Indianapolis Colts +8

**asiagambler** · 09-28-23, 08:30 PM

raiders do you really think the betting market doesn't know about twitter ?

Everything you say just makes me laugh at this point. So keep going please

**raiders72001** · 09-28-23, 08:31 PM

And it hurt Lamar not having Beckham. Beckham's Y/R was 13.2. Y/T 9.4. Jackson's Y/A were 6.52 in the game. You're a casual fan and just look at stats.

**raiders72001** · 09-28-23, 08:32 PM

Originally posted by asiagambler

raiders do you really think the betting market doesn't know about twitter ?

Everything you say just makes me laugh at this point. So keep going please

The books such as Bookmaker have people monitor Twitter. I try to get that info. You wait for the report to come out. Then you get the closing line. You'll continue to donate each week doing that.

**asiagambler** · 09-28-23, 08:34 PM

Originally posted by raiders72001

And it hurt Lamar not having Beckham. Beckham's Y/R was 13.2. Y/T 9.4. Jackson's Y/A were 6.52 in the game. You're a casual fan and just look at stats.

HAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAH you literally just posted stats. I was talking about his play on the field and didn't say anything about his stats

Are you really this hilarious ?

**raiders72001** · 09-28-23, 08:35 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Raider, your notes are fascinating. Like any market, there's a difference between:

*(Adjustment on the Market Line) vs (Adjustment in Fair Value).

I told you my basic thoughts:
1) So many Fantasy FB players view the RB/WR as a big loss. Sometimes, those players are not a big loss.
2) I am biased to the value of Offensive Linemen. I used to have success playing against depleted Off Lines. I think it's harder now. It's a hyper-competitive league, so some dropoffs are small.
3) Of course, there's value on the starting QB going out. If you listen to ANY post-game from a coach, they'll say the Backup didn't get many reps. If he's now starting, he improves timing via more reps in practice.

Good points. I love looking at the trenches especially injuries that may cause more pressure on the QB. All these QBs are great if not pressured.

**asiagambler** · 09-28-23, 08:36 PM

Originally posted by raiders72001

The books such as Bookmaker have people monitor Twitter. I try to get that info. You wait for the report to come out. Then you get the closing line. You'll continue to donate each week doing that.

Attacking me isn't going to make you look any less the fool here but I get you're down bad so go for it. But keep entertaining me is all I ask

**raiders72001** · 09-28-23, 08:37 PM

Originally posted by asiagambler

HAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAH you literally just posted stats. I was talking about his play on the field and didn't say anything about his stats

Are you really this hilarious ?

But you don't know why his play was bad. Did you see receivers getting open deep? Did the field look condensed on passing downs? Were the exchanges always good between C and QB.

**raiders72001** · 09-28-23, 08:38 PM

Originally posted by asiagambler

Attacking me isn't going to make you look any less the fool here but I get you're down bad so go for it. But keep entertaining me is all I ask

You actual bore me because you're not that bright. I never heard of you until this thread because I spend my time in the BTC forum. Chucky throws in some good thoughts.

**asiagambler** · 09-28-23, 08:39 PM

Originally posted by raiders72001

But you don't know why his play was bad. Did you see receivers getting open deep? Did the field look condensed on passing downs? Were the exchanges always good between C and QB.

I know exactly why his play was bad. I said the reasons many times. Of course I saw receivers get open deep because I watched the all-22. Even now I'm helping you

**asiagambler** · 09-28-23, 08:40 PM

Originally posted by raiders72001

You actual bore me because you're not that bright. I never heard of you until this thread because I spend my time in the BTC forum. Chucky throws in some good thoughts.

you = johnnyvegas

That chucky dotes on both of you makes it all the more hilarious

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-28-23, 08:42 PM

Originally posted by raiders72001

Good points. I love looking at the trenches especially injuries that may cause more pressure on the QB. All these QBs are great if not pressured.

Yeah. Tonite, Bakhtiari/Jenkins out for the Packers. And i'm guessing that:
*VERY FEW noticed the two missing Off Linemen.
*But A LOT of people tracked Watson/Jones. Jones (btw) has been a Non-Factor on return.

You'll laugh. I used to track every 5-man Off Line in the NFL. When a Favorite had a personnel change on the Off Line, they were ripe.
...As I said above, I don't think it works as well now. Lines are sharp, and no real Favorite bias.

**raiders72001** · 09-28-23, 08:43 PM

Originally posted by asiagambler

I know exactly why his play was bad. I said the reasons many times. Of course I saw receivers get open deep because I watched the all-22. Even now I'm helping you

You don't comprehend anything that you look at because there's a processing problem. You think 3 practice squad players can replace three starters. I wouldn't even start to discuss any type of math or analytics with you. Way beyond your comprehension.

**asiagambler** · 09-28-23, 08:44 PM

Originally posted by raiders72001

You don't comprehend anything that you look at because there's a processing problem. You think 3 practice squad players can replace three starters. I wouldn't even start to discuss any type of math or analytics with you. Way beyond your comprehension.

Name the 3 practice squad players and name the 3 starters they replaced

**raiders72001** · 09-28-23, 08:50 PM

Originally posted by asiagambler

Name the 3 practice squad players and name the 3 starters they replaced

That's the problem. You don't know or think they are equal. Already posted but here it is again.

You and the truth don't go hand in hand. You said the 7 injuries didn't matter because the backups were as good. Then I just let your nonsense go.

1. The Bears didn't want Mustifer. He then got cut by the Colts and picked up by Bal on waivers. He's lucky to still be in the NFL.
2. Drake was signed to the practice squad.
3. Moon was on the practice squad.

