If I can get TAMPA BAY BUCS +3.5 .........

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  • homie1975
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-24-13
    • 15289

    #1
    If I can get TAMPA BAY BUCS +3.5 .........
    I think it is an autobet. I would really have no choice IMO

    - KC left tackle out
    - TB playing on home field.
    - TB at QB for TB, and on home field
    - TB from what I can see has the more physical D, and I typically take the more physical D in the SB and it was worked out way more than not.


    However, we have 13 full days until SB Sunday so let's where this line goes.


    Who is on KC minus the points and why ???
  • big joe 1212
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 06-01-08
    • 19380

    #2
    No defense can shut down KC
    Comment
    • Doug tushyterror
      SBR MVP
      • 07-03-12
      • 4172

      #3
      Originally posted by homie1975
      I think it is an autobet. I would really have no choice IMO

      - KC left tackle out
      - TB playing on home field.
      - TB at QB for TB, and on home field
      - TB from what I can see has the more physical D, and I typically take the more physical D in the SB and it was worked out way more than not.


      However, we have 13 full days until SB Sunday so let's where this line goes.


      Who is on KC minus the points and why ???
      You do realize with the advent of buying points you could pretty much get any number you want, don't you?
      Comment
      • pologq
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-07-12
        • 19899

        #4
        Fisher out is big

        i also want to see what happens with Bucs Safeties who are hurt right now
        Comment
        • champlain
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 03-19-14
          • 713

          #5
          I don’t understand how people can bet money against Mahomes and that offense. They have won 25 out of the last 26 games Mahomes played in.
          Comment
          • magpie878
            SBR MVP
            • 10-04-18
            • 1444

            #6
            Originally posted by champlain
            I don’t understand how people can bet money against Mahomes and that offense. They have won 25 out of the last 26 games Mahomes played in.
            If you bet against them (spread bets), you did very well this year.
            Comment
            • swordsandtequila
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-23-12
              • 9763

              #7
              Originally posted by magpie878
              If you bet against them (spread bets), you did very well this year.
              7-9 ATS this year, 8-10 counting playoffs
              Comment
              • Seaweed
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 01-19-12
                • 26320

                #8
                Will be a Super blowout

                27-6 for KC at half
                Comment
                • swordsandtequila
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-23-12
                  • 9763

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Seaweed
                  Will be a Super blowout

                  27-6 for KC at half

                  Never stop being you, Seadweeb. Please
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388208

                    #10
                    Guys that lost everything telling us about auto bets
                    Comment
                    • navyblue81
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-29-13
                      • 4142

                      #11
                      Originally posted by big joe 1212
                      No defense can shut down KC
                      Last week I heard no defense could shut down GB. In ‘99, I heard no defense could shut down StL. In ‘02, it was no defense could shut down Oak.

                      What do they all have in common? The Bucs pass rush. When you can get to the passer and rattle them, you can shut anyone down, and some of those offenses above were hailed as better than KC.
                      Comment
                      • navyblue81
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-29-13
                        • 4142

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Seaweed
                        Will be a Super blowout

                        27-6 for KC at half
                        Dude put down the crack pipe. They struggled to beat TB in Nov and I think TB is a lot better now than they were then. And they have Vea back.
                        Comment
                        • homie1975
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-24-13
                          • 15289

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                          You do realize with the advent of buying points you could pretty much get any number you want, don't you?
                          too much juice buying off of 3 in the Niffel, it's something like -20 give or take, just to buy that half point.
                          Comment
                          • DwightShrute
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-17-09
                            • 101284

                            #14
                            It should be close. Flip a coin.

                            Comparing positions:


                            QB = KC
                            TE = KC
                            WR = TIE
                            RB = TIE
                            D LINE = TIE
                            O LINE = TB
                            CB/SAFETY/DB = KC
                            LB = TIE
                            K = TIE
                            SPECIAL TEAMS = KC


                            All are very close. Everything says KC wins a close game.
                            Comment
                            • pologq
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-07-12
                              • 19899

                              #15
                              Originally posted by DwightShrute
                              It should be close. Flip a coin.

                              Comparing positions:


                              QB = KC
                              TE = KC
                              WR = TIE
                              RB = TIE
                              D LINE = TIE
                              O LINE = TB
                              CB/SAFETY/DB = KC
                              LB = TIE
                              K = TIE
                              SPECIAL TEAMS = KC


                              All are very close. Everything says KC wins a close game.
                              there are some ties there that could go to the Bucs honestly (WR, D Line imo). it is a really good matchup.
                              Comment
                              • navyblue81
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-29-13
                                • 4142

                                #16
                                Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                It should be close. Flip a coin.

