TED CRUZ +500 to be the Nominee

[The Kraken]

Glad to see Dwight make a reasonable statement about Trump

But lets give Trump some credit, this entire primary was about one thing and one thing only for Trump, and that was to market his brand and he did that extremely well.

Some how, a bunch of people failed to realize that and actually thought he wanted to be president

Oops

[15805]

[QUOTE=mcdonae101;25554685]Trump is spending lots of time in New York. He's going for the knockout punch there, the way the state allocates its delegates he can easily come out with 85 or more of the delegates, which would put him in decent shape to reach the number needed before convention[/QUOTE ]

The way it looks Trump will get over the 50% required to get all 95 delegates.

<small>New York Primary - Republican Winner</small>
Tue 4/19		411 Donald Trump wins New York Primary		<input id="editx" name="M1_0" size="4"> -6000
9:00AM		412 Field wins New York Primary		<input id="editx" name="M2_0" size="4"> +2000
<small>New York Primary - Any Republican more than 50%</small>
<cite>a Republican candidate exceeds 50% of popular vote</cite>
Tue 4/19		431 NY GOP anyone has greater than 50%		<input id="editx" name="M1_1" size="4"> -600
9:00AM		432 NY GOP no one has greater than 50%		<input id="editx" name="M2_1" size="4"> +400

[mcdonae101]

[QUOTE=15805;25567581]

Trump is spending lots of time in New York. He's going for the knockout punch there, the way the state allocates its delegates he can easily come out with 85 or more of the delegates, which would put him in decent shape to reach the number needed before convention[/QUOTE ]

The way it looks Trump will get over the 50% required to get all 95 delegates.

<small>New York Primary - Republican Winner</small>
Tue 4/19		411 Donald Trump wins New York Primary		<input id="editx" name="M1_0" size="4"> -6000
9:00AM		412 Field wins New York Primary		<input id="editx" name="M2_0" size="4"> +2000
<small>New York Primary - Any Republican more than 50%</small>
<cite>a Republican candidate exceeds 50% of popular vote</cite>
Tue 4/19		431 NY GOP anyone has greater than 50%		<input id="editx" name="M1_1" size="4"> -600
9:00AM		432 NY GOP no one has greater than 50%		<input id="editx" name="M2_1" size="4"> +400

its not just for the state tho, it's each district. There are 27 that offer 3 each. Then 14 for whoever wins the state. If a candidate gets over 50% in a district, they get all 3, if not its 2 for first and 1 for second. So he will get the 14 for the state, and will sweep majority of districts, which is why I believe he will get 85+ delegates, and could easily see him getting 90 or so. This is why he is spending by so much time there

[15805]

It's looking more like a clean sweep everyday, latest poll:

New York Republican Presidential Primary

NY1/Baruch

Trump 60, Kasich 17, Cruz 14

Trump +43

[mcdonae101]

It's looking more like a clean sweep everyday, latest poll:

New York Republican Presidential Primary

NY1/Baruch

Trump 60, Kasich 17, Cruz 14

Trump +43

It sounds small but the smartest campaign move so far is keeping trump in New York nonstop. The difference between getting around 50 and around 60% of the vote will b 15-20 delegates likely. If u do the math going forward and assume trump gets 90 or so in New York, it becomes clear that he can win before the convention pretty easily

[15805]

Isn't Cruzs tax plan like 10 percent? I know I currently pay 20 percent. I dont get all the hate. I will still vote for trump, but Cruz being the nominee isn't so bad of a thing if you look at the issues

That Cruz plan will never see the light of day. Cruz has only one war - a war with normalcy.
Everything Cruz wants to implement he will lack the support to implement

[jtoler]

Join Ted, Heidi and the gang on CNN tomorrow night. The flame of liberty lives on.

[Auto Donk]

to whoever said "Cruz won't be so bad...."

true, unless you have a wife or girlfriend that gets within a mile radius of this sexed up sapio-sexual..... if she doe's, Ol Layin' Ted Scruz will be breathing down her neck like a buck in the middle of the s. tex rut.....

