A's line down from -215 to -181.

innovation · 08-02-14, 10:59 AM

no take em str8 up

GIVEMETHEMONEY · 08-02-14, 11:01 AM

Originally posted by MoneyIsWater

Take the ROYALS on the RL

I already did Money. I knew something fishy was about that line. Lester is a good pitcher but in a new team. What have you seen before in situations like this?

James Marques · 08-02-14, 11:13 AM

I like it

Delicious · 08-02-14, 11:15 AM

So the A's were overvalued I don't see that as predictive of anything.......

Blackballer · 08-02-14, 11:18 AM

I can't take Kansas City because Jason Vargas is pitchting for them... even with Lester on a new team but the juice went down a bit on Oakland which is good but not there where I wanted it to be.

Hot Jerry · 08-02-14, 11:19 AM

Game of the day is DETROIT - by my humble opinion !!

DrStale · 08-02-14, 11:33 AM

Quick, bet on a team that just lost 40 cents of value.

MoneyIsWater · 08-02-14, 11:35 AM

If you followed my posts,

I bet KC a long time ago buddy.

DrStale · 08-02-14, 11:40 AM

Originally posted by MoneyIsWater

If you followed my posts,

I bet KC a long time ago buddy.

I don't follow your posts. This one was at the top of players talk. If you had created this thread when the line was -215 it would look much smarter.

MoneyIsWater · 08-02-14, 11:42 AM

I did create it around than.

Thanks in advance

stevenash · 08-02-14, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by Delicious

So the A's were overvalued I don't see that as predictive of anything.......

Yeah, I think it's just a correction.
Vargas, a good lefty at +200 was a good value to some, and it was bet down.
I would not read too muich into this.

jjgold · 08-02-14, 11:46 AM

Royals will smile them

As in mini slump

DrStale · 08-02-14, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by MoneyIsWater

I did create it around than.

Thanks in advance

So what's the point on creating 2 threads on the same game? To show us all how smart you are? Congratulations, you got a good line.

innovation · 08-02-14, 11:57 AM

Originally posted by DrStale

Quick, bet on a team that just lost 40 cents of value.

I pick my spots for dogs....not because line movement......if this thing was -280.....doesn't change my side.

lore22 · 08-02-14, 12:05 PM

Line movement starting to develop a similar odor to last nights Dodgers game...
who knows...maybe they'll buy it back...

TwoWays · 08-02-14, 12:08 PM

the a's seriously better score a handful of runs today. if they get blanked again or only score 1 run, people will begin more than before to question trading cespedes.

innovation · 08-02-14, 12:13 PM

under and 1 run victory for either side...is what I see

A's successfully ruined their chemistry over a rental arm.....The fear of losing again to Detroit has caused the brass to make a poor choice. I for one thought they could beat Detroit in a series firing on all cylinders as they were.

BadLuckSanta · 08-02-14, 12:15 PM

LVH currently has the line at As -163. That's a 47 cent drop from their opener of -210.

Never seen that.

TwoWays · 08-02-14, 12:16 PM

Originally posted by BadLuckSanta

LVH currently has the line at As -163. That's a 47 cent drop from their opener of -210.

Never seen that.

it just happened yesterday on the cubs game.

smoke a bowl · 08-02-14, 12:21 PM

Originally posted by innovation

I pick my spots for dogs....not because line movement......if this thing was -280.....doesn't change my side.

Then quit now while you still have two nickles to rub together because you won't for long with that mentality in this market.

jeffthehat1 · 08-02-14, 12:23 PM

A's easy winner! Your at the waters edge now drink damn it!

BIGDAY · 08-02-14, 12:25 PM

How far will it go!???

Going to pound Oakland at bottom.

innovation · 08-02-14, 12:29 PM

Originally posted by smoke a bowl

Then quit now while you still have two nickles to rub together because you won't for long with that mentality in this market.

Ok guy...

Baseball is the most lucrative sport to bet dogs

smoke a bowl · 08-02-14, 12:34 PM

Originally posted by innovation

Ok guy...

Baseball is the most lucrative sport to bet dogs

Not the point. The fact that the number being -160 or -280 not changing your approach is the point of the post sir.

jeffthehat1 · 08-02-14, 12:38 PM

Originally posted by innovation

Ok guy...

Baseball is the most lucrative sport to bet dogs

I make more just betting FAVS than anybody can betting just dogs! That a fact!

turbozed · 08-02-14, 12:41 PM

Got it at -170. Still see -210/+175 at nitrogensports if anyone's interested in a mini arb opportunity.

