Pre season results

KVB · 08-14-22, 11:48 AM

lol, I had the UNDER on the Cinci game on Friday.

Brock Landers · 08-14-22, 11:54 AM

Pre season is absolute garbage.

Hard to even watch it let alone put money on it

jjgold · 08-14-22, 12:36 PM

Anyone watch this you have to be an epic loser or follow it

KVB · 08-14-22, 12:58 PM

I always laugh at the guys who have to watch what the bet or bet what they watch.

So do the bookies.

Brock Landers · 08-14-22, 01:01 PM

Originally posted by KVB

I always laugh at the guys who have to watch what the bet or bet what they watch.

So do the bookies.

Yeah, it's always best to bet blind. Wipe your ass with that logic

KVB · 08-14-22, 01:08 PM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

Yeah, it's always best to bet blind. Wipe your ass with that logic

I would argue that by watching you are blinding yourself, merely looking at shadows on the wall of Plato's cave.

Your eyes can easily be deceived and combine that with your emotions, you literally have no chance.

Should we do a poll and ask SBR if Brock has a chance at succeeding at sportsbetting?

Here, this allows posters to understand what happens in the eyes of some professional bettors and preseason football.

A glimpse into successful approaches to preseason betting...

Originally posted by KVB

Here's some of the tried a true ideas for the pre season...

Identifying Profitable Preaseason Situations - Sportsbook Review Forum

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-betting/2939571-identifying-profitable-preaseason-situations.html

NFL betting and handicapping forum: discuss football picks, NFL odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results.

And an example of it in action last year...

Here We Go: Thursday Night NFL Preseason Card - Sportsbook Review Forum

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3487331-here-we-go-thursday-night-nfl-preseason-card.html#post27970297

The SBR Lobby: Sports Talk, Gambling and Bettors Chat

Should see some more examples this year as well, we always do...

Brock Landers · 08-14-22, 01:10 PM

Originally posted by KVB

I would argue that by watching you are blinding yourself, merely looking at shadows on the wall of Plato's cave.

Your eyes can easily be deceived and combine that with your emotions, you literally have no chance.

Should we do a poll and ask SBR if Brock has a chance at succeeding at sportsbetting?

Here, this allows posters to understand what happens in the eyes of some professional bettors and preseason football.

A glimpse into successful approaches to preseason betting...

KVB, you're a sharp guy. But if your saying there's one true way to wager of handicap or whatever you want to call it, you're full of shit.

Also, preseason is 3 games now and almost all starters are sitting entire games, these are absolutely pointless exercises.

You can win money, but it's nowhere near what you're trying to make it out to be

KVB · 08-14-22, 01:15 PM

Here's another post to review...

Originally posted by KVB

There are plenty of preseason angles to attack with out there. There really are.

It takes the right matchups of teams that are working on specific areas of their game. The first step is to go team by team and see what the teams will be working on during the preseason. And what they won't need to work on until it gets closer to opening kickoff.

Understand things like poor defenses in the season before will get worked on during the preseason and depending on which aspect was poor, it could make a difference when they face certain teams looking to improve certain areas of offense.

The same things is true for areas of the game that won't be worked on during the preaseason.

Major cahnges, newplayers, etc. will get more work in the early preseason and as it gets closer to opening day, it becomes more about refining.

Harbaugh and Carroll actually want to win these games when it comes down to it.

Know that a coach isn't likely to try out a new offensive line or schemes while his star QB is under center, especially against a team working on the defensive line performance.

The gameplans unfortunately don't usually last the whole game and shit can fall apart toward the end, spoiling spread bets. But that can happen in the regular season too.

Be careful with the units in preseason, it's less a test of stats and edge and more a test of the ability to process a subjective side. It can also help prepare for the regular season.

I could go on, position by position and what the patterns are for most of how those positions or groups of positions get worked, or not worked, on in the preseason. It also gets a better looking at the coaches as well.

Betting preseason can be rewarding but patience is necessary to get the right matchup and defining value has to be done in a relative market way. How to determine that value is not something I think I've gone i over in the Forum, but I have done quite a bit on preseason analysis here....

