Browns to win SB odds undervalued?

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30058

    #1
    Browns to win SB odds undervalued?
    Browns Superbowl at 50/1, if they win a playoff game this gets easily hedgeable.
    maybe even hedge every step.
    sbr has 80/1.

    team is making the playoffs. you've seen them play. they don't give a f.
  • Hman
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-04-17
    • 21429

    #2
    Pass on this one snow
    Comment
    • stake1
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-19-18
      • 18116

      #3
      Lets say the browns make it in. I do not see anyway the Browns go into Buffalo and win next weekend. But lets say they pull that upset.
      Then they would go to KC, which is the end of the browns season
      Comment
      • edawg
        SBR MVP
        • 07-09-11
        • 2820

        #4
        Will make playoffs. Will lose in the first round. Defense talent wise is in the bottom 3rd of the NFL.
        Comment
        • Snowball
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 11-15-09
          • 30058

          #5
          Originally posted by stake1
          Lets say the browns make it in. I do not see anyway the Browns go into Buffalo and win next weekend. But lets say they pull that upset.
          Then they would go to KC, which is the end of the browns season
          but with these odds you can hedge
          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #6
            Snowy makes a decent point.

            If they win as 10 point faves tomorrow and you are sitting on 50 or even 80 to 1 odds, it's something that can be worked with.

            Shit, you could buy now and start selling back with tomorrow's game.

            Pitt is like +350 or so to win tomorrow.
            Comment
            • Snowball
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 11-15-09
              • 30058

              #7
              Originally posted by KVB
              Snowy makes a decent point.

              If they win as 10 point faves tomorrow and you are sitting on 50 or even 80 to 1 odds, it's something that can be worked with.

              Shit, you could buy now and start selling back with tomorrow's game.

              Pitt is like +350 or so to win tomorrow.
              Just took Browns ML today @ -400 to pay for the SB future.
              Comment
              • RudyRuetigger
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 08-24-10
                • 65084

                #8
                Ok dont let me down snowy


                (these are betpoints)


                SUPER BOWL LV (2021)
                [17] CLEVELAND BROWNS +8000
                664.00 / 53120.00
                Comment
                • GunShard
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-05-10
                  • 10031

                  #9
                  One of these three teams has to be the winner of the 2021 Super Bowl: Chiefs, Packers or Saints
                  Comment
                  • Snowball
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 11-15-09
                    • 30058

                    #10
                    Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                    Ok dont let me down snowy


                    (these are betpoints)


                    SUPER BOWL LV (2021)
                    [17] CLEVELAND BROWNS +8000
                    664.00 / 53120.00
                    SBR max on futes is to win 1000 SBRCOIN
                    but you know this
                    Comment
                    • Snowball
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 11-15-09
                      • 30058

                      #11
                      Originally posted by GunShard
                      One of these three teams has to be the winner of the 2021 Super Bowl: Chiefs, Packers or Saints
                      Comment
                      • RudyRuetigger
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 08-24-10
                        • 65084

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Snowball
                        SBR max on futes is to win 1000 SBRCOIN
                        but you know this
                        why did they let me bet it then?





                        i didnt know this


                        are you saying the bet wont stand?


                        it is listed as pending with that payout





                        Ticket#:4625677
                        Feb 07 01:00 PM
                        Jan 03 09:29 AM TNT SUPER BOWL LV (2021)
                        [17] CLEVELAND BROWNS +8000
                        664.00 / 53120.00
                        Comment
                        • mngambler
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-01-11
                          • 2890

                          #13
                          my as well be 1000 to 1 cause those are the real odds of that sh*t team winning the superbowl anytime soon
                          Comment
                          • Slurry Pumper
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-18-18
                            • 2811

                            #14
                            Not liking the Clowns to win today against the Steelers. They shut down their facility all week and it just looks like a typical Clown choke fest. If however they do somehow get into the playoffs, then the odds snowball back in your favor snowballer. With the line so high today, maybe a hedge right off the bat with the steelers would let you get started with the Clowns Super Bowl dreams.
                            Comment
                            • KVB
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-29-14
                              • 74817

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Snowball
                              Just took Browns ML today @ -400 to pay for the SB future.
                              What did I miss? I know there are other scenarios for Cleveland to make the playoffs, but wouldn't have been better to buy the Cleveland future then put 1/3 of the unit on Pitt to win?

