~ Capy's 2019 Book-Destroyer Football Thread ~

[Capybara]

Sorry, family shit this morning and had to rush this...

Trying these two plays so far:

Eagles +1, -110 (1x)

Broncos +6, -110 (1x)

I lean the dogs in almost every game this week... should be an interesting one.

[toddsclowns]

As a Birds fan I can’t see how they win today, which means they probably will - like the Broncos play, I just don’t have the balls to do it, think I have Flacco PTSD. On Saints -12 and Bengals +12, as well as a -6/+18 teaser. Best of luck today!

[toddsclowns]

Nice work Capy, playing anything for the 4’s?

[toddsclowns]

Bengals TD called back with 8 seconds left

[Capybara]

Nice work Capy, playing anything for the 4’s?

Thanks, bud, love beating the NFL! 2-0, baby. As of now, nothing for the 4:25's... I'll be watching the Pats so perhaps a 2H play there.

Thread record: 58-40, +18.10x.

[Capybara]

Browns 2H +2.5, -105 (1x)

[Capybara]

That 2H is toast... I liked it too. Leaning Pack tonight, but only leaning as of this moment. Perhaps also leaning to the over, but as of now, no more plays.

[toddsclowns]

FG down 17 with under 3 mins to go, oh and inside NE’s 30. Please, please explain that to me? Well besides it being fixed lol

[Capybara]

FG down 17 with under 3 mins to go, oh and inside NE’s 30. Please, please explain that to me? Well besides it being fixed lol

Yeah, so many chances to cash this play. Oh well, still a profitable day.

Thread record: 58-41, +17.05x.

[alexknyc]

FG down 17 with under 3 mins to go, oh and inside NE’s 30. Please, please explain that to me? Well besides it being fixed lol

Down three scores. They took the one they could get immediately.

[Capybara]

Having a tough time deciding on side or total tonight... Going with this prop:

J. Smith-Schuster over 60.5 rec yards, -120 (1x)

I like the over 4.5 receptions too, but don't want to overdo it. All he needs is one or two long ones and this one should be good.

[Capybara]

Cash it.

Thread record: 59-41, +18.05x.

[Capybara]

Welcome to NCAA Week 10/ NFL Week 9, boys and girls. Let’s get over the +20-unit mark this weekend!

One NFL play I locked already:

Buccaneers +5.5, -110 (1.5x)

As for tonight, NFL-wise, that’s a tough one. Maybe I come up with an angle, but just as likely not. NCAA-wise, tossing my hat into the ring with the Eagles of Georgia Southern! Almost played the under as well but it’s fallen a bit too much for my liking.

Georgia Southern +14.5, -110 (1x)

Happy Halloween!

[Capybara]

Love the easy cashers.

Thread record: 60-41, +19.05x.

[Da Manster!]

good work Capy!......I'm in a slump right now after starting off red hot...still up 16 units because most of my plays have been half units...I'm due for one of my potent hot streaks starting with the big teaser play this Saturday.

[Capybara]

good work Capy!......I'm in a slump right now after starting off red hot...still up 16 units because most of my plays have been half units...I'm due for one of my potent hot streaks starting with the big teaser play this Saturday.

Thanks, Manster!

Nothing wrong with your +16x, and I'm sure you'll get hot again. Always enjoy checking out your mega teasers.

[Capybara]

Two early plays:

Northern Illinois -1.5, -110 (1x)

Michigan -21 (1x)

Will probably have two to four more today, still ironing out. Good luck today!!

[Capybara]

Adding:

Nebraska/ Purdue under 57.5, -110 (1x)

[Hman]

GL today

[Capybara]

More plays:


Air Force -16.5, -105 (1x)


UNLV +7.5, -105 (1x)


Georgia -6, -110 (1x)


Tennessee -12.5, -105 (1x)

[Capybara]

Okay, if Tennessee can keep it rolling, then I'd be at 3-4, -1.30x today... Assuming that does occur, going to try and lock in a profitable day with this last one:

BYU +3.5, -115 (1.5x)

For some reason my book is offering the hook, so I'm gladly taking it... But hopefully it won't matter anyway, I think BYU wins this one.

