Weekly NFL Suicide Discussion

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  • Goat Milk
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-24-10
    • 25850

    #1
    Weekly NFL Suicide Discussion
    Would be interesting to see what everyone is on each week. We already start off with a tough week 1.
    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
  • iwantcougars
    SBR MVP
    • 09-29-09
    • 2156

    #2
    rams and with spread denver -2.5 would be my choice
    Comment
    • Goat Milk
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-24-10
      • 25850

      #3
      Originally posted by iwantcougars
      rams and with spread denver -2.5 would be my choice
      hmmm. its just a pk so spreads do not matter
      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
      Comment
      • trobin31
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-09-14
        • 9853

        #4
        Carolina
        Comment
        • Buckandadime
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-21-15
          • 8847

          #5
          Teasing Miami & Buffalo..
          Comment
          • iwantcougars
            SBR MVP
            • 09-29-09
            • 2156

            #6
            Originally posted by Goat Milk
            hmmm. its just a pk so spreads do not matter
            there are 2 modes of suicidal/survival
            Comment
            • JIBBBY
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-10-09
              • 83691

              #7
              Well Cowboys surprised last night and covered. Dak looked like a world beater. Who knows what happens in week one after that game last night?

              First couple weeks of the season should be a feel out process for betting IMO. Week 3 then attack.
              Comment
              • 1sob
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-20-11
                • 538

                #8
                Carolina would be my pick but I decided to go with the Broncos
                Broncos D will be solid and teddy will have lots of offensive weapons to throw at
                ITs a 50/50 thats why they call it gambling
                Comment
                • Madison
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-16-11
                  • 6397

                  #9
                  Originally posted by trobin31
                  Carolina
                  I'm in 2 pools. One single elimination , larger pool (600-800 entries) with $25 buyin. I'm just trying to survive wk1. Have 8 picks.

                  My 2nd pool , Double elimination, $50 buyin, but the rebuys are only $20 for the first 4 weeks. This is a smaller pool but seems like a no-brainer to use as many teams as you can that you have little use for later.

                  With all that being said, I'm leaning pretty strongly toward CAR with my 2 entries.
                  Comment
                  • Madison
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-16-11
                    • 6397

                    #10
                    Originally posted by 1sob
                    Carolina would be my pick but I decided to go with the Broncos
                    Broncos D will be solid and teddy will have lots of offensive weapons to throw at
                    ITs a 50/50 thats why they call it gambling
                    Plenty of places to use DEN later, makes no sense to me to use them on the road. One of my cardinal rules as avoiding road picks as much as you can.
                    Comment
                    • carolinakid
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-12-11
                      • 19106

                      #11
                      in the nfl bet less games and stay away from parlays with your own money.........
                      Comment
                      • Goat Milk
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 03-24-10
                        • 25850

                        #12
                        Originally posted by iwantcougars
                        there are 2 modes of suicidal/survival
                        Pick 1 team thats it no spreads nothing for me
                        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                        Comment
                        • trobin31
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-09-14
                          • 9853

                          #13
                          Originally posted by 1sob
                          Carolina would be my pick but I decided to go with the Broncos
                          Broncos D will be solid and teddy will have lots of offensive weapons to throw at
                          ITs a 50/50 thats why they call it gambling
                          I have broncos ml , grabbed it early...only concern is so close to 9/11
                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #14
                            Originally posted by trobin31
                            I have broncos ml , grabbed it early...only concern is so close to 9/11
                            Subtly, quietly, one of the sharpest posts I've seen in a while.
                            Comment
                            • Art Vandelay
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-11-06
                              • 6682

                              #15
                              SF and LAR for Survivor - almost too easy and obvious. After what we saw Thursday, an upset wouldn't shock me. Week 1 always dicey...
                              Comment
                              • Grosshhit
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-10-09
                                • 673

                                #16
                                Browns moneyline. No discussion needed.
                                Comment
                                • Goat Milk
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 03-24-10
                                  • 25850

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Grosshhit
                                  Browns moneyline. No discussion needed.
                                  You're using browns as ur suicide pick? If they lose, that's it, your season is over.
                                  Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                  Comment
                                  • trobin31
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-09-14
                                    • 9853

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Grosshhit
                                    Browns moneyline. No discussion needed.
                                    Is revenge angle or just a homer I know my team play?
                                    Comment
                                    • Madison
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-16-11
                                      • 6397

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                      Would be interesting to see what everyone is on each week. We already start off with a tough week 1.
                                      Would love some serious survivor folks in here.

                                      I'm 8-0 in a 800 entry pool with 20% gone week1. In pole position heading to week 2.

                                      Looking at SEA/KC/CLV/PIT/TB

                                      2-0 in smaller pool with rebuy. Used CAR for 2 picks.
                                      Comment
                                      • jjgold
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 07-20-05
                                        • 388189

                                        #20
                                        Kc ml
                                        Comment
                                        • SamsNCharge99
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-22-08
                                          • 41242

                                          #21
                                          WEEK 2

                                          Have to think Browns, GBAY, TBAY will be the big 3

                                          Browns in my mind are way too high priced even against Houston. I want them to win and look as they did week 1 and I will take Browns week 3 against Bears at home

                                          GBAY coming off embarrassing loss against Saints. But will the real Packers show up week 2? We know Lions aren't good, so we shall see. Gamble pic, but still somewhat safe

                                          TBAY no objections. Really just strategy, if you want to use them early week 2 or hold them for later

                                          the long term issue with holding is if you are eliminated then you held for no reason

                                          I personally have 2 entries and rolling with GBAY and TBAY
                                          Comment
                                          • Madison
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-16-11
                                            • 6397

                                            #22
                                            In my rebuy pool I'm actually thinking of splitting CIN/CHI between my 2 picks and suffering the $20 rebuy on 1 of the 2. Neither has much EV to me.

