA and usually between 4 and 8 plays per day.
                                Comment
                                • thezbar
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-29-06
                                  • 6421

                                  #17
                                  As a general rule one game a day when I'm playing sports. You only need one winner to make money. Too many games = the vig eating you up in the long run.
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388179

                                    #18
                                    Bookies dream are guys that bet

                                    Bookies nightmare are guys that spot bet
                                    Comment
                                    • diogee
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-11-08
                                      • 19477

                                      #19
                                      Phuck spot betting JJ
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by remmy358
                                        more games = more juice = harder to win

                                        Not if all plays have +EV.
                                        Comment
                                        • Arnold
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 12-17-07
                                          • 906

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by thezbar
                                          As a general rule one game a day when I'm playing sports. You only need one winner to make money. Too many games = the vig eating you up in the long run.
                                          So the longer you bet, the more you lose?
                                          Comment
                                          • DukeJohn
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-29-07
                                            • 1779

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by crazyl
                                            Whatever my edge dictates.

                                            Which would be 0, so the reality is I bet however many I feel like.
                                            LOL crazyl

                                            If I am making a play for the day it is usually between 1-3 picks. I do not bet everyday, only when factors favor my picks. I am extremely disciplined when it come to placing bets.
                                            Comment
                                            • jjgold
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 07-20-05
                                              • 388179

                                              #23
                                              Duke that is why you hold your own
                                              Comment
                                              • flyingillini
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 41219

                                                #24
                                                about 7-10 a night
                                                המוסד‎
                                                המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                                                Comment
                                                • thezbar
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-29-06
                                                  • 6421

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Arnold
                                                  So the longer you bet, the more you lose?
                                                  A better way of stating these would be" The more games I play the greater the vig tab would be in the long run". Profit or loss is determined by % of winners, Money management and decision making. I've spoken to numerous bookies over the years and they all love the high volume player. "Its the churning of $ that is my bread and butter. In combination with balanced action I can't lose"one local told me.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Arnold
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 12-17-07
                                                    • 906

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by thezbar
                                                    A better way of stating these would be" The more games I play the greater the vig tab would be in the long run". Profit or loss is determined by % of winners, Money management and decision making. I've spoken to numerous bookies over the years and they all love the high volume player. "Its the churning of $ that is my bread and butter. In combination with balanced action I can't lose"one local told me.
                                                    I still don't understand what you're trying to say. Are you saying that the more games you bet, the more you will lose in long-term, given that you pick more winners than losers?

                                                    It is always better to bet as many games as you can if you're a winning bettor. 55% over 1000 games is better than 80% over 100 games.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • twtb19
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 12-08-07
                                                      • 553

                                                      #27
                                                      I used to bet a lot more and lose more, lately after being part of **'s best bet thread it has helped me single out my best few bets and only bet on those. I have been more successful as a result.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • diogee
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-11-08
                                                        • 19477

                                                        #28
                                                        I agree with Arnold...betting more games is an advantage to the player IF the player has a decent winning % while 1 play a day is an advantage to someone that can identify one solid play per day but does not pick a high % of winners playing multiple games per day.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • thezbar
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 08-29-06
                                                          • 6421

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Arnold
                                                          I still don't understand what you're trying to say. Are you saying that the more games you bet, the more you will lose in long-term, given that you pick more winners than losers?

                                                          It is always better to bet as many games as you can if you're a winning bettor. 55% over 1000 games is better than 80% over 100 games.
                                                          I'm not that skilled in sports betting to isolate that many games worthy of financial involvement. Of course if you can pick more winners than losers you should be able to make a profit. The break even point that covers the vig I think is 52.6%.From what I've read given the same % of winners you are better off with a smaller amount of plays when your ratio of winners to losers is near that break even point.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Arnold
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 12-17-07
                                                            • 906

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by thezbar
                                                            you are better off with a smaller amount of plays when your ratio of winners to losers is near that break even point.
                                                            You are better off with 0 plays if you're < than break-even point.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Kellen
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-19-08
                                                              • 3484

                                                              #31
                                                              During Basketball season, I usually have 10-12 bets between NBA and college. Baseball, about 5-7. NFL, about 2-3 a week. College FB, 3-5 a weekend.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Kellen
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-19-08
                                                                • 3484

                                                                #32
                                                                JJ says I bet too many games.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • diogee
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-11-08
                                                                  • 19477

                                                                  #33
                                                                  JJ is wrong Kellen
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • thezbar
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 08-29-06
                                                                    • 6421

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Arnold
                                                                    You are better off with 0 plays if you're < than break-even point.


                                                                    Point well taken. However since this Is March Madness Month allow the villiage idiot to have some fun.
                                                                    One other reason I choice to limit my number of games played is it reduces the chances of being involved in a random result at the end of a game. This is especially true for basketball were the winning side can be determined by a silly foul at the end of a game or a decision to dibble out the final half minute or pad the scoring line with that last shot of the game. If I'm involved in ten games a night this can effect the bottom line. Yes I could get lucky but the emotional toll is not worth it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • diogee
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-11-08
                                                                      • 19477

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Looks like I ended up with 12 NBA plays today...8 for the game and 4 2H plays.
                                                                      Comment
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