Hes going for 19 in a row with,

[smarotta09]

Where r u guys getting the picks from

[JayLA]

Where r u guys getting the picks from

Some guy on some website is posting his picks for some kind of contest.

[DJK]

Where r u guys getting the picks from

What's the forum rule on posting URL from other gambling sites?

If it's allowed, then I will post the exact place where you can see what the guy is picking.

Also, there are others who are on crazy heaters like 13 wins in a row, so why are we not taking that guy's picks???

I'm beginning to wonder if I bet all of the top 10 to 20 best streak picks, then would I come out ahead? It's a lot of picks to bet, so I would need a decent bankroll to last if it works out somehow.

I suppose I could try a very small unit bets and if works then increase the unit size?

[DJK]

The lowest winning streak is 8 for the top 20 streaks.

So mathematically, if you bet all top 20 picks for the last 7 days, you are like +140 units but most likely less since I'm sure some teams picked are overlapped by these people.

But at least +7 at the worst. I will take +1 a day any day.

[DJK]

I'm beginning to wonder if I should do the Martingale bets on this guy since he doesn't seem to lose too many in a row. He has more wins in a row than the losses in a row.

[DJK]

Where r u guys getting the picks from

I read SBR's FAQ and I didn't really see anything that prohibits from posting an outside URL, so this is the guy Vanwarinator (credit to sunshine11).

https://contests.covers.com/survivor/contestant/eff06c87-065e-e511-9e61-0024e8753722

If you want all of the streak leaders, it's below. Be careful how you use them as there's no guarantee that you will win tailing them. It will take a lot of work to sort through them to see if their picks are profitable.

https://contests.covers.com/survivor

[DJK]

I just noticed something about Vanwarinator's record.

It's only 1464-1442-87 overall, so that's only 48.91% win rate. 50.37% if you discard the pushes.

He may be winning lately, but overall he hasn't won if he bet his own picks unless a lot of his picks are plus odds which I'm not seeing.

[DJK]

That's the thing about tailing or fading someone else's picks.

How do you know what's right?

Is there a formula when to tail and when to fade?

Rich Boy initially made a lot tailing LT's picks, but that's soured lately. If you tailed all of LT's NBA, MLB, and NHL, I think it's still profitable, but jjgold said even LT goes into massive loss streaks whether that's true or not.

I thought about creating a thread of posters' win/loss track records so people can see and decide on one thread who to tail and who to fade, but that would take a lot of time and work to do.

I have to weed through a lot of posts to see who's betting on what and what their track records are and it's very time consuming.

[Jowframs]

NHL
Rangers-128

[newguy]

I'm beginning to wonder if I should do the Martingale bets on this guy since he doesn't seem to lose too many in a row. He has more wins in a row than the losses in a row.

Don’t do it. A few b2b losses wipes out bankroll. If you have something that’s working - stick with it. If your doing it - martingale on the win. Increase 1 unit with every win. Win 1, bet 2 next game. Win 2, bet 3 next game. 3 game win streak breaks even between straight and martingale win. You win 4+ in a row and are making exponentially more on each game than straights. Just have to have something that is streaky to make it work.

[svsooner]

NHL
Rangers-128

Good pick, makes sense. Pen's won't have Jarry in the net and they have had a losing record vs. playoff teams since Jan/Feb. Probably a 3-0 or 3-1 game...

[DJK]

I'm just curious. Why are you folks following Vanwarinator when a guy on the top of the list (BigLineAction) has won the last 10 picks? Doesn't it make sense to following someone who's on the top of the list now and not someone who was hot before? Vanwarinator is very choppy at the moment.


Survivor: Pick Profile


BigLineAction

Since:2021





Current Streak: 10
Best Streak: 10

Overall:
198-186-7
Last 10:
10-0
Last 20:
17-3



Pending Picks

NEXT PICK DEADLINE: Time to expiry: 6 Days 18 Hrs 34 Min | Expiry date: May 11, 2022 04:30 PM ET
Completed Picks

May 4, 2022	MLB	San Diego Cleveland	5 4	Over 7.0	Win
May 3, 2022	NHL	Nashville Colorado	2 7	Over 6.5	Win
May 2, 2022	NHL	Los Angeles Edmonton	4 3	Over 6.5	Win
May 1, 2022	NBA	Milwaukee Boston	101 89	Under 217.5	Win
Apr 30, 2022	MLB	Chi. Cubs Milwaukee	1 9	Over 7.5	Win
Apr 29, 2022	NHL	Vegas St. Louis	7 4	Over 6.5	Win
Apr 28, 2022	NBA	Phoenix New Orleans	115 109	Over 214.5	Win
Apr 27, 2022	NBA	Denver Golden State	98 102	DEN +9.0	Win
Apr 26, 2022	NBA	Atlanta Miami	94 97	Under 217.5	Win
Apr 25, 2022	NBA	Boston Brooklyn	116 112	BOS +1.0	Win

[smarotta09]

I'm just curious. Why are you folks following Vanwarinator when a guy on the top of the list (BigLineAction) has won the last 10 picks? Doesn't it make sense to following someone who's on the top of the list now and not someone who was hot before? Vanwarinator is very choppy at the moment.


