gs_pres
hursday service plays
Just A Heads-Up For Friday CFL :
Scott Spreitzer's CFL Friday Night Game of the Year!
*7-0, 100% L5 Weeks!
Scott is a PERFECT 7-0, 100% ATS in the CFL over the past five weeks! Tonight, Scott's releasing his FRIDAY NIGHT CFL GAME OF THE YEAR! Scott already cashed his Western Conference GOY, a 34-point cover! Don't miss out on GRIDIRON PERFECTION! Grab the GOY and cash again!
Scott Spreitzer's CFL Friday Night Game of the Year! *7-0, 100% L5 Weeks!
I'm taking the points with the B.C. Lions on Friday night. Calgary is in an unenviable situation tonight. They're facing the defending champs who are off of back-to-back losses. Making matters even better for B.C. bettors tonight is that Buck Pierce is back under center. The Lions have had to go with Jarious Jackson the last few weeks due to injuries to their top two signal callers. By the way, B.C. already beat Calgary, putting 32 points on the board in a week-five win, notable because Jackson was at QB, not Pierce or ****enson. What's really scary for Calgary is the way they were knocked around by Montreal's offensive line last week. If they thought the Alouettes were tough, wait 'til they get a load of an angry Lions' squad. I'm surprised at this line and have British Columbia winning by double digits. The B.C. Lions are our Friday Night Game of the Year! Thanks! GL! Scott.
charlie
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nfl. dolphins @ kc over 33' ( 500*)
nfl. kc-3 (30*)
mlb. arizona-110 (20*)
mlb. texas-115 (20*)
mlb. mets-125 (10*)
mlb. la angels-125 (10*) free
Ben Burns Main Event
YANKEES
Game: Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees Game Time: 8/16/2007 7:05:00 PM Prediction: New York Yankees Reason: I'm laying the price with the NEW YORK YANKEES. Both teams lost yesterday. The schedule favors the home team though as the Yankees played here at home during the afternoon while the Tigers played a road game at Cleveland in the evening. Yes, the Yankees looked brutal against Baltimore. However, they have been MUCH better when facing top tier teams than they have when facing losing teams. In fact, they're 8-1 the last nine times they faced a team with a winning record! They're also a healthy 15-5 the last 20 times they hosted the Tigers. Verlander has better overall stats for the season than does Mussina. However, Mussina has been the better pitcher lately. Verlander is 1-1 with a poor 4.67 ERA and 1.673 WHIP his last three starts, averaging less than six innings per start. Meanwhile, Mussina is 3-0 with a stellar 3.20 ERA and 1.169 WHIP his last three starts, averaging greater than 6 1/2 innings per outing. He's shown picture-perfect control during that stretch too, with 15 K's to 0 walks. While Mussina is 17-5 with a 2.50 career ERA vs. the Tigers, Verlander has an awful 7.84 ERA and 2.130 WHIP in two starts vs. the Yankees. Note that Verlander is one of several Tigers who has been dealing with illness. In fact, Ivan Rodriguez, Placido Polanco and Craig Monroe all sat out of Wednesday's game due to a flu bug. Look for the revenge-minded Yankees (remember last October!) to grab Game 1. *Main Event
Ben Burns NL Game of the Week
DODGERS
Game: Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Game Time: 8/16/2007 10:10:00 PM Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers Reason: I'm laying the price with the LA DODGERS. Rodriguez has been great at home all season. However, he's been horrid on the road. Indeed, the Astros southpaw is 1-8 with a terrible 8.16 ERA and 1.727 WHIP in 11 road starts this season. Yes, the Dodgers have been struggling lately. However, they won their last game vs. a left-handed starter (5-4 win vs. the Reds on 8/9) and are still 12-8 their last 20 games against left-handed starters. For the season, the Dodgers are hitting a healthy .286 vs. left-handed starters, while going 19-14. Lowe has been mediocre lately, allowing three runs through six innings last time out. He's fully recovered from a hip injury now though and I expect him to step up with a big performance against a team he has fared well against (2.70 career ERA). The Dodgers broke out of their slump with a victory last night, including two home runs from Russel Martin. Look for them to build off that performance by winning their second straight tonight, salvaging the series split and improving to 8-4 the last 12 times they were a host in this series. *NL game of the week
Ben Burns "BLUE CHIP" TOTAL BLOWOUT (EARLY START!)
