Guys my Lock of the Year!

donjuan · 12-20-07, 12:28 AM

that is all fine for you, but a win is a win. I have won 58% of my NBA plays this year. That is solid, you are trying to bash me because I won a close one, so what who cares I won just as much money as if the hawks would have won by 80.

You don't understand what I'm saying. Re-read please.

You are overthinking things, I use to get caught into that crunching down numbers and , just keep it real when you bet. Just watch as many games as you can and you will know who to bet majority of the time.

I'll take my 4.5% ROI over my last 1100 bets, thanks.

durito · 12-20-07, 12:29 AM

Originally posted by MJFtheGenius

You are overthinking things, I use to get caught into that crunching down numbers and shit, just keep it real when you bet. Just watch as many games as you can and you will know who to bet majority of the time.

MJFtheGenius · 12-20-07, 12:31 AM

Originally posted by donjuan

You don't understand what I'm saying. Re-read please.

I'll take my 4.5% ROI over my last 1100 bets, thanks.

I really don't understand what your saying

MJFtheGenius · 12-20-07, 12:33 AM

Originally posted by durito

ok, laugh all you want, but it works. It worked last year and it is working this year. Watching games is the best way to handicap. Alot of people on this forum like durito are want-to-be sharps, i don't know you dunjun that much so I'm not talking about you. Your just an assholewho took the heat and is blaming it on me that you lost

4FUN.AND$$ · 12-20-07, 12:38 AM

These idiots posting "locks" are just looking for attention. If they had a real pick they would post the info in an orderly fashion instead of being ignorant and posting "locks". Post the info on why you think the play is a "lock" then we can all make a decision based on facts.

MJFtheGenius · 12-20-07, 12:38 AM

...by the way anyone who has played the sport knows numbers or dumb trends don't mean nothing, because it's never the same exact matchups, trends are just a coincidence unless it is a certain team vs team matchup

durito · 12-20-07, 12:59 AM

Originally posted by MJFtheGenius

ok, laugh all you want, but it works. It worked last year and it is working this year. Watching games is the best way to handicap.

I will put up as much money as you'd like to bet that you can't hit 57% of your next 100 NBA bets.

...by the way anyone who has played the sport knows numbers or dumb trends don't mean nothing, because it's never the same exact matchups, trends are just a coincidence unless it is a certain team vs team matchup

Professional athletes are notoriously bad gamblers. Your statement is also completely ridiculous.

betplom · 12-20-07, 01:32 AM

Originally posted by durito

Professional athletes are notoriously bad gamblers.

I would have used the term "handicapper's" instead of "gamblers", but I agree with the theory.

donjuan · 12-20-07, 01:42 AM

I really don't understand what your saying

I'll try to put it in a more sporting context. Let's say a book was offering the horrendous odds of Texas Rangers -20.5 +10000 against the Baltimore Orioles on August 22nd and you took this bet. The Rangers won this game 30-3. Does that make it the right bet?

Hint: If your answer is yes, I hope you win a Darwin Award in the coming months.

...by the way anyone who has played the sport knows numbers or dumb trends don't mean nothing,

Well trends don't mean anything but you are correct in saying numbers do mean something.

Your just an assholewho took the heat and is blaming it on me that you lost

Lol. I had a small bet on Hawks ML tonight.

HedgeHog · 12-20-07, 10:13 AM

BG3: Tough beat. Overtime cost you a win on the small dog.

HG: Good call on the Under in Orl/Hou.

jjgold · 12-20-07, 03:11 PM

I bet Hawks mainly because Shaq is done and Miami plays with no fire anymore.

pavyracer · 12-20-07, 03:45 PM

Lock = Fade

HedgeHog · 12-20-07, 04:00 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

Lock = Fade

Agree; touting a lock is the kiss of death. Locks probably hit in the 46-49% range, depending on the loser giving them.

MJFtheGenius · 12-20-07, 04:54 PM

Originally posted by durito

I will put up as much money as you'd like to bet that you can't hit 57% of your next 100 NBA bets.

