college football system back tested shows 72% win rate

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  • dishwasher
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-21-15
    • 311

    #1
    college football system back tested shows 72% win rate
    I tested a college football system from last year and it went 75-29 from week 1 thru the bowl season. that's 72% according to my math. I will post ALL the plays next season and we will see if the win rate can continue. also, im currently testing an NFL system and thru the first 8 weeks of last season it is 36-14-2. that's around 68-69%. when I finish the test I will give the final numbers for the entire season. wouldn't it be great if both of these systems were able to repeat that performance next season? we will see once football rolls around again. STAY TUNED!!!!! lol
  • Foxx
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-25-11
    • 5832

    #2
    I wouldn't quit your dishwashing job yet. Good luck though.
    Comment
    • dishwasher
      SBR Sharp
      • 08-21-15
      • 311

      #3
      Originally posted by Foxx
      I wouldn't quit your dishwashing job yet. Good luck though.
      I know the haters will be praying that it blows up in my face.
      Comment
      • DrunkHorseplayer
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 05-15-10
        • 7719

        #4
        I'll pull for you but any "system" that hits at 70% is most surely an aberration. Good luck; you'll need it.
        Comment
        • dishwasher
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-21-15
          • 311

          #5
          Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
          I'll pull for you but any "system" that hits at 70% is most surely an aberration. Good luck; you'll need it.
          even for a FULL season????
          Comment
          • bosigga
            SBR MVP
            • 09-26-10
            • 1312

            #6
            How did it do for the seasons before last?
            Comment
            • Waterstpub87
              SBR MVP
              • 09-09-09
              • 4108

              #7
              Yes, even for a full season. 100 plays is nothing close to a decent sample size. You will not hit 70% over any reasonable amount of games. 55% would be absolutely killing it, and that would be extremely difficult to achieve.
              Comment
              • Slipknot26
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 07-17-15
                • 5046

                #8
                Minimum 3 years to 5 years back tested , it must be shown as a trend not a 1 hit year wonder
                Just being honest
                Comment
                • dishwasher
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 08-21-15
                  • 311

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Slipknot26
                  Minimum 3 years to 5 years back tested , it must be shown as a trend not a 1 hit year wonder
                  Just being honest
                  ok, but I will post the plays when football season cranks back up. hopefully it will continue to perform at a high rate and we can all make some cash.
                  Comment
                  • dishwasher
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 08-21-15
                    • 311

                    #10
                    just finished the NFL back test. it performed even better that the college back test going 86-22-4. had 1 losing week and that was week 1 where it went 4-5. at one point it won 19 in a row. the college system won at 72% and the NFL won at 76% for the season. is it a fluke??? we will damn sure see this fall.
                    Comment
                    • Covy
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-13-11
                      • 1433

                      #11
                      I'm curious to see it dish

                      how about going back for 3 years and make sure it is legit?
                      [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                      [/SIZE]
                      Comment
                      • tony_come
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-31-10
                        • 21695

                        #12
                        What's the play?
                        Comment
                        • dishwasher
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 08-21-15
                          • 311

                          #13
                          Originally posted by tony_come
                          What's the play?
                          bro, its a football system. we gotta wait till the fall for the season to start.
                          Comment
                          • dishwasher
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 08-21-15
                            • 311

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Covy
                            I'm curious to see it dish

                            how about going back for 3 years and make sure it is legit?
                            I will try to get to it cuz im curious to see how it performs long term.
                            Comment
                            • tony_come
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-31-10
                              • 21695

                              #15
                              Originally posted by dishwasher
                              bro, its a football system. we gotta wait till the fall for the season to start.
                              Sorry bro. I will wait
                              Comment
                              • Plaza23
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-29-13
                                • 7392

                                #16
                                You need a sample of 1,000 games IMO to be confident of anything. Keep back testing and see what you can find out.
                                Comment
                                • dishwasher
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 08-21-15
                                  • 311

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Plaza23
                                  You need a sample of 1,000 games IMO to be confident of anything. Keep back testing and see what you can find out.
                                  can you tell me where I can find the lines and scores for NFL and college that date back 5 years? thanks.
                                  Comment
                                  • dishwasher
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 08-21-15
                                    • 311

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by tony_come
                                    Sorry bro. I will wait
                                    don't sweat it bro, its cool.
                                    Comment
                                    • tony_come
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-31-10
                                      • 21695