                                Comparing positions:


                                QB = KC
                                TE = KC
                                WR = TIE
                                RB = TIE
                                D LINE = TIE
                                O LINE = TB
                                CB/SAFETY/DB = KC
                                LB = TIE
                                K = TIE
                                SPECIAL TEAMS = KC


                                All are very close. Everything says KC wins a close game.
                                I’d give DL to TB. They gave Rodgers hell yesterday and have Vea back. That’s huge. Vea is one of best lineman in NFL. Also would give
                                LB edge to TB...Barrett, David and White is one of best units in league.
                                Comment
                                • pilebuck13
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 05-15-15
                                  • 17920

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                  It should be close. Flip a coin.

                                  Comparing positions:


                                  QB = KC
                                  TE = KC
                                  WR = TIE
                                  RB = TIE
                                  D LINE = TIE
                                  O LINE = TB
                                  CB/SAFETY/DB = KC
                                  LB = TIE
                                  K = TIE
                                  SPECIAL TEAMS = KC


                                  All are very close. Everything says KC wins a close game.
                                  Let’s see how the kid handles the moment of back to back and beating the goat he could be built for this moment he could fukin crumble hard to say really
                                  Comment
                                  • DwightShrute
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-17-09
                                    • 101284

                                    #18
                                    You guys all make great points for sure.

                                    If TB gets Antonio Brown back in time that could flip to TB but its close at every position really. And the LB's for TB have been playing amazing lately. I should have given the edge to TB there. Not enough coffee yet
                                    Comment
                                    • pologq
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-07-12
                                      • 19899

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                      You guys all make great points for sure.

                                      If TB gets Antonio Brown back in time that could flip to TB but its close at every position really. And the LB's for TB have been playing amazing lately. I should have given the edge to TB there. Not enough coffee yet
                                      it is all very close
                                      Comment
                                      • navyblue81
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-29-13
                                        • 4142

                                        #20
                                        If I’m Tampa, I’m worried about Hill and that fast pace offense. They torched the Bucs with Hill earlier this season. He’s just hard to contain. If Whitehead is out, that’s a major blow to the Bucs secondary. Winfield should be back. His injury wasn’t too serious. Still, I just don’t know if they can stop Hill.

                                        If I’m KC, I’m worried about the pass rush of Tampa, especially with their LT out. The Bucs played the Chiefs close in Nov because they got to Mahomes in the second half and that was with a healthy OL and a Bucs DL without Vea. If Brady doesn’t throw that INT in the third, the Bucs prolly win that game.
                                        Comment
                                        • homie1975
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-24-13
                                          • 15289

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                          It should be close. Flip a coin.

                                          Comparing positions:


                                          QB = KC
                                          TE = KC
                                          WR = TIE
                                          RB = TIE
                                          D LINE = TIE
                                          O LINE = TB
                                          CB/SAFETY/DB = KC
                                          LB = TIE
                                          K = TIE
                                          SPECIAL TEAMS = KC


                                          All are very close. Everything says KC wins a close game.
                                          sometimes the Sum of the Parts are greater than the indiv matchups.

                                          TB DEFENSE playing very opportunistic ball under TODD BOWLES
                                          Comment
                                          • Doug tushyterror
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-03-12
                                            • 4172

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by homie1975
                                            too much juice buying off of 3 in the Niffel, it's something like -20 give or take, just to buy that half point.
                                            If you really like them +3.5 you're not gonna get a better price than this.
                                            Comment
                                            • pilebuck13
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-15-15
                                              • 17920

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by navyblue81
                                              If I’m Tampa, I’m worried about Hill and that fast pace offense. They torched the Bucs with Hill earlier this season. He’s just hard to contain. If Whitehead is out, that’s a major blow to the Bucs secondary. Winfield should be back. His injury wasn’t too serious. Still, I just don’t know if they can stop Hill.

                                              If I’m KC, I’m worried about the pass rush of Tampa, especially with their LT out. The Bucs played the Chiefs close in Nov because they got to Mahomes in the second half and that was with a healthy OL and a Bucs DL without Vea. If Brady doesn’t throw that INT in the third, the Bucs prolly win that game.
                                              Still got a legendary defensive tackle in suh. They will have to limit mahomes from running the football tho as well. Idk will be a great game to watch I hope curly hair gets a taste of reality
                                              Comment
                                              • homie1975
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-24-13
                                                • 15289

                                                #24
                                                good catch, DOUGer

                                                I am also looking to see who here in SBR wants KC -3.5 and I will consider wagering Bet Points as well.
                                                Comment
                                                • Doug tushyterror
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-03-12
                                                  • 4172

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by homie1975
                                                  good catch, DOUGer

                                                  I am also looking to see who here in SBR wants KC -3.5 and I will consider wagering Bet Points as well.
                                                  Thanks homie, also seeing +4.5 -138 if you're willing to lay a little extra. 28-24 type final seems highly possible.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • big joe 1212
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 06-01-08
                                                    • 19380

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by navyblue81
                                                    Last week I heard no defense could shut down GB. In ‘99, I heard no defense could shut down StL. In ‘02, it was no defense could shut down Oak.