Professional athletes are notoriously bad gamblers. Your statement is also completely ridiculous.

I am not a pro athelte, never said anything about pro athletes gambling, I said i played the game just not at that level.

I am not sure why you even started making fun of me if I had the hawks, in fact you are an idiot to take Hawks ML, why not just take the -1? If you tought it was going to be a close one why even play it like you said. Now you are contradicting yourself.

Why would I bet more moeny with you on games I am already betting, it doesn't make any sense. I don't have an agenda on this forum for my own stats, you are just mad because you spend so much time on gambling but still dont win.

donjuan · 12-20-07, 05:29 PM

I am not sure why you even started making fun of me if I had the hawks, in fact you are an idiot to take Hawks ML, why not just take the -1? If you tought it was going to be a close one why even play it like you said. Now you are contradicting yourself.

I think you are confusing Durito with me (must be the CU connection). But I'll answer this part. Idiot to take Hawks ML when I could get -1? It all depends on what the ML was compared to the spread. Have a look at Ganch's half point calculator so you don't look like such a retard in the future.

MJFtheGenius · 12-20-07, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by donjuan

I think you are confusing Durito with me (must be the CU connection). But I'll answer this part. Idiot to take Hawks ML when I could get -1? It all depends on what the ML was compared to the spread. Have a look at Ganch's half point calculator so you don't look like such a retard in the future.

Does not matter because you still contradicting yourself by first telling me the hawks was a bad win because it was so close. If if you played the hawks according to your theory you should only play because it will be an easy win, so no reason to pay the extra tax on it.

To sumit up for you there is not math or formula that will keep you winning, if there was everyone would do it. Good luck to you in the future, sounds to me like you have a rough life.

donjuan · 12-20-07, 11:57 PM

Does not matter because you still contradicting yourself by first telling me the hawks was a bad win because it was so close. If if you played the hawks according to your theory you should only play because it will be an easy win, so no reason to pay the extra tax on it.

Care to show me where I said it was a bad win because it was close? It's apparent you have the reading comprehension of the average 5 year old.

If if you played the hawks according to your theory you should only play because it will be an easy win, so no reason to pay the extra tax on it.

WTF? Someone please tell me this is a joke or a poor attempt at irony.

To sumit up for you there is not math or formula that will keep you winning, if there was everyone would do it.

LOL. It just keeps getting better. Math is what wins in all forms of gambling. People don't "do it" because most of the population is math-averse and even those who aren't math-averse often still don't get it.

MJFtheGenius · 12-21-07, 12:14 AM

nah man you did say it, you said it was only a 20% chance I would win a close game like that. Dr Bob is a genius at math, how is it working for him this year?

Dont tell me what people know or dont know, who the fuk you think you are?

DrunkenLullaby · 12-21-07, 01:17 AM

Guys, keep in mind that without all the "Genius"es that we have on these boards, the books would be out of business.

Now, carry on....

MJFtheGenius · 12-21-07, 01:22 AM

Originally posted by DrunkenLullaby

Guys, keep in mind that without all the "Genius"es that we have on these boards, the books would be out of business.

Now, carry on....

if you say so

MJFtheGenius · 12-21-07, 01:24 AM

drunken dude, I did have plays posted on this nights NBA games, checkit out see how I did, posted in jjgold nba plays int he players forum.

your just a sore loser cause you spend all that time looking at stats and still lose!!!!!!!!

DrunkenLullaby · 12-21-07, 02:07 AM

Nah, I'm just a sore loser because I wasted precious seconds of my life learning that the contraction for you+are is "you're", when it was truly an unnecessary thing to learn. Damn, I'm bitter.

donjuan · 12-21-07, 12:17 PM

nah man you did say it, you said it was only a 20% chance I would win a close game like that. Dr Bob is a genius at math, how is it working for him this year?

Where did I say you only had a 20% chance? You're going to have to provide specific quotes here rather than blind statements.

The best example you can come up with is Dr Bob? Seriously? Someone who is over 54% over the last 5 years? Please tell me you haven't had children yet.