Survivor: Pick Profile


BigLineAction

Since:2021





Current Streak: 10
Best Streak: 10

Overall:
198-186-7
Last 10:
10-0
Last 20:
17-3



Pending Picks

NEXT PICK DEADLINE: Time to expiry: 6 Days 18 Hrs 34 Min | Expiry date: May 11, 2022 04:30 PM ET
Completed Picks

May 4, 2022	MLB	San Diego Cleveland	5 4	Over 7.0	Win
May 3, 2022	NHL	Nashville Colorado	2 7	Over 6.5	Win
May 2, 2022	NHL	Los Angeles Edmonton	4 3	Over 6.5	Win
May 1, 2022	NBA	Milwaukee Boston	101 89	Under 217.5	Win
Apr 30, 2022	MLB	Chi. Cubs Milwaukee	1 9	Over 7.5	Win
Apr 29, 2022	NHL	Vegas St. Louis	7 4	Over 6.5	Win
Apr 28, 2022	NBA	Phoenix New Orleans	115 109	Over 214.5	Win
Apr 27, 2022	NBA	Denver Golden State	98 102	DEN +9.0	Win
Apr 26, 2022	NBA	Atlanta Miami	94 97	Under 217.5	Win
Apr 25, 2022	NBA	Boston Brooklyn	116 112	BOS +1.0	Win

What site is this

[DJK]

What site is this

See post #251.

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3691783-hes-going-19-row-p8.html#post30866051

BigLineAction is actually 6th on the list.

https://contests.covers.com/survivor

[DJK]

BigLineAction winner again. Better than Vanwarinator.

May 5, 2022	NHL	Pittsburgh NY Rangers	2 5	Over 6.0	Win

[CJ]

VW is on Brewers/Braves o8 today.

He's now at 6-4 (L10), so adjust accordingly.

[DJK]

BigLineAction's pick is Phoenix Suns +1.0.

Pending Picks

May 6, 2022	NBA	Phoenix Dallas	- -	09:30 PM	PHO +1.0

[DJK]

bostonutah who is perfect 13-0 in his last 13 picks (11 NBA and 2 NHL) is picking Miami.

Maybe a parlay of Phoenix Suns ML and Miami Heat ML worth taking a shot?

Pending Picks

May 6, 2022	NBA	Miami Philadelphia	- -	07:00 PM	MIA -3.0

[DJK]

I'm beginning to wonder if I bet all of the top 10 to 20 best streak picks, then would I come out ahead?

Absolutely no good on the first try. I tested on a various number of top ## streaks.

For the top 10, it's 50/50 so only 50% win rate but with the higher juice on MLB's it's definitely less than 50% win rate.

For the top 20, only 6 of them won, so that's only 30% or less win rate with the juice.

For the top 50, only 17 won, so that's 34% or less win rate.

In other words, if it looks too good to be true then it's probably not. It definitely isn't following these streaks.

[CJ]

Absolutely no good on the first try. I tested on a various number of top ## streaks.

For the top 10, it's 50/50 so only 50% win rate but with the higher juice on MLB's it's definitely less than 50% win rate.

For the top 20, only 6 of them won, so that's only 30% or less win rate with the juice.

For the top 50, only 17 won, so that's 34% or less win rate.

In other words, if it looks too good to be true then it's probably not. It definitely isn't following these streaks.

It's a great idea, but I tracked this for a couple days myself - I also looked for people with significant losing streaks or really bad records, and most everything came out too close to 50/50. Not a significant sample size of course, but seems very unlikely there's any value on either side.

[Mike Huntertz]

This thread has gone for a sh!t!

[DJK]

It's a great idea, but I tracked this for a couple days myself - I also looked for people with significant losing streaks or really bad records, and most everything came out too close to 50/50. Not a significant sample size of course, but seems very unlikely there's any value on either side.

Go figure. From 05/07/2022 to today (so 2 days), 17 out of 20 on the top of the list made it, i.e. won their picks. That's 85% win rate which is just ridiculous good.

I probably gave up too soon after only 1 day of tracking.

For the top 10, it's 8 out 10 wins, so that's 80% win rate.

I probably should track it for a longer period of time and see how it goes?

I will have to write a script to auto-track since it's taking me too long to track them manually.

[CJ]

Go figure. From 05/07/2022 to today (so 2 days), 17 out of 20 on the top of the list made it, i.e. won their picks. That's 85% win rate which is just ridiculous good.

I probably gave up too soon after only 1 day of tracking.

For the top 10, it's 8 out 10 wins, so that's 80% win rate.

I probably should track it for a longer period of time and see how it goes?

I will have to write a script to auto-track since it's taking me too long to track them manually.

If you can write a successful script to do the tracking, then we might be on to something. That would need to run awhile though to collect enough data to determine a cutoff point on when you would/wouldn't want to tail.

[DJK]

If you can write a successful script to do the tracking, then we might be on to something. That would need to run awhile though to collect enough data to determine a cutoff point on when you would/wouldn't want to tail.

I had a VBScript that would go to any URL and screen scraped, but someone on here posted a screen scraping in Python for the daily MLB line ups. I will have to take a look at his and see which is more viable or practical and then once I have the data, tracking is easy peasy to write a script for so once I have it setup it will just spit out the data I can have in Excel to view easily if this is profitable or not.

If I don't procrastinate since I do have a full time job as a programmer, raising 2 kids, plus the casino gambling whenever I have the time, hopefully this won't take too long to setup.

[CJ]

If I don't procrastinate since I do have a full time job as a programmer, raising 2 kids, plus the casino gambling whenever I have the time, hopefully this won't take too long to setup.

You know which one of those is taking up the most time... it's those kids lol

[oldmanTED]

Hockey total alert;

May 10, 2022

NHL

Tampa Bay Toronto

- -

07:30 PM

Over 6.5