Let's be honest about NFL teasers

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  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 36803

    #1
    Let's be honest about NFL teasers
    1) How many guys you know who've cleaned up on NFL teasers in the L5 years?

    2) How tired do you get of guys telling you how sharp they are by posting "Wong" teasers across 3 & 7?

    3) Are you going to continue to respect any guy who tells you the 2-teamers are still OK to play at -120?

    4) How many Teasers got blistered on Rams/Dallas/GB or Min/Indy/New Eng (b4 it hit 3)?

    5) How many Teaser pros bothered to consider the new NFL overtime rules? Indy ties, Pitt could have, too.


    Truth is the books cleaned up on Teasers today so much that their wrist got tired from counting all the $$.
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
  • Pacific Square
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-08-12
    • 312

    #2
    Just like any betting system..

    They work great.... Until they don't....
    Comment
    • ThaTopMoron
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-30-10
      • 27018

      #3
      teasers blow
      Comment
      • Mackballs
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-01-16
        • 5810

        #4
        So they got blown up yesterday, so let's just completely throw them out the window now.
        Comment
        • Snowball
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 11-15-09
          • 30042

          #5
          Teasers used to be more popular back in the day when locals didn't offer money lines.

          It was the only way to get down to ML area or rise a dog over the key score threshold.
          Comment
          • Regul8er
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-06-07
            • 10666

            #6
            Books wouldnt offer these at the prices they do if the public was consistently crushing the books. Youll hit some and think they have long term profitability all over them, but they dont. Focus on winning one game, not 2 or 3.
            Comment
            • pologq
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-07-12
              • 19899

              #7
              with domestic books i stopped playing teasers. now i find the adjusted lines i like and use them. this way not all lines are adjusted by the same value.

              teasers themselves never worked for me. def lost more than i bet.
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388189

                #8
                If you find places where there is a slight edge you bet teasers like any other type of bet
                Comment
                • d2bets
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 39990

                  #9
                  I'm old enough to remember 6-point two-team +100 with ties win. And the books didn't try to engineer main lines to avoid teasers. I remember teasing down -9 to essentially -2.5-240 on a ML that was like -450.

                  Just ain't the same now.
                  Comment
                  • jashtonrich
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 03-16-09
                    • 536

                    #10
                    Hit 5 teamer yesterday teasers are definitely good at times
                    Comment
                    • iwantcougars
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-29-09
                      • 2156

                      #11
                      teasers is like betting the pointspread you need to be on the right number, its more a matter of knowing what to pick , but i think in the long run it adds +/- 10percent of hitting, because most of the time the teaser wins when the pointspread also cover
                      Comment
                      • d2bets
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 08-10-05
                        • 39990

                        #12
                        A teaser is just an alternate line parlay. At 2 teams -120 it's around -282 per leg. So just look at each individual leg and ask yourself if you would make that single wager.
                        Comment
                        • OldBill
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 11-02-21
                          • 6402

                          #13
                          simple tease the team you think that wins the game do it on paper and see if you way different results from original spread

                          like just about any game yesterday ok we have Vikings at +1.5 vs pack my line sat night so tease them 6 points you get +7.5

                          they hammered GB wire to wire

                          now look at rams vs Bills you thinking odds makers goof you tease Rams to +9.5 wwwwwwopssssssssssssss they got hammered 31-10

                          Eagles - 4.5 my line i was leery of so tease them to +1.5 winner won by 3 gave up late TD to lions


                          TEASE WHO YOU THINK WILL WIN THE GAME
                          Comment
                          • d2bets
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-10-05
                            • 39990

                            #14
                            Originally posted by OldBill
                            simple tease the team you think that wins the game do it on paper and see if you way different results from original spread

                            like just about any game yesterday ok we have Vikings at +1.5 vs pack my line sat night so tease them 6 points you get +7.5

                            they hammered GB wire to wire

                            now look at rams vs Bills you thinking odds makers goof you tease Rams to +9.5 wwwwwwopssssssssssssss they got hammered 31-10

                            Eagles - 4.5 my line i was leery of so tease them to +1.5 winner won by 3 gave up late TD to lions


                            TEASE WHO YOU THINK WILL WIN THE GAME
                            Eagles +1.5-282 was not a good wager. Never tease across the pk em.
                            Comment
                            • RavensFan2k3
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-18-12
                              • 17378

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Pacific Square
                              Just like any betting system..

                              They work great.... Until they don't....
                              This.
                              Comment
                              • jackpot269
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 09-24-07
                                • 12821

                                #16
                                I do think NFL teasers have more value than Collage.
                                Comment
                                • budwiser
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-22-11
                                  • 3226

                                  #17
                                  Teasers were more useful when props aren't around, and they gave only spread and total. These days with many books offering props, what's the difference between taking a prop and a teaser.
                                  Comment
                                  • pologq
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-07-12
                                    • 19899

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by OldBill
                                    simple tease the team you think that wins the game do it on paper and see if you way different results from original spread

                                    like just about any game yesterday ok we have Vikings at +1.5 vs pack my line sat night so tease them 6 points you get +7.5

                                    they hammered GB wire to wire

                                    now look at rams vs Bills you thinking odds makers goof you tease Rams to +9.5 wwwwwwopssssssssssssss they got hammered 31-10

                                    Eagles - 4.5 my line i was leery of so tease them to +1.5 winner won by 3 gave up late TD to lions


                                    TEASE WHO YOU THINK WILL WIN THE GAME
                                    this is also all in hindsight. different feel to what you are explaining.

