Football anti-teaser support group

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • TonyTall
    SBR MVP
    • 08-21-13
    • 3551

    #1
    Football anti-teaser support group
    I need help this season. Maybe you do as well. I just see those 10 points in a 3-team football teaser as so tempting. I know its a losing proposition in the long haul but i end up making one every night during the season. If i just stick to straight bets and player props ill have a good season need to stay away from these frigin multi-team teasers

    teaser bettor
  • kidcudi92
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-14-11
    • 15434

    #2
    fukk it tony, if ya have fun playin em go for it. i just bet as a hobby though so if this was your living, different story
    Comment
    • Hot Jerry
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-16-13
      • 5545

      #3
      Originally posted by TonyTall
      I need help this season. Maybe you do as well. I just see those 10 points in a 3-team football teaser as so tempting. I know its a losing proposition in the long haul but i end up making one every night during the season. If i just stick to straight bets and player props ill have a good season need to stay away from these frigin multi-team teasers

      teaser bettor
      - Teasers and parlays are losers props. - I never bet parlays of any kind !! Its hard enough to win one game straight up !!
      Comment
      • frogsrangers
        Restricted User
        • 04-25-12
        • 5792

        #4
        Teasers are dumb they should be for entertainment purposes only

        I would play a lot of 10-15 team teasers at 6-10 points for $1-$3 each for shits and giggles for college football

        Every now and then I would hit a 12 or 13 teamer or so and make a decent return but for the most part they all lost

        I mainly did it for entertainment purposes, so I could have lots of action going on for games I normally wouldnt give a shit about otherwise on a Saturday. That 2:30 kickoff between Eastern Michigan and Kent State might seem boring but when it would close out a winning 10 teamer it becomes entertaining

        That's the only reason to play any teaser though
        Comment
        • OptimistPrime
          SBR Sharp
          • 07-04-14
          • 268

          #5
          I love teasers for college football, mainly 3 team 6 pt ones. Have done very good with them the last three years.
          Comment
          • TonyTall
            SBR MVP
            • 08-21-13
            • 3551

            #6
            3 team college football teasers


            are you out of your mind




            yes for entertainment i can see doing some teasers but if you think you are hitting 50% in the long run you are stupid. i will not take chunks out of my bankroll this fall doing this no way
            Comment
            • OptimistPrime
              SBR Sharp
              • 07-04-14
              • 268

              #7
              I have been in the positive the last three years doing them. Will keep track of them this year if you want.
              Comment
              • TonyTall
                SBR MVP
                • 08-21-13
                • 3551

                #8
                Originally posted by OptimistPrime
                I have been in the positive the last three years doing them. Will keep track of them this year if you want.
                yes make a thread.this way you will know for sure how stupid it is to play college 6-pt teasers. what does that pay +150. you have to win 3 games in a row. while getting 6 points on a game that the total will be about 60

                no offense but you have been lucky so far
                Comment
                • nvrlose37
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-01-12
                  • 2730

                  #9
                  I would get fukked with these for 9 weeks but for two I would hit hard for 5-1 or 11-1 wins.

                  If you're not sure enough on a side that you need ten points extra, just skip it.
                  Comment
                  • I/O
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-26-11
                    • 7922

                    #10
                    Originally posted by TonyTall
                    yes make a thread.this way you will know for sure how stupid it is to play college 6-pt teasers. what does that pay +150. you have to win 3 games in a row. while getting 6 points on a game that the total will be about 60

                    no offense but you have been lucky so far
                    Any chance you start a thread with your straight plays Tony?
                    Comment
                    • shaunovery
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-15-07
                      • 18143

                      #11
                      Of course only rule in betting teasers

                      never go through zero
                      Comment
                      • TonyTall
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-21-13
                        • 3551

                        #12
                        Originally posted by I/O
                        Any chance you start a thread with your straight plays Tony?

                        3 ppl scoffed at me and i told them to go back and calculate my record in straight props and they all then never talked to me again when they saw i hit over 63% posted plays lol
                        Comment
                        • jjgold
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 07-20-05
                          • 388179

                          #13
                          You a get lucky if
                          Games are close

                          3-4 Teamers

                          Odds not -110 anymore
                          Comment
                          • lupe
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 09-29-09
                            • 190

                            #14
                            its very simple gentlemen, WONG teasers are +EV, everthing else is not.
                            Comment
                            • Renegades
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-12-11
                              • 5290

                              #15
                              Lupe is right. You can tease nfl games thru key numbers and make money.
                              Comment
                              • Bostongambler
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-01-08
                                • 35581

                                #16
                                Keep your head up Tony. Pick and choose and you should do ok.
                                Comment
                                • TonyTall
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-21-13
                                  • 3551

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Bostongambler
                                  Keep your head up Tony. Pick and choose and you should do ok.

