Strange game
Cold weather, who we on?
Cold weather, who we on?
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Most guys here think they're meteorologists and are hedging their bets.
Oh no there will be wind. Pats will run 45 times and Brady will only pass 15 times at most. In fact, the wind will be so powerful no persons under 70 lbs will be admitted because they may be blown onto the playing field.
Pats are last leg of a few teases, playing some quarters, spreading it around big time on this one.Comment -
I think the Pats will blow them out after what happened last week.Comment -
I'm thinking of Baltimore and the under, BIG. I'm near Baltimore and it's windy as hell. I don't see any passing game at all under these conditions. Ravens can easily shut down the run if there's no passing threat. Do the Patriots even have a rushing game?Comment -
Guys do not pound the under. You are falling into the trap here. New England 38 : Baltimore 13Comment -
Crazy, I just don't think you realize how bad the wind is here. It's BAD.Comment -
I am on NE 1st Q & 3rd Q. -4 & -4.5 respectively..
Also the over 10 for both of those quarters.
Then I have them as last leg at -13.5 in some teases. And I also have money down on the side. This will be a huge night if they take care of business.Comment -
I am going with RavensComment -
i have to agree jj im approaching small 10% of a regular unit teased
baltimore +26
blt/ne under 54
New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens View Predictions
Based on a point spread of New England -20, analysis at default settings shows New England as the favorite to win the game, with win odds of 83.7% and an expected margin of 12.2 points. Similar games analysis indicates New England as the slight favorite to cover the Vegas point spread with 55.8% cover odds.
Notes from the Nerds: Until New England's power ratings and spreads come down to earth, predictions for their games carry very low confidence levels. The largest spread for an away team in our historical data set is -16 (Patriots at Buffalo this year), and there are only about 10 cases of away teams favored by 10 points or more. Also, for an explanation of the seemingly counter-intuitive predictions here regarding expected win margin and cover odds, please see the notes of previous weeks.Comment -
I agree with crazyl here. For starters, I have NE -13 closing out Round Robin teasers with Houston (+10.5) and Cleveland (+8). Both are fairly large wagers that could get me out of the hole. Also, thanks to waiting until the last minute, I now have NE at -18.5 (though I am waiting to see if I get -18... If it swings to 19, I'll pounce before it can get back up to 20). I also have NE at -12 teased with the Under of 53, though to complete a 4 team teaser I made before last night's game I need NE -13 and the over of 42. Personally, I think we get a 35-10 type game here. I'll probably hit up the first and third quarters also, and already laid a small sum on the Pats first half line of -12.
I'd love to hear some Baltimore backers opinions on the following:
1)How on earth will Baltimore score more than 14? Defensive and Special Teams better play absolutely lights out and better notch a score and another short field or two. I'm sure they'll try to grind McGahee and hit Mason for his typical 11 yard outs, at least until they're down by 24 or so. Then again, I'm looking through square-ass shades on this one
or so it seems
2) How will Baltimore hold New England to fewer than 31? I know the answer to this question is inextricably linked to the hypothetical answer to the first question, but it seems to me that Ravens backers are relying on what was once a premier ball-hawking defense to somehow find the "answer" that it may have once held. I think ravens backers will feel damn good about the game after watching Ray Lewis's pre-game routine, dancing around like he's going to kill somebody (oh wait, considering he MAY have killed somebody, that's inappropriate, huh?). Anyway, after NE hangs that first easy TD on Baltimore and Kyle Boller marches onto the field, I can't even imagine the dread that some of you will be experiencing.
Then again, if I eat those words, so be it.Comment -
This should be in the NFL forum, please move.Comment -
your a real ballbuster hedgehogComment
