Ok Who Are You On In The Big One Tonight...Chicago @ Pittsburgh???

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #1
    Ok Who Are You On In The Big One Tonight...Chicago @ Pittsburgh???
    just taking dog on a stab
  • pavyracer
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-12-07
    • 82839

    #2
    Just pick the dog JJ. I loved your Yankees pick last night if you know what I mean pal.
    Comment
    • d2bets
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-10-05
      • 39995

      #3
      Don't overthink this. Arrietta too good. Cubs -130
      Comment
      • Sledge187
        SBR MVP
        • 04-25-08
        • 3722

        #4
        Under???
        Comment
        • Booya711
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-20-11
          • 27329

          #5
          Cole has pitched 9 times against the Cubs. Pirates are 8-1 in those games
          Comment
          • d2bets
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 08-10-05
            • 39995

            #6
            Originally posted by Booya711
            Cole has pitched 9 times against the Cubs. Pirates are 8-1 in those games
            Yeah, and Arrieta has a 0.75 ERA in five starts against the Pirates this season. Elias Sports Bureau research notes that’s tied for the lowest ERA a pitcher has had in the regular season against a team he’d go on to face that postseason. They're slugging .176 against him. Slugging.

            Cole has a 2.88 career ERA vs. Cubs; 2.13 this season.
            Comment
            • pilebuck13
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 05-15-15
              • 17918

              #7
              Originally posted by d2bets
              Don't overthink this. Arrietta too good. Cubs -130
              This^
              Comment
              • intermission
                SBR MVP
                • 05-12-15
                • 2499

                #8
                Originally posted by d2bets
                Don't overthink this. Arrietta too good. Cubs -130
                Yeap. Cole will choke and give up a run or two. cubs and under
                Comment
                • House
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-04-11
                  • 7088

                  #9
                  Arrietta for the win
                  Comment
                  • DiggityDaggityDo
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 11-30-08
                    • 81450

                    #10
                    Passing on this game.
                    Comment
                    • charcoalbbq
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 07-18-15
                      • 220

                      #11
                      This is a no bet game. This can come down to the bullpen. According to the odds, there is a slight value on Pirates but can't go against Arrieta for a slight value. And the cubs line is some what inflated because of Arieta's run. Even if Arieta had one or two rough outing in the last weeks, this line would be -110 on both sides.
                      Comment
                      • flyingillini
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 41219

                        #12
                        Chicago
                        המוסד‎
                        המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                        Comment
                        • onetimer85
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 09-17-15
                          • 51

                          #13
                          this home dog is different. yanks=overpaid lazy bums, pirates are gutsy team. i m taking shot with pirates
                          Comment
                          • BiTeMe UsAdOj
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-18-11
                            • 7537

                            #14
                            Originally posted by d2bets
                            don't overthink this. Arrietta too good. Cubs -130
                            this ^^
                            Comment
                            • survive
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-08-11
                              • 2388

                              #15
                              JJ and lakerboy on pirates...
                              Comment
                              • d2bets
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 08-10-05
                                • 39995

                                #16
                                This could be the best elimination game pitching matchup in playoff history.
                                Comment
                                • byzness
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 10-08-14
                                  • 25

                                  #17
                                  Arrieta at -125 is where the value is. Overanalysis is not your friend in this game. He is in that zone that some truly great pitchers get into where he's basically unbeatable, plus he is a fitness freak who can pitch a complete game on any night, especially a high-adrenaline one like tonight. PIT will be lucky to get two hits, much less two runs.

                                  PIT's only chance is to keep this one 0-0 or 1-1 into extra innings, where they have the better bullpen. But that is a huge IF. Arrieta's ERA is better second-half than Clayton Kershaw, except he does it without all the leg-jerk misdirection and ball-hiding tricks. Cole will need to pitch a perfect game to beat him - which he is capable of - but Arrieta is almost like Sandy Koufax, you have a reasonable expectation of a no-hitter every time he takes the mound.
                                  Comment
                                  • JIBBBY
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-10-09
                                    • 83686

                                    #18
                                    Pitt and the under.. Home team dogs have to start cashing sooner or later..

                                    Yankees lost at home as the slight dog, not sure that happens again tonight. These games are tricky to call though.
                                    Comment
                                    • gregmav1
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 01-09-14
                                      • 1830

                                      #19
                                      CHI scores first -155.... hit yesterday with HOU score first -150. Great bet, Arrieta will probably go quite a few innings before being threatened, Cubs bat first, lots of HR hitters....
                                      Comment
                                      • House
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-04-11
                                        • 7088

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by survive
                                        JJ and lakerboy on pirates...
                                        Of course ..... The square boys lol at least tonight
                                        Comment
                                        • 44 Mag
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 10-14-13
                                          • 34490

                                          #21
                                          Where is LT on this subject ????
                                          Comment
                                          • House
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-04-11
                                            • 7088

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by 44 Mag
                                            Where is LT on this subject ????
                                            He was on the Yanks last night so who cares lol
                                            Comment
                                            • 44 Mag
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 10-14-13
                                              • 34490

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by House
                                              He was on the Yanks last night so who cares lol
                                              Yeah, most likely he has an angle for the "dog".
                                              Comment
                                              • SharpAngles
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-15-14
                                                • 9467

                                                #24
                                                The Cubs will not let Chicago down tonight. They'll let their city down later in the DS. It's the Cub way.
                                                Comment
                                                • biggie12
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-30-05
                                                  • 13792

                                                  #25
                                                  $2500 cubs -116 Chomp chomp
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pimike
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 03-23-08
                                                    • 37140

                                                    #26
                                                    Cole is something like 40-20 career as a pitcher. Hence no slouch.