[ACoochy]

It sounds small but the smartest campaign move so far is keeping trump in New York nonstop. The difference between getting around 50 and around 60% of the vote will b 15-20 delegates likely. If u do the math going forward and assume trump gets 90 or so in New York, it becomes clear that he can win before the convention pretty easily

Too bad he needs to average 65% to get the nomination before convention

[Auto Donk]

is ny a winner take all state? or proportional?

I'm already so apathetic I won't even waste seven seconds googling it.....

my time is much better spent googling "glory hole" for more images to make fun of JJ with.... which is obviously much more important work than wondering about the upcoming nominations for prez.....

[15805]

Join Ted, Heidi and the gang on CNN tomorrow night. The flame of liberty lives on.

Win? Not one vote being cast, sounds alot to me like an old USSR election,
a few of establishment heads of the Colorado GOP acting like the Russian thugs
'a dictatorship of the proletariat'.

Wisconsin changing momentum was the Cruz montra, some momentum every Northeastern
state voting in April had the odds much closer on Wisconsin primary day than
now as Trump's winning huge now from NY to Pennsylvania to Connecticut to Delaware to
Rhode Island to Maryland!

Cruz winning 4 in a Row, Wyoming, Utah, Wisconsin & Colorado
all but one caucus states populated by more farm animals than people.
It's actually 3 straight Utah & Arizona were on the same day.
Whoop-de-damn-do!

[jtoler]

Win? Not one vote being cast, sounds alot to me like an old USSR election,
a few of establishment heads of the Colorado GOP acting like the Russian thugs
'a dictatorship of the proletariat'.

Wisconsin changing momentum was the Cruz montra, some momentum every Northeastern
state voting in April had the odds much closer on Wisconsin primary day than
now as Trump's winning huge now from NY to Pennsylvania to Connecticut to Delaware to
Rhode Island to Maryland!

Cruz winning 4 in a Row, Wyoming, Utah, Wisconsin & Colorado
all but one caucus states populated by more farm animals than people.
It's actually 3 straight Utah & Arizona were on the same day.
Whoop-de-damn-do!

If you feel your opinion has merit(cough) then youre more than welcome to voice it on the forum where Cruz supporters reside.

[mcdonae101]

Too bad he needs to average 65% to get the nomination before convention

Politico is showing he needs around 58%. There r still 854 remaining. And he needs 494. That's not 65%. And after New York he will need around 53%

[15805]

Too bad he needs to average 65% to get the nomination before convention

According to CNN total of delegates to this point:
T-758
C-538
K-145
R-173
C-9
B-4

Trump 758
Not Trump 869
_____________
Total delegates todate 1627
Total delegates left 2474-1627= 847

Trump needs 1237-758 or 479 more out of 847 so

Trump needs 56% of the remaining delegates for 1237
not 65% as you stated, where did you get that figure?

By the way Trump will get all 95 NY delegates making the count at That point
Trump delegates 853
All Others 869

So after NY considering Carson's 9 votes will go to Trump Trump will need only
49% of the remaining delegates. He's on his way for a 1st ballot victory!!!!!!

[15805]

If you feel your opinion has merit(cough) then youre more than welcome to voice it on the forum where Cruz supporters reside.

I know plenty of Sanders voters & a few Clinton voters Trump voters dominate in my circle, no one
I know even casually is a Cruz supporter & frankly I'm not interested in knpwing any of them.

[jtoler]

According to CNN total of delegates to this point:
T-758
C-538
K-145
R-173
C-9
B-4

Trump 758
Not Trump 869
_____________
Total delegates todate 1627
Total delegates left 2474-1627= 847

Trump needs 1237-758 or 479 more out of 847 so

Trump needs 56% of the remaining delegates for 1237
not 65% as you stated, where did you get that figure?

By the way Trump will get all 95 NY delegates making the count at That point
Trump delegates 853
All Others 869

So after NY considering Carson's 9 votes will go to Trump Trump will need only
49% of the remaining delegates. He's on his way for a 1st ballot victory!!!!!!

After seeing what Cruz was able to pull off in Colorado, by hook or by crook, how could you overlook Ted's muscle going forward, thats not very wise.

