can we get an updated graph
Corona...the math!
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Big BearSBR Aristocracy- 11-01-11
- 43253
#106Comment -
Mike HuntertzSBR Posting Legend
- 08-19-09
- 11240
#107The rate of increase is what to look for.
2+ weeks ago 10 cases a day
1+ week ago 100 cases a day
2+ days ago 1000 cases a day
March 17th 1750 cases a day
March 18th 2850 cases a day.
March 19th 4500+ cases a day.(posted 5000+ but it was changed)
March 20th 5600 cases
A slight flattening but only a day, still better than a doubling.
Comment -
Big BearSBR Aristocracy- 11-01-11
- 43253
#108wozersOriginally posted by Mike HuntertzThe rate of increase is what to look for.
2+ weeks ago 10 cases a day
1+ week ago 100 cases a day
2+ days ago 1000 cases a day
March 17th 1750 cases a day
March 18th 2850 cases a day.
March 19th 4500+ cases a day.(posted 5000+ but it was changed)
March 20th 5600 cases
A slight flattening but only a day, still better than a doubling.
so we are all fukked?Comment -
Mike HuntertzSBR Posting Legend
- 08-19-09
- 11240
#109A lot of people are going to be impacted for a very long time.
The vast majority will survive, albeit in a very different world.
Stay safe!
Originally posted by Big Bearwozers
so we are all fukked?Comment -
Chi_archieSBR Aristocracy
- 07-22-08
- 63182
#110long term we will have better health care system and preparedness.Originally posted by Mike HuntertzA lot of people are going to be impacted for a very long time.
The vast majority will survive, albeit in a very different world.
Stay safe!
the system of crony fake capitalism health care will be burnt down and rebuiltComment -
Roger T. BannonSBR Hall of Famer
- 06-28-18
- 5144
#111Not likely. Everything is getting bailed out. Rinse and repeat. You can only have a better system if you correct the mistakes.Originally posted by Chi_archielong term we will have better health care system and preparedness.
the system of crony fake capitalism health care will be burnt down and rebuiltComment -
Mike HuntertzSBR Posting Legend
- 08-19-09
- 11240
#112The rate of increase is what to look for.
2+ weeks ago 10 cases a day
1+ week ago 100 cases a day
2+ days ago 1000 cases a day
March 17th 1750 cases a day
March 18th 2850 cases a day.
March 19th 4500+ cases a day.(posted 5000+ but it was changed)
March 20th 5600 cases
March 21st 4800+ cases.
I sure hope this continues, not a trend yet but the best news we could hope for.
With increased testing the numbers should have been up, I have guarded optimism......for the first time since this has started.
Stay safe!
Comment -
Jayvegas420BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-09-11
- 28229
#113Originally posted by Roger T. BannonNot likely. Everything is getting bailed out. Rinse and repeat. You can only have a better system if you correct the mistakes.
Comment -
homie1975SBR Posting Legend
- 12-24-13
- 15289
#114Jumped over 14K cases today. Curve steepeningComment -
Mr KLCBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-19-07
- 31100
#115
Comment -
BluehorseshoeSBR Posting Legend
- 07-13-06
- 15054
#116Originally posted by Mr KLC
Comment -
Mike HuntertzSBR Posting Legend
- 08-19-09
- 11240
#117Outcome of Cases (Recovery or Death) in the United States
Percent (%)
Mar 07 Death Rate: 55.88%Comment -
Plaza23SBR Hall of Famer
- 12-29-13
- 7392
#118You gotta track deaths. Not cases. Cases are going up because more people are being tested.Originally posted by homie1975Jumped over 14K cases today. Curve steepening
When case rates are rising far faster than the death rate, then statistically people will begin to see this is not that much more serious than the average flu.
The best thing that could happen to the US is show that 500,000 people have it and less than a 1,000 will have died. That will show the response to this is asinine.Comment -
Mike HuntertzSBR Posting Legend
- 08-19-09
- 11240
#119The average flu(a corona virus) has a mortality rate of 0.1%. So far this virus has a rate of 1.4% death rate.
As this is, The Math about Corona thread......that makes it 14X more dangerous!
California predicts a 60% infection rate........you can do the math from here.