UNDER cards/brewers
Game: St Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Game Time: 8/16/2007 2:05:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Cardinals and Brewers to finish UNDER the total. David Bush wasn't particularly effective in his last start, allowing four runs in a 5-4 win at Houston. However, that game still snuck below the total and Bush has always been much better at home. The UNDER is 6-4-1 in his 11 home starts this season, including a 3-1 mark the last four. Note that Bush has also pitched better in the daytime. In six afternoon appearances he has a 3.93 ERA while holding opposing hitters to a low .237 batting average. He'll face Adam Wainwright who has been pitching very well lately. Wainwright has a stellar 2.87 ERA and 1.227 WHIP his last three starts, averaging better than seven innings per outing. After his last start (a complete game hard-luck loss vs. Penny and the Dodgers) resulted in a 2-1 final, Wainwright has now seen the UNDER go 5-2-1 his last eight starts. Wainwright has allowed three or fewer runs in six of his last seven starts and two runs or less in five of those seven games. Note that he's only given up one home run during that entire 7-game span. He'll have the advantage of facing the Brewers for the first time and I look for a well pitched affair that stays below the number.
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Burns' KC/Miami "TOTAL" Blowout *4-0 YTD, 10-1 L11
OVER chiefs/dolphins
Game: Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs Game Time: 8/16/2007 8:00:00 PM Prediction: over Reason: I'm playing on the Chiefs and Dolphins to finish OVER the total. Though it's typically the other way around, the betting public has fallen in love with wagering on the "under" so far this NFL season. That's led to some terrific line value with some of the "overs," including this one. Looking back to Week 2 of the 2006 preseason and we find that the 16 games averaged 36.875 points. Neither of these teams scored points in the first quarter last week and that should make both of them extra motivated to put up points with the first team offense this week. Both teams also should have some highly motivated quarterbacks. Damon Huard and Brodie Croyle are dueling for the starting job in Kansas City. Croyle holds nearly every passing record at Alabama while Huard was 5-3 as a starter for the Chiefs last season. They'll be happy to learn that three of the Dolphins top defenders (Jason Taylor, Zach Thomas and Keith Traylor) aren't expected to play. Meanwhile, Miami's Trent Green should be eager to prove that the Chiefs made a mistake in allowing him to get away. Green wasn't sharp last week but I expect him to bounce back with a much better effort here. Backups Lemon and Beck were solid, going a combined eight for 11. That helped the final score (18-17) of their win vs. the Jaguars slip over the total. Look for tonight's final combined score to also finish above the low number with the OVER improving to 6-1 the last seven times the Dolphins were coming off a home win of three points or less.
CAPPERS ACCESS
(Thur) MLB Brewers
(Thur) NFL Chiefs
Larry Ness' 15* Getaway Day GOW (11-1 since Aug 7 / now 94-31 since Opening Day!)
My 15* play is on the Oak A's at 3:35 ET. The A's have not played well since the break and are out of any serious playoff contention. They began this three-game series with the White Sox with a 20-23 (minus-$1,195) mark at home vs right-handed starters in '07 but have won consecutive one-run games on Tuesday and Wednesday. I guess that should come as no surprise, as the A's have now won 26 of their last 32 home meetings with the White Sox! Oakland looks to complete another three-game sweep of the White Sox at McAfee Coliseum on Thursday afternoon with All-Star starter Dan Haren (13-4, 2.53 ERA) on the mound. He's enjoying the best season of his career while leading the AL in ERA. He's been outstanding at home, going 8-1 with a 2.53 ERA in 13 outings (team is 10-3) while not yielding more than three earned runs in any of them. He'll face a White Sox team that's lost four straight and has scored just five runs in losing its last three. No surprise there either, as Chicago owns the AL's lowest team BA (.246). Javier Vazquez has been great his last nine starts (7-1 with a 2.98 ERA) for Chicago but let's not get too excited. The White Sox are just 6-6 in his road starts this year (4.01 ERA) and Vazquez is 0-2 with a 7.50 ERA in three career starts at Oakland, as he's walked 10 and given up four homers in 18 innings. Getaway Day GOW 15* Oak A's.
