49ers at Packers - Pick and Write-Up

[thomorino]

There were no flukes. It's part of the game.

The better teams won. Cinci was definitely better than Tenn and SF overcame all the odds. Probably should have won the game they played earlier this year. Pack had plenty of chances to pull away, but the defense clamped down. People forget about the defense and special teams and just think about the QB too much.

All the stats and cold weather that was talked about its useless information. Doesn't matter a team that has lost 4 games in a season can't make it to the SB. Same for a team that has got shutout even though I do like the Rams but not relying on some stat that usually gets broken.

The Bengals gave up 10 sacks, they weren't the better team. The Tannenhill interception and the horrific decision not give Henry the ball on third and 1 cost them the game.

[thomorino]

Then subtract last years nba thread because if you are betting real money on all of these which I highly question since you were crying and begging for your tennis futures money back all units in every sport counts because it’s all tied to the same funds. So the real question is how many units in total are you up or down on SBR documented for all sports combined.
And just to help you with math if you are 60 units in nfl but down more than that combined in other sports your nfl units don’t matter.

I'm rolling and my records are strong across the board. You are unintelligent.

[chase1]

The Bengals gave up 10 sacks, they weren't the better team. The Tannenhill interception and the horrific decision not give Henry the ball on third and 1 cost them the game.

Of course Cinci was the better team. It was 9 sacks and Burrow was still able to win it. Gutsy. Tenn was horrible and couldn't take advantage of it. Tannehill blew it I said this in a thread earlier. They won't go anywhere in the playoffs in the future with him as QB. I will back Cinci and Burrows any day especially if his line can ever block.

[thomorino]

Dude, just admit the loss, the same way you (or anyone else) would take still credit for a dubya you didn't deserve.

The Packers weren't really the right side, you have to be objective and not see the game from a singular biased perspective.

The Mercedes Lewis fumble is what happens in football games, it was a great play by the defender who punched it out. The Kittle drop when he was wide open on the ensuing drive is a far bigger fluke. It stymied the drive with great field position and resulted in a 3 and out. Kittle catches that 99 times out of 100.

Speaking of flukes, the 49ers had two would-be touchdown drives result in a grand total of 3 points due to holding and face mask penalties. The holding set them back and then Jimmy threw a pick a play or two later. That holding penalty and resulting interception is the only reason why the Packers had time left on the clock to get a field goal blocked on the other end of the field in the first place. Regardless, it was 7 off the board for Frisco.

The face mask penalty was called on a stiff-arm which had nothing to do with the yardage gained on the play, and negated what would've been first and goal from the three yard line. The Niners eventually settled for a field goal.

The blocked punt was a result of the Niners flipping field position and the Packers continually doing nothing on offense to flip it back. Eventually the dam broke and SF made a play, which is what happens when the field is tilted in your favor. Credit SF's special teams advantage. The Packers kept punting and punting in the 2H when they needed first downs.

The Packers were laying 5-6 points and only mustered 263 total yards, you cannot convince me they were the right side.

The 49ers had 212 yards of total offense, so since your argument is the Packers with 263 yards weren't very good, well the 49ers were far worse.

There were 3 key plays in this game. The lewis fumble when the Packers had the lead and momentum, the blocked field goal at the end of the first half, and the blocked punt.

Both special teams plays were complete flukes and that was a 10 point swing.

You can't possibly think the 49ers were the right side when they had 212 yards of offense and averaged 4.1 yards a play. No NFL team should ever cover a spread when they have barely 200 yards offense in the NFL today.

I do agree with you the Packers were far from great, but they were the better team without question. The 49er drive you are talking about where the 49ers had a facemask penalty prevent them from having a better scoring opportunity was only possible because of the fluke catch Kittle made with 1 hand on the sideline on third down and the fluke play Garapollo made to shovel the ball when running. The 49er offense was garbage most of the game.

