49ers at Packers - Pick and Write-Up

[thomorino]

Wrong, how temperature feels depends heavily on wind, 10 degrees is not 10 degrees no matter where you are

[pavyracer]

Wrong, wind chill makes a big difference

Have you ever heard of thermal underwear? If it's cold they will wear protective clothing under jerseys. You know people can still function and play football in cold weather.

[Renegades]

My fear in this game is that SF runs the ball 50 times and makes the gm ugly and GB doesnt get the ball enough. Ive seen SF burn 9-10 mins off the clock and kick a fg

[Renegades]

Will be interesting to see if Bosa and Werner play. Huge factor

[thomorino]

My fear in this game is that SF runs the ball 50 times and makes the gm ugly and GB doesnt get the ball enough. Ive seen SF burn 9-10 mins off the clock and kick a fg

The Packers put a lot of emphasis on the running game at the end of the year, and the 49ers don't have the running they did in previous years, Green Bay should be fine.

[OldBill]

let me see lets look at the main cogs here the guys behind Center JIMMY garrapolo ummmm errrrrrrrrrrr only a clip board carrier most of career and Patriots let him go ...Arron rodgers ummmmm WON a superbowl

Has quite a resume in Green bay and team is healthy rested got players back and will spit the 49ers out like cheap suit

HEY if i thought Grapolo and one top WR Kittle could win or even hang close @ Packers i'd bet on them i aint afriad of points ...

YOU lose to teams 22 men vs 22 men

dosent matter who 49ers play on 3rd stra8 road team is hurting sure packers will start out slow all rested teams do but once they getmoving vs average teams and a team that shouldnt be here see ya later Shannaingans

[Jowframs]

My fear in this game is that SF runs the ball 50 times and makes the gm ugly and GB doesnt get the ball enough. Ive seen SF burn 9-10 mins off the clock and kick a fg

Yep sit on field goals
While Packers score TDS
Typical
“The Rat” shanahan

[thomorino]

Yep sit on field goals
While Packers score TDS
Typical
“The Rat” shanahan

Shanahan has his issues but the main problem in San Francisco is Garapollo isn't that good, that's not on Shanahan. The 49ers could have had Brady too.

[Snowball]

morino is right
49ers already won their season
Pack rolls

[pavyracer]

10 degrees is not always 10 degrees, you are unintelligent

10 degrees is always 10 degrees. The thermometer does not lie.

[thomorino]

10 degrees is always 10 degrees. The thermometer does not lie.

10 degrees feels very different with a wind chill.

[pavyracer]

10 degrees feels very different with a wind chill.

The wind chill is measured as the drop in temperature to the naked skin. Football players wear additional cold weather clothing under uniforms or exposed skin to counteract this.

[chico2663]

Have you ever heard of thermal underwear? If it's cold they will wear protective clothing under jerseys. You know people can still function and play football in cold weather.

Dude it helps some but not as much as you think. The additional wear slows you down. Played football and rugby in Ohio. Unless the wear is immensely better …I have to agree morino.

[sunshine11]

10 degrees is not always 10 degrees, you are unintelligent

They will be wearing the long johns Bob.

[pilebuck13]

Stop with the cold weather bull shit because they are the 49ers does that mean they all played in California their entire lives lol throw the fukin weather out the window. Aaron Rodgers truly does not give 2 fuks anymore I honestly believe that. I definitely see the niners covering if not winning out right

[chico2663]

10 degrees is always 10 degrees. The thermometer does not lie.

Go to htn weather tonight. Says 45 but feels like 32

[Covering the #]

The line is now -5.5 for Green Bay. The books are begging you to take them. I have a couple of futures on 49ers to reach and win Super Bowl so I won't touch the spread or moneyline. 49ers will be a tough out and won't be intimidated playing at Lambeau. Can see this game going down to the last possession for either team. Let's hope the refs don't decide the outcome.

[thomorino]

The line is now -5.5 for Green Bay. The books are begging you to take them. I have a couple of futures on 49ers to reach and win Super Bowl so I won't touch the spread or moneyline. 49ers will be a tough out and won't be intimidated playing at Lambeau. Can see this game going down to the last possession for either team. Let's hope the refs don't decide the outcome.

It doesn't impact my analysis at all but there is no difference between 5.5 and 6 long-term, if the books wanted more action on Green Bay they'd drop the number to 4. 5 is not a key number.

The Packers have been undervalued at home all year, they were 2.5 point favorites against the Rams who they dominated.

[Statman]

Only way SF stays in this game is if the running game is on but then again no one is thinking about Jimmy throwing the ball much either. That first drive which led to a TD in big D last week was impressive. No play for me but SF is a team no one wants to play right now and I'm surprised this line is not higher than 5.5 for GB.

[Demonata]

It's so funny that people think 49ers will beat packers. Please bet on 49ers. Picking packers to lose at home. How did that go all year? Lmfao.

[pavyracer]

Go to htn weather tonight. Says 45 but feels like 32

Feels is not the same as the thermometer reading. In football wind is the important factor followed up by heavy rain or heavy snow.

All other weather conditions are manageable.

[thomorino]

Feels is not the same as the thermometer reading. In football wind is the important factor followed up by heavy rain or heavy snow.

All other weather conditions are manageable.

Subzero temperatures also have a big impact on the game because of air density, long throws and long field goals are nearly impossible. Extremely cold air is also very thick and dense.

[chico2663]

Feels is not the same as the thermometer reading. In football wind is the important factor followed up by heavy rain or heavy snow.