Good Luck...Larry
brandon Lang
THURSDAY
20 DIME
Kansas City Chiefs - (You only lay 3. If your man has 3 1/2 you buy the half point and only lay 3. You never, I repeat, you never get beat by the hook.)
5 DIME
Reds - Specify Pitchers - Livingston vs Marquis
Cardinails - Specify Pitchers - Wainwright vs Bush
Royals - Specify Pitchers - Nunez vs Rheinecker
Tony Mathew
Matchup: Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers
Selection: Kansas City Royals
Explanation: We will side with the Kansas City Royals as they face-off against the Texas Rangers in Thursday's MLB contest.
Today the Kansas City Royals will use starting pitcher Leo Nunez. Leo Nunez has pitched well as of late. In fact, Leo Nunez has a very solid 1.12 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see another solid performance by Leo Nunez tonight.
On the other hand, the Texas Rangers will use starting pitcher John Rheinecker. John Rheinecker has pitched poorly this season which is shown by his 6.75 ERA. In addition, John Rheinecker has been having big problems as of late (giving up a total of 16 runs in his last 15.1 innings pitched). It's safe to say that the Kansas City Royals will be able to score many runs tonight.
The Kansas City Royals are 6-3 in their last 9 meetings against the Texas Rangers, and should be able to get another win tonight!
Take the Kansas City Royals!
Bill Young
1* on Florida -108
(Action)
The Marlins being small favorites at home tonight is too good to be true. We will take advantage of this mistake by the oddsmakers. This game is going to be a high-scoring affair with two of the worst pitchers in the league squaring off. Florida thrives in these types of games. Livan Hernandez has a 6.88 ERA over his last 3 starts for Arizona this season. In a recent start against Florida, Hernandez didn’t make it to the 2nd inning while giving up 7 earned runs. Don’t be surprised if Hernandez doesn’t make it past the fourth inning tonight. Arizona is 4-11 in their last 15 meetings in Florida. The Diamondbacks are hitting just .237 on the road. Take the Marlins in an offensive showcase.
Larry Cook
3* on NY Mets -125
(Action)
The New York Mets are getting the right price tonight as small road favorites. The Mets are 24-9 against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. The Mets are 22-9 against the money line against NL Central opponents this season. Pittsburgh is 16-37 against the money line vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75% of their save opportunities this season. With two of the lower-tier starters in each staff going at it tonight, the bullpens will really come into play. New York’s has been stellar all season. Pittsburgh gave up 5 runs in the 9th inning last night so their bullpen will be a bit taxed coming in. Bet the Mets because of it.
Ness
My Las Vegas Insider is on the LA Angels at 7:05 ET. Shaun Marcum gave the Blue Jays their second consecutive outstanding performance from a starter in last night's 2-1 win over the Angels (Halladay won 4-1 on Tuesday). Since the All-Star break, Toronto leads the majors with a 3.24 ERA and its starters have 21 quality starts in 32 games. Toronto has played particularly well at home lately, winning 16 of its last 20 games at Rogers Centre and the Blue Jays have won eight of nine at home against the Angels plus 14 of the last 18 meetings at Rogers Centre. Meanwhile, the Angels have struggled on the road, losing four of their past five and 14 of their last 21 away from home.Toronto will send Dustin McGowan to the hill and like Marcum, this young pitcher has been doing very well lately, especially at home, where he's 5-1 with a 3.11 ERA in seven starts (team is 6-1). So why take the Angels? Because of Kelvim Escobar. Escobar (12-6, 2.74) has been one of the league's top pitchers all season, as the Angels are 15-7 in his starts. Although he is only 3-3 in his last seven starts, he's deserved much better with a 1.60 ERA during that span. I know the Angels have not been a good road team but the last three times they've lost the first two games of a three-game road series, they've rebounded to "avoid the sweep" by winning 3-0, 7-2 and 5-2. Behind Escobar (a former Blue Jay), they pull it off again! Las Vegas Insider on the LA Angels.