Garapollo was so bad they called on a running play on 3rd and 7 on the biggest play of the game. The Packers were not great, but no team in the NFL today that has 213 total yards of offense should ever cover a spread of 6, ever.

[thomorino]

Of course Cinci was the better team. It was 9 sacks and Burrow was still able to win it. Gutsy. Tenn was horrible and couldn't take advantage of it. Tannehill blew it I said this in a thread earlier. They won't go anywhere in the playoffs in the future with him as QB. I will back Cinci and Burrows any day especially if his line can ever block.

But his line can't block, which is why he got hurt last year and why he got sacked so much this game. No team that gives up that many sacks should win. The Titans weren't very good, but they were the better team, that's football.

[thomorino]

Absolute brilliant post. A-men.

You thought the 49ers offense was dynamic, they barely had over 200 yards, the 49er offense is by far the worst offense of any team left in the playoffs.

[thomorino]

0-3 with a total loss, a side loss, and the Jones prop bet loss

-9 units for the playoffs

[pilebuck13]

Stop with the cold weather bull shit because they are the 49ers does that mean they all played in California their entire lives lol throw the fukin weather out the window. Aaron Rodgers truly does not give 2 fuks anymore I honestly believe that. I definitely see the niners covering if not winning out right

[pilebuck13]

Morino what’s your lean rams or bucks? Good write ups definitely tough breaks bro

[chase1]

But his line can't block, which is why he got hurt last year and why he got sacked so much this game. No team that gives up that many sacks should win. The Titans weren't very good, but they were the better team, that's football.

Agree to disagree. I just can't accept Tenn is better with Tannehill. If they were better they would have won. A team that has 9 sacks and still can't win...well that should tell you they aren't very good. Bengals did what they had to do to grind out an impressive win. I agree Cinci's line sucks and they got a major problem that needs to be addressed. Good luck in your bets tomorrow

[thomorino]

Agree to disagree. I just can't accept Tenn is better with Tannehill. If they were better they would have won. A team that has 9 sacks and still can't win...well that should tell you they aren't very good. Bengals did what they had to do to grind out an impressive win. I agree Cinci's line sucks and they got a major problem that needs to be addressed. Good luck in your bets tomorrow

Yeah, I think Burrow will be a top 5 quarterback once the line gets fixed. They were still right to draft Chase though, they'd be nothing without him. Burrow wanted him too because of their LSU connection.

[thomorino]

Morino what’s your lean rams or bucks? Good write ups definitely tough breaks bro

I lean Tampa Bay, but I want to see if Tristen Wirfs plays, if he's out that changes the game to me. Stafford on the road without a running game I think that will be tough for him.

[Covering the #]

You thought the 49ers offense was dynamic, they barely had over 200 yards, the 49er offense is by far the worst offense of any team left in the playoffs.

Listen up and learn. You said Packers offense was elite in your initial write up. How did that go? Dynamic does not mean scoring 40 a game. Several dropped passes by 49ers and penalties cost them from doing much more damage. 49ers owned the 2nd half. Not of fan of them by any means, but they are built to win. Finally mostly fully healthy minus Mostert. There isn't any team in the league who uses Samuel like they do. He's a game wrecker and changer.

[thomorino]

Listen up and learn. You said Packers offense was elite in your initial write up. How did that go? Dynamic does not mean scoring 40 a game. Several dropped passes by 49ers and penalties cost them from doing much more damage. 49ers owned the 2nd half. Not of fan of them by any means, but they are built to win. Finally mostly fully healthy minus Mostert. There isn't any team in the league who uses Samuel like they do. He's a game wrecker and changer.

The Packers offense is elite, the condition stopped their passing game. The 49ers offense is garbage and they didn't own anything.

The 49er offesne scored 6 points. They were outscored by their special teams. Just stop.

[Eddy Munny]

The 49ers had 212 yards of total offense, so since your argument is the Packers with 263 yards weren't very good, well the 49ers were far worse.

