Let’s talk ncaaFB week 12

[U2.5]

two undefeated teams lose today

[kingdom]

hits same guy in the hands back to back. wow.

[jtoler]

lol at brewer what a bum could see that coming a mile away as he almost threw a pick the play before remove these bums from any conversation whatsoever

[U2.5]

was that the biggest comeback all year in sooners game?

[JayDr3am]

he playyys to win the gaame...lol. sorry about the loss.

lol he played to lose right there. it seems like he just wanted out of the game. no actual coach is making that call. 1:40 left 2pt attempt HB pitch against a loaded box? no wonder people scream rigged all the time.

[asiagambler]

was that the biggest comeback all year in sooners game?

No, UCLA came back from 32 points down against Washington State

[Jawtek82]

VT up 38-0. I think they'll probably cover. LOL.

Still time for you fellas to pound UCLA and get right for the weekend.

Wow. What a terrible miss. I haven't seen Utah play this well all year, or UCLA play this poorly - even in the loss to OU, and they have (until today) been much better since then. Thank God for VT or today would have been a bloodbath. No way did I think UCLA would only score 3 points after averaging 37.5 over the past six weeks. The wise guys knew something here, but I still have no idea what it was.

[asiagambler]

Wow. What a terrible miss. I haven't seen Utah play this well all year, or UCLA play this poorly - even in the loss to OU, and they have (until today) been much better since then. Thank God for VT or today would have been a bloodbath. No way did I think UCLA would only score 3 points after averaging 37.5 over the past six weeks. The wise guys knew something here, but I still have no idea what it was.

Well, just look at who UCLA beat: Stanford when they were down to their 3rd string QB, Arizona State who we now know is way overrated and Colorado who is a terrible team and plays even worse away from home. None of those teams are even remotely close to the level of Utah.

If you've ever seen UCLA QB play, then this was a disaster waiting to happen. Only chance UCLA had to cover was to get their ground game going and that wasn't likely against Utah's DL. UCLA also a very young team, probably first time for many playing at altitude and game was already out of hand but good chance they were going to wear down in the 2nd half.

[bballs84]

Hitting Air Force 2H if anybody interested.. Def the Better team and coach

Hope some people followed.. 2nd straight week we hit a MtN West 2H

[asiagambler]

Hope some people followed.. 2nd straight week we hit a MtN West 2H

You only won because of a 99 yard pick 6

[U2.5]

No, UCLA came back from 32 points down against Washington State

oh yeah i remember that one now. thanks for the answer. What a crazy game. 32 points. that's gotta sting if you had the lead lol

[bballs84]

You only won because of a 99 yard pick 6

Love it or would of pushed.. Colorado St beat down all 2H.. Only reason they scored TD and position for another was 2 huge plays.. This played out right way...

[asiagambler]

Love it or would of pushed.. Colorado St beat down all 2H.. Only reason they scored TD and position for another was 2 huge plays.. This played out right way...

Huge plays are part of Colorado State's passing game. You also neglect that Air Force got 3 of their touchdowns because of "big plays."

Guess which team had more yards of offense?

[bballs84]

It’s an academy yards don’t matter.. Will look at 2H bc I bet it and see they controlled time of possession of 2H.. That’s what they do.. Good coach and program.. Won’t ever trust Mike Bobo leading me to pay window

[asiagambler]

It’s an academy yards don’t matter.. Will look at 2H bc I bet it and see they controlled time of possession of 2H.. That’s what they do.. Good coach and program.. Won’t ever trust Mike Bobo leading me to pay window

They scored exactly 0 points in the 3rd quarter. They scored 21 points in the final 5 minutes which were aided by the 99 yard pick 6. I don't disagree they are better team and better coach. It's just ridiculous to say it played out right way when Colorado State held them in check for about 50 out of 60 minutes

[funnyb25]

USC guy just killed a Cal guy

[bballs84]

They scored exactly 0 points in the 3rd quarter. They scored 21 points in the final 5 minutes which were aided by the 99 yard pick 6. I don't disagree they are better team and better coach. It's just ridiculous to say it played out right way when Colorado State held them in check for about 50 out of 60 minutes

Hey man.. Always respect your opinions.. A good capper.. I got a W.. Watched whole game.. At worse would been push.. A graduate of Fresno so know MTN pretty well.. Always trying to get people money

[asiagambler]

Hey man.. Always respect your opinions.. A good capper.. I got a W.. Watched whole game.. At worse would been push.. A graduate of Fresno so know MTN pretty well.. Always trying to get people money

Thanks. And yes at worst a push but 95% of the time game ends 24-21 and if you did watch the game you know you were lucky to get the W. Don't really want to say any more other than congrats on the W. This game just irritated me the way it played out and irritates me even more that people think it played out the right way

[fecgp40]

Thanks. And yes at worst a push but 95% of the time game ends 24-21 and if you did watch the game you know you were lucky to get the W. Don't really want to say any more other than congrats on the W. This game just irritated me the way it played out and irritates me even more that people think it played out the right way

Air Force covering was the luckiest beat of the year. They had absolutely no business covering that game. Period.