Stay Safe.
Originally posted by Plaza23You gotta track deaths. Not cases. Cases are going up because more people are being tested.
When case rates are rising far faster than the death rate, then statistically people will begin to see this is not that much more serious than the average flu.
The best thing that could happen to the US is show that 500,000 people have it and less than a 1,000 will have died. That will show the response to this is asinine.Comment -
ace7550SBR MVP
- 05-08-15
- 3729
#1201.4% of 24,000,000 people is 336,000. That is a pretty goddamn big number of dead people.Comment -
lakerboySBR Aristocracy
- 04-02-09
- 94463
#121You one of those guys? So let's let everyone roam about and get everyone sick. No big deal if 1-2%of everyone dies.Originally posted by Plaza23You gotta track deaths. Not cases. Cases are going up because more people are being tested.
When case rates are rising far faster than the death rate, then statistically people will begin to see this is not that much more serious than the average flu.
The best thing that could happen to the US is show that 500,000 people have it and less than a 1,000 will have died. That will show the response to this is asinine.Comment -
keely85SBR MVP
- 01-04-15
- 4296
#122Saw a 12 year old is on life support and had no pre existing conditions.
But sure only old people.Comment -
RudyRuetiggerSBR Aristocracy
- 08-24-10
- 65107
#123In georgia tooOriginally posted by keely85Saw a 12 year old is on life support and had no pre existing conditions.
But sure only old people.
I'm freakin out manComment -
asiagamblerSBR Hall of Famer
- 07-23-17
- 6827
#124Lot of people not taking this seriously. That is the biggest problemComment -
Mike HuntertzSBR Posting Legend
- 08-19-09
- 11240
#125The rate of increase is what to look for.
March 3rd 10 cases a day
1+ week ago 100 cases a day
2+ days ago 1000 cases a day
March 17th 1750 cases a day
March 18th 2850 cases a day.
March 19th 4500+ cases a day.(posted 5000+ but it was changed)
March 20th 5600 cases
March 21st 4800+ cases.
March 22nd 9339 cases!!!
As you can tell this is not good news, exponential again!!!!
Please, stay safe!!
Comment -
QuantumLeapSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-22-08
- 6896
#126Agreed:Originally posted by Plaza23You gotta track deaths. Not cases. Cases are going up because more people are being tested.
When case rates are rising far faster than the death rate, then statistically people will begin to see this is not that much more serious than the average flu.
The best thing that could happen to the US is show that 500,000 people have it and less than a 1,000 will have died. That will show the response to this is asinine.
March 17th: 23 new deaths
March 18th: 41 new deaths
March 19th: 57 new deaths
March 20th: 49 new deaths
March 21st: 46 new deaths
March 22nd: 117 new deathsComment -
QuantumLeapSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-22-08
- 6896
#127It's like you say, the numbers change. I've noticed they keep changing throughout the day. It's hard to tell what is up to date and which ones will be changed later.Originally posted by Mike HuntertzThe rate of increase is what to look for.
March 3rd 10 cases a day
1+ week ago 100 cases a day
2+ days ago 1000 cases a day
March 17th 1750 cases a day
March 18th 2850 cases a day.
March 19th 4500+ cases a day.(posted 5000+ but it was changed)
March 20th 5600 cases
March 21st 4800+ cases.
March 22nd 9339 cases!!!
As you can tell this is not good news, exponential again!!!!
Please, stay safe!!
Comment -
FishheadSBR Aristocracy- 08-11-05
- 40184
#128THOUSANDS by month's end
This is BRUTALComment -
homie1975SBR Posting Legend
- 12-24-13
- 15289
#129FLU DEATH RATE IN USA 0.1%
COVID-19 DEATH RATE AT MINIMUM 1.5%
1.5% is FIFTEEN TIMES HIGHER than 0.1%
the numbers DO NOT LIEComment -
homie1975SBR Posting Legend
- 12-24-13
- 15289
#13040MM californians
let's say 40% get it, that is 16MM people.
