JayRow's World Famous Hockey Picks

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  • JayRow
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-13-09
    • 871

    #36
    Originally posted by Jayvegas420
    Great thread.
    Take a look at the Rangers game to stay under tonight.
    Let me know what you think about that.
    Also tomorrow night my bet of the week in the NHL is the San Jose game to go over. San Jose is played in 13 unders this season. Yet their goaltending is not great and they seem as offensively charged as they were last year. Expecting that total to balance out tomorrow night.
    Thank you sir. Unfortunately the results have been sub-par to date, but we are certainly not getting buried and I am confident still the hot streak will come. The season is still early and discipline is paying off right now.

    I will take a look at your play tomorrow. As you may notice, I don't play many overs.. I just haven't had success in identifying what the underlying signals of overs are. I'll put some time in tomorrow.

    Today'a RESULTS:

    1-1-2, -0.5 units.
    Comment
    • Goat Milk
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-24-10
      • 25850

      #37
      Originally posted by Jayvegas420
      Great thread.
      Take a look at the Rangers game to stay under tonight.
      Let me know what you think about that.
      Also tomorrow night my bet of the week in the NHL is the San Jose game to go over. San Jose is played in 13 unders this season. Yet their goaltending is not great and they seem as offensively charged as they were last year. Expecting that total to balance out tomorrow night.
      Arizona is the worst team in the NHL. Better off taking San Jose to score 3 goals by themselves tbh. Arizona can easily score 0 or 1, especially after one of their best playmakers just got injured
      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
      Comment
      • JayRow
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 02-13-09
        • 871

        #38
        Oilers 107 risk 2
        Sabres 145 risk 1
        Coyotes 151 risk 1
        Predators 106 risk 1
        Lightning/Flyers u5.5 -125 to win 1
        Oilers/Stars u5.5 -105 to win 1.5
        Comment
        • Jayvegas420
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 03-09-11
          • 28213

          #39
          I was off on the Rangers game.
          Could go 0-2.
          But I still like the SJ over!
          Comment
          • JayRow
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 02-13-09
            • 871

            #40
            Boom. Finally we won in overtime.

            Daily Results : 4-2 , +3.8units

            Season tally coming tomorrow. Cheers!
            Comment
            • crackerjack
              SBR MVP
              • 08-01-06
              • 3366

              #41
              Good picks today. Best of luck Sunday...
              Comment
              • JayRow
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 02-13-09
                • 871

                #42
                Red Wings -150 1u
                Hurricanes/Jets u5.5 -130 2u
                Comment
                • Jayvegas420
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 03-09-11
                  • 28213

                  #43
                  Good that you laid off the Sens.
                  Wish I had.
                  Comment
                  • manny24
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-22-07
                    • 20046

                    #44
                    JayRow good luck with your plays madam

                    Comment
                    • JayRow
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-13-09
                      • 871

                      #45
                      And just like that I am into the black on this thread.

                      Yesterday: 1-1; +0.5 units.
                      Season to Date: 19-22; +0.5 units.

                      Now let's climb the ladder of profit together. I've never run a thread and love to engage with all of you on whatever level we can.. please be cognizant ; i am happy to share NHL tips, but my methodology is math-intensive and its not always black and white why I pick a game.

                      The main point needs to be discipline. I follow an extremely discipline methodology and the results speak for themselves. Bet the game for the amounts posted and follow the growth method. The odds are certainly in our favor we will profit over the course of a season; who can say that?!? Hockey is not NFL and NBA or any of the other sexy betting sports but thats what gives us our advantage.
                      Comment
                      • crackerjack
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-01-06
                        • 3366

                        #46
                        Do you ever bet props? I've had great success betting the props this year. And periods...
                        Comment
                        • JayRow
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-13-09
                          • 871

                          #47
                          Originally posted by crackerjack
                          Do you ever bet props? I've had great success betting the props this year. And periods...
                          No CrackJack I don't bet props. Although I do believe that solid volume is a good weapon in the flat-bettor's arsenal, I am also a believer of core competencies.

                          Data is more widely available for whole games and separating by period is out of my current interests to dig into. Not to mention there are lower limits on periods which don't include it in the long-term plans.
                          Comment
                          • JayRow
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 02-13-09
                            • 871

                            #48
                            Ready to go for today and excited to keep the winning streak rolling. Picks for 11/21/16 are below. As always, favorites to win, underdogs risk.

