Has anyone ever tried this strategy in baseball?

[pavyracer]

Lets say you have the following lines:

Team A +130
Team A -1.5 +210
Team B -140

Bet one unit on Team A -1.5 +210 and 1.4 units on Team B.

[Matt Rain]

That's called a polish middle and it'll lose unless you get off numbers on each side.

pavyracer is a professional gambler.

[englishmike]

Dear Paves,

I haven't been around for a while, when were you dropped on your head?

Hope you're well.

Regards.

[shhhhh22]

Looks interesting Pavy... any backtesting in this system?

[Matt Rain]

Dear Paves,

I haven't been around for a while, when were you dropped on your head?

Hope you're well.

Regards.

Looks interesting Pavy... any backtesting in this system?

[losturmarbles]

team b wins you net 0
team a wins > 1 you net .7
team a wins by exactly 1 you net -2.4

you'd be better off blindly playing team a -1.5 by itself.

[Mudcat]

Like anything, an anti-middle could theoretically be profitable. You would need a straddle big enough so that it creates a differential that is greater than the push rate on Team A by 1 (in other words, the rate at which you will lose both bets).

There was a time years back when it was close to working for Colorado's home games when the O/U's were like 13. The push rate on a specific team winning by exactly 1 was relatively low and if you shopped for good numbers, you could get close to a long-term break even. But it never quite got there.

I won't lie. In my younger more foolish days, I experimented with those. Man it hurt when the middles landed.

Oh, it hurt.

[pavyracer]

So you would rather flip a coin pick a team and either lose one unit or win one rather than guaranteeing profit.

[sickler]

fukkin nonsense