I tested a college football system from last year and it went 75-29 from week 1 thru the bowl season. that's 72% according to my math. I will post ALL the plays next season and we will see if the win rate can continue. also, im currently testing an NFL system and thru the first 8 weeks of last season it is 36-14-2. that's around 68-69%. when I finish the test I will give the final numbers for the entire season. wouldn't it be great if both of these systems were able to repeat that performance next season? we will see once football rolls around again. STAY TUNED!!!!! lol
college football system back tested shows 72% win rate
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dishwasherSBR Sharp
- 08-21-15
- 311
#1college football system back tested shows 72% win rateTags: None -
FoxxSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-25-11
- 5832
#2I wouldn't quit your dishwashing job yet. Good luck though.Comment -
DrunkHorseplayerSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-15-10
- 7719
#4I'll pull for you but any "system" that hits at 70% is most surely an aberration. Good luck; you'll need it.Comment -
bosiggaSBR MVP
- 09-26-10
- 1312
#6How did it do for the seasons before last?Comment -
Waterstpub87SBR MVP
- 09-09-09
- 4108
#7Yes, even for a full season. 100 plays is nothing close to a decent sample size. You will not hit 70% over any reasonable amount of games. 55% would be absolutely killing it, and that would be extremely difficult to achieve.Comment -
Slipknot26SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-17-15
- 5046
#8Minimum 3 years to 5 years back tested , it must be shown as a trend not a 1 hit year wonder
Just being honestComment -
dishwasherSBR Sharp
- 08-21-15
- 311
#9Comment -
dishwasherSBR Sharp
- 08-21-15
- 311
#10just finished the NFL back test. it performed even better that the college back test going 86-22-4. had 1 losing week and that was week 1 where it went 4-5. at one point it won 19 in a row. the college system won at 72% and the NFL won at 76% for the season. is it a fluke??? we will damn sure see this fall.Comment -
CovySBR MVP
- 01-13-11
- 1433
#11I'm curious to see it dish
how about going back for 3 years and make sure it is legit?[SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
[/SIZE]Comment -
tony_comeSBR Posting Legend
- 03-31-10
- 21695
#12What's the play?Comment -
Plaza23SBR Hall of Famer
- 12-29-13
- 7392
#16You need a sample of 1,000 games IMO to be confident of anything. Keep back testing and see what you can find out.Comment -
ManosdePiedraSBR Sharp
- 01-13-16
- 273
#21Looking forward to 3 additional years back testing. GL to youComment -
INVEGA MANSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-30-08
- 6800
#22Will I remember this in 6 months??Comment -
gojetsgomoxiesSBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 4222
#23as a quick scan, i'm thinking it's about 8 games a week for this last season... it's a good number of games per week for a system.
and if it's a reasonable system, i'd say that win rate is highly significant.......
but if it's a highly manipulated type system the win rate is meaningless............................. some years home favourites in the SEC or ACC of more than 15 points are great, some years they aren't so good. it jumps around alot.
if you gave someone on here some general specs for the system (PM of course, and confidential) then you'd have much better idea.
i do alot of back-testing and i find things that work wonderfully over the long term but within that time you get back-to-back 38% win rate seasons in the middle of the system's run which really gives me wonder to pause.Comment -
gojetsgomoxiesSBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 4222
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daneblazerBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 09-14-08
- 27861
#25It's picking the team closest to the ZComment -
thegoal60SBR High Roller
- 11-20-15
- 195
#26Any updates on the back testing? I would love to hear about them if so. Dishwasher if there is something I can help with send me a DM and I will try and help.Comment -
simon2012SBR Sharp
- 12-03-11
- 343
#27do people really think systems work? the game has evolved so much that even back testing is pointlessComment -
chico2663BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 09-02-10
- 36915
#29scores and odds.com if you need someone to do some research for you just let me know.Comment -
thegoal60SBR High Roller
- 11-20-15
- 195
#31I do think systems work. I think that people naturally follow trends in everything they do whether its day to day life or coming out strong after getting kicked in the teeth two games in a row. So yes I do think systems work. I look at odds makers just like normal people. They have a natural thought about a team that is fitting a situation from the past that they set lines to. We are all here to beat the number and I don't mean this BS of "I was on the right side of the number and lost" I mean when the game ends our tickets are wrote in black ink and not red. I'M ON BOARD 100% if the system is legit. Wish dishwater would update us on what he has found.Comment -
CrimsonTigerSBR Sharp
- 08-17-12
- 308
#32Any updates on backtesting?
What is the system, maybe somebody else will do the back test???Comment -
TheMoneyShotBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 02-14-07
- 28672
#34I usually just simulate my games for 2016 using Tecmo Bowl in 1989. Works like a gem.Comment -
iifoldSBR Posting Legend
- 04-25-10
- 11111
#35Teams and Sportsbooks make adjustments...
You're wasting your time...
Look ahead, not behind...
Good luck!Comment
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