my biggest bet tomorrow.

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  • fightingwarrior
    Restricted User
    • 05-06-10
    • 7818

    #1
    my biggest bet tomorrow.
    rays vs houston



    jess niemann 3-0


    8 starts so far 3 wins 0 losses but lets look beyond this and look into is way of pitching


    here are the facts on this pitcher.


    he hasnt gave up a home run in his last 4 games.


    he has pitched atleast 6inn in every game so far this season except for his first game.so you can expect him to go atleast 6 inn tomorrow.


    he hasnt gave up more than 3 runs this season.


    he pitches 85-110 pitches per game expect 90-110 tomorrow.


    his era is impressive at 2.54


    his 3 wins came on the road so he knows how to win on the road.



    so pitching report for tampa bay is something like this.



    jeff will throw atleast 6inn pitched they have a full and ready bullpen since they didnt use but 1 guy on friday for 3 outs.





    now for houston

    wandy rodriguez 2-5 4.30 era


    he has 8 starts as well

    here are the facts


    last 3 games


    6.2 inn

    6inn

    3.2 inn


    he has only had 2 7 inn games this season

    he has a lower pitch count than jess for rays as he throws between


    80-100 pitches.


    he has a low walk rate as he only gives up 2 walks also only 1 home run in the last 3 games.


    wandy tends to give up alot of hits in his short performances.


    now the batting



    tampa is 8-2 in there last 10 games

    astros 4-6


    rays are 2nd in baseball in batting what happend friday who knows but will it happen 2 nights in a row.my guess is rays will put up some runs.


    astros on the other hand are worse team in baseball batting.so my guess is jeff will continue dominating.


    the keys of the game are simple for both teams imo


    rays need to get long at bats and force wandy to throw.he gives up alot of runs and he isnt good under pressue if you ask me.


    as for rays pitching i cant say theres nothing wrong with it.


    the key is batting.if the rays can bat good early they can win the game easily.if they cant bat good early than we can see a repeat of what happend a low scoring game and houston winning.



    my guess is simple im expecting jeff to pitch atleast 6 inn with 1 -2 runs giving up maybe less.


    rays on the other hand will need to bat and play smart baseball.


    1 key thing and many dont factor this in is the fact the d.l isnt batting for the rays and the pitcher has to bat.it effects the rays batting as we seen.i can see adjustments being made for tomorrow.



    im honestly expecting a blow out tomorrow by the rays.i expect them to get there bats going and a solid pitching performace.


    tomorrow i will make my largest bet of the season on the rays.i hope most of you tail or follow.good luck everyone.


    if there is a stat i missed out and you think its important for me to know about the astros might winning please let me know.


    i just think the rays will play really hard and find them selfs in the win coloum again.

  • fightingwarrior
    Restricted User
    • 05-06-10
    • 7818

    #2
    i swear if rays lose tomorrow ill laugh.what scares me is im thinking rays will get swept.this might be a vegas buster if your playing a progessive thing like im doing.



    i just figured the rays would win 1 game out of 3 games.what are the odds of them losing the next 2 with there pitching the way it is.



    im expecting the bats to be swinging and making wandy pitch alot of pitches.hopefully he will start off with a 15-20 pitch inn.
    Comment
    • Kav
      SBR MVP
      • 02-25-09
      • 3281

      #3
      i dont understand how the fukk the rays lost today, i swear i have been having the worst luck in baseball the last 4 days...


      they had a runner in scoring position i think it was 7-8/9 innings today against shit myers.
      Comment
      • fightingwarrior
        Restricted User
        • 05-06-10
        • 7818

        #4
        i saw many chances by both teams to be honest.was a low scoring game.i lost a little on rays today and plan to progress it tomorrow.seems logical since i doubt they will lose 3 in a row to astros.


        hey kav do you like wandy or know anything about him



        i was looking at his stats he looks bad but some friends told me he is astros starter is this true.
        Comment
        • fightingwarrior
          Restricted User
          • 05-06-10
          • 7818

