What are you guys thinking today: Yanks at Balt 1:05 ET

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #36
    Let me clarify one thing, too: if I had to choose a side in this game, it would be NYY. With that being said, +115 is a horrific price given Baltimore's advantages (home field, unquestionably better lineup and bullpen, etc.) If the Yankees were any other team than the Yankees, they'd be +125 here minimum.
    Comment
    • t-wizzle
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-18-09
      • 38099

      #37
      Yankees look to be the play if you like to try and read lines but I see no value in taking them here.
      Comment
      • Sam Odom
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-30-05
        • 58063

        #38
        Originally posted by No coincidences

        if I had to choose a side in this game, it would be NYY.

        So... in essence you agree with LT's pick

        But not willing to bet on NYY because of 8c - LT got +117
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #39
          Originally posted by t-wizzle
          LT keeps calling McCarthy better than Gausman. He's not.
          I posted why McCarthy is better in Post 19. Then again, based on your posts you may not understand what I wrote.
          Comment
          • Pauulzcappin
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-23-10
            • 20295

            #40
            yanks line keeps dropping
            Comment
            • t-wizzle
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-18-09
              • 38099

              #41
              Originally posted by LT Profits
              I posted why McCarthy is better in Post 19. Then again, based on your posts you may not understand what I wrote.
              You don't need to be a douche about it.

              I'm not being confrontational. I don't think McCarthy is as good as Gausman. If you want to throw numbers out to support your opinion, then by all means. Just don't be a dickhead to me for no reason.
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #42
                Originally posted by No coincidences
                That's because his computer says he is.

                LT admittedly never watches games. That's why he struggles in nearly every sport these days. You can't just Billy Beane bets anymore and expect to win "Long Term."
                I said I rarely watch BASEBALL. I watch other sports all the time. And I am off to a good start in both NFL and CFB (frantically searching for wood to know on - will my head do?)
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #43
                  Originally posted by Sam Odom
                  So... in essence you agree with LT's pick

                  But not willing to bet on NYY because of 8c - LT got +117
                  I would need +125 here minimum.
                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #44
                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                    I posted why McCarthy is better in Post 19. Then again, based on your posts you may not understand what I wrote.
                    I think McCarthy's better than Gausman as well.

                    However, that's a pretty small piece to the puzzle here.

                    The lineup behind McCarthy today is not going to justify the +117 price IMHO.
                    Comment
                    • labones00
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-20-12
                      • 1555

                      #45
                      Originally posted by cala56
                      Brandon Mccarthy. Yes you right. He is the next 10 years cy young winner.
                      2013 ARI 22 22 5 11 0 0 4.53 2 1 135.0 161 71 68 21 76 13 1
                      2014 ARI 18 18 3 10 0 0 5.01 0 0 109.2 131 65 61 20 93 15 3
                      2014 NYY 11 11 6 4 0 0 2.79 1 1 71.0 72 28 22 12 64 6 1
                      Been shaky his last two starts, ERA has gone up a whole run over last two outings

                      DATE OPPONENT RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB Pit BF GSc Dec. Rel. ERA
                      Aug 31 @ TOR L 4-3 6.0 5 4 4 3 2 4 10 8 90 24 48 L(5-4) - 2.80
                      Aug 26 @ DET L 5-2 6.1 9 5 5 0 2 5 10 11 85 29 38 L(5-3) - 2.47
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #46
                        Originally posted by t-wizzle
                        You don't need to be a douche about it.

                        I'm not being confrontational. I don't think McCarthy is as good as Gausman. If you want to throw numbers out to support your opinion, then by all means. Just don't be a dickhead to me for no reason.
                        Sorry didn't mean to offend you.

                        My point is I supported my belief with numbers and those saying Gausman is better are just stating opinions with nothing to back it up.
                        Comment
                        • t-wizzle
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-18-09
                          • 38099

                          #47
                          Fair enough LT.
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #48
                            Originally posted by labones00
                            Been shaky his last two starts, ERA has gone up a whole run over last two outings

                            DATE OPPONENT RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB Pit BF GSc Dec. Rel. ERA
                            Aug 31 @ TOR L 4-3 6.0 5 4 4 3 2 4 10 8 90 24 48 L(5-4) - 2.80
                            Aug 26 @ DET L 5-2 6.1 9 5 5 0 2 5 10 11 85 29 38 L(5-3) - 2.47
                            I give more priority to season-to-date than recency unless there is a legitimate reason for change in form.
                            Comment
                            • BeanTownClown88
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-08-13
                              • 1961

                              #49
                              Baltimore on verge of winning division vs the hated rivals..Yankees fielding a AAA lineup if their guys are hurt like the report says.
                              Baltimore 4-1 vs NYY at home and 8-3 on the season..Everything pretty much says Baltimore owns this team and will take this opportunity to dust them in this series and clinch the AL East in front of their home fans.