A's are indeed in a mini slump offensively for the last week but couldn't help myself with this price.

smoke a bowl · 08-02-14, 12:42 PM

Originally posted by turbozed

Got it at -170. Still see -210/+175 at nitrogensports if anyone's interested in a mini arb opportunity.

A's are indeed in a mini slump offensively for the last week but couldn't help myself with this price.

If they are really dealing that line currently I would leave that book alone for they won't be around too long.

innovation · 08-02-14, 12:44 PM

Originally posted by smoke a bowl

Not the point. The fact that the number being -160 or -280 not changing your approach is the point of the post sir.

If I was ever betting chalk then yes.....but because I gamble at all +$$$ bets. You're missing the point.

The worst teams in the bigs win 40% of the games they play.

If you play dogs pick your spots and never pay chalk....why worry how Vegas is trying to influence you?

yesterday after Snakes sh!t the bed I went 2-3 and still squeaked out a +0.09 profit.

they guy who says he bets all faves hasn't been around the block yet.

smoke a bowl · 08-02-14, 12:50 PM

Originally posted by innovation

If I was ever betting chalk then yes.....but because I gamble at all +$$$ bets. You're missing the point.

The worst teams in the bigs win 40% of the games they play.

If you play dogs pick your spots and never pay chalk....why worry how Vegas is trying to influence you?

yesterday after Snakes sh!t the bed I went 2-3 and still squeaked out a +0.09 profit.

they guy who says he bets all faves hasn't been around the block yet.

Vegas doesn't try to do anything except survive. They have no clue so get that out of your head. A number moves because people with big money and a clue bet a given side. Nothing more. All I was saying in my 1st post was that you better be price conscience in this business or you WILL go broke. As far as Jeff's post that is obv silly. Not the part about the favorites because you can win picking your spots with favorites as well as dogs but the fact the he says its fact that he makes more betting favs than anyone betting dogs is absurd because he doesn't know jack about what anyone else is doing.

stevenash · 08-02-14, 12:52 PM

Originally posted by innovation

.but because I gamble at all +$$$ bets. You're missing the point.

The worst teams in the bigs win 40% of the games they play.

If you play dogs pick your spots and never pay chalk....why worry how Vegas is trying to influence you?

Some other jackass on these boards preaches this.
Can't remember who though?

jeffthehat1 · 08-02-14, 12:56 PM

Originally posted by innovation

If I was ever betting chalk then yes.....but because I gamble at all +$$$ bets. You're missing the point.

The worst teams in the bigs win 40% of the games they play.

If you play dogs pick your spots and never pay chalk....why worry how Vegas is trying to influence you?

yesterday after Snakes sh!t the bed I went 2-3 and still squeaked out a +0.09 profit.

they guy who says he bets all faves hasn't been around the block yet.

The guy who bets all favorites has been doing this 30 years.I think that's quite a few trips around the block. I'm also up 171 units past 33 days only betting to win 1 unit a game. I'd say not bad.

innovation · 08-02-14, 12:57 PM

Originally posted by smoke a bowl

Vegas doesn't try to do anything except survive. They have no clue so get that out of your head. A number moves because people with big money and a clue bet a given side. Nothing more. All I was saying in my 1st post was that you better be price conscience in this business or you WILL go broke. As far as Jeff's post that is obv silly. Not the part about the favorites because you can win picking your spots with favorites as well as dogs but the fact the he says its fact that he makes more betting favs than anyone betting dogs is absurd because he doesn't know jack about what anyone else is doing.

I disagree about Vegas trying to influence peeps.....I know they do. It's easy to see.

and Nasher.... i'm now the other jackass? lol

look you guys can lay chalk....I don't care too....been in the game long enough to find what works for me.

innovation · 08-02-14, 12:58 PM

Originally posted by jeffthehat1

The guy who bets all favorites has been doing this 30 years.I think that's quite a few trips around the block. I'm also up 171 units past 33 days only betting to win 1 unit a game. I'd say not bad.

good on u m8

different strokes for different folks.

jeffthehat1 · 08-02-14, 12:59 PM

Originally posted by smoke a bowl

Vegas doesn't try to do anything except survive. They have no clue so get that out of your head. A number moves because people with big money and a clue bet a given side. Nothing more. All I was saying in my 1st post was that you better be price conscience in this business or you WILL go broke. As far as Jeff's post that is obv silly. Not the part about the favorites because you can win picking your spots with favorites as well as dogs but the fact the he says its fact that he makes more betting favs than anyone betting dogs is absurd because he doesn't know jack about what anyone else is doing.

I don't have to know jack about what else anybody is doing. I know less than 2% of cappers win long term. So with that fact I'm can without a doubt say my statement is true.