Good Luck...Larry
Larry Ness' 20* NL Total of the Month (67% in '07 with MLB totals!)
My 20* play is on Hou/LAD Over at 10:10 ET. Regulars know that I've "ridden the Wandy Rodriquez money-making train" for quite awhile now. Playing 'ON' him in his home park where he's got an 1.65 ERA (it was the bullpen's fault we lost last Saturday night!) and against him on the road (8.16 ERA / team 2-9!). However, playing against him here is tough, as the Dodgers have won just SEVEN of their last 25 games (including 6-3 over the Astros last night) and LA's starter tonight (Derek Lowe), has been just BRUTAL! Wandy Rodriguez has been terrible on the road all season but Derek Lowe has struggled wherever he has pitched lately. Lowe (8-11, 3.61 ERA) is winless since June 22 and is 0-3 with a 7.58 ERA in four starts and one relief appearance since July 19. Lowe's last three starts at Dodger Stadium have been even worse. He's lost all three, while posting a 10.05 ERA in the process. The total opened at EIGHT and while I'm often told "if it looks to good to be true, it probably isn't," I'm biting (or should I say betting?)! NL Total of the Month 20* Hou/LAD Over.
MADDUX, KC - 3 1/2,2 UNITS,GUARANTEED SPORTS PICKS,OVER 33,2 UNITS
NORTHCOAST 3 STAR LATE PHONE // KANSAS CITY-3 !!
Alex Smart
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Angles / Blue Jays UNDER 9
The Toronto Blue Jays will send the stable Dustin McGowan to the hill to face a struggling Angels batting order here this evening. McGowan allowed 4 Ers in his last outing , but was 3-0 along with a 1.59 ERA in his previous 4 starts. He is also 5-1 at home along with a 3.11 ERA this season. His pitching opponent from the Halos Kelvim Escobar has been hard on opposing batting orders garnering a 1.60 ERA in L/7 starts . The veteran has recorded a stingy 2.12 ERA in 5 career starts against the Blue Jays. Final notes & Key Trends: Escobars team when he starts has gone under in 11 of 13 games with a total of 8.5 to 10 this season. Under is 13-3 in Escobars L/16 road starts. These teams have gone under in 6 of the L/7 meetings. Under is 5-0 in McGowns L/5 starts with a opening total of 9 to 10.5 . The Jays have failed to eclipse the total 26 of 30 times as a dog, after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits(something that happened yesterday) Play under
Stan Sharp
-- Triple Dime--
Yanks/tigers over 9 1/2
Ethan Law
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Analysis: PHI: LHP Cole Hamels (13-5, 3.64 ERA) vs. WSH: RHP Joel Hanrahan (2-0, 2.76 ERA)
The fact that Philly beat the Nationals in 6 of 9 head to head meetings but still only managed a miniscule profit of (+$45) shows a sharp bettor exactly how unfruitful it is to constantly play the chalk in MLB games. Washington is right where I expect them to be this time of the season, after a slow start they are playing around .500 baseball and remain one of the most profitable teams for their backers +$1655 this season. Most remarkable has been their success against left-handed pitching as the Nationals comes into tonight +$1265 against left-handed pitching. Even better are their splits in home/night contests where they are an impressive 7-5 +$405 with an offense averaging a whopping 5.2 runs per game. Thats not very good news for Philadelphias left-hander Cole Hamels whos given up 8 earned runs over his last two starts. Washington will counter with right-hander Joel Hanrahan who has been very impressive filling in for the injured Shawn Hill. Hanrahan has allowed three runs or fewer in all three of his Major League starts. He should find success against a Phillies team that has struggled to turn a profit against right-handed pitching on the road 11-14 -$275 and one that averages just 4.3 runs per game in tonights situation. Look for Washington to win the rubber game in this series tonight.
