Feels Like Every Dog is Live This Weekend Except for the Steelers

[trobin31]

Quit your whimpering, these lines aren't going anywhere, and this time of year there aren't going to be any huge edges anyway, the market tightens up, anything I do is likely going to be recreational unless I see something I really like going forward.

The only thing I have locked in at the moment is Eagles +8.5

See that wasn’t so hard

[Eddy Munny]

See that wasn’t so hard

I had to toss a few crumbs to the beggars.

But next time amuse me... strum a guitar, juggle, balloon animals, something... don't just stick your hand out.

[trobin31]

I had to toss a few crumbs to the beggars.

But next time amuse me... strum a guitar, juggle, balloon animals, something... don't just stick your hand out.

Hmmm, deflecting your lack of courage to make a play instead of a blanket dogs will win statement is not a healthy defense mechanism

[Art Vandelay]

I think under dogs have been on a bit of ATS streak lately in wild card weekend.

heard some good stats on the radio on the way to the gym earlier. can't find the specific ones, but here is a good one i just googled

Home favorites of seven or fewer points are just 14-28-1 ATS in the wild card round since 2003. This applies to every game this weekend except Steelers vs. Chiefs and Eagles vs. Buccaneers. In the past four seasons, there have been 18 total wild card games. The underdog has covered 15 of those 18 games.

Great stats on WC dog phenomenon. SVP was already talking about it Tuesday on his show, Dog day weekend!

[Eddy Munny]

Hmmm, deflecting your lack of courage to make a play instead of a blanket dogs will win statement is not a healthy defense mechanism

You're not very bright. If you had any inference ability whatsoever, it would've been apparent to you that I liked the Eagles long before you asked. This wasn't a picks thread per se, but more of a discussion thread for the upcoming games. It's a chance to share ideas/information that may help bettors, myself included, to reach their own conclusions. Merely submitting picks is not a "courageous" act. Someone lied to you lmao.

[thomorino]

Great stats on WC dog phenomenon. SVP was already talking about it Tuesday on his show, Dog day weekend!

42 games is too small a sample size to draw any big conclusion, seems bizarre to me that the data would be cut off at 2017 when wild card games have been going on for decades.

It also different this year since there is only 1 bye.

[jjgold]

Favs due wildcard

[stake1]

Weather could definitely assist the Eagles in Tampa. Run the ball, control the clock, limit Brady’s possessions

[Eddy Munny]

Weather could definitely assist the Eagles in Tampa. Run the ball, control the clock, limit Brady’s possessions

Good nugget... I hadn't even peeked at the Tampa forecast, but Sunday looking like rain and possibly wind as well.

[stake1]

Good nugget... I hadn't even peeked at the Tampa forecast, but Sunday looking like rain and possibly wind as well.

I hope it holds true. Good luck on that game Eddy

[stevenash]

Good nugget... I hadn't even peeked at the Tampa forecast, but Sunday looking like rain and possibly wind as well.

The whole eastern seaboard is supposed to be a clusterfuck late this weekend weather wise.

https://weather.com/

[Eddy Munny]

The whole eastern seaboard is supposed to be a clusterfuck late this weekend weather wise.

https://weather.com/

Cincinnati originally had snow in the forecast for Saturday, but it looks like that'll hold off til Sunday now.

Buffalo Saturday night could be one of the coldest games ever in Orchard Park.

[johnnyvegas13]

I think niners and one other surprise dog win

[stevenash]

Cincinnati originally had snow in the forecast for Saturday, but it looks like that'll hold off til Sunday now.

Buffalo Saturday night could be one of the coldest games ever in Orchard Park.

Sullivan County (NY) -30F with wind chill factored in for Sat-Sun, into Monday.
Pass the tanning butter.

[johnnyvegas13]

Will buff cold b an edge v pats tho??

[Eddy Munny]

Will buff cold b an edge v pats tho??

No, Buffalo plays a warm weather brand of football. They are horrible running the ball, their best run game is Allen scrambling.

[stevenash]

I think niners and one other surprise dog win

Not if Dallas wins the turnover battle.
If Dallas plays mistake free, SF will never be in it.
Thing is you just know Zeke will put the ball on the ground or Dak will get picked or something dopey.

I think Dallas wins but won't bet it, they always do something stupid.
They had no business winning that Pats game earlier this year despite McCarthy just begging to give that game away.

[Eddy Munny]

Dallas also played last Saturday so one could argue they have an extra day of rest/prep on the Niners.

That game is a coin flip, but if the Cowboys are one and done it would be a massive disappointment, nobody really bats a lash if SF is one and done... This is probably of greater importance to the Dallas franchise and how they approach the offseason based on what happens.

[retard]

The amount of money that are going to be bet on these games alot of them will be traps.

[thomorino]

Dallas also played last Saturday so one could argue they have an extra day of rest/prep on the Niners.

That game is a coin flip, but if the Cowboys are one and done it would be a massive disappointment, nobody really bats a lash if SF is one and done... This is probably of greater importance to the Dallas franchise and how they approach the offseason based on what happens.

Theyd get an extra day of preparation anyways since they aren't traveling since they are at home. No one is practicing much this late in the year though with covid and injuries so I doubt it matters.

[thomorino]

The amount of money that are going to be bet on these games alot of them will be traps.