                                            In my bigger pool considering CLV for 3, GB for 1, SEA for 1, maybe PIT for 1, and possibly using most of my TB for 2. Also AZ for 1 or more, any thoughts here?

                                            Regarding TB, saving for later can be great but one Brady injury and who knows??

                                            My gut says CLV wins but I'm not sure exactly how easily. OL a mess?
                                            Comment
                                            • klemopixx
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-02-14
                                              • 3806

                                              #23
                                              Fading the Falcons is a viable strategy in my opinion. Arthur Smith is an idiot, some of the worst play calling after the 1st qtr that I've ever seen. They made zero adjustments in the 2nd half and Philly just beat on Matty Ice. TB is an absolute lock here and I'm not hesitating giving up the 12.5, this is going to be a blowout.
                                              Comment
                                              • Snowball
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 11-15-09
                                                • 30042

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by klemopixx
                                                Fading the Falcons is a viable strategy in my opinion. Arthur Smith is an idiot, some of the worst play calling after the 1st qtr that I've ever seen. They made zero adjustments in the 2nd half and Philly just beat on Matty Ice. TB is an absolute lock here and I'm not hesitating giving up the 12.5, this is going to be a blowout.
                                                ML less than -1000 by game time cannot be justified.
                                                Line is not high, either. Remember they would have covered against Dallas if not for one stupid unnecessary fumble
                                                from yet another receiver that wants the TD for himself more than for the team.

                                                Whales will continue pushing the ML up, should be -14.

                                                Let us be sensible. They can win by 28+.

                                                The injuries in the secondary are probably going away too. We'll see tomorrow.
                                                Comment
                                                • trobin31
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-09-14
                                                  • 9853

                                                  #25
                                                  Patriots
                                                  Comment
                                                  • trobin31
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-09-14
                                                    • 9853

                                                    #26
                                                    I agree, week 3 is tough, better to save the Browns
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Madison
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-16-11
                                                      • 6397

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                                      Kc ml
                                                      From Docsports:

                                                      if the Raiders can hang 34 on the Ravens’ defense, what will the Chiefs do? Not to mention, the Ravens will be gassed from that OT game and now come back across the country for another prime-time game. This is a great spot for KC.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Madison
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-16-11
                                                        • 6397

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by klemopixx
                                                        Fading the Falcons is a viable strategy in my opinion. Arthur Smith is an idiot, some of the worst play calling after the 1st qtr that I've ever seen. They made zero adjustments in the 2nd half and Philly just beat on Matty Ice. TB is an absolute lock here and I'm not hesitating giving up the 12.5, this is going to be a blowout.
                                                        I found $ with TB vs DAL. I think I'm using a good portion of my remaining 5/8 picks on TB and worrying about next week next week.

                                                        I'm all about FV but with a 44 yr old QB you are 1 play from being done.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Madison
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-16-11
                                                          • 6397

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by trobin31
                                                          Patriots
                                                          I'm pretty big on FV. While I like the pick you can get NE later at home against the same NYJ.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • trobin31
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-09-14
                                                            • 9853

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Madison
                                                            From Docsports:

                                                            if the Raiders can hang 34 on the Ravens’ defense, what will the Chiefs do? Not to mention, the Ravens will be gassed from that OT game and now come back across the country for another prime-time game. This is a great spot for KC.
                                                            So jjgold and docsports...hmmmm
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Madison
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-16-11
                                                              • 6397

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by trobin31
                                                              So jjgold and docsports...hmmmm
                                                              LOL
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Madison
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 09-16-11
                                                                • 6397

                                                                #32
                                                                I took WAS in my rebuy pool basically because neither had much FV. Go Skins, OOPS wash team.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • trobin31
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-09-14
                                                                  • 9853

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Madison
                                                                  I took WAS in my rebuy pool basically because neither had much FV. Go Skins, OOPS wash team.
                                                                  I initially took GB but think I’m gonna go Was here as well
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Madison
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 09-16-11
                                                                    • 6397

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by trobin31
                                                                    I initially took GB but think I’m gonna go Was here as well
                                                                    Hey, better to be lucky that good. LOL , hopefully you followed through. I have a 40% rebuy through 4 weeks so I'm rolling the proverbial dice and trying to buy weeks with teams with little FV. Looking at NYG (I know they suxed) and LV week 3.

                                                                    I think I'm mostly looking to advance a week in my larger single elimination pool wk2 and taking TB/CLV and fill in 3rd options. 8-0 right now. Roughly 18K to the winner.

                                                                    Any thoughts on 3rd options SEA/PIT/AZ/NE/GB? As of now in Rodgers I do not trust.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • trobin31
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-09-14
                                                                      • 9853

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Madison
                                                                      Hey, better to be lucky that good. LOL , hopefully you followed through. I have a 40% rebuy through 4 weeks so I'm rolling the proverbial dice and trying to buy weeks with teams with little FV. Looking at NYG (I know they suxed) and LV week 3.

                                                                      I think I'm mostly looking to advance a week in my larger single elimination pool wk2 and taking TB/CLV and fill in 3rd options. 8-0 right now. Roughly 18K to the winner.

                                                                      Any thoughts on 3rd options SEA/PIT/AZ/NE/GB? As of now in Rodgers I do not trust.
                                                                      i did change it immediately regretted when i saw how jittery heineke was playing, luckiest survivor ever
                                                                      Comment
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