[asiagambler]

Air Force covering was the luckiest beat of the year. They had absolutely no business covering that game. Period.

To be fair, the 2nd half line is a little different story. I think it was Air Force -7. I mean I still think it probably shouldn't have but it wasn't the worst beat in the world that the 2nd half line covered

But the full game line was pretty bad, no disagreement there. Hopefully if you did tail because of me, you took some 1st half too. I did put that in the post and thinking back, I'm not sure why I even bothered with full game since one of the reasons I liked Colorado State in the first place was Air Force best pass rusher Jordan Jackson not playing in the 1st half

[bballs84]

Liked my chances 2H that’s why I didn’t bet game.. Even with pick 6 would have been push otherwise.. Sometimes it’s better to wait it out.. But get it.. Could make argument that Force had pick on final drive, which they did, No review for some reason and could of been screwed by that.. Always works both ways

[asiagambler]

Liked my chances 2H that’s why I didn’t bet game.. Even with pick 6 would have been push otherwise.. Sometimes it’s better to wait it out.. But get it.. Could make argument that Force had pick on final drive, which they did, No review for some reason and could of been screwed by that.. Always works both ways

It should have been reviewed but defender never had full possession of it. So simultaneous possession goes to the receiver. Since they ruled it a catch, I don't see how they can overturn it. It could have been initially ruled a pick but I think it was the receiver that came away with it in the pile anyway.

[bballs84]

Ya but when watching replay defender in position and was initial go getter.. Def worth a review.. Announcers were stunned

[asiagambler]

Ya but when watching replay defender in position and was initial go getter.. Def worth a review.. Announcers were stunned

All true, he got his hands on it first but receiver did a good job of grabbing it too so that both his hands were on the ball when they went to the ground. If the defender and receiver were reversed, they would have ruled it a catch too because it really was simultaneous possession when they came down together. It just looked like defender had more rights to it because it was closer to his body but from what I saw, both had firm grip on the ball and it was actually the receiver that wrestled it away and came away with it in the pile

[fecgp40]

To be fair, the 2nd half line is a little different story. I think it was Air Force -7. I mean I still think it probably shouldn't have but it wasn't the worst beat in the world that the 2nd half line covered

But the full game line was pretty bad, no disagreement there. Hopefully if you did tail because of me, you took some 1st half too. I did put that in the post and thinking back, I'm not sure why I even bothered with full game since one of the reasons I liked Colorado State in the first place was Air Force best pass rusher Jordan Jackson not playing in the 1st half

I just played full game. It's all good though. That kind of crap happens, as frustrating as it is. Had a break even day so if I can survive a bad beat like that and break even, I figure it's not so bad. I think most of us in this thread have been having a good year.

[fecgp40]

All true, he got his hands on it first but receiver did a good job of grabbing it too so that both his hands were on the ball when they went to the ground. If the defender and receiver were reversed, they would have ruled it a catch too because it really was simultaneous possession when they came down together. It just looked like defender had more rights to it because it was closer to his body but from what I saw, both had firm grip on the ball and it was actually the receiver that wrestled it away and came away with it in the pile

No way replay would have overturned that. Receiver did a great job there.

[swordsandtequila]

Okay boys, my bets are in. Scrapped a few leans but still a big card, I ain't scared of no volume! Soccer's on break for Euros so banging NCAA If I go down I'm going down hard No expert, just another hamburger like everyone else. No pain no gain!

12 straight, two 3-team 7pt teasers, and for shits and grins a 5-team totals teaser.