                              How are McCarthy and a bunch of AAA guys going to beat the O's when the other starters and the full line up can't beat the O's? Not to mention the Yankees needed to reach back and come from behind in a tough win last night. What am I missing, either take the safe pick on Baltimore or make an unnecessary risk on NYY despite the fact there are 15 other games on tonight to bet on.
                              Comment
                              • labones00
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-20-12
                                • 1555

                                #50
                                Yankees put up 5 runs in the last two innings last night, won a game they had no business winning. Cobb take a no-no into the 8th and then the pen let's up 5 runs, sucks he didn't even get the win. O's had an off day, been playing well and Yanks will be a bit worn down. McCarthy has been bad on the road his last two outings and with how hot the O's bats have been hard to see the Yanks shutting down the O's this afternoon
                                Comment
                                • starbuck2233
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 02-02-11
                                  • 54

                                  #51
                                  pick your own

                                  The truth is,do the opposite of what most of these SB pro's tell us,especially LT,he loses way more than wins,couple of seasons ago when I was a newbie and didn't know what I do now,I followed him and some of the others,disaster to your bankroll is what happens,look at there record each year,no put downs,just the truth......pick your own plays,don't listen to these so called pro's,there all the same,especially that pick nation,rave and rave how they make everyone money,the past 2 years I tried it,bought 10 different plays from them just trying to help myself as I learned,8 of them lost,plus the money to buy the pick,bet your own plays everyone.......
                                  Comment
                                  • BeanTownClown88
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-08-13
                                    • 1961

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by starbuck2233
                                    The truth is,do the opposite of what most of these SB pro's tell us,especially LT,he loses way more than wins,couple of seasons ago when I was a newbie and didn't know what I do now,I followed him and some of the others,disaster to your bankroll is what happens,look at there record each year,no put downs,just the truth......pick your own plays,don't listen to these so called pro's,there all the same,especially that pick nation,rave and rave how they make everyone money,the past 2 years I tried it,bought 10 different plays from them just trying to help myself as I learned,8 of them lost,plus the money to buy the pick,bet your own plays everyone.......

                                    LT suffers from over-picking but isn't he only down a few units now? He was down over 20 in the season so he's trending nicely, maybe make some money before all is said and done. It's one thing to pick a side and give some trends or supporting stats, it's another to say fade the soon to be AL East champion Orioles because Mccarthy is the better starter and magically him and a AAA line up will beat down the O's at home.
                                    Comment
                                    • Pauulzcappin
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 04-23-10
                                      • 20295

                                      #53
                                      this line looks to good to be true on the orioles

                                      -121 is a joke.
                                      Comment
                                      • Sam Odom
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-30-05
                                        • 58063

                                        #54
                                        beware of the NY mob
                                        Comment
                                        • RavensFan2k3
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-18-12
                                          • 17378

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by Ratpack
                                          Orioles yankees played last night and the orioles had it off o's rl
                                          What?
                                          Comment
                                          • You mad bro
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-15-12
                                            • 16641

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                            You don't need to be a douche about it.

                                            I'm not being confrontational. I don't think McCarthy is as good as Gausman. If you want to throw numbers out to support your opinion, then by all means. Just don't be a dickhead to me for no reason.
                                            OMG NO PLEASE DONT HURT ME

                                            what a pussy
                                            Comment
                                            • aznjeff07
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-22-09
                                              • 1295

                                              #57
                                              temped to jump on balt...
                                              Comment
                                              • zacher
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 12-05-13
                                                • 588

                                                #58
                                                Baltimore by a run.
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #59
                                                  Chris Davis suspended 25 games for Orioles.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pattymayo
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 05-19-09
                                                    • 10221

                                                    #60
                                                    Be sure to check lineups first

                                                    Balty will probably rest a bunch of guys in first game
                                                    Comment
                                                    • FranchisePlayer
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 11-05-11
                                                      • 334

                                                      #61
                                                      Chris David suspended 25 games
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Bbfromgpt
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-24-12
                                                        • 6115

                                                        #62
                                                        Idk about resting. They wanna lock everything up at home. Definitely going to watch that though
                                                        Comment
                                                        • LT Profits
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-27-06
                                                          • 90963

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by pattymayo
                                                          Be sure to check lineups first

                                                          Balty will probably rest a bunch of guys in first game
                                                          Doubt they rest anyone with Davis already out, they can start resting after clinching.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • aznjeff07
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-22-09
                                                            • 1295

                                                            #64
                                                            balt line dropped from -130 to -120. Yes, I know. My lines are all unfairly juiced to another degree. I can always expect a -10 screwing either way
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Pauulzcappin
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 04-23-10
                                                              • 20295

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by aznjeff07
                                                              balt line dropped from -130 to -120. Yes, I know. My lines are all unfairly juiced to another degree. I can always expect a -10 screwing either way

                                                              ESPN Stats & Info
                                                              @ESPNStatsInfo
                                                              <small class="time" style="font-size: 13px; color: rgb(136, 153, 166);"> 2m</small>

                                                              Chris Davis suspended 25 GM for amphetamine use. O's have 17 GM left, so he'd miss 1st 8 GM of playoffs, if advance


                                                              that is why it dropped
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Pauulzcappin
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 04-23-10
                                                                • 20295

                                                                #66
                                                                Orioles

                                                                Markakis
                                                                De Aza
                                                                Jones
                                                                Cruz
                                                                Pearce
                                                                Hardy
                                                                K. Johnson
                                                                Hundley
                                                                Schoop
                                                                Comment
                                                                • You mad bro
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-15-12
                                                                  • 16641

                                                                  #67
                                                                  NYY +113 and -1.5 for a half unit at +165
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BeanTownClown88
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-08-13
                                                                    • 1961

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Oh no their .175 hitter Crush is out..what ever will they do
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • You mad bro
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-15-12
                                                                      • 16641

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by BeanTownClown88
                                                                      Oh no their .175 hitter Crush is out..what ever will they do
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • labones00
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-20-12
                                                                        • 1555

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Wow what a surprise the guy was cheating all this time
                                                                        Comment
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