Verdict: Philadelphia 3, Washington 5
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Just A Heads-Up For Friday CFL :
Scott Spreitzer's CFL Friday Night Game of the Year!
*7-0, 100% L5 Weeks!
Scott is a PERFECT 7-0, 100% ATS in the CFL over the past five weeks! Tonight, Scott's releasing his FRIDAY NIGHT CFL GAME OF THE YEAR! Scott already cashed his Western Conference GOY, a 34-point cover! Don't miss out on GRIDIRON PERFECTION! Grab the GOY and cash again!
Scott Spreitzer's CFL Friday Night Game of the Year! *7-0, 100% L5 Weeks!
I'm taking the points with the B.C. Lions on Friday night. Calgary is in an unenviable situation tonight. They're facing the defending champs who are off of back-to-back losses. Making matters even better for B.C. bettors tonight is that Buck Pierce is back under center. The Lions have had to go with Jarious Jackson the last few weeks due to injuries to their top two signal callers. By the way, B.C. already beat Calgary, putting 32 points on the board in a week-five win, notable because Jackson was at QB, not Pierce or ****enson. What's really scary for Calgary is the way they were knocked around by Montreal's offensive line last week. If they thought the Alouettes were tough, wait 'til they get a load of an angry Lions' squad. I'm surprised at this line and have British Columbia winning by double digits. The B.C. Lions are our Friday Night Game of the Year! Thanks! GL! Scott.
charlie
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nfl. dolphins @ kc over 33' ( 500*)
nfl. kc-3 (30*)
mlb. arizona-110 (20*)
mlb. texas-115 (20*)
mlb. mets-125 (10*)
mlb. la angels-125 (10*) free
Ben Burns Main Event
YANKEES
Game: Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees Game Time: 8/16/2007 7:05:00 PM Prediction: New York Yankees Reason: I'm laying the price with the NEW YORK YANKEES. Both teams lost yesterday. The schedule favors the home team though as the Yankees played here at home during the afternoon while the Tigers played a road game at Cleveland in the evening. Yes, the Yankees looked brutal against Baltimore. However, they have been MUCH better when facing top tier teams than they have when facing losing teams. In fact, they're 8-1 the last nine times they faced a team with a winning record! They're also a healthy 15-5 the last 20 times they hosted the Tigers. Verlander has better overall stats for the season than does Mussina. However, Mussina has been the better pitcher lately. Verlander is 1-1 with a poor 4.67 ERA and 1.673 WHIP his last three starts, averaging less than six innings per start. Meanwhile, Mussina is 3-0 with a stellar 3.20 ERA and 1.169 WHIP his last three starts, averaging greater than 6 1/2 innings per outing. He's shown picture-perfect control during that stretch too, with 15 K's to 0 walks. While Mussina is 17-5 with a 2.50 career ERA vs. the Tigers, Verlander has an awful 7.84 ERA and 2.130 WHIP in two starts vs. the Yankees. Note that Verlander is one of several Tigers who has been dealing with illness. In fact, Ivan Rodriguez, Placido Polanco and Craig Monroe all sat out of Wednesday's game due to a flu bug. Look for the revenge-minded Yankees (remember last October!) to grab Game 1. *Main Event
Ben Burns NL Game of the Week
DODGERS
Game: Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Game Time: 8/16/2007 10:10:00 PM Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers Reason: I'm laying the price with the LA DODGERS. Rodriguez has been great at home all season. However, he's been horrid on the road. Indeed, the Astros southpaw is 1-8 with a terrible 8.16 ERA and 1.727 WHIP in 11 road starts this season. Yes, the Dodgers have been struggling lately. However, they won their last game vs. a left-handed starter (5-4 win vs. the Reds on 8/9) and are still 12-8 their last 20 games against left-handed starters. For the season, the Dodgers are hitting a healthy .286 vs. left-handed starters, while going 19-14. Lowe has been mediocre lately, allowing three runs through six innings last time out. He's fully recovered from a hip injury now though and I expect him to step up with a big performance against a team he has fared well against (2.70 career ERA). The Dodgers broke out of their slump with a victory last night, including two home runs from Russel Martin. Look for them to build off that performance by winning their second straight tonight, salvaging the series split and improving to 8-4 the last 12 times they were a host in this series. *NL game of the week
Ben Burns "BLUE CHIP" TOTAL BLOWOUT (EARLY START!)