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by dishwasher
                                      don't sweat it bro, its cool.
                                      DS word bro! Popping 9 miles in the country forever
                                      Comment
                                      • Waterstpub87
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-09-09
                                        • 4108

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by dishwasher
                                        can you tell me where I can find the lines and scores for NFL and college that date back 5 years? thanks.
                                        Free Betting Odds and line movements in real time at Sportsbook Review. Check out Sportsbook Review's live odds comparison table, with lines and spreads for all major sports.
                                        Comment
                                        • ManosdePiedra
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 01-13-16
                                          • 273

                                          #21
                                          Looking forward to 3 additional years back testing. GL to you
                                          Comment
                                          • INVEGA MAN
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-30-08
                                            • 6800

                                            #22
                                            Will I remember this in 6 months??
                                            Comment
                                            • gojetsgomoxies
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-04-12
                                              • 4222

                                              #23
                                              as a quick scan, i'm thinking it's about 8 games a week for this last season... it's a good number of games per week for a system.

                                              and if it's a reasonable system, i'd say that win rate is highly significant.......

                                              but if it's a highly manipulated type system the win rate is meaningless............................. some years home favourites in the SEC or ACC of more than 15 points are great, some years they aren't so good. it jumps around alot.

                                              if you gave someone on here some general specs for the system (PM of course, and confidential) then you'd have much better idea.

                                              i do alot of back-testing and i find things that work wonderfully over the long term but within that time you get back-to-back 38% win rate seasons in the middle of the system's run which really gives me wonder to pause.
                                              Comment
                                              • gojetsgomoxies
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-04-12
                                                • 4222

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by dishwasher
                                                can you tell me where I can find the lines and scores for NFL and college that date back 5 years? thanks.
                                                killersports.com or the sports database (i think that's what it's called) and you can run basic queries all day long.........
                                                Comment
                                                • daneblazer
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 09-14-08
                                                  • 27861

                                                  #25
                                                  It's picking the team closest to the Z
                                                  Comment
                                                  • thegoal60
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 11-20-15
                                                    • 195

                                                    #26
                                                    Any updates on the back testing? I would love to hear about them if so. Dishwasher if there is something I can help with send me a DM and I will try and help.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • simon2012
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 12-03-11
                                                      • 343

                                                      #27
                                                      do people really think systems work? the game has evolved so much that even back testing is pointless
                                                      Comment
                                                      • vividjohn45
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-21-10
                                                        • 6331

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by tony_come
                                                        What's the play?
                                                        Dodgers ml. Kershaw -500
                                                        Comment
                                                        • chico2663
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 09-02-10
                                                          • 36915

                                                          #29
                                                          scores and odds.com if you need someone to do some research for you just let me know.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • a4u2fear
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-29-10
                                                            • 8147

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by slipknot26
                                                            minimum 3 years to 5 years back tested , it must be shown as a trend not a 1 hit year wonder
                                                            just being honest
                                                            yuuuuuup
                                                            Comment
                                                            • thegoal60
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 11-20-15
                                                              • 195

                                                              #31
                                                              I do think systems work. I think that people naturally follow trends in everything they do whether its day to day life or coming out strong after getting kicked in the teeth two games in a row. So yes I do think systems work. I look at odds makers just like normal people. They have a natural thought about a team that is fitting a situation from the past that they set lines to. We are all here to beat the number and I don't mean this BS of "I was on the right side of the number and lost" I mean when the game ends our tickets are wrote in black ink and not red. I'M ON BOARD 100% if the system is legit. Wish dishwater would update us on what he has found.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • CrimsonTiger
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 08-17-12
                                                                • 308

                                                                #32
                                                                Any updates on backtesting?
                                                                What is the system, maybe somebody else will do the back test???
                                                                Comment
                                                                • VeggieDog
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-21-09
                                                                  • 7214

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by a4u2fear
                                                                  yuuuuuup
                                                                  LOL I love that guy.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TheMoneyShot
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 02-14-07
                                                                    • 28672

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I usually just simulate my games for 2016 using Tecmo Bowl in 1989. Works like a gem.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • iifold
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 04-25-10
                                                                      • 11111

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Teams and Sportsbooks make adjustments...

                                                                      You're wasting your time...

                                                                      Look ahead, not behind...

                                                                      Good luck!
                                                                      Comment
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