[mcdonae101]

According to CNN total of delegates to this point:
T-758
C-538
K-145
R-173
C-9
B-4

Trump 758
Not Trump 869
_____________
Total delegates todate 1627
Total delegates left 2474-1627= 847

Trump needs 1237-758 or 479 more out of 847 so

Trump needs 56% of the remaining delegates for 1237
not 65% as you stated, where did you get that figure?

By the way Trump will get all 95 NY delegates making the count at That point
Trump delegates 853
All Others 869

So after NY considering Carson's 9 votes will go to Trump Trump will need only
49% of the remaining delegates. He's on his way for a 1st ballot victory!!!!!!

Yep. Can't argue with the math. He will get the needed delegates to be the nominee. Anyone who can't start to see the math coming together is blind

[DwightShrute]

[Itsamazing777]

Shouldn't your efforts be slamming Hillary and Bernie more than Cruz, Dwight? Just curious

[DwightShrute]

Shouldn't your efforts be slamming Hillary and Bernie more than Cruz, Dwight? Just curious

in due time.

[rkelly110]

I wanna know what Trump is bitching about. He didn't even show up in Col. Why would he expect to get any delegates?

Is that one of those deals where if he shoots someone (doesn't show up) he will still win votes?

See how that works when your mouth is too big?

[15805]

After seeing what Cruz was able to pull off in Colorado, by hook or by crook, how could you overlook Ted's muscle going forward, thats not very wise.

BEST ANSWER:
'Will Trump be swindled in Cleveland, too?I
In the race for the Republican nomination, Donald Trump would seem to be in the catbird seat.

He has won the most states, the most delegates and the most votes – by nearly 2 million.

He has brought out the largest crowds and is poised for huge wins in the largest states of

the East, New York and Pennsylvania.

Yet, there is a growing probability that the backroom boys will steal the nomination from him at a brokered convention in Cleveland.
Over the weekend, Colorado awarded all 34 delegates to Ted Cruz. The fix had been in since August, when party officials,
alarmed at Trump’s popularity, decided it would be best if Colorado Republicans were not allowed to vote on the party’s nominee.

After all, these poor folks might get it wrong."

[jtoler]

I wanna know what Trump is bitching about. He didn't even show up in Col. Why would he expect to get any delegates?

Is that one of those deals where if he shoots someone (doesn't show up) he will still win votes?

See how that works when your mouth is too big?

Trump on the stump is an oxymoron, the guy admittedly says he has no clue what a ground game is. He's running a horrible campaign loosely held together by a multibillion dollar media machine that has kept him afloat the entire time.

[jtoler]

[jt315]

Trump on the stump is an oxymoron, the guy admittedly says he has no clue what a ground game is. He's running a horrible campaign loosely held together by a multibillion dollar media machine that has kept him afloat the entire time.

And only a convention can stop him.

[ACoochy]

Trump on the stump is an oxymoron, the guy admittedly says he has no clue what a ground game is. He's running a horrible campaign loosely held together by a multibillion dollar media machine that has kept him afloat the entire time.

Like his Trumpeteers he has no clue.

Its the blind leading the blinder...

[15805]

Like his Trumpeteers he has no clue.

Its the blind leading the blinder...

Coming from a poster who somehow got the impression that as of today thinks
Trump needs 65% of future delegates to reach 1237!

[ACoochy]

Coming from a poster who somehow got the impression that as of today thinks
Trump needs 65% of future delegates to reach 1237!

http://www.redstate.com/diary/WOSG/2016/04/10/week-ted-cruz-won-republican-nomination/

You were saying??

[15805]

http://www.redstate.com/diary/WOSG/2...an-nomination/

You were saying??

You are not basing an argument around information retrieved from Ericson of Red State are you?
That's the guy who hosted the Red State Convention every year. Last year he made a terrible
mistake in August by dis inviting Trump, thinking it would be a good political move, & to make the
situation worse invited in his stead Ms. Kelly who Trump dissed after a debate question. As it turned
out without Trump the Convention had no headliner & got far less coverage on TV & media than it had
received in the past. The highlight of this years convention was Bush stating way back in August 'We
can not elect someone who offends 52% of potential voters.' Since then Ericson's career has tended
dpwnward. PS he is not neutral commenting on anything Trump!

