Could The Chicago Cubs Lose 3 Straight At Home In The Playoffs?

**Roscoe_Word** · 10-29-16, 11:11 AM

I don't know how to calculate those odds, but I'd subjectively say about 20% chance of that happening.

**44 Mag** · 10-29-16, 11:14 AM

Why not??? Longest drought in MLB history. Only team to be shut out 4 X in playoffs since 1905. At this point, kind of hope Cleveland sweeps them, at their house. Maybe "Mad"don isn't the great genius everybody thinks he is LOL.
Pretty sad when your best hitter is coming back & hasn't played since April, and now, they won't let him play in the outfield??? Still not 100 % I guess. What a joke if they do blow off this series.

**jjgold** · 10-29-16, 11:33 AM

of course

Cleve was 2nd best team in baseball regular season

**nyplayer33** · 10-29-16, 11:37 AM

Longest drought has zero to do with games in 2016

**d2bets** · 10-29-16, 11:40 AM

When was the last time the Cubs won a series down 2-1?

Oh wait, that was a week ago.

As I said in those many threads, SBR posters are kings of premature ejaculators.

**DOM-Ganador** · 10-29-16, 11:40 AM

Seemed to me last night more little breaks were going Cubbies way.
Indians had so many chances.
Tonight, can the home plate ump keep giving the Cubs pitchers those "suspect" strikes?

I just want to see Theo cry like the little bitch he is.

Let the Cubs win 109 next year, and lose again. Great story line.

**44 Mag** · 10-29-16, 12:01 PM

Originally posted by nyplayer33

Longest drought has zero to do with games in 2016

It was a question in a survey, I gave my answer, what's your answer????

**mcdonae101** · 10-29-16, 12:02 PM

They r done

**44 Mag** · 10-29-16, 12:03 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

When was the last time the Cubs won a series down 2-1?

Oh wait, that was a week ago.

As I said in those many threads, SBR posters are kings of premature ejaculators.

Man, can't even answer a silly question in a silly survey without getting jumped on by the SBR "mobsters".

**d2bets** · 10-29-16, 12:05 PM

Originally posted by Roscoe_Word

I don't know how to calculate those odds, but I'd subjectively say about 20% chance of that happening.

Pretty easy to calculate the odds. It's a parlay of Indians winning Games 4 and 5. Project Game 5 line, mutliply times Game 4 and there's your answer.

20% is too high. Closer to 15%.

**d2bets** · 10-29-16, 12:06 PM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

Man, can't even answer a silly question in a silly survey without getting jumped on by the SBR "mobsters".

See above. There's your answer.

**jtoler** · 10-29-16, 12:06 PM

Was Bartmann there last night, radio guys said he'd throw first pitch or something.

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 10-29-16, 12:25 PM

Originally posted by jtoler

Was Bartmann there last night, radio guys said he'd throw first pitch or something.

it would be great if he did throw out the first pitch

he should flip off the crowd and put an Indians hat on beforehand

**44 Mag** · 10-29-16, 12:59 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

See above. There's your answer.

Aren't you the same guy telling me yesterday, bet the over for as much as you can, you have my word on it?????

THERE'S your answer.

LOL.

"Hit it as hard as you can. You will be able to hedge back some if you want. My personal guarantee."

**Booya711** · 10-29-16, 01:05 PM

as long as they lose the series good....let those fans be in more misery...bartman, billy goat...idiots

**d2bets** · 10-29-16, 01:12 PM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

Aren't you the same guy telling me yesterday, bet the over for as much as you can, you have my word on it?????

THERE'S your answer.

LOL.

"Hit it as hard as you can. You will be able to hedge back some if you want. My personal guarantee."

I was right about the movement. It was 7.5 when I said to hit and it closed U8.5+100. Could have hedged back for free money. My guarantee was that the number would move up, not that it would win.

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 10-29-16, 01:56 PM

I wonder if free tissues are included for those paying $250 to get into the bars near the stadium?

**Roscoe_Word** · 10-29-16, 03:45 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

Pretty easy to calculate the odds. It's a parlay of Indians winning Games 4 and 5. Project Game 5 line, mutliply times Game 4 and there's your answer.

20% is too high. Closer to 15%.

Thanks for sharing that formula, D2B.

Would this be right: Lets say the we knew the CUBS were gonna be (-150) for their next 3 games.

Would that be: .67 X .67 X.67 = .30

So into words that would translate: "There's a 30% chance the CUBS will win 3 straight games."

**d2bets** · 10-29-16, 03:52 PM

Originally posted by Roscoe_Word

Thanks for sharing that formula, D2B.

