Hammering your pre game bet via live betting?

[Underdog5229]

So for instance you put some money down on a pre game line (Joeblows Knights -3 ncaabb) half time rolls around and the joeblows are down 5. You capped the shit out of the game, and feel confident you are on the right side of the game.

Is it worth dumping some more cash on it and betting on a live number (+1 or +2) whatever it ends up being offered at?


I had Nevada -5 vs UNLV last night. They were down 5 or 6 at the half and I jumped all over the live Nevada +1 line.

They ended up winning by 10 and both tickets cashed, but in the back of my mind I still question weather this was a smart thing to do by possibly compounding the losses if Nevada didn't show up in the second half.

In the moment I was confident enough to go for it, but wanted to ask the sbr brethren with more experience. Do you slam a better number live if your favorite is getting beat, or your dog is getting crushed more than expected?

[Orbison]

sure, Averaging Down is important to do when the situation applies

in this case, UNLV had lost by 30 in their prior matchup and so them coming out with more effort tonight shouldn't have been a surprise

but they were still missing their best player tonight and despite giving full effort all night, it eventually caught up with them during crunch time in the 2nd Half where shot making becomes critical if you're going to cover a relatively short number like that as a road dog

however, you shouldn't automatically Average Down as a blanket strategy because your original handicap is not always accurate. treat it as a case by case scenario and analyze what's happened in the game thus far to that point

[Jayvegas420]

As long as you are betting the halftime line and getting -110, I see nothing wrong with this, betting in-play can become difficult because of the heavy juice they charge. Bet365 typically takes $0.20 on either side of their in play-action but some Wagers are $0.30 on both sides of the action and this is virtually impossible for any professional to stay ahead of.

[pologq]

sure, Averaging Down is important to do when the situation applies

in this case, UNLV had lost by 30 in their prior matchup and so them coming out with more effort tonight shouldn't have been a surprise

but they were still missing their best player tonight and despite giving full effort all night, it eventually caught up with them during crunch time in the 2nd Half where shot making becomes critical if you're going to cover a relatively short number like that as a road dog

however, you shouldn't automatically Average Down as a blanket strategy because your original handicap is not always accurate. treat it as a case by case scenario and analyze what's happened in the game thus far to that point

well said

[jjgold]

There’s no such thing as handicapping the hell out of a game a pointspread is a random event as far as winning or losing money, there’s too many variables not involved in handicapping that Determine a side of a point spread

[ChocMilk23]

Yes but I wouldnt have done it for +1... Nice cash tho

[Underdog5229]

There’s no such thing as handicapping the hell out of a game a pointspread is a random event as far as winning or losing money, there’s too many variables not involved in handicapping that Determine a side of a point spread

coach you fuk, we're not pulling numbers out of a hat here. Get with the program.

Thanks for the responses fellas, makes sense to me and I appreciate the insight.

[jtoler]

define capping the shyt out of it, them winning by 30 against the same team the day before? game was tied with 2:36 left, surely your stomach was turning at that point

[d2bets]

Sure, but just look at it as a new, separate bet. And line shop hard because you can find serious differences at the half.

I also took Nevada ML (+106) at the half yesterday.

[jjgold]

define capping the shyt out of it, them winning by 30 against the same team the day before? game was tied with 2:36 left, surely your stomach was turning at that point

There is no such thing as that term, guy trying to cape for hrs vs a coinf flipper has the same exact % to win a bet

[Underdog5229]

define capping the shyt out of it, them winning by 30 against the same team the day before? game was tied with 2:36 left, surely your stomach was turning at that point

never gave much if any weight to them pounding the same team the night before. The number fit my strategy and I trusted it enough to hit the live +1 as well.

also doesn't hurt that unlv is awful, always a plus

[d2bets]

There is no such thing as that term, guy trying to cape for hrs vs a coinf flipper has the same exact % to win a bet

So everyone has the exact same percentage to win every bet? Then why do some people win while others lose?

For example, James Madison (v. Elon) opened at -7 and now it's -9.5. Are you saying James Madison -7 or Elon +7 is 50/50 coin flip and James Madison -9.5 and Elon +9.5 is also 50/50 coin flip?

[jjgold]

Nobody wins son

[d2bets]

Nobody wins son

I'm happy to be a nobody.

[jtoler]

never gave much if any weight to them pounding the same team the night before. The number fit my strategy and I trusted it enough to hit the live +1 as well.

also doesn't hurt that unlv is awful, always a plus

wish I could say the same. I played nevada yesterday, but gotta admit Ive found myself being a little more results oriented with these b2b same team games I now try to avoid them. there were 2 games a few weeks ago where both teams won by 50+ and both lost the next day by 10+ I wouldnt rule out shadiness in some games. I saw one last week involving utah state who many could see were not trying to beat colo. st. the 2nd game as they are horrible actors