          #5
          the first inn is the most important part of tomorrows game for me.if wandy can pitch 20 plus pitches first inn ill be happy.if he pitches 10-15 ill be sad.


          the key is to get long pitch counts and make him draw walks.
          Comment
          • 2daBank
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-26-09
            • 88966

            #6
            i thought about chasing the rays this series but just didnt want any part tonight, think i will hit them up 2marro
            Comment
            • fightingwarrior
              Restricted User
              • 05-06-10
              • 7818

              #7
              wandy has a low walk rate so rays need to address the fact he throws strikes alot.they also need to try and force walks more than 2 for the game.



              even if rays can get to there bullpen i have to look into there bullpen as i dont know how good it is.im hoping wandy goes less than 5inn tomorrow.gives up atleast 4-6 early hits and gets a monster pitch count.
              Comment
              • INVEGA MAN
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-30-08
                • 6785

                #8
                i am going to bet them too
                Comment
                • fightingwarrior
                  Restricted User
                  • 05-06-10
                  • 7818

                  #9
                  2dabank do you know anything about wandy as a pitcher.i dont follow baseball alot but im watching his last 3 games and seeing his weaknesses.
                  Comment
                  • Ryangene
                    Restricted User
                    • 12-04-08
                    • 3381

                    #10
                    Rays should roll for sure.
                    Comment
                    • tltaylor89
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 06-19-09
                      • 19610

                      #11
                      Struck out as I walked IMO the 9th with manor hobo ass.
                      Comment
                      • fightingwarrior
                        Restricted User
                        • 05-06-10
                        • 7818

                        #12
                        i just found out the rays arent good against leftys.maybe it isnt the right side to play.thoughts guys
                        Comment
                        • fightingwarrior
                          Restricted User
                          • 05-06-10
                          • 7818

                          #13
                          rays batting might continue to suck tomorrow since wandy is lefty.it might be a issue if you ask me.
                          Comment
                          • BeatTheJerk
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-19-07
                            • 31802

                            #14
                            Comment
                            • BeatTheJerk
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-19-07
                              • 31802

                              #15
                              Seems like a very sound bet.
                              Comment
                              • fightingwarrior
                                Restricted User
                                • 05-06-10
                                • 7818

                                #16
                                beat the rays arent good against leftys.batting less than 240 as a team.
                                Comment
                                • fightingwarrior
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 05-06-10
                                  • 7818

                                  #17
                                  the goal for rays is to get wandy to 80 pitches it seems like.
                                  Comment
                                  • rm18
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-20-05
                                    • 22292

                                    #18
                                    lefites have got a couple perfect games against them, they want to get to bullpen for sure
                                    Comment
                                    • fightingwarrior
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 05-06-10
                                      • 7818

                                      #19
                                      yeah wandy can have a really good game it looks like.if rays cant bat or do anything like they did today might be toast.rays one of the worse teams agaisnt leftys.the first inn is the key get wandy over 20 pitches.i dont see wandy going over 100 pitches.


                                      if they can get him to 80 by the 5th inn than rays will win this game.



                                      they key is to get some hits early on in the game and draw as many pitches,wandy doesnt gives walks up alot so for rays there job is try to make him throw balls.



                                      if rays score in the first like they did tody i like there chances becuase i feel it is a different scenrio.rays goal is to draw pitches and bring the bullpen in as fast as they can.wandy has gone atlleast 6inn and imo could go 6-8 inn if rays cant hit and 4-6 if rays can find a way to hit.
                                      Comment
                                      • fightingwarrior
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 05-06-10
                                        • 7818

                                        #20
                                        wandy isnt consistant.that is a major problem in his game.his last game was against cards and he did fairly well and houston won.can it be back to back for him.
                                        Comment
                                        • fightingwarrior
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 05-06-10
                                          • 7818

                                          #21
                                          wandy is also very good at home or minute made stadium.he was one of the best pitchesrs at home last year.on the road he sucks.the more i look into this makes me wanna go astros.
                                          Comment
                                          • fightingwarrior
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 05-06-10
                                            • 7818

                                            #22
                                            wandy has had back spasms also so who knows about this game.
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by fightingwarrior
                                              wandy isnt consistant.that is a major problem in his game.his last game was against cards and he did fairly well and houston won.can it be back to back for him.