[Capybara]

You know what, the more I look at the late-night degen chase play, I actually really like the Rainbow Warriors. It's not your father's Fresno State they're facing, I don't think the Bulldogs hold up for 60 minutes against the Hawaii air attack. Play #9 for today:

Hawaii -2, -110 (1x)

Let's finish the day with some winners and take home some profit.

[Capybara]

Well that was one crazy Late Nite Special game. Thought we had it at the half. Oh well, today was only a minor ding to the bankroll. 4-5, -0.90x.

Thread record: 64-46, +18.15x.

For NFL, I previously posted Bucs +5.5 for 1.5x. I'll be back later this morning with the rest. No play in the London game.

[Capybara]

What an interesting NFL card this week... tough as nails. Should be some good games on tap. Can barely find a single thing I like; for that matter, I don't love the one Bucs play I already made, lol. At least I beat the current line by 1.5, though.

My leans in the early games would be to take the points with the Titans, Bears, and Chiefs, and to lay the point with the Steelers. But just my leans and thus far not making any early plays.

[Capybara]

Had meant to be on the Fins/Jets over, so will grit my teeth now and try the 2H...

Jets/ Dolphins 2H over 22.5, -110 (1x)

[Capybara]

No more 2H darts. The next time I even think about placing one, I'm locking myself in the closet...

So for the late games, I'm wanting to fire on the Browns, but it feels sooo square... they certainly haven't earned my money. Right now I still only have this Buccanneers play. What are you guys liking?

[vigster]

No more 2H darts. The next time I even think about placing one, I'm locking myself in the closet...

So for the late games, I'm wanting to fire on the Browns, but it feels sooo square... they certainly haven't earned my money. Right now I still only have this Buccanneers play. What are you guys liking?

Looking at Browns ML and TB +5

Still up in the air about late game....

[Capybara]

Adding the Bucs team total over:

Buccaneers TT over 23.5, -115 (1x)

[Capybara]

Disgusting beat on the Bucs. Can't just lose by 3 in regulation... have to get the missed Seattle FG/ OT/ Lose toss/ Give up 6.

At least won the TT over.

Thread record: 65-48, +16.4x.

Looking at the night game now... I had been thinking under, but it's moved a couple of points, so ugh... Let's see what else we've got here.

[Capybara]

Pats -3, -110 (1x)

Pats 1H -1, -110 (1x)

[Capybara]

Lol, I picked the perfect night for my first Pats homer plays in here, huh? I swear I do this every year... Pats go like 17-2 ATS and I'm always on them on the L's. You'd think I'd have a better feel for the home team.

Ah well. Plenty of football left for profiting.

[Capybara]

Did my reverse-jinx post work?! Game would be tied at the half if White doesn't trip on his way into the end zone! The 1H play falls, but at least the prime-time wash is now in play. Tempted to push things with the 2H... Ugh. Must... resist... try... to resist...

[Capybara]

Ah well, can't win every weekend.

Thread record: 65-50, +14.20x.

Probably didn't need the double shot of Pats, but was steaming from the Bucs beat. Anger always leads to poor decisions.

Of course Brady goes way over the number on completions, which was my favorite prop of the night. Grrr...

[Renegades]

Tampa had no business losing. I knew as soon as seattle won the coin toss the game was over. TB pass defense is atrocious. And Wilson thrives in those situations

[Capybara]

Tampa had no business losing. I knew as soon as seattle won the coin toss the game was over. TB pass defense is atrocious. And Wilson thrives in those situations

Agreed. As soon as Myers misses his kick, I knew there was a 50-50 chance of immediate doom with the 6-point loss. And that they wouldn't "set up for a field goal" since they'd just missed one.