Baltimore seems like a very easy early game today

Chi_archie · 09-10-14, 05:57 AM

all aboard Stroudsburg's railroad!!!

mcdonae101 · 09-10-14, 07:59 AM

Love Baltimore. Not sure on nats

jjgold · 09-10-14, 09:09 AM

Guys let's hit this parlay pretty hard

Strausburgh with an awful lot of strikeouts also

goduke · 09-10-14, 09:16 AM

this is moronic at its best. Did you happen to do any real analysis? Look at Strasburgs numbers against Atlanta. They arent great.

Sam Odom · 09-10-14, 09:16 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

Solid pitcher against the battered up Boston team

Looks easy...

Darkside Magick · 09-10-14, 09:17 AM

Orioles is a sucker bet this afternoon

[966] Boston Red Sox +133 vs Baltimore Orioles

mcdonae101 · 09-10-14, 09:18 AM

Originally posted by Darkside Magick

Orioles is a sucker bet this afternoon

[966] Boston Red Sox +133 vs Baltimore Orioles

everyone said that about angels last night.....

No coincidences · 09-10-14, 09:20 AM

Originally posted by Darkside Magick

Orioles is a sucker bet this afternoon

[966] Boston Red Sox +133 vs Baltimore Orioles

I'd never bet Boston because they've been a bankroll burner all year long, but don't you think it's odd you're getting a guy who's 14-4 for a team that's 85-59 against a guy who's 1-8 for a team that's 63-82 at -130? I wouldn't touch Baltimore with a 100-foot pole today.

Sam Odom · 09-10-14, 09:22 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I'd never bet Boston because they've been a bankroll burner all year long, but don't you think it's odd you're getting a guy who's 14-4 for a team that's 85-59 against a guy who's 1-8 for a team that's 63-82 at -130? I wouldn't touch Baltimore with a 100-foot pole today.

You think the books are laying a trap ?

Darkside Magick · 09-10-14, 09:28 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I'd never bet Boston because they've been a bankroll burner all year long, but don't you think it's odd you're getting a guy who's 14-4 for a team that's 85-59 against a guy who's 1-8 for a team that's 63-82 at -130? I wouldn't touch Baltimore with a 100-foot pole today.

No coin... I been burnt by boston all season long too...have not bet them since they gave up 5 runs in the ninth to Seattle awhile back but my gut is feeling this play!

Sam Odom · 09-10-14, 09:33 AM

Originally posted by Darkside Magick

I been burnt by boston all season long too...have not bet them since they gave up 5 runs in the ninth to Seattle awhile back but my gut is feeling this play!

Sammy likes gamblers who bet on their gut feelings...

But Darker , Sammy is leaning strong the other way

Pauulzcappin · 09-10-14, 09:36 AM

If you are a batter vs pitcher guy, you gotta like the red sox in this spot

ithinkiamgood · 09-10-14, 09:37 AM

Taking Boston 1st five innings +120 , Also auto playing braves and over vs strasburg this has been money this season. 6-0 in 3 games to be exact but Strasburg pitching 4 good games in last 5 worries me just a little.

No coincidences · 09-10-14, 09:37 AM

Originally posted by Sam Odom

You think the books are laying a trap ?

Normally I would say the line is fishy, but look at this entire series. Free money for Baltimore across the board.

Given it's a day game and given how well the public has done in general with favorites so far in September (very odd compared to the usual), I wouldn't go to the well again with the O's today. Be content with the two-game ATM Balty has been in this series and just pass on this one if you're leaning Orioles. You're asking for it if you take them again.

No coincidences · 09-10-14, 09:38 AM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

If you are a batter vs pitcher guy, you gotta like the red sox in this spot

There are plenty of statistical reasons to like Boston from that perspective, if you like to put money on heartless, gutless, disinterested, corpse-like teams.

Pauulzcappin · 09-10-14, 09:40 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

There are plenty of statistical reasons to like Boston from that perspective, if you like to put money on heartless, gutless, disinterested, corpse-like teams.

it's not a must win game for the orioles anyway. they pretty much have division locked and I doubt they can take first place overall. Buck will have the guys ready though.

I'm just saying that all of Red Sox in the lineup who have seen Chen more than a couple of times had great success and his day/night split is awful.

No coincidences · 09-10-14, 09:40 AM

Originally posted by Darkside Magick

No coin... I been burnt by boston all season long too...have not bet them since they gave up 5 runs in the ninth to Seattle awhile back but my gut is feeling this play!

Boston couldn't be worse ATS if they were the Black Sox themselves.

	W-L	Units	Home	Away	Day	Night
ML	63-82	-2807	31-43	32-39	17-24	46-58
ATS	60-85	-3132	21-53	39-32	18-23	42-62

No coincidences · 09-10-14, 09:41 AM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

it's not a must win game for the orioles anyway. they pretty much have division locked and I doubt they can take first place overall. Buck will have the guys ready though.