UNDER cards/brewers
Game: St Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Game Time: 8/16/2007 2:05:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Cardinals and Brewers to finish UNDER the total. David Bush wasn't particularly effective in his last start, allowing four runs in a 5-4 win at Houston. However, that game still snuck below the total and Bush has always been much better at home. The UNDER is 6-4-1 in his 11 home starts this season, including a 3-1 mark the last four. Note that Bush has also pitched better in the daytime. In six afternoon appearances he has a 3.93 ERA while holding opposing hitters to a low .237 batting average. He'll face Adam Wainwright who has been pitching very well lately. Wainwright has a stellar 2.87 ERA and 1.227 WHIP his last three starts, averaging better than seven innings per outing. After his last start (a complete game hard-luck loss vs. Penny and the Dodgers) resulted in a 2-1 final, Wainwright has now seen the UNDER go 5-2-1 his last eight starts. Wainwright has allowed three or fewer runs in six of his last seven starts and two runs or less in five of those seven games. Note that he's only given up one home run during that entire 7-game span. He'll have the advantage of facing the Brewers for the first time and I look for a well pitched affair that stays below the number.
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Burns' KC/Miami "TOTAL" Blowout *4-0 YTD, 10-1 L11
OVER chiefs/dolphins
Game: Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs Game Time: 8/16/2007 8:00:00 PM Prediction: over Reason: I'm playing on the Chiefs and Dolphins to finish OVER the total. Though it's typically the other way around, the betting public has fallen in love with wagering on the "under" so far this NFL season. That's led to some terrific line value with some of the "overs," including this one. Looking back to Week 2 of the 2006 preseason and we find that the 16 games averaged 36.875 points. Neither of these teams scored points in the first quarter last week and that should make both of them extra motivated to put up points with the first team offense this week. Both teams also should have some highly motivated quarterbacks. Damon Huard and Brodie Croyle are dueling for the starting job in Kansas City. Croyle holds nearly every passing record at Alabama while Huard was 5-3 as a starter for the Chiefs last season. They'll be happy to learn that three of the Dolphins top defenders (Jason Taylor, Zach Thomas and Keith Traylor) aren't expected to play. Meanwhile, Miami's Trent Green should be eager to prove that the Chiefs made a mistake in allowing him to get away. Green wasn't sharp last week but I expect him to bounce back with a much better effort here. Backups Lemon and Beck were solid, going a combined eight for 11. That helped the final score (18-17) of their win vs. the Jaguars slip over the total. Look for tonight's final combined score to also finish above the low number with the OVER improving to 6-1 the last seven times the Dolphins were coming off a home win of three points or less.
CAPPERS ACCESS
(Thur) MLB Brewers
(Thur) NFL Chiefs
Larry Ness' 15* Getaway Day GOW (11-1 since Aug 7 / now 94-31 since Opening Day!)
My 15* play is on the Oak A's at 3:35 ET. The A's have not played well since the break and are out of any serious playoff contention. They began this three-game series with the White Sox with a 20-23 (minus-$1,195) mark at home vs right-handed starters in '07 but have won consecutive one-run games on Tuesday and Wednesday. I guess that should come as no surprise, as the A's have now won 26 of their last 32 home meetings with the White Sox! Oakland looks to complete another three-game sweep of the White Sox at McAfee Coliseum on Thursday afternoon with All-Star starter Dan Haren (13-4, 2.53 ERA) on the mound. He's enjoying the best season of his career while leading the AL in ERA. He's been outstanding at home, going 8-1 with a 2.53 ERA in 13 outings (team is 10-3) while not yielding more than three earned runs in any of them. He'll face a White Sox team that's lost four straight and has scored just five runs in losing its last three. No surprise there either, as Chicago owns the AL's lowest team BA (.246). Javier Vazquez has been great his last nine starts (7-1 with a 2.98 ERA) for Chicago but let's not get too excited. The White Sox are just 6-6 in his road starts this year (4.01 ERA) and Vazquez is 0-2 with a 7.50 ERA in three career starts at Oakland, as he's walked 10 and given up four homers in 18 innings. Getaway Day GOW 15* Oak A's.