Wisky -14.5 (1.92)
TCU -3 (1.88)
Navy +7.5 (1.92) - one game I wish I'd played early
Memphis -10.5 (1.92)
Kansas St -14 (1.92)
Minny +3/ml (1.96)/(2.40) - 60% spread/40% ml
Hawaii -7 (1.96)
Wyoming +4.5 (1.92)
Wash St -11 (1.92)
Air Force -10 (1.88)
Baylor +10 (1.92)
USC -6 (1.92) - waffled a little on this one, ain't gonna lie

Teaser 1 - Bama/Okie St/UAB 7pt (2.40)
Teaser 2 - So Miss/LSU/Utah 7pt (2.40)

Shits and grins Teaser - Over in Penn St/Clemson/Houston/Ore St/Ore games (4.50)

Have stuff to do so wanted to get my plays in now. Will check in later, good luck with everyones wagers

Good finish to end up positive for the day. TCU/Minny/Wyoming make you wonder why we do this shit, 1pt in each game the difference between 3 losses and 1win/2 pushes. Can't control missed kicks, etc., but my bad losing the extra point late betting Wyoming. On the other hand, a goal line tackle on 4th down saved the Wisconsin cover and that crazy Air Force pick 6 turned a push into a win (almost hate bringing that up, sorry CSU backers). Win some, lose some. Navy and K State were just bad. Really bad

Ore/Ari ruined a clean sweep on the teasers. Should have dropped that game, I knew Arizona was dog shit. Too bad, was a nice payout.

K State killed a little parlay I didn't post, so counting that ended the day up a little over 2.3 units.

Sucks the season is coming to an end, this thread been killing it.

[Tanko]

Great S&T. I am also on Minn.
Here is my card so far this weekend:

• La Tech +2.5 (looking at ML). Upset pick. Bet the spread but think ML likely. Already discussed.
• Virg Tech -5.5 The weakness for V. Tech is passing D but G. Tech is mostly run team and not a very good Offense in general (#116 in tot yds) so their D will be on the field a lot and get worn down by V. Tech. It may take until after half for V Tech to open this up but they will score more easily while G. Tech won't keep up.
• Minn +3 OK. Iowa D is good. Iowa rushing D is exceptionally good. Now that we've got that out of the way. I see Minn passing to win this game. IA passing D can be beat. Obviously Minn is on a roll. Iowa is a little on tilt in "BIG" games. Lost to Mich by 7, Penn St @ Hm by 5, and Wisc by 2. Wisc game probably the best showing for them in these games. So in when compariing Iowa's performance when they play simliar teams they lose by 2-7 pts. I see Minn holding Iowa to around 20 pts. Can Minn score 17 or MORE... Yes.
• Wyom +6.5. I had this as an Upset win. I took the points but should have bet the ML. Wyo runs the ball well and stops the run well. This will mean Utah St has to pass to win IMO. Wyo pass D is not great but good enough to pull this game out. I put Wyo on par with BYU as far as performance level and BYU crushed Utah St (who was at home) by 28 two weeks ago.
• Navy + 9.5. Won't need to discuss. There are are already a lot of comments on this game through various threads/posts.
• USC -6.5 Already commented on above.
• Baylor +10 Already commented on above.

There are a couple of others I'm looking at but, so far I'm more confident in the ones shown here.
Like S&T indicated, I'm also seeing a number of games with value this weekend.

Not a great weekend but not in the ditch either: 4-3

Making bets on games early in the week cost me the La Tech game... Would never have made the bet if I knew suspensions were coming several days later (they may lost anyway) but, sometimes you end up on the "good" side of those events so it all evens out.

[Tanko]

Good job S&T. A positive week.

[swordsandtequila]

Good job S&T. A positive week.

On a side note, used the wrong teams in the contest. Went 3-3 with Navy as my 2x Hope you did okay

[Tanko]

On a side note, used the wrong teams in the contest. Went 3-3 with Navy as my 2x Hope you did okay

Same problem... 3-3 lost 2X bet on La Tech.

[swordsandtequila]

Not too many games I care about today, so here's a few action plays to keep me interested

Carolina -4 (1.95) - sold .5 pt

Two teasers, pay 2.40 each:

Hou/Bal over 44.5
Dal even
Minny -3

NO/TB over 43.5
SF -3
Oak -6

Good luck with your plays today

[2daBank]

Not too many games I care about today, so here's a few action plays to keep me interested

Carolina -4 (1.95) - sold .5 pt

Two teasers, pay 2.40 each:

Hou/Bal over 44.5
Dal even
Minny -3

NO/TB over 43.5
SF -3
Oak -6

Good luck with your plays today

Only thing I played was pats-4

[U2.5]

Only thing I played was pats-4

im on pats -4.5. Hoping I don't lose on the hook

[2daBank]

im on pats -4.5. Hoping I don't lose on the hook

Worst thing that could happen to us is another fg to go up 10. Long as it stays 7 think the d will do the job. Been cool if Brady washed up ass could have took advantage of all this great field position. I don’t care what anyone says, this dudes age is showing big time.

Like the under in the night cap. Dunno how either team scores shit in that game?