I'm just saying that all of Red Sox in the lineup who have seen Chen more than a couple of times had great success and his day/night split is awful.

At 14-4, Chen's record is an inflated joke.

Big Bear · 09-10-14, 09:45 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I'd never bet Boston because they've been a bankroll burner all year long, but don't you think it's odd you're getting a guy who's 14-4 for a team that's 85-59 against a guy who's 1-8 for a team that's 63-82 at -130? I wouldn't touch Baltimore with a 100-foot pole today.

-130 on the road is a pretty standard line for this scenario. This is why baseball is one of the easiest sports to beat. The bookies are allowing home field advantage to factor too much into the line here.

perhaps the Orioles get complacent here and take the foot off the gas pedal bc they already got the AL east locked up? its possible... you see it all the time. Teams with big leads tend to lose momentum heading into the playoffs.

No coincidences · 09-10-14, 09:47 AM

Originally posted by Big Bear

-130 on the road is a pretty standard line for this scenario. This is why baseball is one of the easiest sports to beat. The bookies are allowing home field advantage to factor too much into the line here.

perhaps the Orioles get complacent here and take the foot off the gas pedal bc they already got the AL east locked up? its possible... you see it all the time. Teams with big leads tend to lose momentum heading into the playoffs.

You contribute nothing to this discussion or the board in general.

Go away.

Pauulzcappin · 09-10-14, 09:48 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

At 14-4, Chen's record is an inflated joke.

He is a product of a home run hitting team. Much like 2011 (I think) Phil Hughes. I can't wait for playoffs so I can fade the fukk out of these shitters.

konck · 09-10-14, 09:49 AM

When the public is on the only 2.early games And they are both chalk dont psrlay

Atreyu · 09-10-14, 09:55 AM

Im on it.

azsportswin · 09-10-14, 10:11 AM

Originally posted by goduke

this is moronic at its best. Did you happen to do any real analysis? Look at Strasburgs numbers against Atlanta. They arent great.

But then you have Harang pitching for Atlanta...this guy is a dog! He tires out at the end of the season. I'm not saying this one's easy, but if I'm leaning, I'm leaning toward Stausburg, who has pitched well since his last loss to the Braves, at home vs Harang who has not been pitching well because I believe he's running out of gas. NATS -1/2 1st 5 innings looks like a solid play here.

PorkChop · 09-10-14, 10:49 AM

Workman hasn't allowed a run to Baltimore in 10+ innings

MoMoneyMoVaughn · 09-10-14, 10:51 AM

Originally posted by PorkChop

Workman hasn't allowed a run to Baltimore in 10+ innings

So he's fukkin due then!

mcdonae101 · 09-10-14, 10:53 AM

Originally posted by PorkChop

Workman hasn't allowed a run to Baltimore in 10+ innings

chen has won 2 straight against red sox, and since workman's win against them, he is 0-8 in 9 starts with a 6+ era. nod goes to baltimore

redking · 09-10-14, 10:54 AM

Public seems to be big on Baltimore, but it doesn't seem like the line moves are matching up. Maybe the books know something??

No coincidences · 09-10-14, 10:55 AM

Originally posted by redking

Public seems to be big on Baltimore, but it doesn't seem like the line moves are matching up. Maybe the books know something??

Public hammered Balty in Games 1 and 2 of this series, there was a ton of "RLM," yet the O's rolled in both games.

Rixsaw · 09-10-14, 10:57 AM

Normally I would take any team trying to avoid a sweep. But it makes no sense to back a team that has flown south for the winter. As always, the best play is no play.

mcdonae101 · 09-10-14, 10:59 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Public hammered Balty in Games 1 and 2 of this series, there was a ton of "RLM," yet the O's rolled in both games.

Bbfromgpt · 09-10-14, 11:09 AM

Originally posted by azsportswin

But then you have Harang pitching for Atlanta...this guy is a dog! He tires out at the end of the season. I'm not saying this one's easy, but if I'm leaning, I'm leaning toward Stausburg, who has pitched well since his last loss to the Braves, at home vs Harang who has not been pitching well because I believe he's running out of gas. NATS -1/2 1st 5 innings looks like a solid play here.

Careful Harang has dominated the Nats hitters. The real value in this is game is on ATL and/or the +1.5. Just depends if you wanna gamble or not

BeanTownClown88 · 09-10-14, 11:11 AM

Baltimore has the better pitcher/bull pen...if Baltimore has a significant amount of players with higher OBP's than Boston's line up, Baltimore is the play. -130 is fair for an away pitcher at Fenway under these circumstances..definitely shouldn't be higher.

Not to mention Pedroia is out

jjgold · 09-10-14, 11:11 AM

If one game loses it will be Wash

Put more on Balt