Originally posted by Razz_Donkey
To answer your question in relation to the most accurate place to find where the $ are coming in it's a culmination of lots of things for myself.
I feel like the consensus sites are trying to project a perception of where they want you to think the $ are at and find the majority of those numbers inaccurate. Sometimes people think they are fading the public but in fact they are betting with them. Wagerline, Sportsbook, Pregame, Carib, Twominutewarning, etc are all consensus sites usually all projecting different numbers, so depending which one you use it's the luck of the draw which side you think you are on (if that makes sense).
Example: today if you checked Wagerline they were reporting over 65% of the action was on Boston over Atlanta, but by my account I had 40% of the action coming in on Boston. Sportsbook was reporting over 70% on Boston, etc. The only way for myself to figure this out is going straight to the source, which is you guys, covers, eog, betting_talk, insideslant, predict'em, therx, statfox, majorwager, etc. all forums where services are posting their plays, people trying to build a reputation for themselves are posting, people keeping records, having touting contest, etc. all things that make me inclined to think that these are legit opinions and not some fabricated numbers a consensus site wants to project. I felt they were trying to guide me into the wrong direction as my original lean was Atlanta once I picked up on that and was sure more $ were backing the Braves I made a play on the RedSox. Obviously it doesn't work out like that every time. The bigger the card is the harder it is to gauge the $ because so much is spread out over so many games, smaller cards usually are easier to read. Everything is estimated as well, I don't take into account the amounts on each play because people lie about that all the time anyway, I just assume that if I see 5 people to 1 person backing a certain side that the 5 bets outweigh the 1, which can be dangerous.
There are many other things I take into consideration, with player props, team props, adjusted runlines, reverse run lines, etc. all things that generally aren't posted until the following day. So it's a very time consuming process but the only way I can find to get an accurate read. I also have a saying I like to follow "when the bookies make money I make money, when they lose money I lose money" we all know nothing is full proof but I'd rather be on their side any day. Except for when I bet the Orlando Magic Game 5, up 5 with 40 sec left with the ball, I still can't get over that game lol.
ere saying the mets were like a mash unit.the only people that knew the mets players were the die hard fan.
He needs to spend his time doing other things. At least his thread got plenty of reponses. Unfortunately from both sides. All you haters out there FADE US and make your money. Better yet STAY OFF OUR THREAD! I like having a place where I can get advice since I am a relatively new capper. Alright I'm going to look at tonight's 4 games. I hope I can help us hit another parlay. 
