This is one of my favorite graphs. There's NEVER an over-lap from the 4-year prior. I think the lowest 4-year Ratio is ~ 1.40. So, current of 1.50 is very much on the low-end:
MAD, it's ambitious for sure. My notes:
1) Put me in the Bitcoin-maxi camp. I don't like ETH (or other coins).
2) There's evidence that Businesses and Nation-states have been accumulated BTC.
3) Directional price of an Asset is not always predictive of future movement on that asset.
...IE: Momentum trades are not always great.
I'm a believer in Bitcoin. Mostly based on the scarcity. And also b/c many investors are asleep at the wheel.
Using this chart, two conclusions (or perhaps, assumptions) are made.
1. The price will reach $100,000 per bitcoin no earlier than 2021 and no later than 2028. After 2028, the price will never drop below $100,000.
2. The price will reach $1,000,000 per bitcoin no earlier than 2028 and no later than 2037. After 2037, the price will never drop below $1,000,000.
As always, the logic of this chart and the assumptions derived from it depend on bitcoin's previous performance being indicative of the future.
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Comment
Madison
SBR Hall of Famer
09-16-11
6717
#79
Originally posted by Optional
Be nice if that holds.
Using this chart, two conclusions (or perhaps, assumptions) are made.
1. The price will reach $100,000 per bitcoin no earlier than 2021 and no later than 2028. After 2028, the price will never drop below $100,000.
2. The price will reach $1,000,000 per bitcoin no earlier than 2028 and no later than 2037. After 2037, the price will never drop below $1,000,000.
As always, the logic of this chart and the assumptions derived from it depend on bitcoin's previous performance being indicative of the future.