Good Luck...Larry
brandon Lang
THURSDAY
20 DIME
Kansas City Chiefs - (You only lay 3. If your man has 3 1/2 you buy the half point and only lay 3. You never, I repeat, you never get beat by the hook.)
5 DIME
Reds - Specify Pitchers - Livingston vs Marquis
Cardinails - Specify Pitchers - Wainwright vs Bush
Royals - Specify Pitchers - Nunez vs Rheinecker
Tony Mathew
Matchup: Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers
Selection: Kansas City Royals
Explanation: We will side with the Kansas City Royals as they face-off against the Texas Rangers in Thursday's MLB contest.
Today the Kansas City Royals will use starting pitcher Leo Nunez. Leo Nunez has pitched well as of late. In fact, Leo Nunez has a very solid 1.12 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see another solid performance by Leo Nunez tonight.
On the other hand, the Texas Rangers will use starting pitcher John Rheinecker. John Rheinecker has pitched poorly this season which is shown by his 6.75 ERA. In addition, John Rheinecker has been having big problems as of late (giving up a total of 16 runs in his last 15.1 innings pitched). It's safe to say that the Kansas City Royals will be able to score many runs tonight.
The Kansas City Royals are 6-3 in their last 9 meetings against the Texas Rangers, and should be able to get another win tonight!
Take the Kansas City Royals!
Bill Young
1* on Florida -108
(Action)
The Marlins being small favorites at home tonight is too good to be true. We will take advantage of this mistake by the oddsmakers. This game is going to be a high-scoring affair with two of the worst pitchers in the league squaring off. Florida thrives in these types of games. Livan Hernandez has a 6.88 ERA over his last 3 starts for Arizona this season. In a recent start against Florida, Hernandez didn’t make it to the 2nd inning while giving up 7 earned runs. Don’t be surprised if Hernandez doesn’t make it past the fourth inning tonight. Arizona is 4-11 in their last 15 meetings in Florida. The Diamondbacks are hitting just .237 on the road. Take the Marlins in an offensive showcase.
Larry Cook
3* on NY Mets -125
(Action)
The New York Mets are getting the right price tonight as small road favorites. The Mets are 24-9 against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. The Mets are 22-9 against the money line against NL Central opponents this season. Pittsburgh is 16-37 against the money line vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75% of their save opportunities this season. With two of the lower-tier starters in each staff going at it tonight, the bullpens will really come into play. New York’s has been stellar all season. Pittsburgh gave up 5 runs in the 9th inning last night so their bullpen will be a bit taxed coming in. Bet the Mets because of it.
Ness
My Las Vegas Insider is on the LA Angels at 7:05 ET. Shaun Marcum gave the Blue Jays their second consecutive outstanding performance from a starter in last night's 2-1 win over the Angels (Halladay won 4-1 on Tuesday). Since the All-Star break, Toronto leads the majors with a 3.24 ERA and its starters have 21 quality starts in 32 games. Toronto has played particularly well at home lately, winning 16 of its last 20 games at Rogers Centre and the Blue Jays have won eight of nine at home against the Angels plus 14 of the last 18 meetings at Rogers Centre. Meanwhile, the Angels have struggled on the road, losing four of their past five and 14 of their last 21 away from home.Toronto will send Dustin McGowan to the hill and like Marcum, this young pitcher has been doing very well lately, especially at home, where he's 5-1 with a 3.11 ERA in seven starts (team is 6-1). So why take the Angels? Because of Kelvim Escobar. Escobar (12-6, 2.74) has been one of the league's top pitchers all season, as the Angels are 15-7 in his starts. Although he is only 3-3 in his last seven starts, he's deserved much better with a 1.60 ERA during that span. I know the Angels have not been a good road team but the last three times they've lost the first two games of a three-game road series, they've rebounded to "avoid the sweep" by winning 3-0, 7-2 and 5-2. Behind Escobar (a former Blue Jay), they pull it off again! Las Vegas Insider on the LA Angels.