There were 3 key plays in this game. The lewis fumble when the Packers had the lead and momentum, the blocked field goal at the end of the first half, and the blocked punt.

Both special teams plays were complete flukes and that was a 10 point swing.

You can't possibly think the 49ers were the right side when they had 212 yards of offense and averaged 4.1 yards a play. No NFL team should ever cover a spread when they have barely 200 yards offense in the NFL today.

I do agree with you the Packers were far from great, but they were the better team without question. The 49er drive you are talking about where the 49ers had a facemask penalty prevent them from having a better scoring opportunity was only possible because of the fluke catch Kittle made with 1 hand on the sideline on third down and the fluke play Garapollo made to shovel the ball when running. The 49er offense was garbage most of the game.

Garapollo was so bad they called on a running play on 3rd and 7 on the biggest play of the game. The Packers were not great, but no team in the NFL today that has 213 total yards of offense should ever cover a spread of 6, ever.

So now Kittle making a great catch is something you categorize as a "fluke?" Lmao, you gotta be kidding me dude, grow up. We can go back and forth all night about what constitutes a fluke and what doesn't, that's a completely pointless exercise. Basically anything remotely out of the ordinary that hurts the team you bet on is something to label a fluke, does that about summarize your position?

The 49ers generally win with defense and the Packers generally win with offense... Thus, the low scoring slugfest you witnessed played into the hands of a SF style of game conducive to an upset. Yes they had 212 yards of offense, but that means they only lost the total yardage battle by 51 yards. That's nothing, especially when you're getting 6 points ATS.

Let's also consider that 75 of those Packer yards came on one play that was... wait for it... a FLUKE pass to Aaron Jones after Rodgers had been flushed from the pocket and Jones slipped behind the defense. Again, that entire Packer possession was only made possible by a Jimmy interception AFTER the ball had been moved back to the 20 yard line instead of inside the GB five because of a penalty. Kinda FLUKEY eh?

My original post pretty much summed it up, you can play the denial game all you want to, but I'm beginning to see why people sh!t on you all the time on this forum. I'm not even trying to insult you or call this a bad play, I'm just trying to get you to man the F up and take the loss. It is what it is, stop trying to put lipstick on a pig. If two teams are both sub-300 in total yards, you certainly can't call the one laying 6 points the "right side."

Furthermore, you can't blame the weather either because everyone has access to a forecast and knew there'd be some sketchy weather tonight in Green Bay, which allegedly was supposed to work against the visitor.

It's a loss, by no means was it a bad beat.

[thomorino]

So now Kittle making a great catch is something you categorize as a "fluke?" Lmao, you gotta be kidding me dude, grow up. We can go back and forth all night about what constitutes a fluke and what doesn't, that's a completely pointless exercise. Basically anything remotely out of the ordinary that hurts the team you bet on is something to label a fluke, does that about summarize your position?

The 49ers generally win with defense and the Packers generally win with offense... Thus, the low scoring slugfest you witnessed played into the hands of a SF style of game conducive to an upset. Yes they had 212 yards of offense, but that means they only lost the total yardage battle by 51 yards. That's nothing, especially when you're getting 6 points ATS.

Let's also consider that 75 of those Packer yards came on one play that was... wait for it... a FLUKE pass to Aaron Jones after Rodgers had been flushed from the pocket and Jones slipped behind the defense. Again, that entire Packer possession was only made possible by a Jimmy interception AFTER the ball had been moved back to the 20 yard line instead of inside the GB five because of a penalty. Kinda FLUKEY eh?

My original post pretty much summed it up, you can play the denial game all you want to, but I'm beginning to see why people sh!t on you all the time on this forum. I'm not even trying to insult you or call this a bad play, I'm just trying to get you to man the F up and take the loss. It is what it is, stop trying to put lipstick on a pig. If two teams are both sub-300 in total yards, you certainly can't call the one laying 6 points the "right side."

