Has anyone tested in game betting on heavy road favorites after a shutout top of the first inning? I figure you would get better much better odds if u really so like a specific game/team.
Has anyone tried this?
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bruencSBR Wise Guy
- 05-26-10
- 529
#1Has anyone tried this?Tags: None -
jayc88Restricted User
- 12-30-07
- 6785
#2You will obviously get better odds since the home Team still has 9 Innings to play.
This will not be profitable lt .Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74866
#3My thoughts...you would need exceptionally good odds, which you won't get, and you will likely be paying a lot of vigorish for what you do get, which counts in the long run.Comment -
sportsguy4SBR Wise Guy
- 03-12-08
- 622
#4Just tried it. Took the Dodgers at -105 instead of -123 before the game. Still believe the Dodgers will win tonight. Played 3.5 U on it.Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74866
#5Nice hit.
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krk1030SBR Posting Legend
- 08-13-08
- 17610
#6This may make sense if the team is heavy chalk mainly because of their starting pitcher.Comment -
bruencSBR Wise Guy
- 05-26-10
- 529
#7Played both oak and lad after top of first and got better odds, but as mentioned above it is still a lot of juice to be playing on games like Oakland.Comment -
asdf21SBR High Roller
- 06-21-14
- 173
#8Where is the edge... you get better odds but less probability of winningComment -
upscopeSBR MVP
- 04-26-11
- 2837
#9I don't like it. Rather pay the xtra vig & give me that xtra inning of offense to jump on the favorable pitching match-UP. that's what you're paying the vig for anyhow.Comment -
TheCentaurSBR Hall of Famer
- 06-28-11
- 8108
#10Only works if the opposing pitcher is left handed coming off a loss and the weather is partly cloudyComment -
BasesLoaded314SBR High Roller
- 04-10-14
- 125
#11L10 years, road faves that fail to score in the 1st are 2683-2735. average pregame odds were -135. so, a rough estimate says you would need to be offered approx 35 cents for this to be practical. the problem is that when the road fave DOES score in the top 1st, they go on to win 68.6% of the time (1669-765)..... except that you probably weren't on those games, because they got even more expensive than u wantedComment -
RavensFan2k3SBR Posting Legend
- 08-18-12
- 17378
#12How does the probability of winning change?Originally posted by asdf21Where is the edge... you get better odds but less probability of winningComment -
Big BearSBR Aristocracy- 11-01-11
- 43253
#13this.Originally posted by TheCentaurOnly works if the opposing pitcher is left handed coming off a loss and the weather is partly cloudyComment -
asdf21SBR High Roller
- 06-21-14
- 173
#14Home team has 9 innings left to score, away team only 8. See the post above yours for statistics.Originally posted by RavensFan2k3How does the probability of winning change?Comment -
bruencSBR Wise Guy
- 05-26-10
- 529
#15Thank you that is the info I was looking forOriginally posted by BasesLoaded314L10 years, road faves that fail to score in the 1st are 2683-2735. average pregame odds were -135. so, a rough estimate says you would need to be offered approx 35 cents for this to be practical. the problem is that when the road fave DOES score in the top 1st, they go on to win 68.6% of the time (1669-765)..... except that you probably weren't on those games, because they got even more expensive than u wantedComment -
sweethookSBR Posting Legend
- 11-21-07
- 12667
#16takes to big of a roll so slow your roll , glComment
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