If You Claim To Win At Gambling...

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  • UntilTheNDofTimE
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-29-08
    • 9285

    #36
    Originally posted by acarmelo1
    plus points are good the more you have, more % you have to win. if you have for example Texas +12.5 (-105) and i had texas +13.5 (-110) and just by luck texas losed by 13 points. My bet win i do not care if i risked more than you. But In the bottom line I won my bet and you lost ur money. that is what I understand.

    No fact is this is a marathon not a sprint. The +12.5 vs +13.5 will be obsolete most of the time. If you plan on winning 53% of the time betting to win 1 unit taking a -110 vs -105. This thinking you have will cost you 47 units over 2000 plays.
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    • UntilTheNDofTimE
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 05-29-08
      • 9285

      #37
      Originally posted by acarmelo1
      But if I had +13.5 I Win if the score is randomteam 13 texas 0

      you lose if you had 12.5

      And that is how is it

      If you said that i am wrong then I will like to see the math
      see above post
      Comment
      • The Bishop
        SBR Sharp
        • 08-21-09
        • 311

        #38
        Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker
        A lot to learn? LOL. A +13.5 -110 when the closer is +12.5 -105 is -2.75% edge, retard. No matter how you try to spin it, you're WRONG.


        That is if you think +12.5 is a 50% wager. Fish was just saying if you already liked Mizzou then jump on the +13.5, ie if you think the Missouri +12.5 is a 53% wager, grab +13.5 and hit a shade under 54%. Obviously if you consider +12.5 to be 50%, no one is arguing that betting a 51% play at -110 or even -105 is a smart move.

        Not trying to take sides here, respect both Fishy and MF quite a bit.
        Comment
        • acarmelo1
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-29-09
          • 6321

          #39
          I admit that you may all be correct, and do not get me wrong, I bet for fun and I only make like $2 parlays like 3 per month. So I do not place too much head on the long run. For me it is just a sprint.
          Comment
          • MonkeyF0cker
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 06-12-07
            • 12144

            #40
            Let's say the 13 pushes 0.94% of the time. 50% of the time +12.5 wins and 50% of the time +12.5 loses. So +13.5 is 50.94% to win. After 10,000 $100 bets on +13.5 -110, you'd win 5094 and lose 4906. You'd win $509,400 and lose $539,660, which nets you a loss of $30,260. If you bet +12.5 -105 10,000 times for $100, you lose 5000 and win 5000. You'd win $500,000 and lose $525,000, netting you a loss of $25,000. You lose less with +12.5 -105. However, both are BAD wagers.
            Comment
            • MonkeyF0cker
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 06-12-07
              • 12144

              #41
              Originally posted by The Bishop
              That is if you think +12.5 is a 50% wager. Fish was just saying if you already liked Mizzou then jump on the +13.5, ie if you think the Missouri +12.5 is a 53% wager, grab +13.5 and hit a shade under 54%. Obviously if you consider +12.5 to be 50%, no one is arguing that betting a 51% play at -110 or even -105 is a smart move.

              Not trying to take sides here, respect both Fishy and MF quite a bit.
              Comment
              • dwaechte
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-27-07
                • 5481

                #42
                Jesus christ. Honestly, monkey and durito, I dont know why you bother.

                Durito, I remeber when I used to rip on you and donny for making fun of posters, but after reading this shit for this long I completely understand. It's infuriating.
                Comment
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