Is it just me.......?
The NCAA Tournament is by far the most overrated time to be gambling......I've had so many calls asking how my tournament is going, who I like in this game or who I like in that game, when you think about it this is the worst time to be betting. I would ask what makes this such a good time to be gambling, everything about the tournament says unknown.
-Teams leaving the familiarity/style of conference play in which they have been playing in over the past few months. Teams that survive will likely be playing a different team from a different conference each week. (example UNC will go from Big South Radford, to SEC LSU, to WCC Gonzaga, if they win that likely Big12 Oklahoma.)
-98% of the time the 2 teams matched up haven't seen each other all year, sometimes ever.
-Referees.....you got 1 official from the ACC, 1 from the Big12, and the 3rd from the Big East, all which have never worked a game together. What has been a foul in the ACC all year may be a play on in the Big East officials eyes, and vice-versa. Who knows what is going on, at least during the regular season I know exactly what to expect when an opposing team enters Cameron Indoor Stadium. UNC/LSU game had a combined total of 25 fouls while Duke/Texas had a combined total of 43 fouls. I watched both games and would say UNC/LSU game was more physical but there is no way there should be an 18 foul discrepancy between the 2.
-Invalid reasoning, since Villanova destroyed #3 Pac-10 team UCLA, Syracuse should kill the #4 Pac-10 team Arizona St. It's useless information but the only thing people can use to validate reasoning.
-Comparing teams to other conference teams to get a feel for the match up imo is pointless, if those stats held any water Wake Forest should have beat Cleveland St by 35.
-Using last years stats, the majority of the smaller conference teams have a minimum of 4 senior starters, so generally last years team will be completely different from this years. From the power conference stand point if your not a senior and your an exceptional player you would probably opt for the NBA if the opportunity presents itself.
-Fading the public generally seems like a good idea, but I think the books 50% of the time have no clue whats going on either during the tournament. While the regular season schedule is set months in advance and each move can be calculated, the books don't know who is playing who until the following day, then only have 24 hours before the 2 unknown teams facing off meet on the court. From my view the public has raked this tournament, and what made the sharps $ all year long fading the public is costing them in the tournament. I've came to the conclusion this is a toss up like everything else. The Final 4 at least gives the books a week to gauge the action and adjust accordingly, it also allows the capper to get a good feel of where the $ are.
-A star is born, unknowns can become known and the reliable stars can shrivel up under the pressure, example Memphis G Roburt Sallie avg 5pts per game in the regular season, drops 35 in Game 1 and is averaging 24pts per game in the 1st 2 games thus far, show me someone who capped that. Senior Tyrese Rice avg 17 per in the regular season was expected to carry BC at least pass the 1st round goes 1-6 from 3pt and is basically a no show in the USC game.
-Only reasoning I can find for people thinking this is the best time of the year to bet sports is there being day games mid-week which people are generally not use to seeing.
The good news is I know when I'll be taking my vacation next year, during the NCAA TOURNAMENT.
-Teams leaving the familiarity/style of conference play in which they have been playing in over the past few months. Teams that survive will likely be playing a different team from a different conference each week. (example UNC will go from Big South Radford, to SEC LSU, to WCC Gonzaga, if they win that likely Big12 Oklahoma.)
-98% of the time the 2 teams matched up haven't seen each other all year, sometimes ever.
-Referees.....you got 1 official from the ACC, 1 from the Big12, and the 3rd from the Big East, all which have never worked a game together. What has been a foul in the ACC all year may be a play on in the Big East officials eyes, and vice-versa. Who knows what is going on, at least during the regular season I know exactly what to expect when an opposing team enters Cameron Indoor Stadium. UNC/LSU game had a combined total of 25 fouls while Duke/Texas had a combined total of 43 fouls. I watched both games and would say UNC/LSU game was more physical but there is no way there should be an 18 foul discrepancy between the 2.
-Invalid reasoning, since Villanova destroyed #3 Pac-10 team UCLA, Syracuse should kill the #4 Pac-10 team Arizona St. It's useless information but the only thing people can use to validate reasoning.
-Comparing teams to other conference teams to get a feel for the match up imo is pointless, if those stats held any water Wake Forest should have beat Cleveland St by 35.
-Using last years stats, the majority of the smaller conference teams have a minimum of 4 senior starters, so generally last years team will be completely different from this years. From the power conference stand point if your not a senior and your an exceptional player you would probably opt for the NBA if the opportunity presents itself.
-Fading the public generally seems like a good idea, but I think the books 50% of the time have no clue whats going on either during the tournament. While the regular season schedule is set months in advance and each move can be calculated, the books don't know who is playing who until the following day, then only have 24 hours before the 2 unknown teams facing off meet on the court. From my view the public has raked this tournament, and what made the sharps $ all year long fading the public is costing them in the tournament. I've came to the conclusion this is a toss up like everything else. The Final 4 at least gives the books a week to gauge the action and adjust accordingly, it also allows the capper to get a good feel of where the $ are.
-A star is born, unknowns can become known and the reliable stars can shrivel up under the pressure, example Memphis G Roburt Sallie avg 5pts per game in the regular season, drops 35 in Game 1 and is averaging 24pts per game in the 1st 2 games thus far, show me someone who capped that. Senior Tyrese Rice avg 17 per in the regular season was expected to carry BC at least pass the 1st round goes 1-6 from 3pt and is basically a no show in the USC game.
-Only reasoning I can find for people thinking this is the best time of the year to bet sports is there being day games mid-week which people are generally not use to seeing.
The good news is I know when I'll be taking my vacation next year, during the NCAA TOURNAMENT.