Good Luck...Larry
Larry Ness' 20* NL Total of the Month (67% in '07 with MLB totals!)
My 20* play is on Hou/LAD Over at 10:10 ET. Regulars know that I've "ridden the Wandy Rodriquez money-making train" for quite awhile now. Playing 'ON' him in his home park where he's got an 1.65 ERA (it was the bullpen's fault we lost last Saturday night!) and against him on the road (8.16 ERA / team 2-9!). However, playing against him here is tough, as the Dodgers have won just SEVEN of their last 25 games (including 6-3 over the Astros last night) and LA's starter tonight (Derek Lowe), has been just BRUTAL! Wandy Rodriguez has been terrible on the road all season but Derek Lowe has struggled wherever he has pitched lately. Lowe (8-11, 3.61 ERA) is winless since June 22 and is 0-3 with a 7.58 ERA in four starts and one relief appearance since July 19. Lowe's last three starts at Dodger Stadium have been even worse. He's lost all three, while posting a 10.05 ERA in the process. The total opened at EIGHT and while I'm often told "if it looks to good to be true, it probably isn't," I'm biting (or should I say betting?)! NL Total of the Month 20* Hou/LAD Over.
MADDUX, KC - 3 1/2,2 UNITS,GUARANTEED SPORTS PICKS,OVER 33,2 UNITS
NORTHCOAST 3 STAR LATE PHONE // KANSAS CITY-3 !!
Alex Smart
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Angles / Blue Jays UNDER 9
The Toronto Blue Jays will send the stable Dustin McGowan to the hill to face a struggling Angels batting order here this evening. McGowan allowed 4 Ers in his last outing , but was 3-0 along with a 1.59 ERA in his previous 4 starts. He is also 5-1 at home along with a 3.11 ERA this season. His pitching opponent from the Halos Kelvim Escobar has been hard on opposing batting orders garnering a 1.60 ERA in L/7 starts . The veteran has recorded a stingy 2.12 ERA in 5 career starts against the Blue Jays. Final notes & Key Trends: Escobars team when he starts has gone under in 11 of 13 games with a total of 8.5 to 10 this season. Under is 13-3 in Escobars L/16 road starts. These teams have gone under in 6 of the L/7 meetings. Under is 5-0 in McGowns L/5 starts with a opening total of 9 to 10.5 . The Jays have failed to eclipse the total 26 of 30 times as a dog, after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits(something that happened yesterday) Play under
Stan Sharp
-- Triple Dime--
Yanks/tigers over 9 1/2
Ethan Law
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Analysis: PHI: LHP Cole Hamels (13-5, 3.64 ERA) vs. WSH: RHP Joel Hanrahan (2-0, 2.76 ERA)
The fact that Philly beat the Nationals in 6 of 9 head to head meetings but still only managed a miniscule profit of (+$45) shows a sharp bettor exactly how unfruitful it is to constantly play the chalk in MLB games. Washington is right where I expect them to be this time of the season, after a slow start they are playing around .500 baseball and remain one of the most profitable teams for their backers +$1655 this season. Most remarkable has been their success against left-handed pitching as the Nationals comes into tonight +$1265 against left-handed pitching. Even better are their splits in home/night contests where they are an impressive 7-5 +$405 with an offense averaging a whopping 5.2 runs per game. Thats not very good news for Philadelphias left-hander Cole Hamels whos given up 8 earned runs over his last two starts. Washington will counter with right-hander Joel Hanrahan who has been very impressive filling in for the injured Shawn Hill. Hanrahan has allowed three runs or fewer in all three of his Major League starts. He should find success against a Phillies team that has struggled to turn a profit against right-handed pitching on the road 11-14 -$275 and one that averages just 4.3 runs per game in tonights situation. Look for Washington to win the rubber game in this series tonight.
Verdict: Philadelphia 3, Washington 5
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