All other weather conditions are manageable.

Have you ever played football or rugby in Ohio,mich or Wisconsin in the winter? Funny how people that thought one way but found out they were wrong after the last whistle.

[chico2663]

Subzero temperatures also have a big impact on the game because of air density, long throws and long field goals are nearly impossible. Extremely cold air is also very thick and dense.

Yes, the ball freezes.

[titanium777]

Been hearing about the Packers free road to the Superbowl for over a decade now..

[Covering the #]

It doesn't impact my analysis at all but there is no difference between 5.5 and 6 long-term, if the books wanted more action on Green Bay they'd drop the number to 4. 5 is not a key number.

The Packers have been undervalued at home all year, they were 2.5 point favorites against the Rams who they dominated.

You're kidding, right? Both sentences from what you wrote are not accurate. 6 is always a key number in football. Moving it a half point in either direction is huge. First off, it guarantees there will be no pushes (unless of course someone buys a half point). And disagree that it would take dropping it to -4 for more action on GB. Dropping it under 6 gets it in people's mind that all it takes to cover is a touchdown or a couple of field goals. So most bettors wouldn't care whether the line is -4 or -5.5, it's basically the same thing.

And no, GB wasn't a favorite against the Rams. But yes, they did win and of course cover. Let's not forget however, SF was -3 earlier this season vs GB. Deebo Samuel wasn't much of a factor that game and the rushing attack was putrid with Eli Mitchell missing in action. Even so, it took a miracle for GB to win on a last second field goal.

I would expect both the rushing attack and Samuel to be much better this game. The 49ers have a dynamic offense as long as they don't turn it over. This game could be a shootout. I like over 47 on this game.

[thomorino]

You're kidding, right? Both sentences from what you wrote are not accurate. 6 is always a key number in football. Moving it a half point in either direction is huge. First off, it guarantees there will be no pushes (unless of course someone buys a half point). And disagree that it would take dropping it to -4 for more action on GB. Dropping it under 6 gets it in people's mind that all it takes to cover is a touchdown or a couple of field goals. So most bettors wouldn't care whether the line is -4 or -5.5, it's basically the same thing.

And no, GB wasn't a favorite against the Rams. But yes, they did win and of course cover. Let's not forget however, SF was -3 earlier this season vs GB. Deebo Samuel wasn't much of a factor that game and the rushing attack was putrid with Eli Mitchell missing in action. Even so, it took a miracle for GB to win on a last second field goal.

I would expect both the rushing attack and Samuel to be much better this game. The 49ers have a dynamic offense as long as they don't turn it over. This game could be a shootout. I like over 47 on this game.

3 and 7 are the only key numbers in the NFL, 6 is not a key number, and its not close.

There is nothing dynamic about the 49er offense, its running and throwing 6 yards passes, Garapollo isn't very good. Packers defense hasn't been strong this year, but they are healthy and should be fine here, as they were the previous time these teams played.

[thomorino]

Been hearing about the Packers free road to the Superbowl for over a decade now..

Rodgers has very rarely had home advantage in the NFC championship game, last year was the first time in a decade he played at home in the conference championship game. That should be key this year.

[KnuckleHeadz]

Niners announce they are starting the worst cornerback in the league

[thomorino]

Aaron Jones over 50.5 yards rushing -113 risking 4.52 units to win 4

I will keep my bets on sides and totals together with my prop bets and I will as always separate my regular season and playoff threads

[Covering the #]

3 and 7 are the only key numbers in the NFL, 6 is not a key number, and its not close.

There is nothing dynamic about the 49er offense, its running and throwing 6 yards passes, Garapollo isn't very good. Packers defense hasn't been strong this year, but they are healthy and should be fine here, as they were the previous time these teams played.

6 is most definitely a key number. The longer extra point has made it so. Even without that, it's still a key number.
SF has many weapons. I agree Garappolo is their achilles heel. If he doesn't turn it over, look out. Using Samuel in different positions on the field makes them dynamic. Break away speed that can take it to the house on any play.

[thomorino]

6 is most definitely a key number. The longer extra point has made it so. Even without that, it's still a key number.
SF has many weapons. I agree Garappolo is their achilles heel. If he doesn't turn it over, look out. Using Samuel in different positions on the field makes them dynamic. Break away speed that can take it to the house on any play.

Garapollo sucks, there is nothing dynamic about an offense that can't consistently throw 6 yards down the field. 6 is not a key number in the NFL, and its not close. 3 and 7 that's it.

Its very cheap to buy on and off 6, its very expensive to buy on and off 3 and 7.

[Covering the #]

Garapollo sucks, there is nothing dynamic about an offense that can't consistently throw 6 yards down the field. 6 is not a key number in the NFL, and its not close. 3 and 7 that's it.

Its very cheap to buy on and off 6, its very expensive to buy on and off 3 and 7.

6 is absolutely a key number no matter how you want to break it down. 3,6, and 7 are the most common numbers where bettors are likely to buy a half point. Doesn't matter the price difference.

You don't have to have great QB play to be considered dynamic. A non conventional offense that has success in the way Samuel is used, definitely qualifies.

[thomorino]

That's how you start a football game

[thomorino]

6 is absolutely a key number no matter how you want to break it down. 3,6, and 7 are the most common numbers where bettors are likely to buy a half point. Doesn't matter the price difference.

You don't have to have great QB play to be considered dynamic. A non conventional offense that has success in the way Samuel is used, definitely qualifies.

Very few NFL games end on 6. 6 is absolutely not a key number. Not close.