World Cup: Girls! Girls! Girls!... USA (+225)

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  • DrunkHorseplayer
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-15-10
    • 7719

    #211
    The US is the play. All the talk is about how they almost were busted out by a shot that hit the post but the fact is that the US had some chances earlier that were much better than Portugal's near-dagger; the fact is that the US led 17-6 in shots, 6-0 on goal and 6-1 in corners. Portugal is ranked around 20th, they're not like a lot of the de facto amateur teams that you see in women's soccer; to shut them out in SOG and almost do so in corners is pretty impressive. All the attention is on one shot because it happened late in the game but the US performance was much better than it's being perceived and they're underbet.
    Comment
    • DwightShrute
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-17-09
      • 102526

      #212
      <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Inspiring: US Women&#39;s Soccer Team To Boycott Scoring Goals Until Racism Is Defeated <a href="https://t.co/9YT4nCb84b">https://t.co/9YT4nCb84b</a> <a href="https://t.co/LkXWJPGDSC">pic.twitter.com/LkXWJPGDSC</a></p>&mdash; The Babylon Bee (@TheBabylonBee) <a href="https://twitter.com/TheBabylonBee/status/1686397915273580544?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >August 1, 2023</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
      Comment
      • actiondan
        SBR MVP
        • 10-16-10
        • 3413

        #213
        Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
        The US is the play. All the talk is about how they almost were busted out by a shot that hit the post but the fact is that the US had some chances earlier that were much better than Portugal's near-dagger; the fact is that the US led 17-6 in shots, 6-0 on goal and 6-1 in corners. Portugal is ranked around 20th, they're not like a lot of the de facto amateur teams that you see in women's soccer; to shut them out in SOG and almost do so in corners is pretty impressive. All the attention is on one shot because it happened late in the game but the US performance was much better than it's being perceived and they're underbet.
        may be on to something here bud
        Comment
        • Booya711
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-20-11
          • 27329

          #214
          Sweden knocks them out
          Comment
          • ChuckyTheGoat
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-04-11
            • 36903

            #215
            Have only played one previous game. Lost on USA -0.5 vs Neth. So, YTD = -1.00, on 1.00 Risked.

            Playing: 1.00 Norway (-0.5) 4.78 (vs Japan). 1.00 to win 3.78.
            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
            Comment
            • ChuckyTheGoat
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-04-11
              • 36903

              #216
              Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
              Have only played one previous game. Lost on USA -0.5 vs Neth. So, YTD = -1.00, on 1.00 Risked.

              Playing: 1.00 Norway (-0.5) 4.78 (vs Japan). 1.00 to win 3.78.
              Some logic on this one:
              *I mentioned that expansion of Field to 32 meant there are too many teams now.
              *The Spain/Japan group had two real outsiders. Easy group.
              *Did Japan beating Spain really do anything for them? Not IMHO. I think Japan only got the tougher draw.

              I know Japan looks really good. Just not reading much into their group success. Will gladly take this price.
              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
              Comment
              • Headsterx
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-03-16
                • 22555

                #217
                Outright to win:
                England (W) +350
                Spain (W) +450
                USA (W) +450

                Adding another one: USA +450
                Comment
                • ChuckyTheGoat
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 04-04-11
                  • 36903

                  #218
                  Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                  Have only played one previous game. Lost on USA -0.5 vs Neth. So, YTD = -1.00, on 1.00 Risked.

                  Playing: 1.00 Norway (-0.5) 4.78 (vs Japan). 1.00 to win 3.78.
                  *Adding a unit: 1.00 Norway (-0.5) 4.86. 1.00 to win 3.86.
                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                  Comment
                  • Headsterx
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-03-16
                    • 22555

                    #219
                    And for the midnight games!

                    South Korea v. Germany u2.5 (+143)

                    Morocco +0.5 (+138) v. Columbia
                    Comment
                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 04-04-11
                      • 36903

                      #220
                      Originally posted by Headsterx
                      And for the midnight games!