                                                    What do they all have in common? The Bucs pass rush. When you can get to the passer and rattle them, you can shut anyone down, and some of those offenses above were hailed as better than KC.
                                                    What do they have in common? All pocket passers

                                                    Also, Rodgers threw for 348 yards and 3 TD’s. KC has even more weapons.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • navyblue81
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-29-13
                                                      • 4142

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                                      Still got a legendary defensive tackle in suh. They will have to limit mahomes from running the football tho as well. Idk will be a great game to watch I hope curly hair gets a taste of reality
                                                      Yup. I prolly won’t bet thee line bc Im a Bucs fan and never bet on or against my team. I look at props instead. But if I was an outsider, I’d lean Tampa. I also said, though, I’d lean NO vs Tampa and thought GB ML was the play yesterday. Didn’t think Bucs would win. I did bet Scotty Miller over 25.5 yards receiving and 1H over and won it all on one play haha.

                                                      I do think it’s a good matchup for Tampa. Not saying they’re gonna win, but the teams they struggled Against this year were teams like the Rams and Saints, teams that bring DL pressure. The KC D isn’t the kind of D that will shut down the Bucs. Brady and the offense should be able to score some points and I think the Bucs DL can get to #15.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • aveeno
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 11-27-20
                                                        • 284

                                                        #28
                                                        K.C. all the way. Don't overthink this.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • homie1975
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-24-13
                                                          • 15289

                                                          #29
                                                          multiple books hanging 3.5s out there
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jjgold
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 07-20-05
                                                            • 388208

                                                            #30
                                                            The line is going to go to 4
                                                            Comment
                                                            • habitualwinning
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-22-12
                                                              • 1569

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by navyblue81
                                                              Last week I heard no defense could shut down GB. In ‘99, I heard no defense could shut down StL. In ‘02, it was no defense could shut down Oak.

                                                              What do they all have in common? The Bucs pass rush. When you can get to the passer and rattle them, you can shut anyone down, and some of those offenses above were hailed as better than KC.
                                                              Great write up. That 99 Bucs D shut the greatest show on turf down good. Rams were putting up 31, 35, 42 on everybody that season and what did they get that game, 13 iirc. Damn that's a perfect example that anybody can get shutdown if they did. KC O isn't anywhere near as good as that 99 Rams O. HOFers all over QB, RB, top 2 WRs. This game is still damn hard to pick. This is one of the best SB matchups of last 20 years. I think KC is a fg better on a neutral field. This isn't a neutral field like it's supposed to be in a SB.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-03-12
                                                                • 53972

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                                                It should be close. Flip a coin.

                                                                Comparing positions:


                                                                QB = KC
                                                                TE = KC
                                                                WR = TIE
                                                                RB = TIE
                                                                D LINE = TIE
                                                                O LINE = TB
                                                                CB/SAFETY/DB = KC
                                                                LB = TIE
                                                                K = TIE
                                                                SPECIAL TEAMS = KC


                                                                All are very close. Everything says KC wins a close game.
                                                                Originally posted by pologq

                                                                there are some ties there that could go to the Bucs honestly (WR, D Line imo). it is a really good matchup.
                                                                Quit reading thread to comment
                                                                when I was this
                                                                So not sure if anyone mentioned it
                                                                But Bucs win at WR ,
                                                                and sort of easily imo
                                                                This , right now.... is the best group of WR
                                                                Tom Brady has ever thrown to in his entire career
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-03-12
                                                                  • 53972

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Only way it's close ...if you are wanting
                                                                  to be technical about it ....

                                                                  Is if Travis Kelce is counted as receiver
                                                                  and not a tight end .

                                                                  If you are accounting all the possible
                                                                  offensive players who are there to
                                                                  run routes and catch footballs
                                                                  it's pretty close ...but I think still
                                                                  Bucs edge them overall .
                                                                  And if you are only talking strictly WRs
                                                                  Bucs win , and it's not really that close
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • nyplayer33
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 09-27-06
                                                                    • 8314

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Kc was minus 3 vs buffalo and handled them easily. Hard to not go with them. GL
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DrunkHorseplayer
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 05-15-10
                                                                      • 7720

                                                                      #35
                                                                      TB at plus three or nothing.
                                                                      Comment
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