                              Wouldn't that be selling back? If Cleveland wins, they are in the playoffs.

                              Buying the future then "double dipping" on Cleveland -400 means that if Cleveland loses you are out.

                              It's early for me, still drinking some coffee, but did I not think this through? I bought the future then backed it with Pitt +347. I doubt they will be underdogs again.

                              To sell back the future position, dont' we need to bet against Cleveland?
                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #16
                                Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                why did they let me bet it then?





                                i didnt know this


                                are you saying the bet wont stand?


                                it is listed as pending with that payout





                                Ticket#:4625677
                                Feb 07 01:00 PM
                                Jan 03 09:29 AM TNT SUPER BOWL LV (2021)
                                [17] CLEVELAND BROWNS +8000
                                664.00 / 53120.00
                                Here's what I did...

                                Ticket#:4626288
                                Feb 07 01:00 PM
                                Jan 03 12:46 PM TNT SUPER BOWL LV (2021)
                                [17] CLEVELAND BROWNS +8000
                                100.00 / 8000.00
                                Ticket#:4626290
                                Jan 03 01:00 PM
                                Jan 03 12:46 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
                                [109] PITTSBURGH +387
                                51.68 / 200.00
                                If Cleveland loses and get's bounced from the playoffs I win 100 betpoints.

                                If they win I'm committed to 151.68 betpoints and I'll just keep laying against them, I figure 8000 is enough to work with.

                                I figure...lol.

                                Comment
                                • KVB
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-29-14
                                  • 74817

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Snowball
                                  SBR max on futes is to win 1000 SBRCOIN
                                  but you know this
                                  Wait, what???

                                  I don't really use the SBR Book, here are all my SBR bets pending, are you saying two of them are capped at 1k to win?

                                  GameDate Date Placed Sport Description Risk/Win
                                  Ticket#:4574185
                                  Feb 07 01:00 PM
                                  Nov 09 10:24 PM TNT SUPER BOWL LV (2021)
                                  [5] NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +1400
                                  78.08 / 1093.12
                                  Ticket#:4592038
                                  Feb 07 01:00 PM
                                  Nov 29 10:51 PM TNT SUPER BOWL LV (2021)
                                  [5] NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +1400
                                  50.00 / 700.00
                                  Ticket#:4626288
                                  Feb 07 01:00 PM
                                  Jan 03 12:46 PM TNT SUPER BOWL LV (2021)
                                  [17] CLEVELAND BROWNS +8000
                                  100.00 / 8000.00
                                  Ticket#:4626290
                                  Jan 03 01:00 PM
                                  Jan 03 12:46 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
                                  [109] PITTSBURGH +387
                                  51.68 / 200.00
                                  Comment
                                  • pavyracer
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-12-07
                                    • 82839

                                    #18
                                    Maybe if the Superbowl is Browns vs their Practice squad the Browns have a chance to win it all.
                                    Comment
                                    • KVB
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-29-14
                                      • 74817

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                      Here's what I did...

                                      Ticket#:4626288
                                      Feb 07 01:00 PM
                                      Jan 03 12:46 PM TNT SUPER BOWL LV (2021)
                                      [17] CLEVELAND BROWNS +8000
                                      100.00 / 8000.00
                                      Ticket#:4626290
                                      Jan 03 01:00 PM
                                      Jan 03 12:46 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
                                      [109] PITTSBURGH +387
                                      51.68 / 200.00
                                      If Cleveland loses and get's bounced from the playoffs I win 100 betpoints.

                                      If they win I'm committed to 151.68 betpoints and I'll just keep laying against them, I figure 8000 is enough to work with.

                                      I figure...lol.