KVB · 08-14-22, 01:22 PM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

KVB, you're a sharp guy. But if your saying there's one true way to wager of handicap or whatever you want to call it, you're full of shit.

Also, preseason is 3 games now and almost all starters are sitting entire games, these are absolutely pointless exercises.

You can win money, but it's nowhere near what you're trying to make it out to be

I didn't make it out to be anything.

I don't think you're really even paying attention here, Brock.

I'm teaching you something you did not know.

I am not selling it nor am I over selling it, I'm showing you how to approach it. At least one way.

It's ok, successful betting and it's approaches are not for everyone. It takes work that many, like you, may not want to apply.

I've posted this before but virtually every poster, virtually, would rather claim it's impossible to win than put in the work to show it's a false claim. I guess it's just easier for them, and must make them feel better.

For SBR as a whole, and Player's Talk, it's amazing how many posters who don't bet meaningfully bet seem to know so much about those who do and how they do it....

Brock Landers · 08-14-22, 01:43 PM

You're not teaching me or telling me anything I don't know pal

Brock Landers · 08-14-22, 01:52 PM

<div><iframe width="300" height="60" src="https://vocaroo.com/embed/1mHT6LFulHlM?autoplay=0" frameborder="0" allow="autoplay"></iframe><br><a href="https://voca.ro/1mHT6LFulHlM" title="Vocaroo Voice Recorder" target="_blank">View on Vocaroo >></a></div>

jjgold · 08-14-22, 02:00 PM

KVB owned again

KVB · 08-14-22, 02:12 PM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

You're not teaching me or telling me anything I don't know pal

Originally posted by Brock Landers

<div><iframe width="300" height="60" src="https://vocaroo.com/embed/1mHT6LFulHlM?autoplay=0" frameborder="0" allow="autoplay"></iframe><br><a rel="nofollow" href="https://voca.ro/1mHT6LFulHlM" title="Vocaroo Voice Recorder" target="_blank">View on Vocaroo >></a></div>

Why are you talking about starters? Why are you talking about capping 2nd and 3rd stringers? Why are you talking about trends?

Of course I didn't teach you anything you don't know, because you didn't pay attention. You didn't read a single thing.

Unreal.

KVB · 08-14-22, 02:17 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

KVB owned again

Yes of course, owned by Brock Landers. The gus is worried about starters and 3rd stringers for preseason games.

Here Gold, let me give you a tip that is more for you guys, trends. You guys like trends.

But I'll do you one better and add my advice to your trend.

If you have a road dog getting 2.5 or 3 points, follow my advice linked above to determine whether or not you should make a moneyline bet on the underdog. Don't worry about value on the moneyline, the market will take care of that for you with the spread.

I wouldn't do it against Pete Carrol, John Harbaugh, or John Gruden though, you should treat those guiys differently, if you do find a line that low against them.

KVB · 08-14-22, 02:19 PM

Gold, please link one post at all of SBR that shows Brock Landers has ever bet professionally or meaningfully on sports.

Just one post. It can be math, advice, a post about sportsbooks, anything.

Show me one post. While I've seen plenty implying he doesn't, I've never seen one implying he does. This is not an attack on Brock, it's a challenge to find a post.

Brock Landers · 08-14-22, 02:20 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Why are you talking about starters? Why are you talking about capping 2nd and 3rd stringers? Why are you talking about trends?

Of course I didn't teach you anything you don't know, because you didn't pay attention. You didn't read a single thing.

Unreal.

Record a voice message and tell me what I'm doing wrong pal, you like to talk in code and avoid answering questions directly

KVB · 08-14-22, 02:29 PM

Brock, you're not even in the conversation.

You're worried about starters and 2nd stringers, you aren't even paying attention, literally changing the topic of capping pre season.

You might not realize it because you never even read the posts relating to the topic.

So either pay attention and get caught up or go waste time elsewhere.

Brock Landers · 08-14-22, 02:32 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Brock, you're not even in the conversation.

You're worried about starters and 2nd stringers, you aren't even paying attention, literally changing the topic of capping pre season.

You might not realize it because you never even read the posts relating to the topic.

