Would you take even money on SEA and SF vrs the field to win the NFC?

[LT Profits]

No it ain't. Check your math. +335=22.4%. +414=19.3%. 22.4+19.4=41.7% Much less than even.

Um...WHAT?

Your math is right but your conclusion is wrong. The effective odds of betting both of them is around +140, which is MUCH better bet than +100.

[LT Profits]

Remedial math is in order for you, sir.

Again, no it's not as he is 100% right. Effective payout betting both separately is +140.

[jjgold]

Barring any injuries one of these two teams will win

In the NFL even money is not worth it though

[d2bets]

Again, no it's not as he is 100% right. Effective payout betting both separately is +140.

Maybe we're arguing different things. I'm talking about his original proposal of taking either SF or SEA to win. Based on the stated odds (+335/+415), the odds of one of those teams winning is around 41.7%. Less than 50%. Therefore, taking that bet (either of them winning +100) is very -EV.

Do we still disagree?

[LT Profits]

Maybe we're arguing different things. I'm talking about his original proposal of taking either SF or SEA to win. Based on the stated odds (+335/+415), the odds of one of those teams winning is around 41.7%. Less than 50%. Therefore, taking that bet (either of them winning +100) is very -EV.

Do we still disagree?

No that is correct. But the guy you are responding to said that the odds are better betting both separately then betting both together at +100, which is also correct.

[smoke a bowl]

This is a no brainer. Field.

[d2bets]

No that is correct. But the guy you are responding to said that the odds are better betting both separately then betting both together at +100, which is also correct.

Oh yes, that I agree with. I was only addressing the original question which was whether the +100 prop was good given those odds. And it isn't.

[STAX]

I took 4 years of calculus in college, pretty sure I can do basic algebra...

made this thread because I predicted most people would take SEA and SF vrs the field at even money, even though betting both seperately right now gets you a way better price.

[thechaoz]

Not a chance in hell. Green Bay is winning the NFC this year.

Lol no

[thechaoz]

good call... my next response was you can get SEA (+335) and SF (+415) which is way better than even money

Really to win nfc? Holy crap getting on 5 dimes as we speak. Still class of the nfc

[seaborneq]

Seattle and San Francisco could both miss the playoffs, Arizona might win win the division, the saints suck and Aaron Rodgers is playing lights out after telling everyone to R-E-L-A-X. Futures are a tough cookie. Get the best odds possible unless you can go back to the future.

[Goat Milk]

Seattle and San Francisco could both miss the playoffs, Arizona might win win the division, the saints suck and Aaron Rodgers is playing lights out after telling everyone to R-E-L-A-X. Futures are a tough cookie. Get the best odds possible unless you can go back to the future.

Anything can happen in the playoffs. I like the Patriots to win the Bowl this year.

[seaborneq]

Once playoffs start you get perhaps 2 of the best 6 teams with home field advantage. I'll take sea/sf combo, but the odds suck. Just like the Nba, getting Cleveland/Chicago verses field to win the east. Great bets, bad odds on division rivals. Should be at least +300 on both.

Seahawks by themselves took care of it. Heavy faves at home in NFC championship game. The field was not good enough to make it close. Green Bays loss to Buffalo pretty much assured Seahawks NFC supremacy.