                            PREDATORS
                            -134 1 UNIT - WIN
                            RANGERS 141 1 UNIT - WIN
                            AVALANCHE/BLUE JACKETS UNDER 5.5 -125 1 UNIT- WIN
                            STARS/WILD UNDER 5.5 -130 1 UNIT - WIN
                            ADDED PLAYS:

                            PENGUINS / RANGERS OVER 5.5 +105 1 UNIT - WIN
                            DEVILS / SHARKS OVER 5 +115 1 UNIT - LOSS

                            Today's conversation can be about expectations. What do you guys want to see by the end of the year, in terms of units won? I think it would be nice to understand expectations.

                            I'll start by saying my goal is 75 units in NHL!

                            Note on the added plays. I spent much time in the past two weeks with brainstorming and proof of concept on a few OVER systems. OVERS are attractive to me in hockey because of the + odds widely available, however, it has been challenging for me to find the right angle. I think i have done so.

                            I believe this will help us moving forward especially if the goalies get their new equipment. Cheers!


                            Comment
                            • crackerjack
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-01-06
                              • 3366

                              #49
                              Originally posted by JayRow
                              No CrackJack I don't bet props. Although I do believe that solid volume is a good weapon in the flat-bettor's arsenal, I am also a believer of core competencies.

                              Data is more widely available for whole games and separating by period is out of my current interests to dig into. Not to mention there are lower limits on periods which don't include it in the long-term plans.
                              I find really good value in betting first to score and score in first 10 minutes and the totals in period betting. Especially when you get second tier goalies going at it. Maybe I've just been lucky, but been following the trends on certain teams and it's been paying off. To each his own though. Too many times the team I've handicapped to win is juiced too high to bet...
                              Comment
                              • JayRow
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 02-13-09
                                • 871

                                #50
                                I added some plays. See above!
                                Comment
                                • JayRow
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 02-13-09
                                  • 871

                                  #51
                                  Going for the throat tonight ladies and gentlemen...
                                  Comment
                                  • JayRow
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 02-13-09
                                    • 871

                                    #52
                                    Yesterday: 5-1; +4.46 units.
                                    Season to Date: 24-23; +4.96 units.

                                    Yeehaw! Now those are the days I am more accustomed to. Let's keep it rolling. If I were like most of the other guys here and played everything "2x" we'd be +10 units through the first month of the season but i don't do that marketing BS!

                                    Today's Plays:

                                    Maple Leafs -130 1 unit - LOSS
                                    Hurricanes/Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 -120 1 unit - WIN
                                    Flyers/Panthers UNDER 5.5 -120 1 unit - WIN


                                    Comment
                                    • Jayvegas420
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 03-09-11
                                      • 28213

                                      #53
                                      Leafs could be trouble this year.
                                      Like the Philli under.
                                      Comment
                                      • crackerjack
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-01-06
                                        • 3366

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by JayRow
                                        Going for the throat tonight ladies and gentlemen...
                                        Nice winning day. Tailing on Toronto.
                                        Comment
                                        • newmarket
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 11-22-16
                                          • 38

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by JayRow
                                          Yesterday: 5-1; +4.46 units.
                                          Season to Date: 24-23; +4.96 units.



                                          Yeehaw! Now those are the days I am more accustomed to. Let's keep it rolling. If I were like most of the other guys here and played everything "2x" we'd be +10 units through the first month of the season but i don't do that marketing BS!

                                          Today's Plays:

                                          Maple Leafs -130 1 unit
                                          Hurricanes/Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 -120 1 unit
                                          Flyers/Panthers UNDER 5.5 -120 1 unit


                                          Good luck with Leafs under. Their last 5 home games have been high scoring
                                          Comment
                                          • JayRow
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 02-13-09
                                            • 871

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by newmarket
                                            Good luck with Leafs under. Their last 5 home games have been high scoring
                                            Welcome to the thread Newmarket. no matter your bet size, I encourage you to jump on board. I'd love to you have you as an active participant and part of the crew I'm forming.
                                            Comment
                                            • JayRow
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 02-13-09
                                              • 871

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by crackerjack
                                              Nice winning day. Tailing on Toronto.
                                              Thanks.. heating up... I guarantee I will be hitting my stride as usual. Over the course of the season the sample size gets too large to hold me down for long.

                                              Shucks I hope the maple leafs pull it off.. 1-1 or 2-1 in our favor going into the third would have been great.. to bad the leafs had to give up a short handed goal at the end of the 2nd.