1.5% of 16MM is 240,000
can you imagine 240,000 deaths in ONE STATE (please no jokes about how 240K californians dying would be a good thing)Comment -
pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17920
#131I recommend everyone has 2 simple items a pulse oximeter which essentially you slip on your finger and it tells you your bodies oxygen level and a thermometer..... if you are severe and need medical assistance your fever will be dangerously high or your oxygen levels will be so low you need oxygen to breath....the oximeters are still available I just bought one today at rite aid if both these are normal the hospital will do nothing for you...and you just stay home and continue to monitor your oxygen levels the people dying lose oxygen plain and simple this is what you need to watch.Comment -
homie1975SBR Posting Legend
- 12-24-13
- 15289
#132New York State population = approx 19.5MM
death rate .008875% (150 deaths out of 16,900 Cases)
if 40% of New Yorkers got COVID-19, that is 7.8MM people
Total deaths would be 69,225
again, the numbers don't lie. WAY MORE deaths in ONE STATE from COVID-19 than Total FLU DEATHS in the USA in the worst flu seasonsComment -
pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17920
#133Homie we just hangout until a tested cure is found. Some of the smartest people in the world working on this. And On top of that the first company that gets it will be so fukin rich man. Race for the cure and cash. Btw buy a pulse oximeter while you still can.Comment -
lakerboySBR Aristocracy
- 04-02-09
- 94463
#134Homie make it a bit bigger bro. I can't see itComment -
godukeSBR Posting Legend
- 02-17-10
- 11668
#1352900 died on 9-11. Was the reaction asinine there too because you think it’s not enough deaths?Originally posted by Plaza23You gotta track deaths. Not cases. Cases are going up because more people are being tested.
When case rates are rising far faster than the death rate, then statistically people will begin to see this is not that much more serious than the average flu.
The best thing that could happen to the US is show that 500,000 people have it and less than a 1,000 will have died. That will show the response to this is asinine.
How about this. There are 32,000 people that have gotten this illness out of roughly 254k tested which is 12.5 percent. Of the ones infected about 1.3 percent die. You do realize exponentially over the 327 million people in the US that’s over 4 million deaths right? Is that worth a reaction of this magnitude? How many people have to die for you to be ok with this?Comment -
pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17920
#136Laker....this virus Fukin w my money don’t like it man although I can still return to work and make 3 k a week I’ll stay home I’m giving it another week man be safe broOriginally posted by lakerboyHomie make it a bit bigger bro. I can't see itComment -
lakerboySBR Aristocracy
- 04-02-09
- 94463
#137I agree. Good luck bro. Hopefully we get through thisOriginally posted by pilebuck13Laker....this virus Fukin w my money don’t like it man although I can still return to work and make 3 k a week I’ll stay home I’m giving it another week man be safe broComment -
pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17920
#138Laker you will be ok man stop at rite aid get a pulse oximeter while you still can this one tool will tell you if you need to be in the hospital or notOriginally posted by lakerboyI agree. Good luck bro. Hopefully we get through thisComment -
Plaza23SBR Hall of Famer
- 12-29-13
- 7392
#139Again, the death rate is going to plunge once there are more positive infection tests and a leveling off of deaths. The death rate only looks high now because most of the people getting tested and found to have had it were already seriously sick. No one ever tested everyone who had it, was asymptamatic, and got over it.Originally posted by Mike HuntertzThe average flu(a corona virus) has a mortality rate of 0.1%. So far this virus has a rate of 1.4% death rate.
As this is, The Math about Corona thread......that makes it 14X more dangerous!
California predicts a 60% infection rate........you can do the math from here.
Stay Safe.
You can't say the death rate is 1.4% when there are probably millions who have had it, never got tested, and recovered.Comment -
Plaza23SBR Hall of Famer
- 12-29-13
- 7392
#140Yes, because the actual death rate is going to end up not that higher than the average flu. It's math. If this were a true pandemic, there'd be far more than 3,000 dead chinese since this has been around for 3 months. The facts are probably millions of people already have it, or have had it, and they recovered and never were tested. Look at all the famous people that have contracted it.Originally posted by lakerboyYou one of those guys? So let's let everyone roam about and get everyone sick. No big deal if 1-2%of everyone dies.
And since when does 40% of a population contract a flu. You people are fn retarded
The US will put up with this for about 2 weeks. After that, unless there are 10,000 deaths here, people going to say this is stupid we going back to workComment
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