                                  ill play some over at 5dimes they have some good odds. maybe an open teaser. but when i first started out i would chase with 4 team 13-pt teasers over at betphoenix. needless to say i got 15 calls a week from them with specials
                                  Comment
                                  • scumbag
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-02-13
                                    • 3504

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Renegades
                                    Lupe is right. You can tease nfl games thru key numbers and make money.
                                    not in vegas. Everywhere I've seen is -120
                                    Comment
                                    • BigdaddyQH
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 07-13-09
                                      • 19530

                                      #19
                                      Player props are just as big a sucker wager as ALL parlays and teasers. Just do the math. It is really simple. The more teams you take, the bigger the odds desparity gets. Start with a simple two team parlay. Four things can happen. A can win and B can lose. A can lose and B can win. Both A and B can lose. Both A and B can win. That is 3-1 against you, which is 15/5. You get 13/5 in Vegas or off shore. You are bassically laying 13.3% vig compared to the normal 10% vig. The more teams you wager, the worse it gets.
                                      Comment
                                      • GT21Megatron
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-20-13
                                        • 10818

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                        Player props are just as big a sucker wager as ALL parlays and teasers. Just do the math. It is really simple. The more teams you take, the bigger the odds desparity gets. Start with a simple two team parlay. Four things can happen. A can win and B can lose. A can lose and B can win. Both A and B can lose. Both A and B can win. That is 3-1 against you, which is 15/5. You get 13/5 in Vegas or off shore. You are bassically laying 13.3% vig compared to the normal 10% vig. The more teams you wager, the worse it gets.
                                        No shit captain obvious. Parlays pay more then straight bets? Get the Fuk outta here?
                                        Comment
                                        • Bluehorseshoe
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 07-13-06
                                          • 15006

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                          Player props are just as big a sucker wager as ALL parlays and teasers. Just do the math. It is really simple. The more teams you take, the bigger the odds desparity gets. Start with a simple two team parlay. Four things can happen. A can win and B can lose. A can lose and B can win. Both A and B can lose. Both A and B can win. That is 3-1 against you, which is 15/5. You get 13/5 in Vegas or off shore. You are bassically laying 13.3% vig compared to the normal 10% vig. The more teams you wager, the worse it gets.
                                          Books get killed with player props, that's why the low limit. Sharps destroy them.
                                          Comment
                                          • Big Bear
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 11-01-11
                                            • 43253

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by GT21Megatron
                                            No shit captain obvious. Parlays pay more then straight bets? Get the Fuk outta here?
                                            parlays do pay more.

                                            its all relative.

                                            The rich get richer and the lucky seem to get luckier.
                                            Comment
                                            • dirtycash66
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-13-12
                                              • 2958

                                              #23
                                              i can give you a mean 3team 10pt teaser for week 1. NFL & college fb.
                                              Comment
                                              • GunShard
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-05-10
                                                • 10031

                                                #24
                                                Never parlay and teaser more than a 2 teamer.
                                                Never tease through the zero.
                                                Comment
                                                • Ralphie Halves
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-13-09
                                                  • 4507

                                                  #25
                                                  Teasers may be doable in NFL, but it doesn't make any sense in college. Way more often faves cover by a lot or dogs cover by a lot. Beating the lines in NCAAF are important, but not nearly as important in NFL for this very reason.

                                                  Pleaser bets actually make more sense here if you wanna have some real fun.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BigdaddyQH
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 07-13-09
                                                    • 19530

                                                    #26
                                                    Parlays and Teasers are for two types of people. Those who just want to waste a few bucks and have some fun, and those who are actually uneducated enough to depend on them to make money. The vast majority of players in here fall into one of two catagories. Those who wager rather small amounts (under $100.00/game) and those who do not wager at all (which probably covers 50% of the posters in here). There are a few posters who wager rather large amounts of money, but they are few and far between. Ask them if they ever lay big money on a parlay, teaser, or prop play. As far as books getting "killed by player props", I suggest that you go to Vegas and see if that is true, because it is not. Now you may think so, and you may think that this is the reason why Mickey Mouse Offshore books that most of you use are afraid of sharps, but the fact is that these books simply cannot afford to take a big hit, so they drop the limits on all wagers. Frogsrangers has it right. Tony, let's see your posted plays for this season, and make sure to include the shop that you are playing at, so we can verify that your line is accurate.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Renegades
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 10-12-11
                                                      • 5290

                                                      #27
                                                      3 team 6 pts offshore are +180
                                                      2 team 6 pts offshore are -110

                                                      3 team 6 pts need a 70.95 win rate to break even
                                                      2 team 6 pts need a 72.4 win rate to break even
                                                      ----------------
                                                      Since 1980 NFL dogs of +1.5 to +2.5 teased up covered 75%. 80% over the last 6 yrs

                                                      NFL favs of -7.5 to -8.5 teased down covered 73.2%. 71.2% over the last 6 yrs.