                                    i get your point though of teasing who will win, not just to get more points.
                                    Comment
                                    • pologq
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-07-12
                                      • 19899

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by budwiser
                                      Teasers were more useful when props aren't around, and they gave only spread and total. These days with many books offering props, what's the difference between taking a prop and a teaser.
                                      agreed. give me the adjusted prop lines any day. i mix and match.
                                      Comment
                                      • blackbart
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-04-07
                                        • 3833

                                        #20
                                        the more accurate the line, the more useful teasers become.
                                        contrary to other bets.
                                        wk 1 the worst for teasers , more variance.
                                        playoffs best for teasers, less variance. i remember books wouldnt take teasers in the nfl playoffs
                                        Comment
                                        • StackinGreen
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-09-10
                                          • 12140

                                          #21
                                          I wonder if people have done the math on this for pretty good cappers ... I had a good week 1 and I noticed this happened to me last year:

                                          When I was right about the games I usually was right ATS, so for 2 or 3 teamers I'm getting paid less than even instead of +260 or +600 in many instances of winning
                                          Comment
                                          • Brandt Moat
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 05-26-21
                                            • 885

                                            #22
                                            I like the Adj. line bet instead. I was taught to make a tease Ultra effective you should cross over 2 so called football prime numbers ( 3. 7, 10, 14, 17, etc.). The higher you go the less effective your 6 pts. becomes. EX.- if the line is 7 1/2 tease it down crossing 7 and 3. Good Luck! Don't fall in love with teasers.
                                            Comment
                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 04-04-11
                                              • 36803

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                              I wonder if people have done the math on this for pretty good cappers ... I had a good week 1 and I noticed this happened to me last year:

                                              When I was right about the games I usually was right ATS, so for 2 or 3 teamers I'm getting paid less than even instead of +260 or +600 in many instances of winning
                                              Very true, Stackin! There's this idea out there that Teasers are a magic money tree. Surely the -120 kills this theory.

                                              If you're a good capper and you put yourself on the right side, so often you're going to feel like you left $$ on the table. $110 to win $100, instead of $100 to win $260.

                                              I've never seen any math that shows me the 6-pt jump turns it into a +EV risk. And you always have to seen out a 2nd leg and SETTLE for what's available. I refuse to believe people are stacking profits from Teaser success.
                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                              Comment
                                              • budwiser
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-22-11
                                                • 3226

                                                #24
                                                I also look at it this way..if you're any good, why do you need a teaser?
                                                Comment
                                                • gauchojake
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 09-17-10
                                                  • 34103

                                                  #25
                                                  Where is the MANSTER?????????????????
                                                  Comment
                                                  • OldBill
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-02-21
                                                    • 6402

                                                    #26
                                                    i won every bet 4-0 Seahawks +6.5 -114 $22 paid Seat +12.5 pts -235 $14.50 won under 43.5 -105 $19.50 Won Seat. by 1-13 point win +270 $5 won $18.50
                                                    Comment
                                                    • StackinGreen
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-09-10
                                                      • 12140

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by budwiser
                                                      I also look at it this way..if you're any good, why do you need a teaser?
                                                      Hedge/double win.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • OldBill
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-02-21
                                                        • 6402

                                                        #28
                                                        i won every bet 4-0 Seahawks +6.5 -114 $22 paid Seat +12.5 pts -235 $14.50 won under 43.5 -105 $19.50 Won Seat. by 1-13 point win +270 $5 won $18.50
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Cougar Bait
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-04-07
                                                          • 18282

                                                          #29
                                                          Old Bill crushing, making shops close up left and right
                                                          Comment
                                                          • sweethook
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-21-07
                                                            • 12667

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by d2bets
                                                            I'm old enough to remember 6-point two-team +100 with ties win. And the books didn't try to engineer main lines to avoid teasers. I remember teasing down -9 to essentially -2.5-240 on a ML that was like -450.

                                                            Just ain't the same now.
                                                            this was the good ole days now id rather bet volume than to tease .. gl
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Enkhbat
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-18-11
                                                              • 3145

                                                              #31
                                                              Well NFL week 1 was awful for those who teased the Bengals, Broncos, Colts, 49ers and the Titans.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Brandt Moat
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 05-26-21
                                                                • 885

                                                                #32
                                                                Denver had a few getn them at Pick em.

                                                                Originally posted by Enkhbat
                                                                Well NFL week 1 was awful for those who teased the Bengals, Broncos, Colts, 49ers and the Titans.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • asiagambler
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 07-23-17
                                                                  • 6831

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Teasers are mostly math. If you know the math then you will win. If you don't then you will lose. Very simple
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Brandt Moat
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 05-26-21
                                                                    • 885

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Brandt Moat
                                                                    I like the Adj. line bet instead. I was taught to make a tease Ultra effective you should cross over 2 so called football prime numbers ( 3. 7, 10, 14, 17, etc.). The higher you go the less effective your 6 pts. becomes. EX.- if the line is 7 1/2 tease it down crossing 7 and 3. Good Luck! Don't fall in love with teasers.
                                                                    You so smat. We twy to be rike you. Me soo dumb! Vairwey simprel.
                                                                    Originally posted by asiagambler
                                                                    Teasers are mostly math. If you know the math then you will win. If you don't then you will lose. Very simple
                                                                    <br>
                                                                    <br>
                                                                    &lt;br&gt;<br>
                                                                    &lt;br&gt;<br>
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • asiagambler
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 07-23-17
                                                                      • 6831

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Brandt Moat
                                                                      I like the Adj. line bet instead. I was taught to make a tease Ultra effective you should cross over 2 so called football prime numbers ( 3. 7, 10, 14, 17, etc.). The higher you go the less effective your 6 pts. becomes. EX.- if the line is 7 1/2 tease it down crossing 7 and 3. Good Luck! Don't fall in love with teasers.
                                                                      Everyone has known that for 30+ years

                                                                      Try learning some new math

                                                                      Last edited by asiagambler; 09-13-22, 09:27 PM.
                                                                      Comment
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