                                              STL my team and we have a way of making hou pitchers look better than they are a lot of the time, check out bud norris that fukkin guy cant beat anyone and he has pitched like 100 scoreless innings against us not to mention our bats were really slumping that week, hell all month till recently they have shown a little life....Wandy can be solid but like you said inconstant,usually good at home... TB been so good on the road and i really like that tall cat pitching for them, dont think he will struggle to get hou hitters out...id be lying if i didnt say your thing bout stros sweeping and screwin a bunch of ppl didnt scare me a little but seeing how i didnt play tb today and wont sunday if they lose 2marro it wont screw me that bad, i havnt even loked at the line yet its gotta be high, ill be back
                                              Comment
                                              • fightingwarrior
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 05-06-10
                                                • 7818

                                                #24
                                                the line is like -150 which i find reasonable what do you think.



                                                can the rays hit is a question you gotta askk yourself.they did hit today 8 or more i think but didnt score enough.how will this go into tomorrows game.will they shake it off and hit on the lefty or will they go into a slump.there playing so good right now its hard to not bet them but than again they gotta lose more right becuase they gotta let yanks back in it.baseball always works that way it seems.




                                                i honestly will bet rays win or lose tomorrow and watch it prolly at a bar nervous as phuck.the 1st inn will tell me everything i need to know about this game.if he pitches 20 or more i think rays will be fine.20 or less it might be a toss up game like tonight.
                                                Comment
                                                • fightingwarrior
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 05-06-10
                                                  • 7818

                                                  #25
                                                  wandy might get rocked also early and i might be worried for nothing.will see if the line is -150 or under i might even lay more and gamble.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • rochestertitans
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 12-14-09
                                                    • 8149

                                                    #26
                                                    rays win
                                                    Comment
                                                    • fightingwarrior
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 05-06-10
                                                      • 7818

                                                      #27
                                                      why do the rays win explain
                                                      Comment
                                                      • fightingwarrior
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 05-06-10
                                                        • 7818

                                                        #28
                                                        i hope rays win honestly my biggest bet is tomorrow.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • constrictor
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 06-08-09
                                                          • 668

                                                          #29
                                                          on rays but only a small bet
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 2daBank
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-26-09
                                                            • 88966

                                                            #30
                                                            it almost bothers me where the line is at, that is gonna be the most one sided bet of the day i would think
                                                            Comment
                                                            • fightingwarrior
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 05-06-10
                                                              • 7818

                                                              #31
                                                              what should the line be in ur opion i thnk its kinda high u ask me astros might win this game just based on a lefty is throwing.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • rochestertitans
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 12-14-09
                                                                • 8149

                                                                #32
                                                                thats a fair line considering rays are, i believe 1-6 in the last 7 vs houston
                                                                Comment
                                                                • rochestertitans
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 12-14-09
                                                                  • 8149

                                                                  #33
                                                                  i dont know where you get your info but rays are great against lefties
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • rochestertitans
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 12-14-09
                                                                    • 8149

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Tampa is 14-4 vs Leftys..score 6.1 runs a gm rd vs them
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #35
                                                                      im not saying the line isnt right or isnt fair, im saying that you better believe everyone is gonna be on it chase players, casual gamblers that see the best team in the AL (record wise) against one of the shittiest teams out there, seriously they gonna get pounded and i see pinny has already dropped the line a little...
                                                                      Comment
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