Would you take even money on SEA and SF vrs the field to win the NFC?
you get SEA and SF
they get the rest of the NFC
even money
which side you on?
NavsPicks
SBR MVP
10-16-12
3344
#2
Sea SF all day.
Comment
Cuse0323
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-09-09
30169
#3
Field, no doubt. Seattle isn't making it. Not taking SF for even money.
Comment
Statman
SBR MVP
12-04-10
1212
#4
Ahhh....the dreaded injury question always comes up in situations like these. If I had a gun to my head, yes I would take EVEN and both SF/SEA to win the NFC.
Comment
Bcatswin
SBR Posting Legend
12-21-10
13931
#5
Yes
Comment
El Nino
SBR Posting Legend
05-03-12
18426
#6
Field.
Comment
t-wizzle
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-18-09
38099
#7
Not a chance in hell. Green Bay is winning the NFC this year.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#8
+100 is -EV. Should be closer to +135.
Comment
STAX
SBR MVP
11-01-13
3718
#9
Originally posted by LT Profits
+100 is -EV. Should be closer to +135.
good call... my next response was you can get SEA (+335) and SF (+415) which is way better than even money
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#10
Gimme Sea/SF
Comment
CWD
SBR Hall of Famer
01-22-12
7665
#11
green bay going to make things interesting
Comment
ChiLLx
SBR Hall of Famer
12-24-11
5412
#12
Field just due to them being in the same division hurts their chances.
Comment
El Nino
SBR Posting Legend
05-03-12
18426
#13
If baskets was still posting, he would have a field day with this thread.
Comment
rm18
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-05
22291
#14
Obviously field it is wide open
Comment
eidolon
SBR Hall of Famer
01-02-08
9531
#15
Field for sure at those odds.
Like LT said, the odds should be higher.
I don't think I would take the odds unless they were like +275 or more.
Comment
MoneyLineDawg
SBR Posting Legend
01-01-09
13253
#16
Field and it's not really close.....main reason is they're in the same division so best you get in the playoffs is one of them on the road in wildcard weekend
I know it worked out for them last season but the odds are against it happening again
Comment
TheMoneyShot
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-14-07
28672
#17
Funny thing about this.... 2 things...
1. Jim Harbaugh doesn't get the coaching credit he deserves. Guy just knows how to coach and outsmart the opposition. He has a lot of fire you need as a coach in the NFL. Injuries... turmoil in the SF organization... it's a part of sports. Harbaugh knows what to say to players, media, etc. Still a great ball club.
2. Go ahead and try to score on the Seattle D. They will be ranked #1 as always. How hungry do they want to play? That remains to be seen. Defense wins game... gains playoff births... and makes history. Regardless of what the offense does... they are always in the game.
What other NFC team can beat them? It would have to be Green Bay. Rodgers would have to shoot whoever he plays.... OUT. How tired is Rodgers at the end of the year? How many games can he win the Packers single handedly?
Wow... you gotta give me SF and SEA +100... I would take it. They will always find a way to win. Rodgers needs a running game and a defense that doesn't screw up.
Comment
STAX
SBR MVP
11-01-13
3718
#18
Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
Wow... you gotta give me SF and SEA +100... I would take it. They will always find a way to win. Rodgers needs a running game and a defense that doesn't screw up.
Current odds on 5dimes to win NFC
SEA +325
SF +415
way better than +100 if you bet on both...
Comment
etothep
SBR MVP
09-14-07
1299
#19
Originally posted by STAX
you get SEA and SF
they get the rest of the NFC
even money
which side you on?
Personally, I would take the field in that scenario
Comment
Cuse0323
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-09-09
30169
#20
You're crazy if you think Seattle makes it back. SB winners just don't and the new enforcement of illegal contact is for them.
Comment
seaborneq
SBR Posting Legend
09-08-06
22556
#21
Once playoffs start you get perhaps 2 of the best 6 teams with home field advantage. I'll take sea/sf combo, but the odds suck. Just like the Nba, getting Cleveland/Chicago verses field to win the east. Great bets, bad odds on division rivals. Should be at least +300 on both.
Comment
scumbag
SBR MVP
11-02-13
3504
#22
These are the two best teams in football. This division is the best I've ever seen. Every single team is loaded top to bottom.
cards and rams are even better than last year. Hawks and 49ers are at least, as good.