The books will get good 2 way action on almost every game, the lone will go where the money goes

[Eddy Munny]

Theyd get an extra day of preparation anyways since they aren't traveling since they are at home. No one is practicing much this late in the year though with covid and injuries so I doubt it matters.

Well yeah, but travel for road teams is always factored into the line and the minds of bettors, so that's nothing out of the ordinary. The fact that the Cowboys played last Saturday and the Niners Sunday is more of a unique situation worthy of consideration.

Preparation doesn't necessarily mean "practice" it could entail gameplanning, all these players have tablets now to communicate with staff virtually... If nothing else, it's an extra day of rest. Also, you have to remember the Niners played a hard fought game that went to overtime and the Cowboys were resting starters in the fourth quarter.

[thomorino]

Well yeah, but travel for road teams is always factored into the line and the minds of bettors, so that's nothing out of the ordinary. The fact that the Cowboys played last Saturday and the Niners Sunday is more of a unique situation worthy of consideration.

Preparation doesn't necessarily mean "practice" it could entail gameplanning, all these players have tablets now to communicate with staff virtually... If nothing else, it's an extra day of rest. Also, you have to remember the Niners played a hard fought game that went to overtime and the Cowboys were resting starters in the fourth quarter.

You can look at it either way. Niners played what was a playoff game for them last week so they will be better prepared here than Dallas, who beat up on th Eagles third stringers, or you can argue th 49ers will be worn down.

The fact the Cowboys played Saturday is clearly in the line as much as as the travel situation. History suggests that the 49ers are coming in a better position since they had to win to get in so they are already playing with playoff intensity. Usually teams that have to win at the end of the season to get into the playoffs, like the Ravens and Packers when they won the super bowl, do well on the playoffs.

I'm on the under in this game, I view the side as a cook flip, Dak arm Garrapollo have both been garbage most of the second half of the season, the 49er secondary has struggled though too.

[Art Vandelay]

42 games is too small a sample size to draw any big conclusion, seems bizarre to me that the data would be cut off at 2017 when wild card games have been going on for decades.

It also different this year since there is only 1 bye.

This stat goes back 19 years...

"Home favorites of seven or fewer points are just 14-28-1 ATS in the wild card round since 2003."

Always a pretty strong trend but even stronger the past 4 seasons.

[thomorino]

This stat goes back 19 years...

"Home favorites of seven or fewer points are just 14-28-1 ATS in the wild card round since 2003."

Always a pretty strong trend but even stronger the past 4 seasons.

19 years but only 43 games, again, a very small sample size

[stevenash]

This stat goes back 19 years...

"Home favorites of seven or fewer points are just 14-28-1 ATS in the wild card round since 2003."

Always a pretty strong trend but even stronger the past 4 seasons.

First weekend of playoff games dogs usually bark.

Except for the Bears last year, every game was close.

[trobin31]

You're not very bright. If you had any inference ability whatsoever, it would've been apparent to you that I liked the Eagles long before you asked. This wasn't a picks thread per se, but more of a discussion thread for the upcoming games. It's a chance to share ideas/information that may help bettors, myself included, to reach their own conclusions. Merely submitting picks is not a "courageous" act. Someone lied to you lmao.

Eduardo, your inference of the Eagles in initial post implies they are the LEAST dog...”even the Eagles can keep it tight” help me help you...but you r right, I am really really really dum but I am learning every day

[Eddy Munny]

Eduardo, your inference of the Eagles in initial post implies they are the LEAST dog...”even the Eagles can keep it tight” help me help you...but you r right, I am really really really dum but I am learning every day

"Your inference of the Eagles" is a line that doesn't even make sense, but I'll play along.

I said "even the Eagles" because they are, not including the Steelers, the biggest dog on the entire wildcard slate, meaning oddsmakers have priced them as least likely to win outright. Does that make sense? The fact that I have to explain that is alarming.

And I hammered home my position with Philly in subsequent posts, not just the original. Help me help you.

[trobin31]

"Your inference of the Eagles" is a line that doesn't even make sense, but I'll play along.

I said "even the Eagles" because they are, not including the Steelers, the biggest dog on the entire wildcard slate, meaning oddsmakers have priced them as least likely to win outright. Does that make sense? The fact that I have to explain that is alarming.

And I hammered home my position with Philly in subsequent posts, not just the original. Help me help you.

Eddy what is your favorite book? Feels like we’re vibin

[Eddy Munny]

Eddy what is your favorite book? Feels like we’re vibin

I'll give you three, in no particular order.

[trobin31]

I'll give you three, in no particular order.

okay I’m gonna go with Dovstoyevski, Hardy and Thoreau?

[Eddy Munny]

okay I’m gonna go with Dovstoyevski, Hardy and Thoreau?

Never heard of 'em.

[trobin31]

Never heard of 'em.

Brothers Karamazov, best book ever written...you remind me of the brother Ivan

[stevenash]

Brothers Karamazov, best book ever written...you remind me of the brother Ivan

Dostoevsky.
The greatest (IMO) 19th century author.

[trobin31]

Dostoevsky.
The greatest (IMO) 19th century author.

Agreed, many feel it’s a religious ode but Dostoevsky tapped into something very early in the west later by Heidegger, Sartre and Camus about the absurdity of life and the power of living each and every moment as with bringing happiness to others or with a serene inner focus. Of course Asians understood this for centuries beforehand