Check out post 154. I took CNN up to date figures and laid out the situation, it will give someone
intersted in what the situation is a birdseye view of the possibilities.

Briefly after the NY primary the delegate count should read:
Trump delegates 853
Non Trump delegates 869

The non Trump delgates have 9 votes for Trump, leaving him with a BETTER
than 50% chance to win. He will only have to win 49% of the rest & look what's coming,
next week:

<small>Connecticut Primary - Republican Winner</small>
Tue 4/26		421 Donald Trump wins Connecticut Primary		<input id="editx" name="M1_5" size="4"> -900
6:00AM		422 Field wins Connecticut Primary		<input id="editx" name="M2_5" size="4"> +500
<small>Delaware Primary - Republican Winner</small>
Tue 4/26		431 Donald Trump wins Delaware Primary		<input id="editx" name="M1_6" size="4"> -855
6:00AM		432 Field wins Delaware Primary		<input id="editx" name="M2_6" size="4"> +485
<small>Maryland Primary - Republican Winner</small>
Tue 4/26		441 Donald Trump wins Maryland Primary		<input id="editx" name="M1_7" size="4"> -530
6:00AM		442 Field wins Maryland Primary		<input id="editx" name="M2_7" size="4"> +350
<small>Pennsylvania Primary - Republican Winner</small>
Tue 4/26		451 Donald Trump wins Pennsylvania Primary		<input id="editx" name="M1_8" size="4"> -1275
6:00AM		452 Field wins Pennsylvania Primary		<input id="editx" name="M2_8" size="4"> +625
<small>Pensylvania Primary - Republican Victory Margin</small>
<cite>percentage difference of winner and second place</cite>
Tue 4/26		453 PA GOP victory margin over 10% pts		<input id="editx" name="M1_9" size="4"> -230
6:00AM		454 PA GOP victory margin under 10% pts		<input id="editx" name="M2_9" size="4"> +170
<small>Rhode Island Primary - Republican Winner</small>
Tue 4/26		461 Donald Trump wins Rhode Island Primary		<input id="editx" name="M1_10" size="4"> -1200
6:00AM		462 Field wins Rhode Island Primary		<input id="editx" name="M2_10" size="4"> +600

[ACoochy]

15805 i 1st learnt of that info (about 65% of vote needed) from a politics professor ar Edinburgh university.

Btw, who are you to hold someone to account when it comes to facts as a Trumptard??

Your boy lies proven 85% of the time so you of all people should be last to call someone out when it comes to the validity of a claim...

[15805]

15805 i 1st learnt of that info (about 65% of vote needed) from a politics professor ar Edinburgh university.

Btw, who are you to hold someone to account when it comes to facts as a Trumptard??

Your boy lies proven 85% of the time so you of all people should be last to call someone out when it comes to the validity of a claim...

I went to Edinburgh when I graduated college as a present from my father
and thought it was the prettiest big city I
ever saw with the castle on the entire one side of the main street
and businesses on the other. I went their also on my
honeymoon. Both times I was there in August and saw the Tatoo's
a great memory. My grandmother was born in Greenock a suburb of Glascow.


We are proud Scots, Grom was a Cameron but my dad always
said many in the family were great socialists. Perhaps
your professor had that bent also & lets be honest Trump as
well schooled as he is is not a favorite of academia.
Look check out CNN 2016 politics election center I feel clearly
that Trump after NY will need only 49% of future
delegates to win. Truce, you stick to your version of 65% and I'll stick to mine!

[rkelly110]

WTF are my fellow Pennsylvanians doing at a Cruz rally? Cruz must be paying them. Stupid m' fukkers.

[Ra77er]

Guy will do nothing for the country except hand the democrats another winner.

[15805]

Is something seriously with Cruz, the campaign has to be taken a toll on his mind.
Cruz last night said he has won 11 primaries in a row. Yikes!!!! I don't think he has even won
10 primaries throughout the entire primary contest began.

[Otters27]

Hmmm trump odds are starting to climb back up to 1.83 on Betfair.