anyone betting on French presidential election? looks unpredictable

[bettingmosquito]

Polls are so f-cked up these days that it could be worth placing a bet at high odds

For those who have access to Betfair, article about the odds : http://easysportbet.co.uk/betting-on...tial-election/

I believe polls are fake one more time so I ll go with a bet on Fillon at 4.5, good odds ( I dont believe French will elect Le Pen, she is the female Trump but the voting process is different to US and Trump would have lost with the french voting system, since less than 50% people voted for him.)

[bettingmosquito]

Results of 1st round today... Fillon odds now at 6.00

[bettingmosquito]

Macron 1.75 and Lepen 4.8

[Foxx]

Seems like a tough one to call. I'm going to sit it out. Good luck on your bet. If I had bet, I'd take Marine Le Pen to win the the first round at 1.9.

[bettingmosquito]

Seems like a tough one to call. I'm going to sit it out. Good luck on your bet. If I had bet, I'd take Marine Le Pen to win the the first round at 1.9.

I actually think that is a great bet.
Many analysts believe Macron is overrated and pushed by fake polls, so this price looks nice to me

[Foxx]

It just seems to me she appeals to enough people who are angry to get the highest percentage in the first round but no way 50%. So then she'll wind up advancing to the heads up on May 7 and lose to someone more centrist.

[bettingmosquito]

It just seems to me she appeals to enough people who are angry to get the highest percentage in the first round but no way 50%. So then she'll wind up advancing to the heads up on May 7 and lose to someone more centrist.

Le Pen NOT President is a lock to me, and it is possible to get around 1.22 right now by placing a Lay bet at Betfair.
For me this is value, I know everyone will say Clinton was a lock, but the vote in France works differently. This is a great 22% interest rate paid after 2 weeks.

[DwightShrute]

[DwightShrute]

America and Canada take note: France is voting on a Sunday! That's right ... on Sunday. duh!

[DwightShrute]

She also promised to have a referendum within 6 month where the French want to leave the EU!

She needs to win.

[DwightShrute]

[bettingmosquito]

I can guarantee she won't win, all polls say 40% at best on 2nd round, polls are f-cked up we can all agree on that, but 60% vs 40% is a huge margin at this stage. Polls being wrong by such a margin, it would be hilarious to say the least.

[jjgold]

Pass

[Itsamazing777]

it's not for pros

[dlowilly]

If anyone would lie to pollsters it would be French people

[brooks85]

exciting times for the world, would be amazing to get Nigel, then Brexit, then Trump and hopefully Le Pen.

[Sam Odom]

These days... can not bet with or against POLITICAL Polling data

[DwightShrute]

[DwightShrute]

meanwhile on the streets of Paris

[DwightShrute]

French election results: Macron and Le Pen through to presidential run ...

www.telegraph.co.uk › News



5 mins ago - Why does the French Presidential Election matter to the UK? ... Centrist Emmanuel Macron and far-right leader Marine Le Pen are set to face each other in a May 7 runoff for the Frenchpresidency after coming first and second in Sunday's first round of voting, early projections have .

[dlowilly]

What am I missing with this Trump future?

2020 US Presidential Election
Tue 11/10		41 Donald Trump wins Presidential Election		+235

8:00AM

12 Donald Trump not President on 1/20/21

-110

Long time to tie up money though

[bettingmosquito]

Macron is a lock now

[bettingmosquito]

New odds : Macron 1.14 vs. 7.8.... well that is too much juice now.

Results:
Emmanuel Macron 24.1%Marine Le Pen 21.8%Jean-Luc Mélenchon 19.5%François Fillon 20.0%Benoît Hamon 6.1%Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 4.7%Philippe Poutou 1.1%Jean Lassalle 1.0%François Asselineau 1%Nathalie Artaud 0.7%Jacques Cheminade 0.2%



So basically, you take 24% (Macron) + most of Melanchon votes (let's say 14% to be kind with Le Pen), + 6% (Hamon), + half of Fillon (10%) = 54%
Macron can't lose.

[Foxx]

You were probably right, best bet earlier was Le Pen not to be next president at the odds earlier today before the results were in.

[PromiseLand]

Good night Le Pen. Come get your free money folks: You can still get 21% ROI betting No on Le Pen right now on PredictIt.

[jjgold]

results good for us a stock market

[DwightShrute]

[lakerboy]

France hasn't been great since Napoleon.

Btw one Adolf Hitler wrote in mein Kampf that France would one day be a Muslim majority nation.

[DwightShrute]

Macron is a lock now

famous last words.

[d2bets]

France hasn't been great since Napoleon.

Btw one Adolf Hitler wrote in mein Kampf that France would one day be a Muslim majority nation.

Just another thing Hitler got wrong.

[d2bets]

famous last words.

The betting odds were also tilted, but those were not the betting odds.

This situation does seem very different, but until it happens there is no convincing. We'll see.

[bettingmosquito]

again, Trump was not winning in France as the vote counting system is different, IIRC it was Clinton 51%/Trump 49%.

famous last words.

[BigdaddyQH]

Anyone wagering on politics is a fool. My guess is that fewer than 1% of the people in here know what is really happening in the world.

[lakerboy]

Anyone wagering on politics is a fool. My guess is that fewer than 1% of the people in here know what is really happening in the world.

You ain't one of them

[DwightShrute]

Anyone wagering on politics is a fool. My guess is that fewer than 1% of the people in here know what is really happening in the world.

I bet just over $300 last US general election and won just over $9300

Happy fool