Furthermore, you can't blame the weather either because everyone has access to a forecast and knew there'd be some sketchy weather tonight in Green Bay, which allegedly was supposed to work against the visitor.

It's a loss, by no means was it a bad beat.

The 49ers had 213 yards of total offense. They weren't the right side.

Rodgers has been making plays like the one he made to Jones his whole career, and Garapollo has been throwing horrible interceptions his whole career.

Fluke plays are blocked punts and field goals.

No team that has 213 total yards of offense should ever cover a spread of under a touchdown.

The Packers had more yards, first down, and averaged more yards per play. They should have won and covered.


The Packers were far from great, as I said, but they were the better team. Garapollo completed 11 passes the whole game.

I'll say what I want to say.

[Covering the #]

The Packers offense is elite, the condition stopped their passing game. The 49ers offense is garbage and they didn't own anything.

The 49er offesne scored 6 points. They were outscored by their special teams. Just stop.

You're impossible. 49ers left points off the board. End of first half interception in red zone and a 4th in short easily in fg range in the 4th quarter. 49ers were the better team on both sides of the ball and special teams. Green Bay was owned in the 2nd half. They were totally shut down. I agree weather hampered both teams but Green Bay cannot use this as an excuse for being the home team. Take the loss.

[thomorino]

You're impossible. 49ers left points off the board. End of first half interception in red zone and a 4th in short easily in fg range in the 4th quarter. 49ers were the better team on both sides of the ball and special teams. Green Bay was owned in the 2nd half. They were totally shut down. I agree weather hampered both teams but Green Bay cannot use this as an excuse for being the home team. Take the loss.

The 49ers always leave points off the board because Garapollo sucks guy.

The 49ers know Garapollo sucks, they traded 2 first round picks to draft an overrated trash quarterback.

[thomorino]

You know your offense sucks when you get outscored by the special teams unit.

[Eddy Munny]

The 49ers had 213 yards of total offense. They weren't the right side.

Rodgers has been making plays like the one he made to Jones his whole career, and Garapollo has been throwing horrible interceptions his whole career.

Fluke plays are blocked punts and field goals.

No team that has 213 total yards of offense should ever cover a spread of under a touchdown.

The Packers had more yards, first down, and averaged more yards per play. They should have won and covered.


The Packers were far from great, as I said, but they were the better team. Garapollo completed 11 passes the whole game.

I'll say what I want to say.

You're sad, bro... I'm telling your right now, I've watched tons of football, as I'm sure most people on this forum have... Out-yarding your opponent by 51 total yards in football does not guarantee a victory, and it certainly doesn't guarantee a victory by 7 or more points.

You're telling me in a game with 23 total points scored, that you think laying 5-6 is a savvy move?

I'll say it again for the last time, if two teams both register less than 300 yards of total offense, the one laying 6 points is never the side I want to be on. You're acting like you had the Packers at a pick'em.

Just move onto the next game. Your writeups are good, you have good information, you contribute to the forum in that way, I'll give you props where due. But this incessant need to never be wrong is why you have so many detractors. Stop with the BS.

[thomorino]

You're sad, bro... I'm telling your right now, I've watched tons of football, as I'm sure most people on this forum have... Getting outyarded by 51 total yards in football does not guarantee a victory, and it certainly doesn't guarantee a victory by 7 or more points.

You're telling me in a game with 23 total points scored, that you think laying 6 points is a savvy move?

I'll say it again for the last time, if two teams both register less than 300 yards of total offense, the one laying 6 points is never the side I want to be on. You're acting like you had the Packers at a pick'em.

Just move onto the next game. Your writeups are good, you have good information, you contribute to the forum in that way, I'll give you props where due. But this incessant need to never be wrong is why you have so many detractors. Stop with the BS.

You're sad, you are arguing a team that had 213 yards of total offense was the right side. If the 49ers don't block that punt the Packers are 80-90 percent both win and cover.

The Packers weren't great, as I've said multiple times, they were the right side.