                      South Korea v. Germany u2.5 (+143)

                      Morocco +0.5 (+138) v. Columbia
                      Good Luck, bruh. Enjoy the games.
                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                      Comment
                      • hehfest
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-28-08
                        • 7934

                        #221
                        Originally posted by Booya711
                        Sweden knocks them out

                        Somebody could. There are a handful of teams I think could do it and Sweden is one of them.
                        Comment
                        • MoneylineExpress
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-18-11
                          • 1439

                          #222
                          I think Spain matches up really well against the Swiss. I don't envision the flaccid Swiss offense scoring a goal against Spain. While the Swiss defense is rock solid, I think Spain wears them down as the games goes on. Some plays to ponder:
                          Under 1 goal 1st half
                          Spain to win to nil (+110) *Like this one the best*
                          Draw HT/Spain FT (+320)

                          The upper bracket is loaded with Spain, Netherlands, Japan, Norway, Sweden, USA. Tough for me to make a pick.
                          The bottom half of the bracket is much weaker IMO. I think we're going to see Australia vs England in the semis with England advancing to the championship. The Three Lions are the deserving favorite at +300 and are my pick to win it all at this stage of the tournament.
                          Last edited by MoneylineExpress; 08-03-23, 12:08 AM.
                          Comment
                          • Thefix13
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 05-14-21
                            • 664

                            #223
                            Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                            Some logic on this one:
                            *I mentioned that expansion of Field to 32 meant there are too many teams now.
                            *The Spain/Japan group had two real outsiders. Easy group.
                            *Did Japan beating Spain really do anything for them? Not IMHO. I think Japan only got the tougher draw.

                            I know Japan looks really good. Just not reading much into their group success. Will gladly take this price.
                            Japan is not a surprise team though, they are one of the womens soccer powers. They didn't just beat Spain, they embarrassed them. In the mean time Norway struggled in a very weak group.
                            Comment
                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 04-04-11
                              • 36903

                              #224
                              Originally posted by Thefix13
                              Japan is not a surprise team though, they are one of the womens soccer powers. They didn't just beat Spain, they embarrassed them. In the mean time Norway struggled in a very weak group.
                              That's why they play the games. We'll find out soon enuf.
                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                              Comment
                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 04-04-11
                                • 36903

                                #225
                                Originally posted by Headsterx
                                And for the midnight games!

                                South Korea v. Germany u2.5 (+143)

                                Morocco +0.5 (+138) v. Columbia
                                Very nice. 2-0, and both plays at Dog prices.
                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                Comment
                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 04-04-11
                                  • 36903

                                  #226
                                  Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                                  The US is the play. All the talk is about how they almost were busted out by a shot that hit the post but the fact is that the US had some chances earlier that were much better than Portugal's near-dagger; the fact is that the US led 17-6 in shots, 6-0 on goal and 6-1 in corners. Portugal is ranked around 20th, they're not like a lot of the de facto amateur teams that you see in women's soccer; to shut them out in SOG and almost do so in corners is pretty impressive. All the attention is on one shot because it happened late in the game but the US performance was much better than it's being perceived and they're underbet.
                                  Playing: 2.00 USA (-0.5) 2.15 (vs Sweden). 2.00 to win 2.30.

                                  Bumping Drunk's writeup. I echo Drunk's thoughts, I couldn't really say it any better.

                                  Based on current form, Sweden looks stronger. I have to give the Americans some credit for pedigree. Think there's hidden value on USA.

                                  I think it only HELPS the bet that the Americans have become un-likable. Looks like they're regressing, but I think they're ready to break out.
                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                  Comment
                                  • Optional
                                    Administrator
                                    • 06-10-10
                                    • 60853

                                    #227
                                    I think you may have bet a bit early Chucky. I'd expect to see +130 or better by match day.
                                    .
                                    Comment
                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 04-04-11
                                      • 36903

                                      #228
                                      Originally posted by Optional
                                      I think you may have bet a bit early Chucky. I'd expect to see +130 or better by match day.
                                      Opti, you may well be right. If it does go higher, I'll add a unit.

                                      I saw an early line of 2.05. Was hoping for a little higher, so I played 2.15 when I saw it.

                                      Betting markets can be very tricky. There's the perception on what looks right, and then there's the fair price.
                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                      Comment
                                      • Headsterx
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-03-16
                                        • 22555

                                        #229
                                        Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                        Very nice. 2-0, and both plays at Dog prices.
                                        Thanks but damn I was so close in taking Morocco +500 outright to win... oh well, better to win than nothing at all.

                                        Next: Round of 16
                                        Comment
                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 04-04-11
                                          • 36903

                                          #230
                                          Originally posted by Headsterx
                                          Thanks but damn I was so close in taking Morocco +500 outright to win... oh well, better to win than nothing at all.

                                          Next: Round of 16
                                          Hard to say. Depends on the Probability you put on the Draw.

