Nice Middle Alert

[Rich Boy]

5Dimes has

LAA Over 4 -120
LAA Under 4 +100

Bookmaker has

LAA Over 4.5 -125
LAA Under 4.5 -105

Take 5dimes O4 and Bookmaker U4.5 for a nice middle opportunity

[Fishhead]

Hate to break the sad news to you, but that is NOT a middle.

[Chi_archie]

nice work


not exactly a true middle though, as a push on the over is the best you can hope for

[Mr Windy City]

lmao, ummmmm I would say that this would be a pretty stupid wager. How is this nice middle opportunity? If they score 4 you push on over wager and win under wager. If they score 5 you win over bet but lose under bet......There is no middle here pal.

[Mr Windy City]

Hate to break the sad news to you, but that is NOT a middle.

LOL. My thoughts exactly. Kids these days.....

[sickler]

Need 3.5 for the middle opportunity, not 4.

[mathdotcom]

Polishmiddle.com

[Chi_archie]

at least he limited his potential losses to a minimum...... and I guess you can work on that rollover a bit

lol

[ZetaPsi808]

Rich boy is right.

first i think there is a decent enough chance (estimated 15%) that the angels score exactly 4 runs tonight. that is how we hit the jackpot here.

5D LAA Over 4 -120
BM LAA Under 4.5 -105

we push the over bet and win the under bet. a push and a win is a nice profit

[Mr Windy City]

lol richboy realized that there was no middle and now he wont respond in his own thread.

[Mr Windy City]

Polishmiddle.com

[Rich Boy]

Who cares what its called, its a profitable wager.

[Rich Boy]

Unlike you morons, I actually contribute to this forum, although I dont know why...

[Mr Windy City]

Unlike you morons, I actually contribute to this forum, although I dont know why...

ACTUALLY.

Every single poster that replied to your thread contributes greatly to this forum.

Fishhead
Chi Archie
Mathdotcom
ZetaPsi

Don't be a sour apple bitter bitch now that we called out your supposed "middle"

[sharpcat]

This is a profitable middle if the angels total lands exactly on 4 8% of the time or better

[Rich Boy]

According to my numbers the push probability of 4 is ~11%

Keep in mind Its from a relatively small sample, if someone knows the true value from a historical database it would be nice to share.

[d2bets]

Looks good. The naysayers here just don't understand math.

[Mr Windy City]

Looks good. The naysayers here just don't understand math.

We are not naysayers just pointing out the obvious that this is not a true middle opportunity.

[sharpcat]

According to my numbers the push probability of 4 is ~11%

Keep in mind Its from a relatively small sample, if someone knows the true value from a historical database it would be nice to share.

I would accept that # considering that the half point calculator shows that probability of a total score of 5 through 13 all have a push frequency of 7-12% obviously the even #'s have a lower push frequency than odd numbers.

[THE PROFIT]

This looks like a great time to do some teaching then, instead of ridiculing. All of us are not experienced middlers & scalpers like Fishhead

[sharpcat]

We are not naysayers just pointing out the obvious that this is not a true middle opportunity.

depends if you are just looking for arb scenarios or if you are a value bettor, if you are a value bettor this is a play and it is in fact a middle. Value betting would be taking a bet that has a 1 in 10 shot at winning when you are being offered odds of 15-1

[Rich Boy]

Dont try explaining it to him, Sharpie.

Mr Windy City Douchebag is too fkn retarded to understand how to win at this game.

He would rather lay -200 on the Cubs at home and call himself a sharp bettor.

[Mr Windy City]

Dont try explaining it to him, Sharpie. Mr Windy City Douchebag is too fkn retarded to understand how to win at this game. He would rather lay -200 on the Cubs at home and call himself a sharp bettor.

LMAO. Ok if that's what you think that's fine. Never laid -200 on the Cubs in my life. And better yet, I dont even give a **** about the Cubs. Try again, son.

[Fishhead]

LMAO. Ok if that's what you think that's fine. Never laid -200 on the Cubs in my life. And better yet, I dont even give a **** about the Cubs. Try again, son.

[pico]

you better hope for halos score exact 4 runs

[Mr Windy City]

Not sure why you got all pissy at me buddy. Just trying to point out the obvious that this is not a middle opportunity. Dont get your panties in a bunch. If you are truly playing both of these and praying for a push on one to win the other more power to ya, but in my eyes it's just not worth the risk. The probability of you winning on both sides is prolly around what? 10%

That's fine though you can call me a douche, but I know I don't have my money wagered on a prayer that a team scores exactly 4 runs. Just stupid. GL!

[durito]

Hate to break the sad news to you, but that is NOT a middle.

What's the push % on 4 shithead?

[Extra Innings]

[sharpcat]

What's the push % on 4 shithead?

This is the question that you need to ask before concluding that this is not a middle.

You would be risking $13 to win $100 so you would be getting roughly 7.5-1 on your money therefore you would need the angels push probability on 4 to be 12% to break even, any thing better than that would make this a profitable play.

[JoeVig]

I get the sense people don't like Polski here.

[Mr Windy City]

I get the sense people don't like Polski here.

Who does anywhere?

[JoeVig]

Who does anywhere?

I'm not going to pay -120 and -105 to do it, but have I taken one before, yes. Has it paid, yes.

[Mr Windy City]

Rich boy must have meant he was going with the middle on Angles hits.....LMAO

[Mr Windy City]

So let's see. You laid 20 and 25% respectively. Angels didn't even get 4 HITS and you lose both plus the vig. Next time show some respect and you will get it back. I think some of us vets were just trying to help the kid out. This is just a bad bet. Get 'em next time.

[Rich Boy]

You have got to be the dumbest person on this forum.

Almost 90% of the time I would not profit on this bet, you think im surprised I lost?

What an idiot.