Those three is why they lost. The bad snap wasn't caused by the weather, it was a miscommunication. Drake lost a fumble and Moon whiffed picking up a fumble.

The practice squad backups that you claimed to be as good as the starters, one better than the starter, cost the game.

**asiagambler** · 09-28-23, 08:53 PM

Originally posted by raiders72001

That's the problem. You don't know or think they are equal. Already posted but here it is again.

Moon wasn't replacing the starter

Moon was brought in for depth

Ojabo started in place of the injured "starter" Oweh

102nd time

**asiagambler** · 09-28-23, 08:54 PM

And I have the processing problem LOL

**raiders72001** · 09-28-23, 08:54 PM

2 or all 3 of those guys could be out of the NFL next year.

**asiagambler** · 09-28-23, 08:55 PM

Mustipher started all last season

Mustipher has played the last THREE weeks

Literally no one but you raiders considers him a practice squad player

**asiagambler** · 09-28-23, 08:56 PM

Originally posted by raiders72001

2 or all 3 of those guys could be out of the NFL next year.

So first it was practice squad players now it's just your opinion that they'll be out of the NFL next year

Keep moving those goalposts

**raiders72001** · 09-28-23, 08:58 PM

Originally posted by asiagambler

Moon wasn't replacing the starter

Moon was brought in for depth

Ojabo started in place of the injured "starter" Oweh

102nd time

You definitely have a processing problem. He was going to be an edge rusher even without the injury and was going to play. Also depth is part of the problem when you bring up players.

Harbaugh

John Harbaugh said OLB Jeremiah Moon is going to play Sunday vs. Colts.

**raiders72001** · 09-28-23, 09:00 PM

You said that Moon was better than Oweh. Then you deleted that with other dribble.

**raiders72001** · 09-28-23, 09:00 PM

AG

Moon > Oweh there you go

good thing I quoted that one.

**asiagambler** · 09-28-23, 09:03 PM

Originally posted by raiders72001

You definitely have a processing problem. He was going to be an edge rusher even without the injury and was going to play. Also depth is part of the problem when you bring up players.

Harbaugh

Yes he was going to play. Congratulations you understand the reason they elevated him from the practice squad. He was DEPTH, nothing more. He was NOT going start. He DIDN'T start. I NEVER said he wouldn't play. YOU insisted that he was starting and a week later and 6 pages into this you STILL do. Processing problem

**asiagambler** · 09-28-23, 09:04 PM

Originally posted by raiders72001

AG good thing I quoted that one.

You think I edited that because I made a mistake ???

LOL I edited that to clown you. Just like I edited my long reply that I know you read because that's where I said JAG : )

Moon > Oweh I'll say it again. You act like I'm ashamed I said this

Both are trash. If I'm wrong it's because trash isn't > trash. Nothing more

**raiders72001** · 09-28-23, 09:04 PM

Here's a good quote that fits you

Never wrestle with pigs. You both get dirty and the pig likes it.

Also you can't win wallowing in the mud with the pig because the pig has more practice. Later

**asiagambler** · 09-28-23, 09:09 PM

Originally posted by raiders72001

Here's a good quote that fits you

Also you can't win wallowing in the mud with the pig because the pig has more practice. Later

Have yourself a meal and pick out a nice bet for college Saturday.

Hope the Brownies get you to the window on Sunday.

GL and have yourself a great weekend, raiders.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-29-23, 07:35 AM

Originally posted by raiders72001

Chucky - you're right about cluster injuries in football. AG wanted to use baseball stats since it's pitcher vs. batter and is easily quantifiable no matter how many injuries occur. It doesn't work that way for football.

Found this article that explains it better than I am.

Bump. Thx, Raiders. That's a great writeup.

**raiders72001** · 09-29-23, 01:52 PM

Originally posted by asiagambler

Have yourself a meal and pick out a nice bet for college Saturday.

Hope the Brownies get you to the window on Sunday.

GL and have yourself a great weekend, raiders.

GL, same to you.

**raiders72001** · 09-29-23, 02:51 PM

Watson only threw two passes today.

https://twitter.com/MaryKayCabot/status/1707785522448331004?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1707785522448331004%7Ctwgr%5E4bad7ef38a4b3933b0b6df4e8c8ef76721582e39%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.profootballnetwork.com%2Fdeshaun-watson-injury-update-will-the-browns-qb-play-in-week-4%2F

**raiders72001** · 09-29-23, 03:00 PM

https://twitter.com/MaryKayCabot/status/1707841532101816538/photo/1

**raiders72001** · 09-29-23, 03:02 PM

Stanley DOUBTFUL

**asiagambler** · 09-29-23, 03:07 PM

Originally posted by raiders72001

Stanley DOUBTFUL

Too bad for you

Mekari > Stanley

**raiders72001** · 09-29-23, 03:15 PM

Originally posted by asiagambler

Too bad for you

Mekari > Stanley

**raiders72001** · 09-29-23, 03:24 PM

Stanley is 29, was drafted 1st round, 6th overall pick with one pro bowl. Now I know why you think 3 practice players are better than starters.

**asiagambler** · 09-29-23, 03:30 PM

Originally posted by raiders72001

Stanley is 29, was drafted 1st round, 6th overall pick with one pro bowl. Now I know why you think 3 practice players are better than starters.

You don't know anything about Stanley

You haven't watched a single minute of Stanley to say anything about his play

You get your information from wikipedia

lmao pro bowl ??

This isn't 2019 dummy

Mitch Trubisky must be a top 5 QB in the league to you right ?