[titanium777]

49ers held Rodgers to 10 pts IN Lambeau Field. Both teams had mistakes (remember the Kittle dropped free touchdown?). 49ers made the play of the game with the blocked punt.

Game is tied, Rodgers has the ball and all he needs is a FG to win it. Instead he goes 3-and-out and Jimmy G drives his team down the field to win. Been hearing nothing but excuses from Packers fanboys for over a decade now.

[thomorino]

You're sad, bro... I'm telling your right now, I've watched tons of football, as I'm sure most people on this forum have... Out-yarding your opponent by 51 total yards in football does not guarantee a victory, and it certainly doesn't guarantee a victory by 7 or more points.

You're telling me in a game with 23 total points scored, that you think laying 5-6 is a savvy move?

I'll say it again for the last time, if two teams both register less than 300 yards of total offense, the one laying 6 points is never the side I want to be on. You're acting like you had the Packers at a pick'em.

Just move onto the next game. Your writeups are good, you have good information, you contribute to the forum in that way, I'll give you props where due. But this incessant need to never be wrong is why you have so many detractors. Stop with the BS.

You don't have to cry because I don't agree with you. A big part of the reason the Packers didn't have more offensive production is they were very conservative with the lead since they saw what trash the 49er offense was most of the game.

[thomorino]

49ers held Rodgers to 10 pts IN Lambeau Field. Both teams had mistakes (remember the Kittle dropped free touchdown?). 49ers made the play of the game with the blocked punt.

Game is tied, Rodgers has the ball and all he needs is a FG to win it. Instead he goes 3-and-out and Jimmy G drives his team down the field to win. Been hearing nothing but excuses from Packers fanboys for over a decade now.

The Packers weren't great by any means, but the 49ers have zero chance in this game without the blocked field goal and blocked punt, both of which were fluke plays.

[mjsuax13]

Green Bay was the right side, the fluke blocked punt, the blocked field goal, and the Mercedes Lewis fumble when the Packers had momentum and were about to score again in the first half turned the game. All fluke plays.

These are the same cowards who never post anything before any game.

No need to post before the game. It’s all about seeing what you do and either agreeing with it or FADING it.

[mjsuax13]

Dude, just admit the loss, the same way you (or anyone else) would take still credit for a dubya you didn't deserve.

The Packers weren't really the right side, you have to be objective and not see the game from a singular biased perspective.

The Mercedes Lewis fumble is what happens in football games, it was a great play by the defender who punched it out. The Kittle drop when he was wide open on the ensuing drive is a far bigger fluke. It stymied the drive with great field position and resulted in a 3 and out. Kittle catches that 99 times out of 100.

Speaking of flukes, the 49ers had two would-be touchdown drives result in a grand total of 3 points due to holding and face mask penalties. The holding set them back and then Jimmy threw a pick a play or two later. That holding penalty and resulting interception is the only reason why the Packers had time left on the clock to get a field goal blocked on the other end of the field in the first place. Regardless, it was 7 off the board for Frisco.

The face mask penalty was called on a stiff-arm which had nothing to do with the yardage gained on the play, and negated what would've been first and goal from the three yard line. The Niners eventually settled for a field goal.

The blocked punt was a result of the Niners flipping field position and the Packers continually doing nothing on offense to flip it back. Eventually the dam broke and SF made a play, which is what happens when the field is tilted in your favor. Credit SF's special teams advantage. The Packers kept punting and punting in the 2H when they needed first downs.

The Packers were laying 5-6 points and only mustered 263 total yards, you cannot convince me they were the right side.

Eddy is not bullshitting. Top 3 poster.

[Eddy Munny]

You're sad, you are arguing a team that had 213 yards of total offense was the right side. If the 49ers don't block that punt the Packers are 80-90 percent both win and cover.

The Packers weren't great, as I've said multiple times, they were the right side.

I'm only painting an impartial picture for you to look at so you can stop with the avalanche of excuses.

