I read somewhere that the more games you bet like 5-8 per day gives you a better chance of winning. But I was thinking that the juice would kill you. I know that you should only bet the games you think you have an edge. But are you better off being very selective?
How many games to you bet per day?
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eyeballSBR Wise Guy
- 08-14-07
- 988
#1How many games to you bet per day?Tags: None -
BigBollocksSBR MVP
- 06-11-06
- 2045
#2I bet as many or as few plays per day as I feel that I have an advantage on. I'm willing to play 30 plays if I feel I have the edge in that many contests, or sit an entire day out if I spot no value. I have no mininum and maximum preset games. GL...Comment -
onlookerBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 08-10-05
- 36572
#3
Just this past Thursday I had 11 college basketball bets, and today I only have 2. So it varies from day to day.Comment -
2PacSBR MVP
- 12-12-07
- 1474
#4As many as possible.
Pretty much depends on when I wake up.
I usually bet the next game, no matter what.
If I'm drinking, I always bet, albeit a smaller amount.
I've bet up to 20 games in a day on some Saturdays.Comment -
accuscoresucksSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-03-07
- 7160
#5all my picks are simulation,and stat based.any bet that says i have over a 55% shot at i take.if i have more bets than average going i will adjust down the % on each wager not because i do not think i will win,i just think its the smart thing to do.
i really do not want more than 8% of my bankroll at risk any given day,if i have 6 bets on a given day then i will bet about 6%,bankroll,if i have 20 bets riding i only use 8% divided up
glComment -
2PacSBR MVP
- 12-12-07
- 1474
#6accuscore - how do you do overall? I'm interested in your simulations. Computer or gaming platform like xbox?
And, does your name refer to the same Accuscore that ESPN uses? I think it's espn, maybe it is sportsline. I havent tracked that thing, but apparently it sucks!Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#7I bet 1-2 the mostComment -
raiders72002SBR MVP
- 03-06-07
- 3368
#8What BB saidComment -
remmy358SBR MVP
- 07-18-07
- 2199
#9more games = more juice = harder to winComment -
accuscoresucksSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-03-07
- 7160
#10example 2pac [tonite] utah@portland/without getting into to much
1.first thing i do is run 3 simulations,from 3 diffrent programs pro anaylizer from accuscore,foxsheets platinum,and the geeks trusty simms from tr..
2.i look at the simms results it indicates by how much a team is suppose to win by, and their ranking #[in this EXAMPLE simms says portland by 1 point,utah#13/portland#11] i compare that with lines at my books like wsex,matchbook,ect.
3.something catches my eye when the lines come out. utah +3.5 not exactly great value but worth jotting it down.
4.i look at mainly offensive stats.points for,points against,ranking,rebounds,scoring opportunitys,ect,ect[exp. utah 104ppg/portland 96 ppg]wow so utah scores more,and all the other stats are very comparible to favorible.
5.basically everything has to click for it to be finalized as a pick,underdog or a favorite.my pick has to meet certain criteria,and hold value or its a no go
in the case above utah, had value by +.5 point so i bought +1.5 which i do not most of the time.
BUT here is the diff if i normally bet $100 because utah it not full value i will buy the points making it utah +5 while only risking $50
pac this shit is hard to explain.all i can say is follow my pics in the nba section and you can get a guidline on how i cap
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marke4SBR High Roller
- 11-27-06
- 193
#13I try to bet every game that is on TV, and maybe 2-3 more.Comment -
69882000Restricted User
- 03-05-08
- 935
#14All of them. I find I have to have action on every game in play that day or I won't make even the minimum profit.Comment -
SBR LouBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 08-02-07
- 37863
#15Whatever my edge dictates.
Which would be 0, so the reality is I bet however many I feel like.Comment -
diogeeSBR Posting Legend
- 01-11-08
- 19477
#16I play every game that I feel I have an edge in...mainly NBA and usually between 4 and 8 plays per day.Comment -
thezbarSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-29-06
- 6421
#17As a general rule one game a day when I'm playing sports. You only need one winner to make money. Too many games = the vig eating you up in the long run.Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#18Bookies dream are guys that bet
Bookies nightmare are guys that spot betComment -
diogeeSBR Posting Legend
- 01-11-08
- 19477
#19Phuck spot betting JJComment -
DukeJohnSBR MVP
- 12-29-07
- 1779
#22
If I am making a play for the day it is usually between 1-3 picks. I do not bet everyday, only when factors favor my picks. I am extremely disciplined when it come to placing bets.Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#23Duke that is why you hold your ownComment -
flyingilliniSBR Aristocracy
- 12-06-06
- 41219
#24about 7-10 a nightהמוסד
המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים
Comment -
thezbarSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-29-06
- 6421
#25A better way of stating these would be" The more games I play the greater the vig tab would be in the long run". Profit or loss is determined by % of winners, Money management and decision making. I've spoken to numerous bookies over the years and they all love the high volume player. "Its the churning of $ that is my bread and butter. In combination with balanced action I can't lose"one local told me.Comment -
ArnoldSBR Wise Guy
- 12-17-07
- 906
#26A better way of stating these would be" The more games I play the greater the vig tab would be in the long run". Profit or loss is determined by % of winners, Money management and decision making. I've spoken to numerous bookies over the years and they all love the high volume player. "Its the churning of $ that is my bread and butter. In combination with balanced action I can't lose"one local told me.
It is always better to bet as many games as you can if you're a winning bettor. 55% over 1000 games is better than 80% over 100 games.Comment -
twtb19SBR Wise Guy
- 12-08-07
- 553
#27I used to bet a lot more and lose more, lately after being part of **'s best bet thread it has helped me single out my best few bets and only bet on those. I have been more successful as a result.Comment -
diogeeSBR Posting Legend
- 01-11-08
- 19477
#28I agree with Arnold...betting more games is an advantage to the player IF the player has a decent winning % while 1 play a day is an advantage to someone that can identify one solid play per day but does not pick a high % of winners playing multiple games per day.Comment -
thezbarSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-29-06
- 6421
#29I still don't understand what you're trying to say. Are you saying that the more games you bet, the more you will lose in long-term, given that you pick more winners than losers?
It is always better to bet as many games as you can if you're a winning bettor. 55% over 1000 games is better than 80% over 100 games.Comment -
KellenSBR MVP
- 01-19-08
- 3484
#31During Basketball season, I usually have 10-12 bets between NBA and college. Baseball, about 5-7. NFL, about 2-3 a week. College FB, 3-5 a weekend.Comment -
KellenSBR MVP
- 01-19-08
- 3484
#32JJ says I bet too many games.Comment -
diogeeSBR Posting Legend
- 01-11-08
- 19477
#33JJ is wrong KellenComment -
thezbarSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-29-06
- 6421
#34
Point well taken. However since this Is March Madness Month allow the villiage idiot to have some fun.
One other reason I choice to limit my number of games played is it reduces the chances of being involved in a random result at the end of a game. This is especially true for basketball were the winning side can be determined by a silly foul at the end of a game or a decision to dibble out the final half minute or pad the scoring line with that last shot of the game. If I'm involved in ten games a night this can effect the bottom line. Yes I could get lucky but the emotional toll is not worth it.Comment -
diogeeSBR Posting Legend
- 01-11-08
- 19477
#35Looks like I ended up with 12 NBA plays today...8 for the game and 4 2H plays.Comment
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