                                      One last thing. It's possible for Cleveland to lose today and still get in the playoffs, an ideal situation for me...



                                      Browns (vs. Steelers)
                                      • Clinch wild card berth with win OR
                                      • Make playoffs with:

                                      1. Titans loss AND Ravens win OR
                                      2. Titans loss AND Colts win OR
                                      3. Titans loss AND Dolphins win
                                      Comment
                                      • Mac4Lyfe
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-04-09
                                        • 48383

                                        #20
                                        I threw 500 on Browns +8000 to win SB as well. I'm not hedging this game. If they can't beat Pitt today. I deserve to lose.
                                        Comment
                                        • Mac4Lyfe
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-04-09
                                          • 48383

                                          #21
                                          I love the Browns -6.5 first half today.
                                          Comment
                                          • KVB
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 05-29-14
                                            • 74817

                                            #22
                                            If that 100 to win 8000 is capped to win 1000, that sort of ruins the whole plan.

                                            Comment
                                            • RudyRuetigger
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 08-24-10
                                              • 65084

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by KVB
                                              If that 100 to win 8000 is capped to win 1000, that sort of ruins the whole plan.

                                              bro i have 53k on it


                                              it better not be capped at 1k


                                              parlays are capped at 300k but they atleast change the payout to 300k when you go over (there should be a warning that it is capped at 300k and your risk exceeds that
                                              Comment
                                              • KVB
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 05-29-14
                                                • 74817

                                                #24
                                                It's cool Rudy, we can always submit an SBR complaint form if they accepted a bet and refuse to pay it.

                                                Comment
                                                • pimike
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 03-23-08
                                                  • 37140

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                                  If that 100 to win 8000 is capped to win 1000, that sort of ruins the whole plan.

                                                  Where are you getting it’s capped??
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KVB
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                    • 74817

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by pimike
                                                    Where are you getting it’s capped??
                                                    Post #10.

                                                    Happy New Year Mike. Not sure I got a chance to say that to you.

                                                    Comment
                                                    • Snowball
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 11-15-09
                                                      • 30058

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                                      Buying the future then "double dipping" on Cleveland -400 means that if Cleveland loses you are out.
                                                      Bet is already paid for, they were free $ today, Pitt sitting their first string.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Snowball
                                                        Bet is already paid for, they were free $ today, Pitt sitting their first string.
                                                        True, that's why they were 10 point favorites.

                                                        But it seems to counter the nature of your thread.

                                                        You had me doing the maths in my head, I thought I missed something.

                                                        Comment
                                                        • Snowball
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 11-15-09
                                                          • 30058

                                                          #29
                                                          Rudy when I try to increase Bills and Browns SB bets I get this message:

                                                          The Following Error Occurred:
                                                          Amount In Money Line Exceeded. Limit For This Game is 1000.00 SBR.

                                                          this is "to win" 1000. But it seems to let me proceed with Saints at 14/1 for some reason
                                                          Comment
                                                          • KVB
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 05-29-14
                                                            • 74817

                                                            #30
                                                            We didn't get that message Snowy.

                                                            SBR keeping you in check, it seems.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pimike
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 03-23-08
                                                              • 37140

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by KVB
                                                              We didn't get that message Snowy.

                                                              SBR keeping you in check, it seems.
                                                              Nope in for 200 to win 16,000
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RudyRuetigger
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 08-24-10
                                                                • 65084

                                                                #32
                                                                This will bury the book if you are right snowy
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Snowball
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 11-15-09
                                                                  • 30058

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                                  This will bury the book if you are right snowy
                                                                  I'm not calling the Browns to win SB

                                                                  I just said it has value. Make sure you hedge so it's free.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RudyRuetigger
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 08-24-10
                                                                    • 65084

                                                                    #34
                                                                    snowy you are making us all fukkin wonder if this bet is even legal!!?!?!?!?


                                                                    i might sue for pain and suffering....even if browns win it all
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • INVEGA MAN
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-30-08
                                                                      • 6800

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Clev going to lose to the Steelers who are playing without any starters.
                                                                      Comment
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