You should be more secure in your handicapping to not need to write tomes of "what if" scenarios to cover the losses.

I'm not saying taking the Packers pregame was a bad play, but I am saying in hindsight they were not the right side, all things considered... The last part is the most key "all things considered" because it would seem to me that you have only considered things through the lens of a bettor holding a Packer ticket.

I can tell you beyond a shadow of a doubt that GB's post-game win expectancy against the number, from an analytics standpoint, is laughably far below 80-90 percent... I reckon you drew that figure out of a fish bowl or something.

It's whatever, I give up. I see why the forum feasts on you like vultures do a rotting carcass. I didn't understand it before. I do now. You give them no other choice. You're easy prey. You're low hanging fruit. You're practically begging them to check you, and then you whine when they do. Rinse and repeat.

[mjsuax13]

The Tannenhill interception at the 10 and the horrible decision not to give the ball to Henry on 3rd and 1 cost them the game. Agree the 2 best teams lost, but the gap between Tennessee and Cincinatti wasn't that great.

You should APPLY for a Head Coaching job.

[mjsuax13]

The Packers offense is elite, the condition stopped their passing game. The 49ers offense is garbage and they didn't own anything.

The 49er offesne scored 6 points. They were outscored by their special teams. Just stop.

Who won?

[Eddy Munny]

Who won?

He's going to war for a team that scored 3 points in the final 55 minutes of a football game.

That's a guy who can't admit defeat.

Embarrassing.

[mjsuax13]

He's going to war for a team that scored 3 points in the final 55 minutes of a football game.

That's a guy who can't admit defeat.

Embarrassing.

Well said. Packers got shutdown except a few “fluke plays”

[thomorino]

No need to post before the game. It’s all about seeing what you do and either agreeing with it or FADING it.

Eddy is not bullshitting. Top 3 poster.

I'm only painting an impartial picture for you to look at so you can stop with the avalanche of excuses.

You should be more secure in your handicapping to not need to write tomes of "what if" scenarios to cover the losses.

I'm not saying taking the Packers pregame was a bad play, but I am saying in hindsight they were not the right side, all things considered... The last part is the most key "all things considered" because it would seem to me that you have only considered things through the lens of a bettor holding a Packer ticket.

I can tell you beyond a shadow of a doubt that GB's post-game win expectancy against the number, from an analytics standpoint, is laughably far below 80-90 percent... I reckon you drew that figure out of a fish bowl or something.

It's whatever, I give up. I see why the forum feasts on you like vultures do a rotting carcass. I didn't understand it before. I do now. You give them no other choice. You're easy prey. You're low hanging fruit. You're practically begging them to check you, and then you whine when they do. Rinse and repeat.

You should APPLY for a Head Coaching job.

Who won?

He's going to war for a team that scored 3 points in the final 55 minutes of a football game.

That's a guy who can't admit defeat.

Embarrassing.

Well said. Packers got shutdown except a few “fluke plays”

The Packers lost because of an absurd blocked punt. The 49er offense was trash nearly the whole game. They averaged 4 yards a play. A junior college team would be embarrassed to average 4 yards a play.

2 intelligent posters.

[Covering the #]

The 49ers always leave points off the board because Garapollo sucks guy.

The 49ers know Garapollo sucks, they traded 2 first round picks to draft an overrated trash quarterback.

That same QB that you say sucks put up 28 vs Green Bay earlier this season. He doesn't suck, he's more closer to average than suck. But it doesn't matter. 49ers don't need him to be great to win unlike Rodgers for Green Bay. That should tell you who the real better team is.

[cecil127]

Niners it is……

bump…bump-bump…
that’s the sound of the 15’s while they hitting in my trunk…

never change you self absorbed douche bag, eva

[mjsuax13]

bump…bump-bump…
that’s the sound of the 15’s while they hitting in my trunk…

never change you self absorbed douche bag, eva

Bump…. Bump…. Bump…. While spinning on 20’S