Would this be right: Lets say the we knew the CUBS were gonna be (-150) for their next 3 games.

Would that be: .67 X .67 X.67 = .30

So into words that would translate: "There's a 30% chance the CUBS will win 3 straight games."

No. -150 is .60, not .67.

If the Cubs were -150 each of the next 3, then it would be .6*.6*.6=21.6% chance to win 3 straight.

But Lester at home vs. ? is more like -200 at least. And then Game 6 Arrieta at (Tomlin on short rest?) is probably Cubs small fave. And today is about -130.

So it's more like .57*.67*.54=20.6%. Cubs have a 20.6% chance of winning the next 3. Indians are about 17% to win the next 2.

Probably a good 35-40% chance this series goes the distance.

**Roscoe_Word** · 10-29-16, 04:00 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

No. -150 is .60, not .67.

If the Cubs were -150 each of the next 3, then it would be .6*.6*.6=21.6% chance to win 3 straight.

But Lester at home vs. ? is more like -200 at least. And then Game 6 Arrieta at (Tomlin on short rest?) is probably Cubs small fave. And today is about -130.

So it's more like .57*.67*.54=20.6%. Cubs have a 20.6% chance of winning the next 3. Indians are about 17% to win the next 2.

Probably a good 35-40% chance this series goes the distance.

Got it. Thanks much!

**44 Mag** · 10-29-16, 05:11 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

I was right about the movement. It was 7.5 when I said to hit and it closed U8.5+100. Could have hedged back for free money. My guarantee was that the number would move up, not that it would win.

Please. LOL. Who are you trying to convince??? Me or yourself.

Either way. I chose my own selections, but thanks for the input. Some day you will get something right with YOUR Math. LOL.

**Barnes & Whine** · 10-29-16, 05:48 PM

Cubs in 7.

**44 Mag** · 10-29-16, 09:52 PM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

Why not??? Longest drought in MLB history. Only team to be shut out 4 X in playoffs since 1905. At this point, kind of hope Cleveland sweeps them, at their house. Maybe "Mad"don isn't the great genius everybody thinks he is LOL.
Pretty sad when your best hitter is coming back & hasn't played since April, and now, they won't let him play in the outfield??? Still not 100 % I guess. What a joke if they do blow off this series.

Originally posted by nyplayer33

Longest drought has zero to do with games in 2016

Originally posted by d2bets

When was the last time the Cubs won a series down 2-1?

Oh wait, that was a week ago.

As I said in those many threads, SBR posters are kings of premature ejaculators.

Yes, what was I thinking, you guys are right as usual.

**lakerboy** · 10-29-16, 09:54 PM

D2bets.

Hi

**d2bets** · 10-29-16, 09:57 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

D2bets.

Hi

I said Cubs would win 3 in a row to win the series. I'll stick to that.

**The Giant** · 10-29-16, 09:58 PM

We will never see D2bets again if the Cubs and Hillary both lost.

**d2bets** · 10-29-16, 10:00 PM

Originally posted by The Giant

We will never see D2bets again if the Cubs and Hillary both lost.

**TheMoneyShot** · 10-29-16, 10:12 PM

I have to take Cubs Game 5.

It's simply embarrassing to lose 3 straight in the World Series at Home.

Why would Cleveland want to win the Championship in Chicago??? Not going to happen.

Laying probably around 1k on the Cubs. Game 5.

**lakerboy** · 10-29-16, 10:12 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

I said Cubs would win 3 in a row to win the series. I'll stick to that.

The tribe will put a sticky fork in the cubs ass tomorrow night

**stevenash** · 10-29-16, 10:13 PM

Originally posted by TheMoneyShot

Just taking a quick survey. Is it possible?

Yes

**stevenash** · 10-29-16, 10:15 PM

Originally posted by TheMoneyShot

I have to take Cubs Game 5.

It's simply embarrassing to lose 3 straight in the World Series at Home.

Why would Cleveland want to win the Championship in Chicago??? Not going to happen.

Laying probably around 1k on the Cubs. Game 5.

You win the championship anywhere you can take it.

**VegasPlayer** · 10-29-16, 10:19 PM

Word has it that Bartman is cursing them again. He's sitting at home sticking pins in Cubs bobble heads every time they come to the plate.

**pavyracer** · 10-29-16, 10:31 PM

Cubs can't win the big game since 1908. What's new?

**TheMoneyShot** · 10-29-16, 10:43 PM

Opened up at Lester -210... to win 400... why not? Game 5 baby.... don't hoe me out CUBS