                                                    Jack is the best pitcher this year. Without Jake Cubs are sitting at home.

                                                    However Pirates have experience and had their sites on getting here and going further. I believe the stronger willed team prevails and that is Pittsburgh.

                                                    I expect the stage to affect Jake tonight just enough to allow Pirates to get the win.

                                                    So my money is on the home team that knows what to expect tonight.

                                                    This will be a high stress game for the young cubbies. That will be the difference.

                                                    It will be rocking in Pittsburgh.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • zackaflacka
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 05-05-14
                                                      • 155

                                                      #27
                                                      under 21 R+H+E
                                                      Comment
                                                      • House
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-04-11
                                                        • 7088

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by pimike
                                                        Cole is something like 40-20 career as a pitcher. Hence no slouch.

                                                        Jack is the best pitcher this year. Without Jake Cubs are sitting at home.

                                                        However Pirates have experience and had their sites on getting here and going further. I believe the stronger willed team prevails and that is Pittsburgh.

                                                        I expect the stage to affect Jake tonight just enough to allow Pirates to get the win.

                                                        So my money is on the home team that knows what to expect tonight.

                                                        This will be a high stress game for the young cubbies. That will be the difference.

                                                        It will be rocking in Pittsburgh.
                                                        Did you hear how loud Yankee stadium was last night for the first couple innings ? This is the playoffs and the fact that Cole has been getting hit giving up 3 runs to these same Cubs in Sep and 2 more the month before when Jake has shut them out in September and only given up 1 one in two other games while shutting them out for 8 innings twice and 7 once .... Im going with the guy that has more shutouts than anyone else in the National league and a 13-1 road record including a shutout win in Pits house ..... Cubs 5 Pirates if they're luck 1
                                                        Comment
                                                        • d2bets
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 08-10-05
                                                          • 39995

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by pimike
                                                          Cole is something like 40-20 career as a pitcher. Hence no slouch.

                                                          Jack is the best pitcher this year. Without Jake Cubs are sitting at home.

                                                          However Pirates have experience and had their sites on getting here and going further. I believe the stronger willed team prevails and that is Pittsburgh.

                                                          I expect the stage to affect Jake tonight just enough to allow Pirates to get the win.

                                                          So my money is on the home team that knows what to expect tonight.

                                                          This will be a high stress game for the young cubbies. That will be the difference.

                                                          It will be rocking in Pittsburgh.
                                                          Considering the Cubs made the Wild Card by 13 games clear over the Giants, I kinda doubt that's true. No player is worth 13 games.

                                                          Biggest concern for the Cubs is defense. In what could be a 2-1 type game, 1 key error can turn the game.

                                                          But I don't expect Jake to be rattled one bit.

                                                          I expect Cole to issue some walks, but can Cubs execute w/RISP?

                                                          For those who think Cole is Arrieta's =, Cole has a .239 BAA; Arrieta .185. If a batter is .185 you say he if horrible/awful and doesn't belong in anyone's lineup, but a batter who is .239 is close to average and not that unusual.

                                                          McCuthcen is the only Pirate who has touched Arrieta. If Pirates are to strike, he needs to be the one.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • recon1
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-13-12
                                                            • 2579

                                                            #30
                                                            I hate to say it, but JJ may have entered that perfect fade material poster, just like BEE FREE?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RedReddington
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 10-07-15
                                                              • 77

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by survive
                                                              JJ and lakerboy on pirates...
                                                              New guy here....did these guys post in the thread? Or are you assuming thats who they like? I just signed up today...hoping I can find some solid cappers to tail.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • lakerboy
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 04-02-09
                                                                • 94379

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by survive
                                                                JJ and lakerboy on pirates...
                                                                Has game been cancelled?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • pimike
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 03-23-08
                                                                  • 37140

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by d2bets
                                                                  Considering the Cubs made the Wild Card by 13 games clear over the Giants, I kinda doubt that's true. No player is worth 13 games.

                                                                  Biggest concern for the Cubs is defense. In what could be a 2-1 type game, 1 key error can turn the game.

                                                                  But I don't expect Jake to be rattled one bit.

                                                                  I expect Cole to issue some walks, but can Cubs execute w/RISP?

                                                                  For those who think Cole is Arrieta's =, Cole has a .239 BAA; Arrieta .185. If a batter is .185 you say he if horrible/awful and doesn't belong in anyone's lineup, but a batter who is .239 is close to average and not that unusual.

                                                                  McCuthcen is the only Pirate who has touched Arrieta. If Pirates are to strike, he needs to be the one.
                                                                  Thanks for your input, I always love your insights. SBR is grateful to have you.

                                                                  As for Arrieta he won 22 games. So you say the difference is 13 games?

                                                                  Well if Jake boy was so dominate the others wouldn't had pushed them selfs as hard. 13 win pitcher replacement. Is not easy to find. Somebody else may had won10-11 maybe 12. Bottom line this guy was the reason the team excelled.

                                                                  I am excited for tonight's game will or should be fun.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • lakerboy
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 04-02-09
                                                                    • 94379

                                                                    #34
                                                                    D2bets biggest homer on entire site.

                                                                    Nice guy though.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • House
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 09-04-11
                                                                      • 7088

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by 44 Mag
                                                                      Yeah, most likely he has an angle for the "dog".
                                                                      I think he's on the Pirates ...
                                                                      Comment
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