                                          In Soccer, sometimes the Dogs run very dry. In this tournament, the Dogs have been very live (thus far).
                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                          Comment
                                          • JAKEPEAVY21
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 03-11-11
                                            • 29231

                                            #231
                                            Originally posted by Headsterx
                                            And for the midnight games!

                                            South Korea v. Germany u2.5 (+143)

                                            Morocco +0.5 (+138) v. Columbia
                                            well done sir
                                            Comment
                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 04-04-11
                                              • 36903

                                              #232
                                              Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                              Opti, you may well be right. If it does go higher, I'll add a unit.

                                              I saw an early line of 2.05. Was hoping for a little higher, so I played 2.15 when I saw it.

                                              Betting markets can be very tricky. There's the perception on what looks right, and then there's the fair price.
                                              Adding:

                                              *1-unit: Norway (-0.5) 5.09. 1.00 to win 4.09.
                                              *1-unit: USA (-0.5) 2.18. 1.00 to win 1.18.
                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                              Comment
                                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 04-04-11
                                                • 36903

                                                #233
                                                Quick shout-out:

                                                *I have to say the info on this tournament has been very good in the Forum.

                                                Props to guys like Franz, Headster, and Coop-Dog (among others). I used to follow the women's soccer closely. Got too busy, I guess.

                                                Still a lot to be decided at the business end of this tournament. And it's much more wide open than I expected.
                                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                Comment
                                                • Headsterx
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-03-16
                                                  • 22555

                                                  #234
                                                  Tonight begins the Round of 16! The under is dropping steadily and always nervous when line movement keeps going but going jump in with the under for the first game:

                                                  Switzerland +0.5 (+233) v. Spain / u2.5 (-115)

                                                  The knockout rounds of the Women's World Cup 2023 will kick off with an-all European tie between Switzerland Women and Spain Women Switzerland finished top of Group A with seven points to their name, while Spain finished runners-up in Group C behind Japan.

                                                  Switzerland began their campaign with a 2-0 win over the Philippines, before frustrating Norway on Matchday Two to take a crucial point from a goalless affair.

                                                  They were involved in another 0-0 draw against New Zealand on Monday, with the result securing their passage to the last 16 and resulting in an early exit for the tournament co-hosts.

                                                  La Nati have now drawn seven of their last nine internationals (W1, L1), proving that they are a tough team to beat even if victories are hard to come by.

                                                  Switzerland are one of three teams yet to concede a goal in the tournament, and they will be looking to produce another strong defensive performance on Saturday as they attempt to reach a quarter-final at a major tournament for the first time in their history.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Headsterx
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-03-16
                                                    • 22555

                                                    #235
                                                    Oh man, don’t know why but I’m hype for this R16 and 3 hours remaking.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 04-04-11
                                                      • 36903

                                                      #236
                                                      Originally posted by Headsterx
                                                      Oh man, don’t know why but I’m hype for this R16 and 3 hours remaking.
                                                      Yes. It's been an exciting tournament.

                                                      Good Luck on your plays. Hope the Swiss set up a fortress on defense.
                                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Headsterx
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-03-16
                                                        • 22555

                                                        #237
                                                        Interesting, under is now +108… betting another unit… u2.5 (+108)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • coop-dog
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 07-11-20
                                                          • 944

                                                          #238
                                                          any chance swiss win here? whats the play
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Headsterx
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-03-16
                                                            • 22555

                                                            #239
                                                            Originally posted by coop-dog
                                                            any chance swiss win here? whats the play
                                                            Taking Swiss +0.5. Strong defense but don’t know if they can win. Best bet for them is to go all the way to PK but that’s a long way to go. They can win it in PK.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Headsterx
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-03-16
                                                              • 22555

                                                              #240
                                                              Well, never mind… lol

                                                              Spain scores early… 1-0
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Goodtimemafiaz
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 10-05-19
                                                                • 584

                                                                #241
                                                                Big money on overs pushing the line up. Unders toast
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MoneylineExpress
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-18-11
                                                                  • 1439

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Surprised how easily Spain has dissected the Swiss defense right from the get-go. The Swiss look like they have weights in their shoes when running.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Headsterx
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-03-16
                                                                    • 22555

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Got that Swiss/Spain game completely wrong. Next: Norway v. Japan
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Headsterx
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-03-16
                                                                      • 22555

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Norway +402
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Headsterx
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-03-16
                                                                        • 22555

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Originally posted by Goodtimemafiaz
                                                                        Big money on overs pushing the line up. Unders toast
                                                                        Yeah, I got roasted. 😡
                                                                        Comment
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