                                              You know I appreciate your support and contributio to the thread since the beginning, but I'd seriously urge you to jump on board for all picks and not cherry pick. I've been doing this for a long time and know that selecting a handicappers picks can lead to unsatisfying results, and exponentially upsetting because you should be up.

                                              Please take this with all due respect!
                                              Comment
                                              • JayRow
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 02-13-09
                                                • 871

                                                #58
                                                Today: 2-1; +0.7 units
                                                Season To Date: 26-24; +5.66 units
                                                Comment
                                                • crackerjack
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-01-06
                                                  • 3366

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by newmarket
                                                  Good luck with Leafs under. Their last 5 home games have been high scoring
                                                  Don't doubt the world's famous picks! Another winning day by Jay...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JayRow
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 02-13-09
                                                    • 871

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by crackerjack
                                                    Don't doubt the world's famous picks! Another winning day by Jay...
                                                    Yes sir! If not for the shorthanded goal.. we might have had another big night.

                                                    For all those reading, 3 units is a BIG night. I recommend 2-3% of bankroll to be a unit given the volume and relatively flat betting I do.

                                                    Off first glance i believe we will have a lot of action tomorrow. Goodnight.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Bandit
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-24-14
                                                      • 1661

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by JayRow
                                                      Yes sir! If not for the shorthanded goal.. we might have had another big night.

                                                      For all those reading, 3 units is a BIG night. I recommend 2-3% of bankroll to be a unit given the volume and relatively flat betting I do.

                                                      Off first glance i believe we will have a lot of action tomorrow. Goodnight.
                                                      Been following for a week. Some bold moves with your picks Jay. Congrats.
                                                      Tailing along with you.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Notorious_Donk
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-29-11
                                                        • 2689

                                                        #62
                                                        Liking the plays so far Jay. Let's see what this world famous stuff is all about!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JayRow
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 02-13-09
                                                          • 871

                                                          #63
                                                          Yesterday: 2-1; +0.7 units
                                                          Season To Date: 26-24; +5.66 units

                                                          Okay guys. We finally have some good momentum and putting together a string of winning days. Let's keep it going. We do in fact have a lot of plays today and I am thankful for that. Without further adieu..

                                                          Today's Plays:

                                                          Red Wings -109 1 unit - WIN

                                                          Penguins +103 2 units - WIN

                                                          Oilers -119 1 unit - WIN

                                                          Sharks -163 1 unit - WIN

                                                          Devils -133 1 unit - WIN

                                                          Red Wings/ Sabres UNDER 5 -115 1 unit - WIN

                                                          Blues/ Capitals UNDER5 -105 1 unit - LOSS





                                                          Comment
                                                          • kingdom
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 07-25-10
                                                            • 10099

                                                            #64
                                                            just curious because you post plays early. do u take line moves into account at all? lots of late ones in hockey and i think line movement is bigger factor in hockey than most other sports.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JayRow
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 02-13-09
                                                              • 871

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by kingdom
                                                              just curious because you post plays early. do u take line moves into account at all? lots of late ones in hockey and i think line movement is bigger factor in hockey than most other sports.
                                                              No sir I do not. I care what the line is, but not how it moves. Yes, of course I prefer to beat the closing line and I think that's a good sign we have good value in our play. However, I don't make plays based on line movement and frankly think it's a suckers strategy.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JayRow
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 02-13-09
                                                                • 871

                                                                #66
                                                                I smell blood... let's root home the night caps!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JayRow
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 02-13-09
                                                                  • 871

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Hammer time lets go.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Mike Huntertz
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-19-09
                                                                    • 11207

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by JayRow
                                                                    No sir I do not. I care what the line is, but not how it moves. Yes, of course I prefer to beat the closing line and I think that's a good sign we have good value in our play. However, I don't make plays based on line movement and frankly think it's a suckers strategy.
                                                                    Is a topic of discussion, that's for sure!
                                                                    GL
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JayRow
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 02-13-09
                                                                      • 871

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Today's Results: 6-1 ; +6.01 units
                                                                      YTD : 32-25 ; +11.67 units

                                                                      I regret making the title of the thread HOCKEY picks because im sure many are not hockey fans and they won't enjoy the profits
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • dcsbears
                                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                                        • 10-18-10
                                                                        • 88

                                                                        #70
                                                                        wow

                                                                        I must say either you no your shit in hockey or you got really lucky
                                                                        Comment
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