Comment
STAX
SBR MVP
11-01-13
3718
#23
I'm telling you, do not buy in to the hype with Rams and Cards. I'll take under 16.5 wins combined all day long. I really can't see either with more than 8 wins. They both seem 7-9 or 8-8 to me, play SEA and SF tough and that's it. BUT... with how the NFL is, it wouldn't totally shock me to see one of these teams have a dream year (Cards had one last year and didn't even make the playoffs). I'm just strongly on the other side of it.
Carson Palmer and Sam Bradford are not good enough to compete against the Defenses of Seattle and San Fran. The difference is Wilson and Kaepernick can make plays on the ground. Palmer and Bradford are not realiable. Wilson is light years ahead of of any other QB in history when it comes to the psychology of the position. He knows the nuances sooo well, and he always knows in the back of his mind he can trust the defense. So you rarely see him make that big mistake. Kaepernick is different, where he seems maybe a tad bit behind mentally, but I still see a huge upside. This guy is freak athletic, he just needs to trust his defense more, and understand it is sometimes for important "not to mess up" here than to make a spectacular throw. I watched Palmer "act like" a franchise QB in Cincy... guy just isn't a big game QB. Tries to do too much, but he probably has the best offensive talent surrounding him. He's just not a big game guy. Bradford cant stay healthy, and he's starting to remind me of David Carr... sorry... very similar so far.
This division is very interesting. I could see SF and SEA both going 10-6 and ARI and STL both going 8-8... but thats about as close as its gonna be imo. Unless ARI or STL has a dream year when everything goes their way.
Comment
Marigold HD
SBR Hall of Famer
09-03-07
5053
#24
Yes
Comment
RaisyDaisy
SBR High Roller
10-23-09
146
#25
Raiders all the way
Comment
newguy
SBR Hall of Famer
12-27-09
6100
#26
Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
Funny thing about this.... 2 things...
1. Jim Harbaugh doesn't get the coaching credit he deserves. Guy just knows how to coach and outsmart the opposition. He has a lot of fire you need as a coach in the NFL. Injuries... turmoil in the SF organization... it's a part of sports. Harbaugh knows what to say to players, media, etc. Still a great ball club.
2. Go ahead and try to score on the Seattle D. They will be ranked #1 as always. How hungry do they want to play? That remains to be seen. Defense wins game... gains playoff births... and makes history. Regardless of what the offense does... they are always in the game.
What other NFC team can beat them? It would have to be Green Bay. Rodgers would have to shoot whoever he plays.... OUT. How tired is Rodgers at the end of the year? How many games can he win the Packers single handedly?
Wow... you gotta give me SF and SEA +100... I would take it. They will always find a way to win. Rodgers needs a running game and a defense that doesn't screw up.
I'll give you those odds for a points bet. Give me field, you get sf/sea. Even money both ways. If interested I'll start a bet point thread and we can do it in there.
Comment
broadway6
SBR Posting Legend
11-14-09
13337
#27
Give me the field for a dime, please.
Comment
slacker00
SBR Posting Legend
10-06-05
12262
#28
Nobody even mentioning the Saints?! I see them getting the #1 seed and nobody is beating them at home, even SEA.
Comment
d2bets
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-10-05
39995
#29
Originally posted by STAX
good call... my next response was you can get SEA (+335) and SF (+415) which is way better than even money
No it ain't. Check your math. +335=22.4%. +414=19.3%. 22.4+19.4=41.7% Much less than even.
Comment
d2bets
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-10-05
39995
#30
Originally posted by seaborneq
Once playoffs start you get perhaps 2 of the best 6 teams with home field advantage. I'll take sea/sf combo, but the odds suck. Just like the Nba, getting Cleveland/Chicago verses field to win the east. Great bets, bad odds on division rivals. Should be at least +300 on both.
Basketball is different. They play a series. Football is 1 game.
Comment
d2bets
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-10-05
39995
#31
Originally posted by STAX
Current odds on 5dimes to win NFC
SEA +325
SF +415
way better than +100 if you bet on both...
Remedial math is in order for you, sir.
Comment
KiDBaZkiT
SBR Posting Legend
10-20-09
14962
#32
No. If I am gonna pick something that far out I better be gettin a better payout than EV money.
Comment
BIGDAY
SBR Aristocracy
02-17-10
48245
#33
Pass.
Comment
survive
SBR MVP
01-08-11
2388
#34
Field easy. New Orleans is running the NFC when they get home field this year
Comment
OptimistPrime
SBR Sharp
07-04-14
268
#35
Very hard to repeat, and a-lot of team in the NFC have gotten a-lot better. I would take Bears of Eagles Or Arzona even before them.