                                                      There is an edge to Wong teasers in the NFL, thats why offshore books shade the line around key numbers for teaser spreads. Many many times you will see say a line of 2.5 as the "true" line and when go to select that dog in a teaser....voila the line is +1 instead of 2.5. Books want you to get +7 rather than +8.5. At 8.5 you are going thru two key numbers- 3 and 7. At +7 you no longer get two key numbers because now plus 7 is a push
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Renegades
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 10-12-11
                                                        • 5290

                                                        #28
                                                        If you are teasing college, which I dont recommend, I would only play games with a total of 48 or less. Low total mean in theory the game should be lower scoring, and lower scoring games have a much higher % of staying close to the number
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dollars2Donuts
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-07-13
                                                          • 8803

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Renegades
                                                          3 team 6 pts offshore are +180
                                                          2 team 6 pts offshore are -110

                                                          3 team 6 pts need a 70.95 win rate to break even
                                                          2 team 6 pts need a 72.4 win rate to break even
                                                          ----------------
                                                          Since 1980 NFL dogs of +1.5 to +2.5 teased up covered 75%. 80% over the last 6 yrs

                                                          NFL favs of -7.5 to -8.5 teased down covered 73.2%. 71.2% over the last 6 yrs.

                                                          There is an edge to Wong teasers in the NFL, thats why offshore books shade the line around key numbers for teaser spreads. Many many times you will see say a line of 2.5 as the "true" line and when go to select that dog in a teaser....voila the line is +1 instead of 2.5. Books want you to get +7 rather than +8.5. At 8.5 you are going thru two key numbers- 3 and 7. At +7 you no longer get two key numbers because now plus 7 is a push

                                                          Well done


                                                          Tony, keep a thread for all of your picks this year....all of them, with unit sizing and everything. Honestly, I am not being a dick this time around. Do that consistently.....be a winner and add to SBR. Would love to have another guy to bounce things off of, somebody that actually adds to the forum.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Bluehorseshoe
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 07-13-06
                                                            • 15006

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                                            As far as books getting "killed by player props", I suggest that you go to Vegas and see if that is true, because it is not. Now you may think so, and you may think that this is the reason why Mickey Mouse Offshore books that most of you use are afraid of sharps, but the fact is that these books simply cannot afford to take a big hit, so they drop the limits on all wagers. Frogsrangers has it right. Tony, let's see your posted plays for this season, and make sure to include the shop that you are playing at, so we can verify that your line is accurate.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • I/O
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 05-26-11
                                                              • 7922

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                                              Parlays and Teasers are for two types of people. Those who just want to waste a few bucks and have some fun, and those who are actually uneducated enough to depend on them to make money. The vast majority of players in here fall into one of two catagories. Those who wager rather small amounts (under $100.00/game) and those who do not wager at all (which probably covers 50% of the posters in here). There are a few posters who wager rather large amounts of money, but they are few and far between. Ask them if they ever lay big money on a parlay, teaser, or prop play. As far as books getting "killed by player props", I suggest that you go to Vegas and see if that is true, because it is not. Now you may think so, and you may think that this is the reason why Mickey Mouse Offshore books that most of you use are afraid of sharps, but the fact is that these books simply cannot afford to take a big hit, so they drop the limits on all wagers. Frogsrangers has it right. Tony, let's see your posted plays for this season, and make sure to include the shop that you are playing at, so we can verify that your line is accurate.
                                                              I love these type threads. People railing on how others gamble because they can't win doing it that way.

                                                              I've seen many guys win hitting teasers. Not saying they are for everyone. But just because one betting option doesn't work for you, doesn't mean someone else isn't having great success with it.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dollars2Donuts
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-07-13
                                                                • 8803

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by I/O
                                                                I love these type threads. People railing on how others gamble because they can't win doing it that way.

                                                                I've seen many guys win hitting teasers. Not saying they are for everyone. But just because one betting option doesn't work for you, doesn't mean someone else isn't having great success with it.
                                                                Bang on I/O.

                                                                People here originally trashed me for my high volume ways....and then they slowly accepted it as the way I do business....that included some of the best poster's on SBR. They came around eventually.

                                                                I still get guys on my thread, in fact a new one today, that claim that I cannot do it.....even though I have 2000 documented bets on SBR....but guys will be guys and if they can't do it they believe that it must be impossible, instead of trying to look for advice or maybe a new method.

                                                                Oh well....it is what it is.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TonyTall
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-21-13
                                                                  • 3551

                                                                  #33
                                                                  might post my plays might not. dont really care if anyone believes that i win or not. i check the pitcher strikeout totals every night. might make 3-4 plays a week if i see something nice. same with football, sometimes things are a crapshoot sometimes a book puts out a prop at +100 that has a 60% chance of hitting
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jjgold
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                                    • 388179

                                                                    #34
                                                                    take unders in teasers if anything

                                                                    pre season
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • boomer62
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-10-11
                                                                      • 1500

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by OptimistPrime
                                                                      I have been in the positive the last three years doing them. Will keep track of them this year if you want.
                                                                      Please do!! Biggest sucker bet there is! One bet and you need 3 teams to cover! That means 3 games have to go according to plan and your risk/ reward is not in your favor. My man loves it as they all lose big and get buried chasing!! They lose at one and start chasing the 4 'o'clock trying to pick 3 teams correctly. Straight, straight , straight but I'm afraid to bet $100 on 3 teams straight and rather bet a $100 on a 3 team teaser.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      Search
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...