So either pay attention and get caught up or go waste time elsewhere.

Nope, you tell me where I'm wrong and/or what point I'm missing.

No more double talk pal

Put it in a voice message, easy to understand, ya folla?

Brock Landers · 08-14-22, 02:40 PM

<div><iframe width="300" height="60" src="https://vocaroo.com/embed/1hcjjBQtQWq8?autoplay=0" frameborder="0" allow="autoplay"></iframe><br><a href="https://voca.ro/1hcjjBQtQWq8" title="Vocaroo Voice Recorder" target="_blank">View on Vocaroo >></a></div>

KVB · 08-14-22, 02:45 PM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

Nope, you tell me where I'm wrong and/or what point I'm missing.

No more double talk pal

Put it in a voice message, easy to understand, ya folla?

For one, it's not about capping the players.

For two, you aren't even trying to learn anything.

For three, it's not about capping the players.

For four, it's not about capping the players.

For five it's not about capping the players.

For six, your thinking is stuck in a box.

For seven, you didn't even read what I linked.

For eight, if you did read it, why are an idiot still talking about capping players?

Is that clear enough for you?

I'm not even going to listen to whatever audio you put in post 20.

Here, for double talk let me post it all again...

For one, it's not about capping the players.

For two, you aren't even trying to learn anything.

For three, it's not about capping the players.

For four, it's not about capping the players.

For five it's not about capping the players.

For six, your thinking is stuck in a box.

For seven, you didn't even read what I linked.

For eight, if you did read it, why are an idiot still talking about capping players?

Is that clear enough for you?

I'm not even going to listen to whatever audio you put in post 20.

CappinTerp · 08-14-22, 02:45 PM

I agree with with KVB about the coaches...I remember back in the day when Don Shula didn't give a crap about winning in the pre season...it was all about player development and other things.

KVB · 08-14-22, 02:46 PM

I'm starting to see why the entire Forum thinks your an idiot Brock, something I never subscribed to or understood.

You must have gone out of your way to earn their disrespect.

Geeez.

Brock Landers · 08-14-22, 02:46 PM

Originally posted by KVB

For one, it's not about capping the players.

For two, you aren't even trying to learn anything.

For three, it's not about capping the players.

For four, it's not about capping the players.

For five it's not about capping the players.

For six, your thinking is stuck in a box.

For seven, you didn't even read what I linked.

For eight, if you did read it, why are an idiot still talking about capping players?

Is that clear enough for you?

I'm not even going to listen to whatever audio you put in post 20.

Here, for double talk let me post it all again...

For one, it's not about capping the players.

For two, you aren't even trying to learn anything.

For three, it's not about capping the players.

For four, it's not about capping the players.

For five it's not about capping the players.

For six, your thinking is stuck in a box.

For seven, you didn't even read what I linked.

For eight, if you did read it, why are an idiot still talking about capping players?

Is that clear enough for you?

I'm not even going to listen to whatever audio you put in post 20.

Bullshit

KVB · 08-14-22, 02:49 PM

Originally posted by CappinTerp

I agree with with KVB about the coaches...I remember back in the day when Don Shula didn't give a crap about winning in the pre season...it was all about player development and other things.

Yes.

That's what preseason is for. If watch the preseason with a certain perspective, in time you will be able to "cap" it and make what should be decent bets.

It's not automatic, but understanding the motiviation matters.

Worrying about how long the starters and backups play in week 1 and 2 of preseason is absolutely the wrong approach.

So to say preseason betting is impossible or not approachable on the basis of not being able to cap that, is also wrong.

It's about the bettor's angle and perspective.

Brock Landers · 08-14-22, 02:52 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Yes.

That's what preseason is for. If watch the preseason with a certain perspective, in time you will be able to "cap" it and make what should be decent bets.

It's not automatic, but understanding the motiviation matters.

Worrying about how long the starters and backups play in week 1 and 2 of preseason is absolutely the wrong approach.

So to say preseason betting is impossible or not approachable on the basis of not being able to cap that, is also wrong.

It's about the bettor's angle and perspective.

The 4th quarter usually decides all these games and with that comes players you never would ever want your money dependant on. That's a fact